Adrian HoyteOF DSL Tigers 1
Age 20 L/L 5'7" / 145 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION21 act + 46 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .283 / .244
PA46
HR0
K%28
BB%9
BABIP286
ISO49
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +1.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.50.50.4+$15M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 5145 9201 5161 13 200294311605 111286 3110 254 53 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 5142 11201 8111 13 262392381773 119333 2216 357 131 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 7866 13510 7224 50 197312303615 106289 289 265 61 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 7861 16610 12154 50 262416393809 131340 1915 369 140 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Tigers 2 — 7059 12200 8162 11 203319237556 34273 2311 273 67 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Tigers 2 — 7054 15300 13112 11 278435333768 56341 1619 361 134 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKDET — 2117 3110 470 00 176333353686 176300 3319 254 53 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
YTD20 ROKDET — 2115 3110 650 00 200429400829 200300 2429 380 149 +1 +0 +0 -0 +1 0.2
ROS20 ROKDET 0% 4641 8200 4131 10 195283244527 49288 289 270 64 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
ROS20 MLBDET 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 284 —— 256 54 — — +0 -0 — —
FULL20 ROKDET — 2118 3110 470 00 167333333667 167273 3319 254 53 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
TOT20 ROKDET — 6758 11310 8201 10 190299276574 86289 3012 265 61 -3 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBDET 34% 155139 30612 13412 21 216292317609 101290 268 280 72 -5 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
202822 MLBDET 48% 291260 571125 25774 41 219298335632 115291 269 287 78 -7 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.0
202923 MLBDET 54% 386345 771537 331005 51 223300345645 122293 269 292 82 -8 +1 +0 -2 +11 0.1
203024 MLBDET 55% 450403 911839 381166 62 226302352654 127294 268 296 85 -8 +0 +0 -3 +13 0.3
203125 MLBDET 56% 488436 9819310 421267 72 225303351654 126294 269 298 86 -8 +1 +0 -3 +14 0.4
203226 MLBDET 56% 509453 10320311 441317 72 227306358663 130294 269 299 87 -7 +1 +0 -3 +14 0.5
203327 MLBDET 55% 518461 10420311 451347 72 226304354658 128293 269 299 87 -8 +1 +0 -3 +15 0.5
203428 MLBDET 55% 520462 10420311 461357 72 225305353658 128293 269 298 86 -8 +1 -1 -3 +15 0.4
202721 MLBDET 34% 5348 10201 4141 10 208283312596 104286 268 266 62 -2 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.1
202822 MLBDET 48% 141126 27512 12372 21 214293317610 103287 269 273 67 -5 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.2
202923 MLBDET 54% 209186 41814 18543 31 220300339638 118288 269 278 71 -7 +0 +0 -1 +6 -0.2
203024 MLBDET 55% 249223 511025 21643 31 229304359662 130289 268 281 73 -8 +0 +0 -1 +7 -0.2
203125 MLBDET 56% 273244 541025 23704 41 221299340639 119289 268 283 75 -8 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.1
203226 MLBDET 56% 286256 571126 24744 41 223299352651 129289 268 284 75 -8 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.1
203327 MLBDET 55% 287256 571126 25744 41 223302352653 129289 269 284 76 -8 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.1
203428 MLBDET 55% 285254 571126 25744 41 224304354658 130288 269 283 75 -8 +0 -0 -2 +8 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 17831594 354681235 15246125 257 222300346646 124289 269 281 73 -54 +2 -0 -11 +51 -1.2
/ 162G— — 650581 12925413 551689 93 222299346645 124288 268 281 73 -20 +1 -0 -4 +18 -0.5
Career— — 35623170 7061402267 31092753 5317 223303344647 121291 269 294 83 -69 +4 -1 -21 +101 1.4
/ 162G— — 650578 12926412 5716910 103 223304344648 121292 269 294 83 -13 +1 -0 -4 +18 0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 5142 11201 8111 13 262392381773 119333 2216 357 131 +2 -1 — — +1 0.2
202418 ROKDSL Tigers 1 — 7861 16610 12154 50 262416393809 131340 1915 369 140 +4 +1 — — +2 0.7
202519 ROKDSL Tigers 2 — 7054 15300 13112 11 278435333768 56341 1619 361 134 +3 -0 — — +2 0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,8513625227301352-11+01.11.2
/162664139-4.0+0.00.4pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Adrian Hoyte (OGILVIE) 20 — — — — 190/299/276 86289 01 30% 12% 61 -0.1 ————————— —————————
✕Enmanuel Valdez
2019 · A 		20 39→44 42→55 49→45 45 192/258/305 112251 97 27% 7% 54 -1.4 191/244/308 117258 137 30% 6% 49 -1.8 220/285/39817826324826%8%87+0.7
✕Addison Barger
2021 · A 		21 41→45 39→55 49→45 44 198/267/288 90270 65 28% 7% 53 -1.5 217/280/375 158316 197 36% 7% 82 +0.5 220/290/39217226920626%8%86+0.6
✕Hoy Park
2016 · A 		20 40→49 41→45 47→55 46 196/269/296 99264 811 28% 8% 56 -1.3 205/280/294 89283 516 27% 8% 59 -1.1 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
✕Iverson Leonardo
2021 · A 		19 45 40→50 47→50 44 211/284/318 107303 59 30% 8% 68 -0.5 190/267/305 115300 118 37% 8% 59 -1.1 154/245/26411025411841%8%37-0.7
✕Ramón Flores
2012 · A 		20 45→55 39→45 50 45 218/272/307 89279 78 24% 6% 59 -1.1 229/282/328 99288 710 22% 7% 69 -0.4 251/324/348972998818%9%88+0.6
✕Carlos Rodriguez
2023 · A 		20 38 39→45 47→45 45 181/267/268 87282 76 36% 9% 49 -1.8 190/265/267 77299 56 35% 9% 47 -1.9 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0
✕Daryl Jones
2007 · A 		20 41→51 41→45 49→50 41 200/266/295 96265 810 27% 5% 55 -1.4 221/285/316 95297 814 26% 6% 68 -0.5 235/302/34210730891425%7%79+0.2
✕Juan Silva
2011 · A 		20 40→46 39→45 52→55 40 190/249/284 95293 58 35% 7% 43 -2.2 211/280/310 99307 813 31% 8% 64 -0.8 224/306/32510130582927%10%77+0.1
✕Shed Long Jr.
2016 · A 		20 42→47 42→50 43→50 42 210/262/309 99277 96 27% 6% 56 -1.3 229/287/360 131315 1311 30% 7% 80 +0.4 233/295/385151314171130%7%87+0.6
✕Jordan Schafer
2007 · A 		20 39→49 41→50 50→65 37 194/233/299 104272 812 31% 5% 40 -2.4 232/286/371 139325 1213 30% 7% 82 +0.5 238/300/385147332121430%8%87+0.5
✕Jon Waltenbury
2008 · A 		20 41 40→55 45→40 43 201/266/292 91286 85 31% 7% 54 -1.4 218/268/325 107288 93 26% 6% 63 -0.9 216/265/3211052819126%6%56-0.8
✕Herman Armas
2007 · A 		20 41 40→45 47→50 40 198/265/294 96288 711 32% 6% 54 -1.4 218/287/329 111286 119 26% 7% 72 -0.2 218/293/33511726614923%8%75-0.0
✕Thomas Milone
2015 · A 		20 41→44 36→45 51→55 38 194/246/266 72293 310 33% 6% 37 -2.6 192/245/252 60278 313 30% 6% 33 -2.9 243/298/36912534081729%6%82+0.3
●Tirso Ornelas
2019 · A 		19 43→53 40→50 50→45 45 206/273/299 93288 75 30% 8% 59 -1.1 190/254/266 76279 55 31% 8% 41 -2.3 249/309/38313430716723%7%92+1.1
✕Anthony Seigler
2019 · A 		20 45→39 38→50 48→55 50 214/284/293 79268 65 22% 8% 61 -1.0 194/272/271 77286 55 31% 9% 52 -1.6 226/317/363137277122821%11%91+0.6
✕Imanol Vargas
2019 · A 		21 42→44 40→50 45 51 200/293/295 95288 79 30% 11% 67 -0.5 207/285/347 140314 157 36% 9% 76 +0.1 205/290/36015432618239%10%79+0.2
✕Carter Jensen
2023 · A 		20 35→45 42→55 45→50 44 176/254/278 102265 97 35% 9% 46 -2.0 196/287/331 135277 149 32% 11% 73 -0.1 224/298/39617229121829%9%92+0.9
✕Enmanuel Terrero
2023 · A 		20 47 37→45 47→55 54 220/301/294 74277 412 20% 10% 69 -0.4 211/284/306 95333 915 36% 9% 65 -0.7 194/268/28793319111839%8%51-0.6
●Eliezer Álvarez
2015 · A 		20 43→53 40→45 54→55 44 206/262/313 106260 611 22% 6% 56 -1.3 245/295/352 107322 515 24% 6% 81 +0.4 254/308/36210834251926%6%87+0.4
✕Billy McKinney
2015 · A 		20 45→53 43→55 49→45 44 220/285/331 111292 106 27% 7% 72 -0.2 232/290/348 116298 94 24% 7% 78 +0.2 214/276/39117725919225%7%82+0.4