Rafael Alvarez3B
DSL White Sox
Age 21
R/R
6'2" / 190 lbs
ROK
HR +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .290 / .290
PA4
HR0
K%30
BB%8
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL White Sox | — | 141 | 93 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 215 | 471 | 333 | 804 | 118 | 286 | 22 | 23 | 385 | 146 | +8 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL White Sox | — | 39 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 308 | 394 | 702 | 212 | 222 | 33 | 5 | 320 | 103 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 141 | 106 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 42 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 151 | 348 | 217 | 565 | 66 | 206 | 30 | 13 | 272 | 70 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 39 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 118 | 231 | 235 | 466 | 118 | 167 | 49 | 3 | 179 | 7 | -4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 141 | 106 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 42 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 151 | 348 | 217 | 565 | 66 | 227 | 30 | 13 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL White Sox | — | 141 | 93 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 215 | 471 | 333 | 804 | 118 | 286 | 22 | 23 | 385 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 39 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 118 | 231 | 235 | 466 | 118 | 214 | 49 | 3 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL White Sox | — | 39 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 308 | 394 | 702 | 212 | 222 | 33 | 5 | 320 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 141 | 108 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 42 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 148 | 348 | 213 | 561 | 65 | 206 | 30 | 13 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 39 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 118 | 231 | 235 | 466 | 118 | 167 | 49 | 3 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 141 | 108 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 42 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 148 | 348 | 213 | 561 | 65 | 206 | 30 | 13 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL White Sox | — | 39 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 118 | 231 | 235 | 466 | 118 | 167 | 49 | 3 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | CWS | 0% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 288 | 25 | 0 | 271 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 | |
| ▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | CWS | 34% | 113 | 99 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 312 | 343 | 656 | 121 | 290 | 29 | 9 | 280 | 75 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | CWS | 50% | 247 | 218 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 71 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 211 | 298 | 317 | 614 | 106 | 291 | 29 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | CWS | 57% | 347 | 305 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 98 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 305 | 338 | 643 | 121 | 292 | 28 | 9 | 290 | 83 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | CWS | 60% | 407 | 359 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 114 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 214 | 302 | 331 | 633 | 117 | 292 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 84 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | CWS | 62% | 444 | 392 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 124 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 217 | 304 | 337 | 641 | 120 | 292 | 28 | 9 | 294 | 85 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | CWS | 63% | 463 | 409 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 130 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 215 | 302 | 337 | 640 | 122 | 292 | 28 | 9 | 294 | 85 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | CWS | 65% | 470 | 414 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 133 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 215 | 304 | 336 | 640 | 121 | 291 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 84 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | CWS | 65% | 468 | 412 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 133 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 214 | 303 | 328 | 631 | 114 | 290 | 28 | 9 | 291 | 83 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.2 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | CWS | 34% | 38 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 289 | 324 | 613 | 118 | 290 | 29 | 8 | 261 | 75 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | CWS | 50% | 123 | 109 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 295 | 321 | 616 | 110 | 292 | 28 | 8 | 268 | 80 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | CWS | 57% | 197 | 173 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 56 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 308 | 341 | 649 | 121 | 293 | 28 | 9 | 273 | 83 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | CWS | 60% | 246 | 217 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 69 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 303 | 336 | 640 | 120 | 293 | 28 | 9 | 276 | 84 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | CWS | 62% | 277 | 244 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 78 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 221 | 309 | 352 | 662 | 131 | 293 | 28 | 9 | 277 | 85 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | CWS | 63% | 294 | 259 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 83 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 305 | 340 | 645 | 124 | 292 | 28 | 9 | 277 | 85 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | CWS | 65% | 306 | 268 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 86 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 220 | 310 | 343 | 654 | 123 | 292 | 28 | 9 | 276 | 84 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | CWS | 65% | 304 | 267 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 86 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 217 | 306 | 341 | 646 | 124 | 291 | 28 | 9 | 274 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1785 | 1571 | 342 | 63 | 11 | 36 | 155 | 504 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 218 | 306 | 341 | 646 | 123 | 294 | 28 | 9 | 275 | 82 | -35 | +3 | -1 | +6 | +39 | 1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 572 | 124 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 56 | 184 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 217 | 304 | 339 | 643 | 122 | 294 | 28 | 9 | 275 | 82 | -13 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3143 | 2752 | 582 | 108 | 14 | 61 | 276 | 898 | 91 | 46 | 10 | 211 | 304 | 327 | 632 | 116 | 288 | 29 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -59 | +4 | -2 | +11 | +64 | 1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 569 | 121 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 57 | 186 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 213 | 305 | 330 | 636 | 118 | 289 | 29 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -13 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +14 | 0.4 | |