Gabriel Terrero — OGILVIE

Gabriel Terrero2B FCL Yankees

Age 20 S/R 5'6" / 169 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 95 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .273 / .294

PA95

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 41 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT41

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED63

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.4M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	162	144	30	6	1	3	15	51	3	14	6	208	296	326	623	118	300	31	9	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	162	137	41	9	1	7	22	35	3	14	6	299	407	533	940	234	358	22	14	414	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	158	135	26	3	1	1	18	41	2	14	0	193	297	252	549	59	260	26	11	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	158	125	32	5	1	2	28	27	2	14	0	256	400	360	760	104	303	17	18	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	111	104	18	3	1	1	5	37	1	9	1	173	218	250	468	77	254	33	5	193	6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	111	101	28	5	1	3	8	26	1	9	1	277	336	436	772	158	342	23	7	340	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	NYY	—	95	87	18	3	1	1	7	26	1	2	0	207	274	299	573	92	278	27	7	261	58	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	NYY	34%	181	163	34	6	1	3	14	49	2	4	1	209	279	313	592	104	280	27	8	272	67	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	NYY	48%	312	281	61	11	2	6	25	82	3	8	2	217	288	335	623	117	282	26	8	280	72	-10	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2029	23	MLB	NYY	54%	401	361	79	14	2	8	33	104	4	10	2	219	291	335	627	116	284	26	8	284	76	-11	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.3
2030	24	MLB	NYY	55%	461	415	92	17	3	9	38	119	5	12	2	222	295	342	637	120	285	26	8	287	78	-12	+2	+0	+2	+13	0.5
2031	25	MLB	NYY	56%	496	447	99	18	3	10	41	128	5	13	3	221	294	342	636	121	285	26	8	288	79	-12	+1	+0	+2	+14	0.5
2032	26	MLB	NYY	56%	515	461	103	19	3	11	43	132	6	14	3	223	298	349	647	126	285	26	8	288	79	-12	+2	+0	+2	+15	0.6
2033	27	MLB	NYY	55%	523	468	104	19	3	11	44	135	6	14	3	222	297	346	643	124	284	26	8	288	79	-13	+2	+0	+2	+15	0.6
2034	28	MLB	NYY	55%	524	469	104	19	3	11	44	136	6	13	3	222	297	345	642	124	284	26	8	287	78	-13	+1	-1	+2	+15	0.4
2035	29	MLB	NYY	53%	517	462	101	18	3	10	44	135	6	13	3	219	295	335	630	117	283	26	9	285	76	-14	+1	-1	+2	+15	0.3
2027	21	MLB	NYY	34%	62	56	11	2	0	1	5	17	1	2	0	196	274	286	560	89	282	27	8	267	62	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
2028	22	MLB	NYY	48%	151	136	29	5	1	3	12	40	2	4	1	213	287	331	618	118	284	26	8	274	68	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2029	23	MLB	NYY	54%	217	195	43	8	1	4	18	56	2	6	1	221	293	333	626	113	285	26	8	279	72	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2030	24	MLB	NYY	55%	256	230	51	9	2	5	21	66	3	7	1	222	295	343	639	122	286	26	8	282	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2031	25	MLB	NYY	56%	278	250	56	10	2	6	23	72	3	7	1	224	297	352	649	128	286	26	8	282	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2032	26	MLB	NYY	56%	290	261	59	11	2	6	24	75	3	8	2	226	299	352	651	126	286	26	8	283	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2033	27	MLB	NYY	55%	289	260	58	11	2	6	24	75	3	8	2	223	296	350	646	127	286	26	8	283	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.2
2034	28	MLB	NYY	55%	287	258	57	10	2	6	24	74	3	7	1	221	295	345	640	124	285	26	8	282	74	-9	+1	-0	+1	+8	0.1
2035	29	MLB	NYY	53%	276	248	55	10	2	6	23	72	3	7	1	222	296	351	646	129	284	26	8	280	72	-9	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2106	1894	419	76	14	43	174	547	23	56	10	221	295	344	639	123	287	26	8	280	73	-65	+7	-1	+8	+60	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	128	23	4	13	54	169	7	17	3	219	293	338	631	120	284	26	8	280	73	-20	+2	-0	+2	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	4456	3997	869	156	27	85	371	1175	50	140	29	217	292	334	626	116	284	26	8	281	73	-135	+16	-2	+16	+126	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	127	23	4	12	54	171	7	20	4	218	292	333	625	115	285	26	8	281	73	-20	+2	-0	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL NYY Bombers	—	162	137	41	9	1	7	22	35	3	14	6	299	407	533	940	234	358	22	14	414	175	+14	+0	—	—	+5	1.9
2024	18	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	158	125	32	5	1	2	28	27	2	14	0	256	400	360	760	104	303	17	18	348	124	+4	+3	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	111	101	28	5	1	3	8	26	1	9	1	277	336	436	772	158	342	23	7	340	119	+2	+1	—	—	+3	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,201	43	56	221	291	339	+8	+6	1.7	1.8
	/162	664	13	17	221	291	339	+2.4	+1.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Terrero (OGILVIE)	20	36→41	33→38	58→63	56	203/273/294	91	278	1	2	28%	8%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	46→41	40→45	57→60	42	218/276/313	95	301	7	17	29%	7%	63	-0.9	213/275/311	98	289	7	22	27%	7%	63	-0.9	205/269/314	109	262	10	34	25%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	196/264/288	92	278	8	16	31%	8%	52	-1.6	236/297/340	104	317	6	24	26%	7%	79	+0.3	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	45→38	38→40	63→60	49	212/292/308	96	281	3	21	24%	9%	69	-0.4	201/272/280	79	302	2	16	31%	8%	53	-1.5	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	41→42	39→45	53→50	42	196/255/285	89	270	5	13	28%	7%	46	-2.0	211/283/320	109	300	10	13	30%	9%	69	-0.4	209/285/321	112	292	12	14	30%	9%	67	-0.4
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→47	38→40	54→50	42	216/270/292	76	297	5	21	28%	6%	54	-1.4	200/264/255	55	278	2	13	27%	8%	43	-2.2	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	47	-1.9	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	64	-0.8	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	81	+0.1
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	40→48	39→40	56→60	43	193/255/276	83	270	6	20	30%	7%	45	-2.1	209/276/279	70	304	4	22	30%	7%	54	-1.4	189/253/276	87	274	8	24	32%	7%	41	-0.9
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Jorge Barrosa 2021 · A	20	45→48	38→45	55	44	215/279/298	83	279	5	18	24%	6%	61	-1.0	218/278/326	108	276	10	19	24%	6%	68	-0.5	215/281/329	114	266	11	20	23%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	62	-0.9	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	69	-0.4	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	38→43	40→45	54→55	39	184/247/283	100	276	6	9	34%	6%	43	-2.2	200/271/309	109	281	9	13	30%	8%	60	-1.0	198/272/305	108	273	9	14	29%	9%	57	-1.0
✕Ernesto Manzanillo 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	58→50	45	204/276/291	87	296	6	15	31%	8%	57	-1.2	219/285/316	97	323	6	14	31%	8%	67	-0.5	224/266/315	91	324	5	11	31%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2018 · A	20	43→44	42→40	54→50	44	213/262/320	107	263	10	9	23%	6%	58	-1.2	187/257/257	70	277	4	11	31%	8%	40	-2.4	198/284/290	92	298	8	15	33%	10%	58	-0.7
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2012 · A	20	45	36→40	56→55	51	210/281/283	74	266	2	20	21%	8%	57	-1.2	217/294/314	97	274	7	13	22%	9%	72	-0.2	222/296/309	88	278	8	11	22%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2013 · A	20	41	36→40	52→65	48	193/259/264	71	240	3	18	20%	7%	43	-2.2	214/291/283	69	273	2	26	20%	9%	62	-0.9	212/299/273	61	273	1	34	20%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Jose Salas 2023 · A	20	43→39	41→45	57→55	42	210/280/309	99	289	9	21	29%	7%	65	-0.7	179/236/261	82	276	7	20	36%	6%	33	-2.9	166/219/271	105	257	13	24	39%	5%	26	-1.6
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	41→47	41→50	49→50	44	202/257/305	102	265	8	10	26%	7%	53	-1.5	223/285/351	128	285	12	10	25%	7%	77	+0.1	226/291/358	132	282	13	10	24%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1