Renair Manrique — OGILVIE

Renair ManriqueSS DSL Phillies Red

Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 172 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 61 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .274 / .288

PA5

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO86

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	151	118	29	9	0	1	25	36	8	3	2	246	411	347	758	102	346	24	17	359	129	+5	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2024	18	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	107	91	17	8	0	0	8	25	6	1	0	187	292	275	567	88	254	23	7	266	66	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	151	128	22	6	0	1	15	50	8	3	2	172	298	242	540	70	262	33	10	242	50	-9	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	107	95	12	5	0	0	5	36	6	1	0	126	217	179	396	53	203	34	5	185	11	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	151	128	22	6	0	1	15	50	8	3	2	172	298	242	540	70	273	33	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	151	118	29	9	0	1	25	36	8	3	2	246	411	347	758	102	346	24	17	359	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	107	95	12	5	0	0	5	36	6	1	0	126	217	179	396	53	200	34	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	107	91	17	8	0	0	8	25	6	1	0	187	292	275	567	88	254	23	7	266	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	151	127	22	6	0	1	15	50	8	3	2	173	298	244	542	71	262	33	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	107	95	12	5	0	0	5	36	6	1	0	126	217	179	396	53	203	34	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	151	127	22	6	0	1	15	50	8	3	2	173	298	244	542	71	262	33	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	107	95	12	5	0	0	5	36	6	1	0	126	217	179	396	53	203	34	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		287	20	0	260	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	118	106	24	5	1	2	9	33	2	1	0	226	299	349	648	123	289	28	8	272	70	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	22	MLB MLE	PHI	50%	263	236	51	11	1	4	20	72	5	3	1	216	291	322	613	106	290	27	8	280	76	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	PHI	58%	367	330	73	15	2	7	28	99	6	4	1	221	294	342	636	121	291	27	8	286	80	-9	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2030	24	MLB MLE	PHI	61%	439	394	88	18	2	9	34	118	8	5	2	223	298	348	646	124	292	27	8	290	82	-9	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	PHI	63%	481	433	97	20	3	10	37	129	8	6	2	224	297	353	650	129	292	27	8	292	84	-9	+0	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	PHI	64%	506	453	103	21	3	11	39	136	9	6	2	227	301	360	661	132	292	27	8	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.8
2033	27	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	517	463	104	21	3	11	40	139	9	6	2	225	299	354	653	130	292	27	8	294	85	-9	+0	+0	+6	+11	0.8
2034	28	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	520	465	104	21	3	11	41	141	9	6	2	224	299	353	652	129	292	27	8	293	84	-10	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.7
2035	29	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	515	460	103	21	3	11	41	140	9	5	2	224	300	354	654	130	291	27	8	291	83	-10	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	507	453	99	20	2	10	40	140	9	5	1	219	295	338	633	119	290	28	8	289	81	-11	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.4
2037	31	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	495	444	96	19	2	10	39	138	9	4	1	216	293	336	628	119	288	28	8	285	79	-12	+0	-3	+5	+11	0.1
2038	32	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	478	429	91	18	2	9	38	135	8	3	1	212	288	326	615	114	285	28	8	279	75	-14	+0	-4	+5	+10	-0.2
2027	21	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	40	36	8	2	0	1	3	11	1	0	0	222	300	361	661	139	291	28	8	262	70	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	PHI	50%	131	118	25	5	1	2	10	36	2	2	0	212	285	322	607	110	292	27	8	271	76	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	PHI	58%	212	190	42	9	1	4	16	57	4	3	1	221	295	342	637	121	294	27	8	277	80	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	PHI	61%	268	240	54	11	1	6	21	72	5	3	1	225	301	354	655	129	295	27	8	281	82	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	PHI	63%	302	271	62	12	2	7	23	81	5	4	1	229	301	365	666	137	295	27	8	284	84	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	PHI	64%	323	289	65	13	2	7	25	87	6	4	1	225	300	356	656	131	295	27	8	285	85	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2033	27	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	336	301	69	14	2	8	26	90	6	4	1	229	303	369	672	140	295	27	8	285	85	-6	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2034	28	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	338	302	69	14	2	8	27	91	6	4	1	228	304	368	672	139	294	27	8	284	84	-6	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	335	299	69	14	2	8	27	91	6	3	1	231	307	371	678	140	294	27	8	283	83	-7	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2036	30	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	330	295	66	13	2	7	26	91	6	3	1	224	300	353	652	129	293	28	8	280	81	-7	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.2
2037	31	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	322	287	64	13	2	7	26	90	6	3	1	223	301	355	656	132	291	28	8	276	79	-8	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.1
2038	32	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	311	278	59	12	1	6	25	88	5	2	1	212	289	327	616	115	288	28	8	271	75	-9	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3248	2906	652	132	18	71	255	885	58	35	10	224	300	355	655	131	295	27	8	280	79	-71	+3	-7	+35	+70	3.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	130	26	4	14	51	177	12	7	2	223	300	354	654	131	294	27	8	280	79	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5469	4894	1068	221	27	106	426	1507	105	58	19	218	295	339	634	121	291	28	8	285	79	-115	+4	-10	+56	+113	4.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	127	26	3	13	51	179	12	7	2	218	295	340	635	122	290	28	8	285	79	-14	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.0	3,307	66	35	221	293	345	+35	+24	5.5	5.0
	/162	664	13	7	221	293	345	+7.1	+4.8	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps