Rafael Alvarez3B DSL White Sox
Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 190 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .290 / .288
PA42
HR0
K%30
BB%8
ISO89
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -1.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.60.60.60.50.4+$24M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $4M +$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 ROKDSL White Sox — 141106 16401 193913 50 151348217565 66217 2813 268 63 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL White Sox — 14193 20502 323113 50 215471333804 118286 2223 385 152 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL White Sox — 3934 4101 1204 10 118231235466 118231 513 164 -16 — — — — — —
202419 ROKDSL White Sox — 3933 6102 2134 10 182308394702 212222 335 320 103 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBCWS — 4238 6100 3131 10 158238184422 26288 317 270 65 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBCWS 34% 113100 22412 9333 20 220304340644 120290 298 279 72 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 0.0
202823 MLBCWS 50% 247218 46914 21706 31 211298317614 106291 289 285 77 -7 +0 +0 +1 +7 0.2
202924 MLBCWS 57% 347306 661226 29979 51 216302327629 111292 288 290 80 -8 +1 +0 +1 +10 0.4
203025 MLBCWS 60% 407359 791528 3511310 61 220307340647 120292 289 292 82 -8 +1 +0 +1 +12 0.6
203126 MLBCWS 62% 444392 851629 3812311 62 217304337641 120292 289 293 83 -9 +0 +0 +2 +13 0.6
203227 MLBCWS 63% 463409 891729 4012911 62 218304335639 117292 289 293 83 -9 +0 +0 +2 +13 0.6
203328 MLBCWS 65% 470414 891729 4113212 62 215304331635 116291 289 292 82 -10 +0 -1 +2 +13 0.5
203429 MLBCWS 65% 468412 881629 4113212 61 214303328631 114290 289 290 80 -10 +1 -1 +2 +13 0.4
202722 MLBCWS 34% 3834 7101 3111 10 206289324613 118291 298 260 57 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202823 MLBCWS 50% 123109 23412 10353 20 211295321616 110292 288 268 63 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
202924 MLBCWS 57% 197173 38714 17555 31 220308341649 121293 289 273 67 -7 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.1
203025 MLBCWS 60% 246217 47915 21686 31 217303336640 120293 289 275 69 -9 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
203126 MLBCWS 62% 277244 541026 24777 41 221309352662 131293 289 276 70 -9 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.0
203227 MLBCWS 63% 294260 581126 25827 41 223308350658 127293 289 276 70 -10 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.0
203328 MLBCWS 65% 306268 591126 27868 41 220310343654 123292 289 275 69 -11 +0 -0 +1 +9 -0.1
203429 MLBCWS 65% 304267 591126 27867 41 221309345654 124291 289 273 67 -11 +0 -1 +1 +9 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 17851572 345641136 15450044 256 219307343650 123296 289 274 68 -64 +3 -1 +6 +51 -0.6
/ 162G— — 650572 12523413 5618216 92 219305341646 122295 289 274 68 -23 +1 -0 +2 +18 -0.2
Career— — 31812788 5901121458 27790192 4710 212304324628 113288 289 288 79 -77 +5 -2 +11 +90 2.9
/ 162G— — 650570 12123312 5718419 102 212305326631 114289 289 288 79 -16 +1 -0 +2 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202318 ROKDSL White Sox — 14193 20502 323113 50 215471333804 118286 2223 385 152 +8 +1 — — +4 1.4
202419 ROKDSL White Sox — 3933 6102 2134 10 182308394702 212222 335 320 103 +0 +0 — — +1 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA
81,703206239301327+17+62.62.6
/16266482+6.7+2.41.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
61,8273525218302336+7+32.12.1
/162664139+2.4+1.10.8pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1