Jayden Felicia — OGILVIE

Jayden FeliciaSS DSL Marlins

Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 150 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 137 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .279 / .256

PA137

HR1

K%28

BB%10

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-3	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M
Totals		$7M		$8M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	184	155	27	5	1	0	26	64	2	8	5	174	301	219	520	45	293	35	14	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	184	139	31	7	1	0	42	45	2	8	5	223	410	288	698	65	326	24	23	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	97	87	11	1	0	0	8	25	2	8	1	126	216	138	354	11	177	26	8	173	-9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	97	82	15	3	0	0	13	18	2	8	1	183	309	220	529	37	234	19	13	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	164	140	24	4	1	0	23	56	1	12	3	171	293	214	507	43	286	34	14	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	164	124	30	6	1	1	39	37	1	12	3	242	427	331	757	89	337	23	24	361	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	MIA	—	137	121	24	4	1	1	14	38	1	3	1	198	287	273	559	74	272	28	10	252	51	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	MIA	34%	218	192	38	7	1	2	22	59	2	5	1	198	287	276	563	78	276	27	10	266	62	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	MIA	48%	340	300	62	11	2	5	34	90	3	8	2	207	294	307	600	100	278	26	10	276	69	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.2
2029	23	MLB	MIA	54%	422	373	79	14	2	7	42	111	4	10	3	212	298	316	615	105	280	26	10	281	74	-13	+1	+0	+5	+12	0.5
2030	24	MLB	MIA	55%	477	422	91	17	3	8	47	124	5	12	3	216	302	327	629	111	281	26	10	285	76	-13	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.7
2031	25	MLB	MIA	56%	508	448	97	18	3	9	50	132	5	12	3	217	302	330	633	114	281	26	10	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.8
2032	26	MLB	MIA	56%	526	463	100	18	3	10	52	137	6	13	3	216	303	333	636	117	281	26	10	288	78	-13	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.9
2033	27	MLB	MIA	60%	532	467	101	18	3	10	54	139	6	13	3	216	306	332	637	116	281	26	10	288	78	-13	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.9
2034	28	MLB	MIA	62%	532	467	101	18	3	10	54	139	6	13	3	216	306	332	637	116	281	26	10	287	78	-13	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.8
2035	29	MLB	MIA	63%	524	460	98	18	3	9	54	138	5	12	3	213	303	324	626	111	280	26	10	285	76	-14	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.6
2036	30	MLB	MIA	63%	516	453	96	17	3	9	53	138	5	12	3	212	301	322	624	110	279	27	10	283	74	-15	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.4
2037	31	MLB	MIA	65%	503	442	92	17	2	8	51	136	5	11	3	208	297	310	607	102	277	27	10	279	71	-16	+1	-3	+5	+14	0.2
2038	32	MLB	MIA	65%	485	428	86	15	2	7	49	133	5	10	3	201	290	294	585	93	274	27	10	274	68	-18	+1	-4	+5	+14	-0.2
2027	21	MLB	MIA	34%	75	67	13	2	0	1	7	20	1	2	0	194	280	269	549	75	271	27	9	256	54	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	MIA	48%	165	146	29	5	1	2	16	44	2	4	1	199	287	288	574	89	273	27	10	265	61	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	MIA	54%	229	202	43	8	1	4	23	60	2	5	1	213	300	322	621	109	275	26	10	270	65	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2030	24	MLB	MIA	55%	264	233	48	9	1	4	26	69	3	6	2	206	294	305	599	99	276	26	10	274	68	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2031	25	MLB	MIA	56%	284	251	54	10	2	5	28	74	3	7	2	215	301	331	632	116	276	26	10	275	69	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2032	26	MLB	MIA	56%	296	262	55	10	2	5	29	77	3	7	2	210	296	321	617	111	276	26	10	276	69	-10	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2033	27	MLB	MIA	60%	317	279	60	11	2	6	32	83	3	8	2	215	303	333	636	118	276	26	10	276	70	-11	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.2
2034	28	MLB	MIA	62%	328	289	61	11	2	6	33	86	3	8	2	211	298	325	624	114	276	26	10	275	69	-12	+1	-0	+4	+9	0.2
2035	29	MLB	MIA	63%	329	289	61	11	2	6	34	87	3	8	2	211	301	325	626	114	275	26	10	274	68	-12	+1	-1	+4	+9	0.1
2036	30	MLB	MIA	63%	327	288	60	11	2	5	33	87	3	7	2	208	296	312	609	104	274	27	10	271	66	-13	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.1
2037	31	MLB	MIA	65%	327	288	60	11	2	5	33	88	3	7	2	208	296	312	609	104	272	27	10	268	63	-14	+1	-2	+4	+9	-0.2
2038	32	MLB	MIA	65%	315	277	56	10	1	5	32	86	3	6	2	202	292	300	591	97	269	27	10	263	59	-14	+0	-2	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3256	2871	600	109	18	54	326	861	32	75	20	209	297	316	613	107	277	26	10	271	66	-125	+7	-7	+35	+92	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	121	22	4	11	65	172	6	15	4	211	298	321	619	110	280	26	10	271	66	-25	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	6165	5418	1127	202	33	95	633	1659	63	162	43	208	298	310	608	102	279	27	10	278	71	-203	+15	-10	+66	+175	4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	118	21	3	10	67	175	7	17	5	207	298	306	604	100	278	27	10	278	71	-21	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	184	139	31	7	1	0	42	45	2	8	5	223	410	288	698	65	326	24	23	338	117	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.8
2024	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	97	82	15	3	0	0	13	18	2	8	1	183	309	220	529	37	234	19	13	260	57	-5	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	19	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	164	124	30	6	1	1	39	37	1	12	3	242	427	331	757	89	337	23	24	361	135	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,393	55	79	212	297	318	+36	+24	3.5	3.3
	/162	664	11	15	212	297	318	+7.1	+4.7	0.7	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jayden Felicia (OGILVIE)	20	35	20	60	60	191/279/256	65	272	1	3	28%	10%	51	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Junior Valera 2013 · A	20	42	36→40	51→60	45	196/266/265	69	275	2	10	28%	8%	46	-2.0	226/289/310	84	293	3	18	22%	8%	67	-0.5	245/308/338	94	307	3	28	20%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→38	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	59	-1.1	206/280/293	87	292	3	18	28%	8%	59	-1.1	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	40	34→30	50→55	44	183/259/238	55	287	2	15	34%	9%	37	-2.7	196/261/262	66	318	2	13	36%	7%	43	-2.2	183/249/232	49	297	0	21	35%	6%	27	-0.8
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	39	35→30	49→55	46	184/261/240	56	270	2	16	30%	9%	38	-2.6	196/268/257	61	275	3	15	27%	8%	45	-2.1	193/272/251	58	274	2	17	28%	9%	44	-0.9
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	47	-1.9	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	64	-0.8	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	81	+0.1
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	41	36→40	52→65	48	193/259/264	71	240	3	18	20%	7%	43	-2.2	214/291/283	69	273	2	26	20%	9%	62	-0.9	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Alfredo Angarita 2017 · A	20	40	36→30	50→55	52	189/279/255	65	254	3	16	25%	10%	50	-1.7	201/269/258	57	287	2	12	28%	8%	46	-2.0	194/260/238	44	282	1	11	29%	7%	33	-1.1
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	30	-3.1	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	53	-1.5	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	56	-0.4
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2019 · A	20	43	35→30	48→55	51	200/292/258	58	284	3	8	28%	11%	57	-1.2	209/271/272	63	327	3	8	34%	7%	50	-1.7	201/262/235	34	319	0	8	34%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Chris Torres 2018 · A	20	43→37	36→30	51→55	44	200/268/273	72	300	3	14	32%	8%	49	-1.8	199/278/264	65	331	3	12	36%	10%	52	-1.6	180/271/235	55	301	3	15	37%	11%	38	-1.3
✕Nasim Nuñez 2021 · A	20	41→49	35→30	57→65	47	191/265/249	58	276	2	20	30%	9%	42	-2.3	209/294/259	50	308	2	38	29%	10%	57	-1.2	210/286/268	58	278	5	56	25%	9%	54	-1.0
✕Geraldo Quintero 2022 · A	20	39→49	36→40	52→60	46	186/254/253	67	244	3	17	24%	7%	38	-2.6	222/285/312	90	295	5	23	25%	7%	66	-0.6	225/290/312	88	297	5	28	24%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	46	35→30	50	55	208/299/269	61	275	1	14	22%	11%	63	-0.9	216/285/281	65	304	2	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	227/294/263	36	322	0	4	27%	9%	53	-0.3
✕Luis Barahona 2013 · A	19	40	35→30	53→50	43	190/243/255	65	258	1	13	26%	6%	33	-2.9	217/273/280	63	297	2	12	26%	7%	53	-1.5	233/290/282	49	313	0	17	24%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Noah Miller 2023 · A	20	40→42	37→40	51→50	47	186/277/258	72	293	4	13	34%	10%	51	-1.7	197/259/270	73	271	5	8	27%	7%	45	-2.1	213/260/298	85	267	7	3	22%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2012 · A	20	45	36→40	56→55	51	210/281/283	74	266	2	20	21%	8%	57	-1.2	217/294/314	97	274	7	13	22%	9%	72	-0.2	222/296/309	88	278	8	11	22%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Dreily Guerrero 2011 · A	20	41	35→30	54→55	45	192/260/256	64	277	2	16	29%	8%	42	-2.3	179/231/240	61	294	2	10	37%	6%	24	-3.5	142/181/205	63	259	4	11	45%	4%	-8	-1.5
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	41→42	39→45	53→50	42	196/255/285	89	270	5	13	28%	7%	46	-2.0	211/283/320	109	300	10	13	30%	9%	69	-0.4	209/285/321	112	292	12	14	30%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Edwin Mateo 2019 · A	20	40	37→40	52→55	48	192/265/260	67	249	4	15	23%	8%	45	-2.1	213/290/299	86	290	7	14	27%	8%	66	-0.6	208/281/291	83	293	6	14	29%	7%	57	-0.5