Angel Nieblas — OGILVIE

Angel NieblasSS FCL Braves

Age 20 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .255 / .271

PA6

HR0

K%28

BB%6

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 33 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT33

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	150	133	34	5	2	1	13	28	4	8	2	256	340	346	686	90	317	19	9	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	119	101	21	7	0	0	12	28	3	5	2	208	310	277	588	69	280	24	10	271	69	-4	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	82	73	12	1	0	0	8	19	0	9	0	164	244	178	422	14	222	23	10	205	25	-7	+2	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	19	INTL	Naranjeros de Hermosillo	—	15	11	3	2	0	0	4	2	0	0	1	273	467	455	921	182	333	13	27	418	169	+1	-0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	138	27	4	1	1	8	42	4	8	2	196	260	261	521	65	267	28	5	227	40	-11	+1	—	—	+3	-0.7
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	119	105	15	5	0	0	8	39	3	5	2	143	224	190	415	48	209	33	7	187	13	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	82	77	9	1	0	0	5	28	0	9	0	117	171	130	301	13	172	34	6	135	-22	-12	+2	—	—	+2	-0.9
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	138	27	4	1	1	8	42	4	8	2	196	260	261	521	65	274	28	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	150	133	34	5	2	1	13	28	4	8	2	256	340	346	686	90	317	19	9	315	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	119	105	15	5	0	0	8	39	3	5	2	143	224	190	415	48	221	33	7	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	119	101	21	7	0	0	12	28	3	5	2	208	310	277	588	69	280	24	10	271	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	97	91	10	1	0	0	6	33	0	9	1	110	165	121	286	11	172	34	6	135	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	97	84	15	3	0	0	12	21	0	9	1	179	278	214	493	36	238	22	12	238	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	137	27	4	1	1	8	42	4	8	2	197	260	263	523	66	267	28	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	119	107	15	5	0	0	8	39	3	5	2	140	224	187	411	47	209	33	7	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	97	91	10	1	0	0	6	33	0	9	1	110	165	121	286	11	172	34	6	135	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	150	137	27	4	1	1	8	42	4	8	2	197	260	263	523	66	267	28	5	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	119	107	15	5	0	0	8	39	3	5	2	140	224	187	411	47	209	33	7	187	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	97	91	10	1	0	0	6	33	0	9	1	110	165	121	286	11	172	34	6	135	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		269	33	0	243	50	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	163	149	31	6	1	2	11	44	2	4	1	208	272	302	574	94	273	27	7	256	59	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	22	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	297	271	57	10	2	5	21	79	3	7	2	210	275	317	592	107	275	27	7	265	65	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	390	355	76	14	2	7	27	102	5	9	2	214	279	324	603	110	277	26	7	271	69	-14	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	454	414	89	16	3	8	32	118	5	11	2	215	279	326	605	111	278	26	7	274	72	-15	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	ATL	60%	490	446	96	17	3	9	35	127	6	12	3	215	281	327	609	112	278	26	7	275	72	-16	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2032	26	MLB MLE	ATL	62%	511	463	101	18	3	10	37	132	6	13	3	218	285	335	619	117	278	26	7	276	73	-16	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	ATL	63%	520	471	102	18	3	10	38	135	6	13	3	217	283	331	615	115	278	26	7	276	73	-17	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.2
2034	28	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	521	472	101	18	3	10	38	136	6	12	3	214	281	328	609	114	277	26	7	275	72	-17	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	ATL	65%	515	466	99	18	3	9	38	135	6	12	3	212	280	322	602	109	277	26	7	273	71	-18	+1	-1	+6	+11	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	56	51	11	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	216	286	314	599	98	273	27	7	248	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	144	131	27	5	1	2	10	38	2	3	1	206	273	305	578	99	275	26	7	256	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	212	193	41	7	1	4	15	55	2	5	1	212	276	321	597	109	277	26	7	262	69	-8	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	252	229	50	9	2	5	18	65	3	6	1	218	284	341	625	122	278	26	7	266	72	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	ATL	60%	293	267	57	10	2	5	21	76	3	7	2	213	278	322	600	109	278	26	7	267	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	ATL	62%	317	287	62	11	2	6	23	82	4	8	2	216	283	331	614	115	278	26	7	267	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	ATL	63%	329	298	65	12	2	6	24	85	4	8	2	218	285	332	617	114	278	26	7	267	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	339	307	66	12	2	6	25	89	4	8	2	215	283	326	608	111	277	26	7	267	72	-11	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	ATL	65%	335	303	65	12	2	6	25	88	4	8	2	215	283	327	610	112	277	26	7	265	71	-11	+1	-1	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2277	2066	444	80	14	41	165	593	27	54	13	215	282	327	608	112	279	26	7	265	66	-78	+6	-1	+24	+49	0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	127	23	4	12	47	169	8	15	4	215	282	329	611	114	279	26	7	265	66	-22	+2	-0	+7	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4233	3847	805	145	24	71	299	1124	52	115	27	209	275	315	590	106	274	27	7	266	66	-134	+10	-2	+41	+84	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	124	22	4	11	46	173	8	18	4	210	276	316	592	107	276	27	7	266	66	-23	+2	-0	+7	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,350	41	56	215	278	325	+25	+18	1.6	1.6
/162	664	12	16	+7.1	+5.1	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Angel Nieblas (OGILVIE)	20	28→33	28→33	55→60	49	195/255/271	76	269	1	2	28%	6%	50	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	43	37→40	55→45	46	200/274/277	78	262	3	13	23%	7%	59	-1.6	205/269/296	91	280	7	9	28%	7%	61	-1.5	182/247/261	79	270	7	8	33%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	192/252/267	75	262	4	12	27%	6%	48	-2.5	202/274/290	88	285	7	19	30%	8%	61	-1.5	196/282/285	89	259	11	29	27%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→37	40	52→50	40	195/254/288	93	274	7	14	31%	6%	53	-2.1	201/272/277	76	304	4	8	32%	8%	58	-1.7	190/273/260	70	294	3	7	33%	10%	51	-1.4
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	52→55	37	189/240/263	74	277	4	14	32%	5%	42	-2.9	195/241/256	61	285	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.0	181/217/201	20	252	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.4
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	41	40→45	50	42	202/257/291	89	262	7	13	26%	6%	55	-2.0	224/279/352	128	280	13	10	24%	6%	78	-0.3	225/276/353	127	282	14	8	25%	5%	75	-0.2
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	58	-1.7	202/252/288	86	301	6	4	33%	4%	53	-2.1	211/249/305	94	308	7	2	33%	3%	52	-1.1
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	38	40	51→50	39	187/249/281	94	269	8	13	32%	6%	51	-2.3	196/261/274	78	315	7	10	37%	7%	53	-2.1	188/258/263	75	295	9	10	37%	7%	47	-1.2
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	43	40	53→55	44	206/261/303	97	274	6	6	27%	7%	59	-1.7	224/297/299	75	327	4	17	30%	8%	72	-0.7	212/299/299	88	345	7	27	37%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A	19	41	37→30	53→45	45	197/263/267	70	262	4	12	25%	7%	53	-2.1	230/290/284	54	281	3	7	18%	6%	65	-1.2	243/302/283	40	290	2	5	16%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→44	35→45	55→65	41	188/231/241	52	251	2	18	26%	5%	33	-3.6	199/255/288	89	264	8	18	26%	6%	54	-2.0	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Juan Batista 2021 · A	20	40	36→40	51→55	45	190/261/264	74	271	3	16	29%	8%	51	-2.3	183/244/264	81	367	5	13	48%	6%	44	-2.8	90/155/144	54	278	2	18	64%	5%	-18	-1.9
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	47	-2.5	205/274/318	113	295	9	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	191/257/296	105	277	7	15	32%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	191/260/268	77	304	6	15	36%	7%	51	-2.2	188/266/266	78	286	5	32	33%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Ryan Vega 2017 · A	20	44	40	54→45	41	212/260/305	93	270	8	9	24%	5%	59	-1.6	214/273/302	88	290	7	7	27%	6%	64	-1.3	192/260/272	79	271	7	6	30%	7%	52	-1.2
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	49	-2.4	216/267/279	63	314	3	13	30%	4%	55	-1.9	200/250/260	60	280	3	7	28%	3%	41	-1.5
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	47	-2.5	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	63	-1.4	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Yorberto Mejicano 2021 · A	20	46	37→45	53→45	46	215/277/285	71	288	4	10	25%	8%	61	-1.5	229/281/339	110	310	11	8	28%	6%	75	-0.5	215/267/317	102	288	11	9	28%	5%	62	-0.6
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	47	-2.5	186/287/267	81	289	6	15	34%	11%	63	-1.3	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps