Renair ManriqueSS DSL Phillies Red
Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 172 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .274 / .287
PA61
HR1
K%29
BB%7
ISO85
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.81.60.20.50.70.91.01.11.00.80.60.3+$49M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.1$5M+$5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.0$4M+$4M
2035Arb-1$2M+0.8$2M+$1.0M
2036Arb-2$2M+0.6$1M+$0.4M
2037Arb-3$1M+0.3$0.5M+$0.1M
Totals $8M $18M +$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Phillies Red 151129 22601 14488 32 171291240532 70263 329 239 41
202317 ROKDSL Phillies Red 151118 29901 25368 32 246411347758 102346 2417 359 133
202418 ROKDSL Phillies Red 10795 13500 5376 10 137226189416 53220 355 190 4
202418 ROKDSL Phillies Red 10791 17800 8256 10 187292275567 88254 237 266 61
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLBPHI 6156 11201 4181 10 196262286548 89287 307 259 56 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBPHI 34% 118106 24512 9332 10 226299349648 123289 288 271 66 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202822 MLBPHI 48% 263236 511114 20735 31 216291322613 106290 288 280 72 -8 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.2
202923 MLBPHI 54% 367330 731527 281006 41 221294342636 121291 278 285 77 -10 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.5
203024 MLBPHI 55% 439395 881829 331198 52 223296347643 124292 278 289 80 -10 +0 +0 +5 +12 0.7
203125 MLBPHI 56% 481433 9619310 371308 62 222295349644 127293 278 292 81 -10 +0 +0 +5 +14 0.9
203226 MLBPHI 56% 506453 10220311 391379 62 225299355655 130293 278 293 82 -10 +0 +0 +5 +14 1.0
203327 MLBPHI 55% 517463 10421311 401409 62 225299354653 130292 278 293 83 -10 +0 +0 +6 +15 1.1
203428 MLBPHI 55% 520465 10421311 411429 62 224299353652 129292 278 292 82 -11 +0 -1 +6 +15 1.0
203529 MLBPHI 53% 515460 10220311 411419 52 222298350648 128292 278 290 80 -11 +0 -1 +6 +15 0.8
203630 MLBPHI 53% 507453 9920210 401409 51 219295338633 119291 288 288 79 -12 +1 -2 +5 +14 0.6
203731 MLBPHI 52% 495444 9619210 391399 41 216293336628 119288 288 284 76 -14 +0 -3 +5 +14 0.3
203832 MLBPHI 56% 478429 911829 381368 31 212288326615 114285 288 279 72 -15 +0 -4 +5 +14 0.0
202721 MLBPHI 34% 4137 8201 3121 00 216293351644 135291 297 259 57 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202822 MLBPHI 48% 127115 25512 9352 10 217286330616 113292 287 268 64 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.0
202923 MLBPHI 54% 199178 40814 15544 21 225299348648 124294 278 274 68 -7 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
203024 MLBPHI 55% 243218 491015 19664 31 225299349647 124295 278 279 71 -8 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.2
203125 MLBPHI 56% 269241 541116 21735 31 224300353652 129295 278 281 73 -8 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203226 MLBPHI 56% 285256 581226 22775 31 227300359660 133295 278 282 74 -8 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203327 MLBPHI 55% 286257 581226 22785 31 226299358657 132295 278 282 74 -8 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203428 MLBPHI 55% 285256 571216 22785 31 223297348644 125294 278 281 73 -9 +0 -0 +3 +8 0.2
203529 MLBPHI 53% 275246 551116 22765 31 224300350650 126294 288 280 72 -9 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.2
203630 MLBPHI 53% 267239 521115 21745 31 218294335629 117293 288 277 70 -9 +0 -1 +3 +8 0.1
203731 MLBPHI 52% 258232 501015 20724 21 216289332621 116291 288 273 67 -10 +0 -1 +3 +7 -0.1
203832 MLBPHI 56% 269241 511015 21765 21 212288324612 112287 288 268 63 -11 +0 -2 +3 +8 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 28042516 5571141357 21777150 2810 221296345641 124294 278 277 70 -94 +2 -6 +30 +79 1.2
/ 162G 650583 12826313 5017912 62 220295341636 122292 288 277 70 -22 +0 -1 +7 +18 0.3
Career 55254947 107622027107 4281533106 5919 218294338632 120291 288 284 76 -151 +4 -10 +59 +157 6.0
/ 162G 650582 12726313 5018012 72 218293340633 122291 288 284 76 -18 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Phillies Red 151118 29901 25368 32 246411347758 102346 2417 359 133 +6 -0 +4 1.0
202418 ROKDSL Phillies Red 10791 17800 8256 10 187292275567 88254 237 266 61 -5 +0 +3 -0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA
103,7648034237301368+13+198.28.4
/162664146+2.4+3.41.4pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
72,8655730221292343+31+213.93.7
/162664137+7.1+4.90.9pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Renair Manrique (OGILVIE) 20 202/274/287 85287 11 29% 7% 56 -0.1
Angel Martínez
2022 · A
20 41→47 41→50 49→50 44 202/257/305 102265 810 26% 7% 53 -1.5 223/285/351 128285 1210 25% 7% 77 +0.1 226/291/358132282131024%7%79+0.2
Alejandro Flores
2016 · A
20 37 39→50 45→40 43 182/248/265 83263 75 32% 8% 39 -2.5 203/261/310 107295 96 32% 7% 56 -1.3 202/257/34214027113430%6%59-0.5
Rosell Herrera
2013 · A
20 40→50 37→45 48→55 40 193/243/266 73268 59 29% 6% 37 -2.7 229/276/310 81309 710 26% 6% 62 -0.9 247/301/3379031542422%7%76+0.1
Riley Unroe
2016 · A
20 42→48 36→50 44→55 43 202/257/261 60279 48 28% 7% 41 -2.3 188/253/253 65276 412 31% 8% 38 -2.6 227/311/367139295152627%10%89+0.5
Jean Batista
2012 · A
20 43 40→55 50→45 36 208/238/300 92279 78 28% 4% 42 -2.3 219/243/339 120283 107 26% 3% 55 -1.4 223/237/36914627612624%1%58-0.3
Junior Valera
2013 · A
20 42 36→40 51→60 45 196/266/265 69275 210 28% 8% 46 -2.0 226/289/310 84293 318 22% 8% 67 -0.5 245/308/3389430732820%8%77+0.1
Jose Marquez
2018 · A
20 41 37→50 44→50 40 195/244/271 76263 44 27% 5% 38 -2.6 217/261/322 105295 87 28% 5% 59 -1.1 199/246/317119277121032%5%48-0.6
Carlos Rodriguez
2023 · A
20 38 39→45 47→45 45 181/267/268 87282 76 36% 9% 49 -1.8 190/265/267 77299 56 35% 9% 47 -1.9 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0
Eddys Leonard
2021 · A
20 42→47 40→55 45→50 44 202/274/296 94295 78 32% 8% 59 -1.1 228/295/379 151303 175 29% 7% 89 +1.0 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A
20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
Blake Perkins
2017 · A
20 40→50 36→50 42→55 42 193/245/258 65267 47 28% 6% 35 -2.8 208/270/296 88292 816 29% 7% 56 -1.3 230/313/367137305142527%10%91+0.7
Braulio Vasquez
2019 · A
20 43 38→45 47→65 40 207/259/281 74295 511 30% 6% 47 -1.9 190/259/265 75304 615 36% 7% 44 -2.1 192/271/2707829353233%7%47-0.7
Alan Schoenberger
2009 · A
20 39 36→45 46→45 43 184/249/253 69277 26 32% 8% 37 -2.7 196/250/284 88297 67 34% 6% 44 -2.1 188/236/280922757533%5%34-1.4
Jon Del Campo
2007 · A
19 43 38→45 45→55 46 205/268/282 77271 65 26% 8% 52 -1.6 205/257/287 82297 45 30% 6% 47 -1.9 259/294/370111330121824%4%85+0.4
Allan Castro
2023 · A
20 38→43 40→45 54→55 39 184/247/283 100276 69 34% 6% 43 -2.2 200/271/309 109281 913 30% 8% 60 -1.0 198/272/30510827391429%9%57-1.0
Miguel Gómez
2013 · A
20 42→52 38→50 49→40 41 199/257/279 80273 46 28% 6% 46 -2.0 221/266/318 97290 75 25% 5% 59 -1.1 276/293/42314730916116%2%95+1.0
Jason Lopez
2018 · A
20 40 38→55 47→45 44 192/261/269 76264 59 28% 7% 46 -2.0 207/248/334 127286 136 31% 5% 57 -1.2 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
John Tolisano
2009 · A
20 38→47 42→50 50 44 189/251/293 104258 96 30% 8% 47 -1.9 196/258/316 120267 126 30% 8% 56 -1.3 204/271/341137267141228%8%65-0.4
Josh Johnson
2006 · A
20 43→49 39→45 48→50 50 203/280/297 94266 59 24% 9% 61 -1.0 218/304/287 69285 310 22% 11% 69 -0.4 249/317/35911029691618%9%89+0.6
Jose Ramos
2021 · A
20 43→42 38→50 48→45 41 206/270/283 78285 59 28% 6% 53 -1.5 214/277/356 142321 164 36% 7% 76 +0.0 203/271/34914630418437%7%69-0.3