Luis Vicioso — OGILVIE

Luis ViciosoC FCL Orioles

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 188 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .262 / .284

PA54

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	173	161	36	6	2	1	8	43	3	2	2	224	273	304	578	81	297	25	5	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	173	156	49	10	3	1	13	32	3	2	2	314	378	436	814	122	387	18	8	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	83	76	13	1	1	0	6	30	1	2	2	171	241	211	451	39	283	36	7	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	83	73	16	1	1	0	9	22	1	2	2	219	313	260	574	41	314	27	11	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	BAL	—	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	288	30	7	251	50	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	BAL	30%	105	96	20	3	1	1	7	31	1	1	0	208	269	292	561	83	290	30	7	262	59	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	25	MLB	BAL	44%	222	203	44	7	2	4	15	64	2	3	1	217	277	330	607	113	291	29	7	269	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2029	26	MLB	BAL	51%	305	278	59	10	2	5	21	87	3	4	1	212	275	317	591	104	291	29	7	274	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.4
2030	27	MLB	BAL	52%	353	321	70	12	3	6	25	100	4	4	1	218	283	330	613	112	291	28	7	276	69	-12	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.4
2031	28	MLB	BAL	53%	382	347	76	13	3	7	28	109	4	4	1	219	285	334	619	115	290	29	7	274	68	-14	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.4
2027	24	MLB	BAL	30%	32	30	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	167	219	200	419	33	294	28	6	258	56	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	BAL	44%	98	90	20	3	1	2	7	28	1	1	0	222	286	344	630	122	295	29	7	266	61	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	26	MLB	BAL	51%	155	141	31	5	1	3	11	44	2	2	1	220	286	333	619	113	295	28	7	270	65	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	27	MLB	BAL	52%	185	168	36	6	1	3	13	52	2	2	1	214	279	315	594	101	295	28	7	272	66	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	28	MLB	BAL	53%	204	185	40	7	1	4	15	58	2	2	1	216	282	330	612	114	294	28	7	271	65	-8	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	674	614	132	22	4	12	48	191	7	7	3	215	280	322	602	107	290	28	7	270	65	-27	+0	-0	+12	+19	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	128	21	4	12	46	184	7	7	3	216	281	326	607	110	291	28	7	270	65	-26	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	1677	1531	328	54	14	25	114	480	19	21	8	214	277	317	594	103	293	29	7	267	62	-72	+1	-1	+30	+48	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	127	21	5	10	44	186	7	8	3	214	276	317	593	103	292	29	7	267	62	-28	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	20	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	173	156	49	10	3	1	13	32	3	2	2	314	378	436	814	122	387	18	8	363	136	+7	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
2024	21	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	83	73	16	1	1	0	9	22	1	2	2	219	313	260	574	41	314	27	11	272	66	-3	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	727	12	8	216	277	324	+13	+12	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	11	8	216	277	324	+11.9	+11.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Vicioso (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	202/262/284	82	288	1	1	30%	7%	50	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	40	191/244/271	79	266	5	4	29%	6%	38	-2.6	209/257/321	112	282	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.2	201/247/350	149	258	12	3	27%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	35	180/230/254	74	285	6	3	38%	6%	28	-3.2	209/261/311	102	295	9	3	31%	6%	56	-1.3	214/272/324	110	288	10	0	28%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41→40	36→50	47→50	41	197/258/265	68	279	4	7	29%	6%	43	-2.2	211/270/330	119	289	13	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	213/262/352	139	271	17	12	28%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Jose Sibrian 2022 · A	23	41	36→50	48→30	37	195/241/258	63	273	3	5	29%	4%	33	-2.9	203/264/294	91	266	8	3	26%	5%	53	-1.5	201/265/302	101	250	10	0	23%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	49→30	38	187/245/270	83	282	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	194/251/308	114	284	11	4	34%	4%	52	-1.6	181/239/309	128	257	14	1	34%	4%	46	-1.6
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	38	41→45	48→30	31	189/228/283	93	291	9	6	37%	4%	34	-2.8	198/249/283	85	295	6	6	33%	4%	43	-2.2	156/203/205	49	241	0	0	33%	2%	1	-1.2
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→36	42→50	49→45	42	208/284/314	106	306	8	7	33%	7%	68	-0.5	195/290/334	139	313	15	5	39%	10%	76	+0.1	179/286/335	156	287	19	4	41%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Matt Winn 2016 · A	23	40→34	40→50	50→30	37	196/246/288	92	293	7	7	34%	6%	43	-2.2	190/247/324	134	306	16	2	41%	7%	54	-1.4	173/233/309	136	290	16	0	44%	7%	41	-1.5
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1