Elias Medina

SS ACL Dodgers
Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 171 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKDSL LAD Mega69.321/.449/.37501159—.200/.304/.233
202519ROKLAD54.348/.434/.5650680—.229/.302/.354
202620ROKLAD44.310/.341/.6193040—.190/.227/.381
2027PROJMLE21MLBLAD154.200/.265/.29124570.0
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBLAD28.200/.266/.2960162-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO97
wRC+75
wOBA64
Z-Con%25
Chase%20
Speed14
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 32 proj PA
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .263 / .288
PA32
HR0
K%31
BB%7
ISO90
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 176150 47937 16374 165 313394553947 240357 219 400 50 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 6956 18300 12151 113 321449375824 54439 2217 385 59 — — — — — —
202519 ROKACL Dodgers — 5446 16620 6121 61 348434565999 217457 2211 428 80 — — — — — —
202620 ROKACL Dodgers — 4442 13403 1171 02 310341619960 310455 392 415 40 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 176155 29523 11464 165 187259303562 116220 266 242 50 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 6960 12200 8181 113 200304233538 33296 2612 256 59 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 5448 11410 4171 61 229302354656 125337 317 286 80 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 4442 8202 1241 02 190227381608 190339 552 227 40 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 176155 29523 11464 165 187259303562 116232 266 242 50 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 176150 47937 16374 165 313394553947 240357 219 400 50 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 6960 12200 8181 113 200304233538 33286 2612 256 59 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL LAD Mega — 6956 18300 12151 113 321449375824 54439 2217 385 59 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 5448 11410 4171 61 229302354656 125344 317 286 80 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWACL Dodgers — 5446 16620 6121 61 348434565999 217457 2211 428 80 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 4442 8202 1241 02 190227381608 190375 552 227 40 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWACL Dodgers — 4442 13403 1171 02 310341619960 310455 392 415 40 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 176159 29523 11464 165 182259296554 113220 266 242 50 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 6960 12200 8181 113 200304233538 33296 2612 256 59 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 5449 11410 4171 61 224302347649 122337 317 286 80 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 4442 8202 1241 02 190227381608 190339 552 227 40 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL LAD Mega — 6960 12200 8181 113 200304233538 33296 2612 256 59 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 5449 11410 4171 61 224302347649 122337 317 286 80 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 4442 8202 1241 02 190227381608 190339 552 227 40 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLELAD 0% 154140 29612 11482 41 200265291556 90289 317 253 57 -8 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLELAD 34% 8477 16311 6261 20 205270303573 99290 317 260 62 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202822 MLB CTXLAD 34% 2826 5100 290 10 200266296562 95283 327 255 62 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2826 5100 290 10 192250231481 38294 327 255 57 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650604 1162300 462090 230 192249230479 38294 327 255 57 -29 +5 +0 +7 +14 -0.4
Career— MLE — 459412 811746 321418 3611 197268301569 104276 317 252 57 -5 +1 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 1142468 4520011 5116 196266298564 103275 317 252 57 -30 +3 +0 +7 +14 -0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Dodgers · 44 PAwOBA .402 → .227 (−175)K% 38.6% → 55.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.64%÷1.000×1.440——55.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.27%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9851.39%
HBP% /PA2.27%—×0.720—×0.9851.61%
Singles /BIP24.00%÷1.000×0.820—×0.98519.38%
Doubles /BIP16.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.98511.35%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP12.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9859.22%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .402 → .227; ISO .310 → .169; BABIP .455 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 54 PAwOBA .425 → .286 (−139)K% 22.2% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.993×1.440——32.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.11%÷0.997×0.620—×0.9956.87%
HBP% /PA1.85%—×0.720—×0.9951.33%
Singles /BIP23.53%÷0.996×0.820—×0.99519.28%
Doubles /BIP17.65%÷1.102×0.720—×0.99511.47%
Triples /BIP5.88%÷1.060×0.720—×0.9953.98%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.187×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .425 → .286; ISO .217 → .136; BABIP .457 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 69 PAwOBA .376 → .256 (−119)K% 21.7% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.74%÷0.994×1.220——26.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.39%÷1.030×0.700—×0.99511.76%
HBP% /PA1.45%—×0.700—×0.9951.01%
Singles /BIP36.59%÷0.988×0.680—×0.99525.05%
Doubles /BIP7.32%÷0.953×0.600—×0.9954.59%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.079×0.600—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.095×0.470—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 116, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .376 → .256; ISO .054 → .034; BABIP .439 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 176 PAwOBA .403 → .242 (−161)K% 21.0% → 26.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.02%÷0.978×1.220——26.24%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.050×0.700—×1.0086.11%
HBP% /PA2.27%—×0.700—×1.0081.60%
Singles /BIP24.78%÷0.998×0.680×0.960×1.00816.33%
Doubles /BIP7.96%÷0.985×0.600×0.960×1.0084.69%
Triples /BIP2.65%÷0.937×0.600×0.960×1.0081.64%
Home runs /BIP6.19%÷1.325×0.470—×1.0082.21%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 165, 1B 100, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .403 → .242; ISO .240 → .113; BABIP .357 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).