Angel NieblasSS FCL Braves
Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .256 / .272
PA75
HR1
K%28
BB%6
ISO78
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.3+$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 33
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT34
scouting grade only
POWER33
scouting grade only
EYE49
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Braves 150139 26411 7444 82 187247252498 65266 295 228 33
202317 ROKDSL Braves 150133 34521 13284 82 256340346686 90317 199 315 99
202418 ROKFCL Braves 119105 15500 8373 52 143224190415 48214 317 186 1
202418 ROKFCL Braves 119101 21700 12283 52 208310277588 69280 2410 271 65
202519 ROK2 teams 9791 10100 6340 91 110165121286 11175 356 133 -40
202519 ROK2 teams 9784 15300 12210 91 179278214493 36238 2212 238 40
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLBATL 7569 13201 5211 20 188253261514 72270 287 243 44 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBATL 34% 163149 31612 11452 41 208272302574 94274 287 256 54 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.2
202822 MLBATL 48% 297271 571025 21803 72 210275317592 107276 277 265 61 -13 +1 +0 +3 +8 -0.1
202923 MLBATL 54% 390354 761427 281035 92 215282325607 110278 267 271 65 -15 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.1
203024 MLBATL 55% 454413 891638 331205 112 215282327608 111279 267 274 68 -16 +1 +0 +5 +13 0.3
202721 MLBATL 34% 5651 10201 4151 10 196268294562 98274 277 248 48 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202822 MLBATL 48% 144131 27512 10392 31 206273305578 99276 277 257 55 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
202923 MLBATL 54% 212193 42814 15562 51 218281332613 114278 267 262 59 -10 +1 +0 +2 +6 -0.1
203024 MLBATL 55% 252229 49915 18663 61 214280328608 114279 267 266 61 -11 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 664604 12824312 471768 153 212278321599 109277 277 261 58 -32 +2 +0 +7 +19 -0.4
/ 162G 650591 12523312 461728 153 212278321599 110276 267 261 58 -31 +2 +0 +7 +18 -0.4
Career 17451591 31758924 11948423 5512 199265292557 93269 287 251 50 -98 +6 +0 +19 +49 -2.4
/ 162G 650593 1182239 441809 204 199265292556 93268 287 251 50 -36 +2 +0 +7 +18 -0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Braves 150133 34521 13284 82 256340346686 90317 199 315 99 -0 +1 +4 0.5
202418 ROKFCL Braves 119101 21700 12283 52 208310277588 69280 2410 271 65 -5 +0 +3 -0.1
202519 ROKFCL Braves 8273 12100 8190 90 164244178422 14222 2310 205 15 -8 +2 +2 -0.4
202519 INTLNaranjeros de Hermosillo 1511 3200 420 01 273467455921 182333 1327 418 178 +1 -0 +0 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
37381217211273316+8+9-0.10.1
/1626641116+7.1+8.1-0.1pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Angel Nieblas (OGILVIE) 20 29→34 28→33 55→60 49 195/256/272 77270 12 28% 6% 44 -0.3
Ricardo Rosario
2023 · A
20 40 37→40 50→55 42 191/251/266 76262 412 28% 6% 40 -2.4 205/277/292 87289 819 29% 8% 59 -1.1 203/290/29289267112926%9%63-0.4
Glenn Santiago
2021 · A
20 43 37→40 55→45 46 200/274/277 78262 313 23% 7% 54 -1.4 206/269/298 92281 79 27% 7% 56 -1.3 184/247/261772747833%7%35-1.1
Frankeny Fernandez
2017 · A
20 36 38→40 53→60 42 174/248/255 81275 519 36% 8% 37 -2.6 193/258/268 75281 510 31% 7% 44 -2.1 172/238/215432393627%7%20-1.1
Gilbert Gomez
2012 · A
20 39→35 40 52→50 40 193/252/284 91274 714 31% 6% 46 -2.0 201/271/278 77305 48 32% 8% 53 -1.5 191/271/264742963733%9%45-1.3
Johnni Turbo
2009 · A
20 37→47 37→40 54→55 36 184/222/257 73263 413 31% 4% 24 -3.5 210/246/289 79308 416 32% 4% 43 -2.2 240/277/3046429831820%4%56-0.4
Victor Tademo
2018 · A
19 39 37→40 52→55 37 189/240/263 74277 414 32% 5% 34 -2.8 195/241/256 61285 37 31% 5% 33 -2.9 181/217/201202520327%4%6-1.4
Rafael Morel
2022 · A
20 38 40 51→50 39 187/248/282 94270 813 32% 6% 43 -2.2 195/260/276 81313 710 37% 7% 47 -1.9 186/257/26579290101037%7%41-1.1
Ismael Alcantara
2019 · A
20 39→28 38→45 51→50 41 185/255/266 81281 513 34% 7% 43 -2.2 211/277/317 106330 915 36% 7% 64 -0.8 193/256/311118287121635%6%52-0.7
Juan Batista
2021 · A
20 40 36→40 51→55 45 190/261/264 74271 316 29% 8% 44 -2.1 183/243/264 81368 513 48% 6% 37 -2.7 91/156/1455428221864%5%-32-1.9
Luis Andujar
2019 · A
19 42 37→40 53→50 38 197/250/268 71300 49 34% 6% 40 -2.4 215/278/290 75306 310 28% 7% 58 -1.2 221/291/2927130621226%8%64-0.3
Albertson Asigen
2022 · A
20 43 39→40 53→55 44 205/260/298 92275 56 27% 7% 52 -1.6 224/299/302 78328 517 30% 8% 70 -0.3 213/301/3079434882737%9%69-0.1
Christian Cairo
2021 · A
20 39→46 35→40 48→60 44 183/264/241 59277 29 32% 8% 40 -2.4 186/288/267 81287 615 33% 11% 59 -1.1 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
Leonel Espinoza
2023 · A
20 38→44 40 50→55 41 188/259/274 86266 711 31% 6% 46 -2.0 209/272/298 89302 714 31% 6% 58 -1.2 202/259/2939029281832%5%47-1.0
Janelfry Zorrilla
2011 · A
20 41 40→45 50 42 202/257/291 89262 713 26% 6% 49 -1.8 224/280/353 129280 1310 24% 6% 76 +0.0 226/277/35312728514825%5%72-0.1
Pablo Olivares
2018 · A
20 44→41 36→40 49→50 42 206/276/277 71285 310 27% 6% 55 -1.4 220/288/301 81285 613 24% 6% 66 -0.6 212/286/2897727261422%6%59-0.6
Brainer Bonaci
2022 · A
20 41→42 39→45 53→50 42 196/255/285 89270 513 28% 7% 46 -2.0 211/283/320 109300 1013 30% 9% 69 -0.4 209/285/321112292121430%9%67-0.4
Edwin Ventura
2018 · A
20 42 35→30 52→55 39 198/239/256 58257 39 24% 4% 31 -3.0 194/248/246 52266 216 26% 6% 33 -2.9 176/234/1982224202725%6%14-1.7
Chris Roller
2018 · A
21 37 37→50 53→55 45 178/254/255 77243 412 27% 8% 40 -2.4 208/276/322 114297 811 31% 7% 66 -0.6 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
David Kandilas
2011 · A
20 41→44 38→45 51→55 39 200/238/278 78271 510 28% 5% 37 -2.7 216/269/318 102285 715 25% 6% 61 -1.0 214/273/3129828171925%7%58-0.7
Ameilis Carvajal
2009 · A
20 41 39→40 50 48 191/281/275 84291 612 33% 10% 56 -1.3 194/264/268 74320 49 37% 8% 46 -2.0 140/204/175342670844%7%-3-1.2