Yanuel CasianoC ACL Reds
Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 61 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .279 / .327
PA61
HR1
K%34
BB%8
BABIP303
ISO127
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.00-0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.50.70.80.9+$24M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $2M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 ROKACL Reds 122109 9200 9623 00 83174101274 18188 517 151 -26
202518 ROKACL Reds 122106 18411 12443 00 170273255527 85274 3610 248 48
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKCIN 4237 7111 4171 00 189286351637 162316 4010 273 67 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
YTD19 ROKCIN 4235 10112 6121 00 286405543948 257381 2914 415 175 +4 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.6
ROS19 ROKCIN 0% 6155 11211 5211 00 200279327606 127290 348 250 49 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
ROS19 MLBCIN 0% 01 0000 000 00 293 242 43 +0 +0
FULL19 ROKCIN 4238 7111 4171 00 184286342628 158300 4010 273 67 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
TOT19 ROKCIN 10392 18322 9382 00 196282337619 141308 379 259 57 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBCIN 34% 192173 35623 14643 21 202274312586 110291 337 261 58 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.0
202821 MLBCIN 48% 326293 601036 251065 31 205279321599 116293 338 269 64 -13 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.2
202922 MLBCIN 54% 424382 791438 331356 31 207280322602 115294 328 275 69 -15 +0 +0 +8 +12 0.5
203023 MLBCIN 57% 490442 9316410 381547 42 210283333616 122294 318 279 71 -16 +0 +0 +9 +14 0.7
203124 MLBCIN 57% 520467 9917411 411637 42 212285336622 124295 318 281 73 -16 +0 +0 +9 +15 0.8
203225 MLBCIN 57% 520467 9917411 411637 42 212285336622 124295 318 282 74 -15 +0 +0 +9 +15 0.9
202720 MLBCIN 34% 6660 12211 5221 10 200273317589 117294 338 253 52 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202821 MLBCIN 48% 158143 29513 12512 10 203274315589 112295 328 261 58 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
202922 MLBCIN 54% 230207 45825 18733 21 217289348637 130296 328 267 63 -10 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.1
203023 MLBCIN 57% 277249 53926 22874 21 213287337625 124297 318 271 66 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
203124 MLBCIN 57% 294265 561026 23924 21 211284332616 121298 318 273 67 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203225 MLBCIN 57% 294265 571027 23924 21 215288347635 132298 318 274 68 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 13191190 252441028 10341718 104 212285336621 124299 328 269 64 -53 +0 +0 +24 +37 0.8
/ 162G 650586 12522514 512059 52 213286340626 126301 328 269 64 -26 +0 +0 +12 +18 0.4
Career 26552388 485842150 20686839 209 203277319596 116293 338 270 65 -105 +0 +0 +47 +75 1.8
/ 162G 650585 11921512 5021310 52 203278318595 115295 338 270 65 -26 +0 +0 +12 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202518 ROKACL Reds 122106 18411 12443 00 170273255527 85274 3610 248 48 -7 +0 +3 -0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,4222812209279329+25+161.71.7
/162664135+11.9+7.50.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Yanuel Casiano (OGILVIE) 19 196/282/337 141308 20 37% 9% 57 -0.0
Rodolfo Castro
2018 · A
19 41→40 42→55 47→50 39 203/257/313 110287 85 31% 6% 55 -1.4 192/232/317 125275 125 34% 4% 45 -2.1 205/272/358153266191130%7%72-0.2
Yohan Matos
2016 · A
19 40 41→45 48→45 38 194/251/289 95288 87 34% 6% 46 -2.0 197/259/275 78321 48 37% 7% 46 -2.0 166/241/2316428901139%8%24-0.7
Rey Duran
2008 · A
19 41 39→50 49→40 44 194/268/278 84288 76 33% 8% 51 -1.7 201/256/316 115261 135 27% 6% 56 -1.3 210/263/34913924619223%5%65-0.3
Jesus Galiz
2023 · A
19 38 43→45 49→40 40 193/254/304 111268 105 31% 6% 53 -1.5 201/260/303 102309 93 36% 6% 54 -1.4 189/250/287982958237%6%45-1.0
Pedro Severino
2012 · A
19 37→47 39→50 49→45 39 184/237/267 83257 74 30% 6% 34 -2.8 189/233/266 77239 53 22% 4% 32 -3.0 238/307/37513729117324%8%90+0.6
Alexander Mojica
2022 · A
19 39 41→45 47→40 41 194/262/289 96287 94 34% 7% 52 -1.6 185/266/295 110307 114 40% 9% 56 -1.3 155/253/27411926213242%10%42-0.8
Wilmer Dominguez
2010 · A
19 43 38→45 46→45 38 202/250/284 82300 55 33% 6% 43 -2.2 219/259/313 94273 96 22% 5% 55 -1.4 232/268/33610426412517%4%61-0.3
Jose Caguana
2021 · A
19 41 40→55 49→45 35 194/247/288 94316 88 39% 6% 44 -2.1 195/255/292 97405 98 50% 7% 49 -1.8 178/254/33615826023739%8%60-0.4
Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A
20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
Richard Ramirez
2023 · A
18 37 37→55 47→40 38 176/239/249 73297 56 40% 8% 30 -3.1 195/259/306 111313 115 38% 8% 55 -1.4 199/259/32912933113241%6%57-0.5
Denzer Guzman
2023 · A
19 38→36 40→45 47→50 42 190/245/284 93260 79 29% 6% 43 -2.2 187/246/287 100286 98 36% 7% 43 -2.2 205/268/331127286151232%7%61-0.7
Tyler Marlette
2012 · A
19 41→42 37→50 49→45 33 192/232/264 72306 46 37% 4% 30 -3.1 226/260/334 108310 117 29% 4% 61 -1.0 234/278/36413030414727%5%72-0.1
Jose Cordoba
2022 · A
19 39 39→45 45→55 38 193/252/278 85266 78 29% 5% 44 -2.1 196/255/289 93278 810 31% 6% 48 -1.9 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
Freuddy Batista
2019 · A
19 39 43→50 45→40 39 193/258/301 108287 104 35% 7% 53 -1.5 194/251/315 121295 135 37% 6% 53 -1.5 199/268/36016028318535%6%70-0.2
Adrian De Leon
2023 · A
19 42 38→40 47→45 43 199/271/276 78287 57 30% 8% 53 -1.5 193/290/269 76317 65 37% 9% 60 -1.0 155/264/219642696339%10%36-1.1
Alex Jackson
2015 · A
19 44→35 41→60 46→30 38 207/259/310 104316 85 36% 6% 55 -1.4 191/249/305 114301 113 38% 5% 50 -1.7 194/265/36817426722235%6%71-0.1
Steven Baron
2010 · A
19 38 39→45 48→50 31 181/228/265 84317 75 43% 5% 30 -3.1 176/217/257 81266 66 35% 5% 23 -3.6 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
Joe DeCarlo
2013 · A
19 39→37 41→55 43→30 45 190/272/291 102269 83 30% 8% 57 -1.2 186/266/288 102300 92 38% 8% 54 -1.4 194/273/35516126220133%8%70-0.2
Jason Lopez
2017 · A
19 40 38→55 49→45 43 195/258/270 75266 511 28% 7% 44 -2.1 205/253/318 113280 117 30% 5% 55 -1.4 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
D.J. Stewart
2018 · A
19 43 40→50 50→55 38 203/257/291 88312 77 36% 6% 49 -1.8 207/262/279 72322 46 34% 6% 48 -1.9 203/250/319115269131129%5%51-0.8