Arnaldo Montano — OGILVIE

Arnaldo MontanoC DSL Mets Blue

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .267 / .276

PA54

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.2M
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	88	78	12	3	0	1	9	35	1	0	1	154	250	231	481	77	262	40	10	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	88	71	16	4	0	1	16	23	1	0	1	225	375	324	699	99	319	26	18	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	84	75	12	2	0	1	7	34	2	1	1	160	250	227	477	67	275	40	8	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	84	69	18	3	0	1	13	22	2	1	1	261	393	348	741	87	370	26	15	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	NYM	—	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	289	31	7	251	50	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	NYM	34%	117	106	23	4	1	2	9	36	1	1	0	217	284	330	615	113	290	31	8	263	59	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	22	MLB	NYM	48%	262	236	49	9	1	4	21	78	3	3	1	208	281	305	586	97	292	30	8	271	65	-10	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2029	23	MLB	NYM	54%	366	330	71	13	2	7	29	108	4	4	1	215	287	330	617	115	293	30	8	276	70	-13	+0	+0	+7	+10	0.5
2030	24	MLB	NYM	55%	437	394	84	15	2	8	35	128	5	4	2	213	286	322	608	109	294	29	8	280	72	-14	+0	+0	+8	+12	0.7
2031	25	MLB	NYM	56%	479	432	94	17	3	9	39	140	5	5	2	218	290	333	623	116	294	29	8	281	74	-14	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.8
2032	26	MLB	NYM	56%	504	452	98	17	3	10	41	147	6	5	2	217	291	334	625	117	294	29	8	283	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.9
2033	27	MLB	NYM	55%	515	462	100	18	3	10	42	150	6	5	2	216	290	333	624	117	294	29	8	283	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2034	28	MLB	NYM	55%	518	464	100	18	3	10	43	152	6	5	2	216	290	332	622	116	293	29	8	282	74	-15	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.8
2035	29	MLB	NYM	53%	513	459	98	17	2	10	43	152	6	4	2	214	289	325	614	111	292	30	8	280	72	-16	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.6
2036	30	MLB	NYM	57%	505	452	96	17	2	10	42	150	6	4	1	212	288	325	613	113	291	30	8	277	70	-17	+0	-2	+9	+14	0.5
2037	31	MLB	NYM	60%	478	430	90	16	2	9	40	144	5	3	1	209	284	319	603	109	288	30	8	273	67	-18	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.2
2038	32	MLB	NYM	61%	447	402	82	14	2	8	37	136	5	3	1	204	279	308	588	104	285	30	8	267	63	-19	+0	-4	+8	+13	-0.2
2027	21	MLB	NYM	34%	40	37	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	189	250	297	547	108	290	30	8	255	53	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	NYM	48%	127	115	24	4	1	2	10	38	1	1	0	209	278	313	591	104	292	30	8	262	59	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2029	23	MLB	NYM	54%	198	178	39	7	1	4	16	58	2	2	1	219	291	337	628	118	293	29	8	268	63	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2030	24	MLB	NYM	55%	242	217	47	8	1	5	20	71	3	2	1	217	292	332	623	115	294	29	8	271	66	-9	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2031	25	MLB	NYM	56%	268	241	51	9	1	5	22	78	3	3	1	212	286	320	605	108	294	29	8	273	67	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2032	26	MLB	NYM	56%	283	255	55	10	1	6	23	82	3	3	1	216	288	333	622	118	294	29	8	274	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2033	27	MLB	NYM	55%	285	256	55	10	1	6	24	83	3	3	1	215	290	332	622	117	293	29	8	274	68	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2034	28	MLB	NYM	55%	284	255	55	10	1	6	24	83	3	3	1	216	291	333	624	118	293	29	8	273	67	-11	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.2
2035	29	MLB	NYM	53%	274	246	52	9	1	5	23	81	3	2	1	211	287	317	604	106	292	30	8	271	66	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.1
2036	30	MLB	NYM	57%	288	259	54	10	1	5	24	86	3	2	1	208	283	313	596	104	291	30	8	268	64	-12	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.0
2037	31	MLB	NYM	60%	285	256	53	9	1	5	24	86	3	2	1	207	283	309	591	102	288	30	8	264	61	-13	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.1
2038	32	MLB	NYM	61%	274	246	51	9	1	5	23	84	3	2	1	207	283	313	596	106	285	31	8	259	57	-13	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2848	2561	543	96	11	55	236	842	30	25	10	212	286	323	609	111	291	30	8	269	64	-115	+1	-6	+51	+81	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	125	22	3	13	54	192	7	6	2	214	288	329	617	115	293	30	8	269	64	-26	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	5367	4821	1019	182	26	100	441	1607	62	48	19	211	286	322	608	111	293	30	8	275	69	-189	+2	-10	+96	+152	5.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	123	22	3	12	53	195	8	6	2	211	285	320	605	110	292	30	8	275	69	-23	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	88	71	16	4	0	1	16	23	1	0	1	225	375	324	699	99	319	26	18	330	111	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	18	ROK	DSL Mets Blue	—	84	69	18	3	0	1	13	22	2	1	1	261	393	348	741	87	370	26	15	347	124	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,903	54	26	214	285	326	+52	+28	3.4	3.2
	/162	664	12	6	214	285	326	+11.9	+6.4	0.8	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arnaldo Montano (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	196/267/276	79	289	1	1	32%	8%	50	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Franklin Tineo 2015 · A	20	38	35→45	42→50	41	179/245/239	60	279	2	8	34%	7%	31	-3.0	184/260/268	84	250	6	9	27%	8%	46	-2.0	174/259/268	94	224	8	11	24%	9%	43	-0.7
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Daniel Santos 2019 · A	20	41	39→45	45→40	41	197/262/285	88	270	7	5	28%	6%	50	-1.7	200/262/282	82	300	5	6	33%	6%	50	-1.8	141/209/188	47	235	0	5	37%	5%	1	-0.9
✕Mike Ohlman 2011 · A	20	39→49	38→45	50→40	38	185/245/263	78	303	5	5	38%	7%	37	-2.6	216/279/309	93	310	6	3	30%	7%	63	-0.8	229/295/332	103	322	7	2	29%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Yu Chang 2016 · A	20	41→46	42→50	45	38	202/252/305	103	275	9	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	201/256/343	142	286	15	8	34%	6%	63	-0.9	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	37→44	40→50	50→45	37	182/242/275	93	284	6	6	36%	6%	39	-2.5	204/253/323	119	282	11	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Rodolfo Durán 2018 · A	20	43	41→55	46→40	39	210/252/306	96	282	8	6	28%	5%	50	-1.7	208/243/347	139	281	18	3	32%	4%	59	-1.1	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	37	39→50	45→40	43	182/248/265	83	263	7	5	32%	8%	39	-2.5	203/261/310	107	295	9	6	32%	7%	56	-1.3	202/257/342	140	271	13	4	30%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Yeldrys Molina 2009 · A	20	43	38→40	48→50	44	206/265/287	82	281	4	9	27%	7%	51	-1.7	194/252/272	78	285	4	8	31%	7%	42	-2.3	139/198/200	60	203	0	9	29%	6%	-1	-1.2
✕Wilmer Dominguez 2011 · A	20	43	40→45	49→45	42	209/255/300	91	272	7	5	26%	6%	50	-1.7	218/253/304	86	275	8	5	23%	4%	50	-1.7	247/278/359	111	273	14	5	15%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	38→40	43→55	47→50	36	194/233/304	111	269	10	5	32%	4%	42	-2.3	197/238/344	147	275	17	6	34%	5%	56	-1.3	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Kenny Hart 2010 · A	20	42	38→45	48→50	41	200/273/277	77	292	5	6	31%	7%	53	-1.5	211/296/309	98	281	8	11	26%	7%	72	-0.2	199/298/306	107	253	9	15	23%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Brandon Barnes 2006 · A	20	37→47	38→55	47→50	37	184/237/264	80	266	6	6	32%	5%	33	-2.9	182/229/258	76	281	5	7	35%	5%	28	-3.2	236/281/354	118	320	11	16	29%	5%	73	-0.1