Yanuel Casiano — OGILVIE

Yanuel CasianoC ACL Reds

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 61 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .279 / .327

PA61

HR1

K%34

BB%8

BABIP303

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	122	109	9	2	0	0	9	62	3	0	0	83	174	101	274	18	188	51	7	151	-26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	122	106	18	4	1	1	12	44	3	0	0	170	273	255	527	85	274	36	10	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	CIN	—	42	37	7	1	1	1	4	17	1	0	0	189	286	351	637	162	316	40	10	273	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
YTD	19	ROK	CIN	—	42	35	10	1	1	2	6	12	1	0	0	286	405	543	948	257	381	29	14	415	175	+4	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.6
ROS	19	ROK	CIN	0%	61	55	11	2	1	1	5	21	1	0	0	200	279	327	606	127	290	34	8	250	49	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		293	—	—	242	43	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	CIN	—	42	38	7	1	1	1	4	17	1	0	0	184	286	342	628	158	300	40	10	273	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
TOT	19	ROK	CIN	—	103	92	18	3	2	2	9	38	2	0	0	196	282	337	619	141	308	37	9	259	57	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CIN	34%	192	173	35	6	2	3	14	64	3	2	1	202	274	312	586	110	291	33	7	261	58	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	CIN	48%	326	293	60	10	3	6	25	106	5	3	1	205	279	321	599	116	293	33	8	269	64	-13	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.2
2029	22	MLB	CIN	54%	424	382	79	14	3	8	33	135	6	3	1	207	280	322	602	115	294	32	8	275	69	-15	+0	+0	+8	+12	0.5
2030	23	MLB	CIN	57%	490	442	93	16	4	10	38	154	7	4	2	210	283	333	616	122	294	31	8	279	71	-16	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.7
2031	24	MLB	CIN	57%	520	467	99	17	4	11	41	163	7	4	2	212	285	336	622	124	295	31	8	281	73	-16	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.8
2032	25	MLB	CIN	57%	520	467	99	17	4	11	41	163	7	4	2	212	285	336	622	124	295	31	8	282	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2027	20	MLB	CIN	34%	66	60	12	2	1	1	5	22	1	1	0	200	273	317	589	117	294	33	8	253	52	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	CIN	48%	158	143	29	5	1	3	12	51	2	1	0	203	274	315	589	112	295	32	8	261	58	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	22	MLB	CIN	54%	230	207	45	8	2	5	18	73	3	2	1	217	289	348	637	130	296	32	8	267	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	23	MLB	CIN	57%	277	249	53	9	2	6	22	87	4	2	1	213	287	337	625	124	297	31	8	271	66	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2031	24	MLB	CIN	57%	294	265	56	10	2	6	23	92	4	2	1	211	284	332	616	121	298	31	8	273	67	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2032	25	MLB	CIN	57%	294	265	57	10	2	7	23	92	4	2	1	215	288	347	635	132	298	31	8	274	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1319	1190	252	44	10	28	103	417	18	10	4	212	285	336	621	124	299	32	8	269	64	-53	+0	+0	+24	+37	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	125	22	5	14	51	205	9	5	2	213	286	340	626	126	301	32	8	269	64	-26	+0	+0	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	2655	2388	485	84	21	50	206	868	39	20	9	203	277	319	596	116	293	33	8	270	65	-105	+0	+0	+47	+75	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	119	21	5	12	50	213	10	5	2	203	278	318	595	115	295	33	8	270	65	-26	+0	+0	+12	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	122	106	18	4	1	1	12	44	3	0	0	170	273	255	527	85	274	36	10	248	48	-7	+0	—	—	+3	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,422	28	12	209	279	329	+25	+16	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	13	5	209	279	329	+11.9	+7.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yanuel Casiano (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	196/282/337	141	308	2	0	37%	9%	57	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41→40	42→55	47→50	39	203/257/313	110	287	8	5	31%	6%	55	-1.4	192/232/317	125	275	12	5	34%	4%	45	-2.1	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	46	-2.0	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	46	-2.0	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Rey Duran 2008 · A	19	41	39→50	49→40	44	194/268/278	84	288	7	6	33%	8%	51	-1.7	201/256/316	115	261	13	5	27%	6%	56	-1.3	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	47→40	41	194/262/289	96	287	9	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	185/266/295	110	307	11	4	40%	9%	56	-1.3	155/253/274	119	262	13	2	42%	10%	42	-0.8
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2010 · A	19	43	38→45	46→45	38	202/250/284	82	300	5	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	219/259/313	94	273	9	6	22%	5%	55	-1.4	232/268/336	104	264	12	5	17%	4%	61	-0.3
✕Jose Caguana 2021 · A	19	41	40→55	49→45	35	194/247/288	94	316	8	8	39%	6%	44	-2.1	195/255/292	97	405	9	8	50%	7%	49	-1.8	178/254/336	158	260	23	7	39%	8%	60	-0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→55	47→40	38	176/239/249	73	297	5	6	40%	8%	30	-3.1	195/259/306	111	313	11	5	38%	8%	55	-1.4	199/259/329	129	331	13	2	41%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Tyler Marlette 2012 · A	19	41→42	37→50	49→45	33	192/232/264	72	306	4	6	37%	4%	30	-3.1	226/260/334	108	310	11	7	29%	4%	61	-1.0	234/278/364	130	304	14	7	27%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	39	43→50	45→40	39	193/258/301	108	287	10	4	35%	7%	53	-1.5	194/251/315	121	295	13	5	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/360	160	283	18	5	35%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	287	5	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	193/290/269	76	317	6	5	37%	9%	60	-1.0	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Alex Jackson 2015 · A	19	44→35	41→60	46→30	38	207/259/310	104	316	8	5	36%	6%	55	-1.4	191/249/305	114	301	11	3	38%	5%	50	-1.7	194/265/368	174	267	22	2	35%	6%	71	-0.1
✕Steven Baron 2010 · A	19	38	39→45	48→50	31	181/228/265	84	317	7	5	43%	5%	30	-3.1	176/217/257	81	266	6	6	35%	5%	23	-3.6	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→37	41→55	43→30	45	190/272/291	102	269	8	3	30%	8%	57	-1.2	186/266/288	102	300	9	2	38%	8%	54	-1.4	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→55	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	44	-2.1	205/253/318	113	280	11	7	30%	5%	55	-1.4	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕D.J. Stewart 2018 · A	19	43	40→50	50→55	38	203/257/291	88	312	7	7	36%	6%	49	-1.8	207/262/279	72	322	4	6	34%	6%	48	-1.9	203/250/319	115	269	13	11	29%	5%	51	-0.8