Tyler Herron
C FCL Rays| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+/ROKTB | 110 | .154/.300/.187 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | .115/.227/.146 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBTB | 200 | .201/.273/.275 | 1 | 1 | 57 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ29% MLB | 25 | MLBTB | 18 | .206/.278/.288 | 0 | 0 | 61 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 22 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 182 | 158 | 340 | 105 | 71 | 23 | 9 | 170 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | — | 88 | 72 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 181 | 330 | 194 | 524 | 14 | 245 | 22 | 11 | 267 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 22 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 136 | 150 | 286 | 100 | 62 | 27 | 5 | 125 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Rays | — | 88 | 76 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 132 | 250 | 145 | 395 | 13 | 191 | 32 | 7 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 110 | 96 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 115 | 227 | 146 | 373 | 31 | 177 | 31 | 6 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 110 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 154 | 300 | 187 | 487 | 33 | 209 | 22 | 11 | 248 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 110 | 95 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 116 | 227 | 147 | 375 | 32 | 165 | 31 | 6 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 110 | 95 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 116 | 227 | 147 | 375 | 32 | 165 | 31 | 6 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | TB | 0% | 200 | 180 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 273 | 275 | 548 | 75 | 288 | 30 | 7 | 253 | 57 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | TB | 29% | 60 | 55 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 276 | 285 | 561 | 82 | 288 | 30 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | TB | 29% | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 278 | 288 | 566 | 81 | 293 | 28 | 6 | 260 | 61 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 176 | 399 | 250 | 28 | 6 | 260 | 28 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 614 | 108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 181 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 222 | 176 | 397 | 249 | 28 | 6 | 260 | 28 | -30 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.5 | ||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 205 | 183 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 63 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 158 | 249 | 219 | 467 | 60 | 235 | 31 | 6 | 209 | 28 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 92 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 200 | 29 | 0 | 10 | 159 | 249 | 217 | 466 | 59 | 236 | 31 | 6 | 209 | 28 | -31 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 ROKFCL Rays · 88 PAwOBA .262 → .180 (−81)K% 21.6% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.59% | ÷0.985 | ×1.440 | — | — | 31.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.36% | ÷0.991 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 6.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.82% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.64% | ÷1.018 | ×0.820 | ×1.001 | ×0.975 | 17.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.026 | ×0.720 | ×1.001 | ×0.975 | 1.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.001 | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.809 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .262 → .180; ISO .014 → .009; BABIP .245 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 22 PAwOBA .167 → .125 (−42)K% 22.7% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.73% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.965 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 3.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.996 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 6.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 113, 3B 99, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .167 → .125; ISO .105 → .088; BABIP .071 → .062. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).