Miguel Rodriguez

OF DSL Pirates Black

Age 21 L/L 5'10" / 152 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	17	ROKDSL Pirates B…	86	.261/.400/.319	0	4	51	—	.178/.294/.219
2024	18	ROKDSL Pirates G…	94	.275/.363/.338	0	4	35	—	.193/.264/.229
2025	19	ROKDSL Pirates B…	96	.227/.376/.293	1	6	35	—	.152/.280/.203
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBPIT	206	.226/.296/.299	1	4	70	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBPIT	24	.229/.299/.311	0	1	75	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

K%99

Whiff%89

Z-Con%79

BB%64

Chase%62

Speed56

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 36 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .293 / .297

PA36

HR0

K%22

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	86	69	18	2	1	0	13	7	3	4	2	261	400	319	719	58	286	8	15	338	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	94	80	22	1	2	0	10	10	1	4	4	275	363	338	700	62	306	11	11	313	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	96	75	17	2	0	1	15	6	3	6	1	227	376	293	670	67	229	6	16	312	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	86	73	13	1	1	0	9	9	3	4	2	178	294	219	513	41	200	10	10	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	94	83	16	1	1	0	7	12	1	4	4	193	264	229	493	36	204	13	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	96	79	12	1	0	1	11	7	3	6	1	152	280	203	482	51	151	7	11	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	86	73	13	1	1	0	9	9	3	4	2	178	294	219	513	41	200	10	10	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	86	69	18	2	1	0	13	7	3	4	2	261	400	319	719	58	286	8	15	338	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	94	83	16	1	1	0	7	12	1	4	4	193	264	229	493	36	219	13	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	94	80	22	1	2	0	10	10	1	4	4	275	363	338	700	62	306	11	11	313	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	96	79	12	1	0	1	11	7	3	6	1	152	280	203	482	51	151	7	11	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Black	—	96	75	17	2	0	1	15	6	3	6	1	227	376	293	670	67	229	6	16	312	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	86	74	13	1	1	0	9	9	3	4	2	176	294	216	510	41	200	10	10	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	94	86	16	1	1	0	7	12	1	4	4	186	264	221	485	35	204	13	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	96	82	12	1	0	1	11	7	3	6	1	146	280	195	475	49	151	7	11	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	94	86	16	1	1	0	7	12	1	4	4	186	264	221	485	35	204	13	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Black	—	96	82	12	1	0	1	11	7	3	6	1	146	280	195	475	49	151	7	11	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	206	186	41	5	2	1	16	44	2	4	1	226	296	299	595	74	285	21	8	272	70	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	71	64	15	2	1	1	6	15	1	2	0	229	299	313	612	84	287	21	8	279	75	-2	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	24	22	5	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	229	299	311	610	82	287	21	8	278	75	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	24	22	5	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	227	292	273	564	45	294	21	8	278	49	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	135	27	0	0	54	135	0	27	0	227	291	272	563	45	293	21	8	278	49	-19	+5	+0	-4	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	383	332	63	6	3	2	36	51	8	17	7	190	285	244	529	54	215	13	9	241	49	-3	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	106	10	5	3	61	87	14	29	12	188	283	240	523	52	214	13	9	241	49	-21	+4	+0	-4	+14	-0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 96 PAwOBA .312 → .220 (−92)K% 6.2% → 7.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.25%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	7.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.62%	÷0.987	×0.700	—	×0.995	11.02%
HBP% /PA	3.12%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.18%
Singles /BIP	20.29%	÷1.004	×0.680	×0.994	×0.995	13.59%
Doubles /BIP	2.90%	÷0.972	×0.600	×0.994	×0.995	1.77%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.019	×0.600	×0.994	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.45%	÷0.931	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.73%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 104, K 98, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .312 → .220; ISO .067 → .040; BABIP .229 → .151. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 94 PAwOBA .312 → .220 (−92)K% 10.6% → 12.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.64%	÷1.011	×1.220	—	—	12.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.64%	÷0.971	×0.700	—	×1.008	7.73%
HBP% /PA	1.06%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.75%
Singles /BIP	27.14%	÷1.024	×0.680	×1.012	×1.008	18.37%
Doubles /BIP	1.43%	÷1.084	×0.600	×1.012	×1.008	0.81%
Triples /BIP	2.86%	÷0.989	×0.600	×1.012	×1.008	1.77%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.847	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 105, 2B 117, 3B 98, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .312 → .220; ISO .062 → .040; BABIP .306 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Pirates Black · 86 PAwOBA .334 → .244 (−91)K% 8.1% → 9.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	8.14%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	9.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.12%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.022	10.82%
HBP% /PA	3.49%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	2.50%
Singles /BIP	24.19%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.025	×1.022	17.23%
Doubles /BIP	3.23%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.025	×1.022	2.03%
Triples /BIP	1.61%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.025	×1.022	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .334 → .244; ISO .058 → .039; BABIP .286 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).