Yanuel Casiano — OGILVIE

Yanuel CasianoC ACL Reds

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP293

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	122	106	18	4	1	1	12	44	3	0	0	170	273	255	527	85	274	36	10	248	54	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	9	2	0	0	8	63	3	0	0	82	165	100	265	18	206	52	7	151	-12	-16	+0	—	—	+3	-1.4
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	9	2	0	0	8	63	3	0	0	82	165	100	265	18	188	52	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	122	106	18	4	1	1	12	44	3	0	0	170	273	255	527	85	274	36	10	248	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	9	2	0	0	8	63	3	0	0	82	165	100	265	18	206	52	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	9	2	0	0	8	63	3	0	0	82	165	100	265	18	206	52	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	CIN	—	44	39	7	1	1	1	4	19	1	0	0	179	273	333	606	154	316	43	9	257	60	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	CIN	—	44	37	10	1	1	2	6	13	1	0	0	270	386	514	900	243	364	30	14	396	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	CIN	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		290	33	11	247	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	CIN	—	53	47	8	1	1	1	5	22	1	0	0	170	264	298	562	128	292	42	9	255	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	192	173	35	6	2	3	14	65	3	2	1	202	274	312	586	110	290	34	7	259	61	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	326	294	60	10	3	6	24	106	5	3	1	204	276	320	595	116	291	33	7	267	67	-13	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	424	383	79	14	3	8	32	135	6	3	1	206	278	321	599	115	292	32	8	273	71	-15	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	490	443	93	16	4	10	37	155	7	4	1	210	281	332	613	122	293	32	8	277	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.4
2031	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	520	468	99	17	4	11	40	164	7	4	2	212	283	335	619	124	294	32	8	279	75	-16	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.5
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	520	468	100	17	4	12	40	164	7	4	2	214	285	344	629	130	294	32	8	280	76	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2033	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	520	468	100	17	4	12	40	164	7	4	2	214	285	344	629	130	294	32	8	281	76	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2034	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	520	467	99	17	4	12	41	164	7	4	2	212	285	343	628	131	294	32	8	281	76	-15	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.6
2035	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	520	467	99	17	4	12	41	165	7	4	2	212	285	343	628	131	293	32	8	280	76	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	520	467	97	16	4	11	41	166	7	4	1	208	282	330	611	122	292	32	8	278	74	-16	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.4
2037	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	520	467	96	16	4	11	41	167	7	3	1	206	280	328	607	122	291	32	8	275	73	-17	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.2
2038	31	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	504	452	92	15	4	10	40	164	7	3	1	204	279	321	599	117	288	33	8	271	70	-18	+0	-3	+9	+11	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	66	60	12	2	1	1	5	22	1	1	0	200	273	317	589	117	293	33	8	253	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	158	143	29	5	1	3	12	51	2	1	0	203	274	315	589	112	294	32	8	262	67	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	230	208	43	7	2	5	17	73	3	2	1	207	276	332	608	125	295	32	7	268	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	277	250	53	9	2	6	21	88	4	2	1	212	284	336	620	124	296	32	8	272	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	294	265	57	10	2	7	23	93	4	2	1	215	288	347	635	132	297	32	8	274	75	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	294	265	57	10	2	7	23	93	4	2	1	215	288	347	635	132	298	32	8	275	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	294	265	57	10	2	7	23	93	4	2	1	215	288	347	635	132	297	32	8	276	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	288	259	55	9	2	7	23	91	4	2	1	212	287	344	630	131	297	32	8	276	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	285	256	54	9	2	7	23	90	4	2	1	211	286	344	630	133	297	32	8	275	76	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	278	250	53	9	2	7	22	89	4	2	1	212	286	348	634	136	296	32	8	273	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2037	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	274	246	52	9	2	6	22	88	4	2	1	211	287	337	624	126	294	32	8	270	73	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2038	31	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	263	236	49	8	2	6	21	85	4	1	1	208	284	335	618	127	291	32	8	266	70	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3001	2703	571	97	22	69	235	956	42	21	10	211	285	340	625	129	297	32	8	272	71	-95	+0	-4	+54	+65	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	124	21	5	15	51	207	9	5	2	212	285	342	627	130	299	32	8	272	71	-20	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	5707	5135	1059	180	44	118	440	1845	80	42	17	206	279	327	607	121	294	32	8	274	71	-178	+2	-7	+100	+121	3.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	121	21	5	13	50	210	9	5	2	207	280	326	606	120	295	32	8	274	71	-21	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,104	65	24	209	279	331	+55	+28	4.2	3.8
/162	664	14	5	+11.9	+6.0	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yanuel Casiano (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	188/257/280	92	290	1	1	35%	7%	54	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41	42→55	47→50	39	203/257/313	110	287	8	5	31%	6%	60	-1.6	193/233/321	128	274	13	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	53	-2.1	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	52	-2.2	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	33	-0.8
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	42→45	49→40	40	191/253/297	106	266	9	5	31%	6%	55	-1.9	201/259/305	104	303	9	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	191/250/291	100	290	9	2	35%	5%	52	-1.1
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Rey Duran 2008 · A	19	41	39→50	49→40	44	194/268/278	84	288	7	6	33%	8%	57	-1.8	201/256/316	115	261	13	5	27%	6%	61	-1.5	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2010 · A	19	43	38→45	46→45	38	202/250/284	82	300	5	5	33%	6%	50	-2.3	219/259/313	94	273	9	6	22%	5%	60	-1.6	232/268/336	104	264	12	5	17%	4%	66	-0.3
✕Tyler Marlette 2012 · A	19	41→43	37→50	49→45	33	192/232/264	72	306	4	6	37%	4%	38	-3.2	227/261/337	110	308	11	7	29%	4%	67	-1.1	240/277/371	130	311	15	9	27%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	35	39→40	50	36	173/231/260	87	272	7	6	37%	6%	38	-3.2	172/242/246	74	249	5	6	31%	6%	40	-3.0	183/266/258	74	252	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.5
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→60	47→40	38	174/236/245	70	296	4	6	40%	7%	37	-3.3	193/257/301	108	312	11	5	39%	8%	58	-1.7	197/257/339	142	318	16	2	41%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	38→41	41→50	48→50	45	182/267/286	104	281	8	8	35%	9%	59	-1.7	201/262/332	131	290	13	10	34%	6%	67	-1.1	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	39	43→50	45→40	39	193/258/301	108	287	10	4	35%	7%	59	-1.7	193/250/310	117	295	12	5	37%	6%	57	-1.8	199/268/348	150	286	16	5	34%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	288	5	7	31%	8%	58	-1.7	194/291/271	77	319	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	42→45	47→40	42	194/267/295	101	284	11	4	34%	8%	61	-1.5	182/265/292	110	306	11	4	40%	9%	60	-1.6	148/247/263	115	255	13	2	43%	10%	45	-0.9
✕Steven Baron 2010 · A	19	38	39→45	48→50	31	181/228/265	84	317	7	5	43%	5%	38	-3.2	177/218/255	78	268	6	6	34%	5%	32	-3.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→38	41→50	43→30	45	190/272/291	102	269	8	3	30%	8%	62	-1.4	186/267/286	100	300	9	2	38%	8%	59	-1.6	193/274/341	148	264	18	1	32%	8%	71	-0.5
✕D.J. Stewart 2018 · A	19	43	40→45	50→55	38	203/257/291	88	312	7	7	36%	6%	55	-2.0	207/262/279	72	322	4	6	34%	6%	54	-2.0	202/250/313	111	271	12	11	29%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Geoandry Montilla 2015 · A	19	41	35→45	48→50	37	191/242/251	60	300	2	7	35%	6%	39	-3.1	207/270/307	100	295	8	8	30%	7%	64	-1.3	193/264/302	109	273	10	9	31%	8%	58	-0.5
✕Bryan Ramos 2021 · A	19	43→42	40→50	44→50	40	207/266/301	93	288	7	6	30%	6%	61	-1.5	209/273/340	131	270	15	6	28%	6%	73	-0.6	205/270/341	137	257	17	5	27%	6%	70	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps