Angel Nieblas

SS FCL Braves
Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202317ROKATL150.256/.340/.3461827—.168/.240/.226
202418ROKATL119.208/.310/.2770513—.143/.224/.190
202519ROK/INTL2 orgs97.179/.278/.214097—.117/.171/.130
2027PROJMLE21MLBATL192.202/.263/.27715530.0
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBATL24.207/.268/.2920159-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Speed72
K%41
Whiff%39
Z-Con%39
BB%24
ISO4
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj PA
wRC+†53
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .261 / .274
PA33
HR0
K%29
BB%7
ISO75
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Braves — 150133 34521 13284 82 256340346686 90317 199 315 27 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Braves — 119101 21700 12283 52 208310277588 69280 2410 271 13 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Braves — 8273 12100 8190 90 164244178422 14222 2310 205 -23 — — — — — —
202519 INTLNaranjeros de Hermosillo — 1511 3200 420 01 273467455921 182333 1327 418 169 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 150137 23311 9364 82 168240226466 58222 246 208 27 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 119105 15500 8393 52 143224190415 48210 337 188 13 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 8277 9100 5280 90 117171130301 13171 346 134 -23 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 150137 23311 9364 82 168240226466 58220 246 208 27 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Braves — 150133 34521 13284 82 256340346686 90317 199 315 27 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 119105 15500 8393 52 143224190415 48221 337 188 13 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWFCL Braves — 119101 21700 12283 52 208310277588 69280 2410 271 13 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 9791 10100 6330 91 110165121286 11172 346 134 -23 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 9784 15300 12210 91 179278214493 36238 2212 238 -23 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Braves — 150136 23311 9364 82 169240228468 59222 246 208 27 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 119107 15500 8393 52 140224187411 47210 337 188 13 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 9791 10100 6330 91 110165121286 11171 346 134 -23 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEFCL Braves — 119107 15500 8393 52 140224187411 47210 337 188 13 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 9791 10100 6330 91 110165121286 11171 346 134 -23 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEATL 0% 192175 35711 13562 51 202263277540 75285 297 247 53 -11 +1 +0 +2 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEATL 34% 7165 13201 5211 20 207268292560 85287 307 255 59 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202822 MLB CTXATL 34% 2422 4100 270 10 207268292560 85287 298 255 59 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2422 4100 270 10 182250227477 45267 298 255 20 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 1082700 541900 270 181249227476 45266 298 255 20 -32 +5 +0 +7 +14 -0.6
Career— MLE — 470429 671212 301398 255 156225203428 47224 306 197 20 -5 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650593 931713 4119211 357 157224204429 47224 306 197 20 -33 +4 +0 +7 +14 -0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Braves · 82 PAwOBA .201 → .134 (−66)K% 23.2% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.17%÷0.980×1.440——34.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.76%÷1.013×0.620—×0.9955.94%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP20.37%÷1.005×0.820×0.959×0.99515.85%
Doubles /BIP1.85%÷0.996×0.720×0.959×0.9951.28%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.959×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.856×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 101, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .201 → .134; ISO .014 → .009; BABIP .222 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Braves · 119 PAwOBA .269 → .188 (−81)K% 23.5% → 32.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.53%÷1.037×1.440——32.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.08%÷0.965×0.620—×1.0086.53%
HBP% /PA2.52%—×0.720—×1.0081.83%
Singles /BIP19.18%÷1.047×0.820×0.986×1.00814.92%
Doubles /BIP9.59%÷1.022×0.720×0.986×1.0086.71%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720×0.986×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.266×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 153, 1B 109, 2B 104, 3B 130, K 107, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .269 → .188; ISO .069 → .047; BABIP .280 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Braves · 150 PAwOBA .307 → .208 (−99)K% 18.7% → 23.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.67%÷0.961×1.220——23.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.67%÷1.048×0.700—×1.0085.83%
HBP% /PA2.67%—×0.700—×1.0081.88%
Singles /BIP24.76%÷1.004×0.680×1.049×1.00817.74%
Doubles /BIP4.76%÷0.913×0.600×1.049×1.0083.31%
Triples /BIP1.90%÷1.141×0.600×1.049×1.0081.06%
Home runs /BIP0.95%÷0.816×0.470—×1.0080.55%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 63, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.

Result: wOBA .307 → .208; ISO .090 → .055; BABIP .317 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .