Elias Medina — OGILVIE

Elias MedinaSS ACL Dodgers

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 171 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .286 / .308

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP333

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.1	$5M	+$5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$1.0M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$18M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	176	157	32	6	2	3	9	56	4	16	5	204	265	325	590	121	279	32	5	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	176	150	47	9	3	7	16	37	4	16	5	313	394	553	947	240	357	21	9	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	69	61	14	2	0	0	7	22	1	11	3	230	319	262	581	33	359	32	10	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	69	56	18	3	0	0	12	15	1	11	3	321	449	375	824	54	439	22	17	385	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	54	48	10	3	1	0	4	18	1	6	1	208	283	312	596	104	323	33	7	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	54	46	16	6	2	0	6	12	1	6	1	348	434	565	999	217	457	22	11	428	185	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	ROK	LAD	—	44	42	8	2	0	2	1	24	1	0	2	190	227	381	608	190	375	55	2	230	34	-3	-1	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
YTD	20	ROK	LAD	—	44	42	13	4	0	3	1	17	1	0	2	310	341	619	960	310	455	39	2	415	175	+4	-1	+0	+0	+1	0.5
ROS	20	ROK	LAD	0%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	293	29	7	263	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
ROS	20	MLB	LAD	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	251	50	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	ROK	LAD	—	44	43	8	2	0	2	1	24	1	0	2	186	227	372	599	186	353	55	2	230	34	-3	-1	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
TOT	20	ROK	LAD	—	58	55	11	3	0	2	2	28	1	0	2	200	241	364	605	164	360	48	3	238	40	-4	-1	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	LAD	34%	146	134	29	6	1	3	9	44	2	3	1	216	276	343	619	127	293	30	6	272	67	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2028	22	MLB	LAD	48%	284	260	57	11	2	6	19	83	3	6	2	219	280	346	626	127	294	29	7	281	73	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2029	23	MLB	LAD	54%	381	347	78	15	3	9	26	110	5	8	2	225	288	363	651	138	295	29	7	286	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.6
2030	24	MLB	LAD	55%	446	407	91	17	3	11	31	128	5	9	3	224	287	361	648	138	296	29	7	290	80	-10	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.8
2031	25	MLB	LAD	56%	485	442	99	19	3	12	34	139	6	10	3	224	288	362	650	138	296	29	7	292	81	-10	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.0
2032	26	MLB	LAD	56%	507	461	105	20	4	13	35	145	6	10	3	228	291	373	664	145	296	29	7	293	82	-10	+1	+0	+5	+14	1.1
2033	27	MLB	LAD	55%	516	469	106	20	4	13	36	148	6	10	3	226	290	369	658	143	296	29	7	293	82	-10	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.1
2034	28	MLB	LAD	55%	518	470	105	20	3	13	37	149	6	10	3	223	288	362	650	138	295	29	7	292	82	-11	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.0
2035	29	MLB	LAD	53%	512	464	104	20	3	13	37	149	6	9	3	224	290	364	654	140	295	29	7	290	80	-11	+1	-1	+5	+15	0.8
2036	30	MLB	LAD	53%	504	457	100	19	3	12	36	147	6	8	2	219	285	352	637	133	294	29	7	288	78	-12	+1	-2	+5	+14	0.6
2037	31	MLB	LAD	52%	492	448	97	18	3	12	35	145	6	7	2	217	282	350	633	134	292	29	7	284	75	-14	+1	-3	+5	+14	0.3
2027	21	MLB	LAD	34%	50	46	10	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	217	280	326	606	109	289	30	6	260	57	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	LAD	48%	138	126	27	5	1	3	9	41	2	3	1	214	277	341	619	127	290	30	7	268	63	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	23	MLB	LAD	54%	207	189	41	8	1	5	14	60	2	4	1	217	278	349	627	132	291	29	7	274	68	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2030	24	MLB	LAD	55%	247	225	50	9	2	6	17	71	3	5	1	222	286	360	646	138	292	29	7	277	70	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2031	25	MLB	LAD	56%	272	248	55	10	2	7	19	78	3	5	2	222	285	363	648	141	292	29	7	279	72	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2032	26	MLB	LAD	56%	285	260	58	11	2	7	20	82	3	6	2	223	286	362	648	138	292	29	7	280	72	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2033	27	MLB	LAD	55%	285	260	58	11	2	7	20	82	3	6	2	223	286	362	648	138	292	29	7	280	72	-9	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2034	28	MLB	LAD	55%	284	259	57	11	2	7	20	82	3	5	2	220	284	359	643	139	291	29	7	279	72	-9	+0	-0	+3	+8	0.2
2035	29	MLB	LAD	53%	274	249	55	10	2	7	20	79	3	5	1	221	287	361	648	141	291	29	7	278	71	-9	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.1
2036	30	MLB	LAD	53%	265	241	53	10	2	6	19	78	3	4	1	220	285	353	638	133	290	29	7	275	69	-9	+0	-1	+3	+8	0.0
2037	31	MLB	LAD	52%	256	233	50	9	2	6	18	76	3	4	1	215	280	348	627	133	288	30	7	272	66	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2563	2337	514	96	18	62	179	744	29	48	14	220	284	356	640	136	293	29	7	276	70	-88	+4	-4	+27	+73	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	131	24	5	16	45	189	7	12	4	221	284	359	643	138	294	29	7	276	70	-22	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	5104	4638	1030	197	35	120	356	1487	63	123	36	222	287	357	644	135	297	29	7	287	78	-126	+10	-7	+55	+145	7.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	130	25	4	15	45	189	8	16	5	220	284	352	636	132	294	29	7	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	176	150	47	9	3	7	16	37	4	16	5	313	394	553	947	240	357	21	9	400	164	+13	+1	—	—	+5	1.9
2024	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	69	56	18	3	0	0	12	15	1	11	3	321	449	375	824	54	439	22	17	385	152	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	54	46	16	6	2	0	6	12	1	6	1	348	434	565	999	217	457	22	11	428	185	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,621	63	49	223	284	361	+28	+21	4.3	3.9
	/162	664	16	12	223	284	361	+7.1	+5.3	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elias Medina (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	200/241/364	164	360	2	0	48%	3%	40	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Hermosillo 2015 · A	20	42→46	39→55	51→55	43	200/270/292	92	292	6	11	32%	8%	56	-1.3	215/291/294	79	285	6	17	24%	8%	66	-0.6	226/298/350	124	305	12	20	28%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	39→35	40	52→50	40	193/252/284	91	274	7	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	201/271/278	77	305	4	8	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/271/264	74	296	3	7	33%	9%	45	-1.3
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Eguy Rosario 2019 · A	19	40→50	41→50	47→55	38	197/248/296	99	280	8	13	32%	5%	46	-2.0	223/270/347	124	311	11	16	30%	5%	69	-0.4	219/282/363	144	293	15	21	29%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	41	206/254/285	79	277	5	12	27%	6%	46	-2.0	219/275/319	100	284	8	8	25%	7%	64	-0.8	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2010 · A	19	38	38→45	51→50	38	189/234/265	77	255	6	13	28%	4%	33	-2.9	216/275/340	124	268	12	12	23%	6%	70	-0.3	221/275/340	119	279	13	9	25%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Ethan Workinger 2022 · A	20	37→44	40→50	50→45	37	182/242/275	93	284	6	6	36%	6%	39	-2.5	204/253/323	119	282	11	5	30%	6%	56	-1.3	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A	19	35	41→45	47→60	41	179/238/272	93	242	10	13	30%	6%	37	-2.7	221/272/301	80	287	7	19	24%	6%	58	-1.2	235/283/299	64	302	5	24	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→55	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	271	4	13	33%	7%	33	-2.9	213/262/339	126	310	10	6	32%	6%	63	-0.8	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕David Kandilas 2011 · A	20	41→44	38→45	51→55	39	200/238/278	78	271	5	10	28%	5%	37	-2.7	216/269/318	102	285	7	15	25%	6%	61	-1.0	214/273/312	98	281	7	19	25%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Narciso Crook 2015 · A	20	41→44	42→55	55→50	35	200/245/302	103	313	9	14	38%	5%	46	-2.0	186/224/283	97	289	9	10	37%	4%	33	-2.9	198/275/352	154	301	19	15	38%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Brandon Dailey 2013 · A	21	42	40→45	55	37	202/247/299	97	291	7	12	32%	5%	46	-2.0	194/247/296	102	282	9	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	138/192/212	74	190	5	0	29%	5%	1	-1.2
✕Stone Garrett 2016 · A	20	41→37	35→55	49→50	38	198/237/257	59	280	3	7	29%	5%	30	-3.1	166/207/247	81	303	6	8	45%	4%	16	-4.1	219/280/389	170	298	21	11	33%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7