Yanuel Casiano

C ACL Reds

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKCIN	122	.170/.273/.255	1	0	-10	—	.100/.182/.145
2026	19	ROKCIN	44	.270/.386/.514	2	0	61	—	.179/.273/.333
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBCIN	154	.189/.257/.276	2	1	51	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBCIN	29	.196/.264/.295	0	0	57	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO92

wOBA63

wRC+63

BB%38

Speed31

Chase%30

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .255 / .274

PA32

HR0

K%35

BB%7

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	122	106	18	4	1	1	12	44	3	0	0	170	273	255	527	85	274	36	10	248	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	44	37	10	1	1	2	6	13	1	0	0	270	386	514	900	243	364	30	14	396	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	11	2	0	1	8	63	3	0	0	100	182	145	327	45	211	52	7	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	44	39	7	1	1	1	4	19	1	0	0	179	273	333	606	154	286	43	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	11	2	0	1	8	63	3	0	0	100	182	145	327	45	213	52	7	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	122	106	18	4	1	1	12	44	3	0	0	170	273	255	527	85	274	36	10	248	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	44	39	7	1	1	1	4	19	1	0	0	179	273	333	606	154	316	43	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	44	37	10	1	1	2	6	13	1	0	0	270	386	514	900	243	364	30	14	396	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	11	2	0	1	8	63	3	0	0	100	182	145	327	45	211	52	7	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	44	39	7	1	1	1	4	19	1	0	0	179	273	333	606	154	286	43	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	122	110	11	2	0	1	8	63	3	0	0	100	182	145	327	45	211	52	7	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	44	39	7	1	1	1	4	19	1	0	0	179	273	333	606	154	286	43	9	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	154	140	27	5	1	2	11	53	2	1	1	189	257	276	533	87	288	34	7	244	51	-9	-0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	87	80	16	3	1	1	6	30	1	1	0	194	263	290	553	96	290	34	7	252	57	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	29	27	5	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	196	264	295	559	99	291	34	7	254	57	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	29	27	5	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	185	241	222	464	37	294	34	7	254	28	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	112	22	0	0	45	224	0	0	0	185	242	221	463	36	294	34	7	254	28	-33	+0	+0	+12	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	285	259	39	7	2	3	20	123	5	1	0	151	225	228	453	77	269	43	7	210	28	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	90	16	5	7	46	281	11	2	0	152	227	232	459	80	272	43	7	210	28	-35	+1	+0	+12	+14	-0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Reds · 44 PAwOBA .386 → .259 (−127)K% 29.5% → 42.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.55%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	42.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.64%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	8.52%
HBP% /PA	2.27%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	1.65%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.008	20.65%
Doubles /BIP	4.17%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	3.02%
Triples /BIP	4.17%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	3.02%
Home runs /BIP	8.33%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	6.55%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .386 → .259; ISO .243 → .161; BABIP .364 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Reds · 122 PAwOBA .244 → .154 (−91)K% 36.1% → 51.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.07%	÷1.010	×1.440	—	—	51.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.84%	÷0.931	×0.620	—	×1.022	6.70%
HBP% /PA	2.46%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	1.81%
Singles /BIP	19.35%	÷1.039	×0.820	×0.985	×1.022	15.39%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷0.963	×0.720	×0.985	×1.022	4.86%
Triples /BIP	1.61%	÷1.150	×0.720	×0.985	×1.022	1.02%
Home runs /BIP	1.61%	÷1.252	×0.780	—	×1.022	1.03%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 102, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.

Result: wOBA .244 → .154; ISO .085 → .046; BABIP .274 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).