Miguel RodriguezOF DSL Pirates Black
Age 20 L/L 5'10" / 152 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 84 proj PA
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .291 / .309
PA84
HR1
K%22
BB%8
ISO86
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.60.70.80.8+$26M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.8$2M+$1M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $4M +$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 8674 16210 8103 42 216318270588 54246 129 259 56 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 8669 18210 1373 42 261400319719 58286 815 338 117 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Pirates Gold — 9483 19120 7141 44 229297289586 60268 157 239 41 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Pirates Gold — 9480 22120 10101 44 275363338700 62306 1111 313 98 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 9680 15201 1093 61 188301250551 62194 910 246 46 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 9675 17201 1563 61 227376293670 67229 616 312 97 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLBPIT — 8477 18311 6191 10 234298338635 104286 237 276 69 -3 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBPIT 34% 172155 35512 13382 31 226294310604 84287 228 286 77 -4 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.0
202822 MLBPIT 48% 304273 641025 24674 51 234306341646 106289 228 294 83 -6 +1 +0 -2 +9 0.2
202923 MLBPIT 54% 395356 851338 31875 72 239309360668 121290 228 299 87 -6 +1 +0 -2 +11 0.4
203024 MLBPIT 55% 457412 9915410 361006 82 240311369680 129291 228 302 90 -5 +1 +0 -3 +13 0.6
203125 MLBPIT 56% 493445 10716411 391086 82 240310369679 128291 228 304 91 -5 +1 +0 -3 +14 0.7
203226 MLBPIT 56% 513460 11217412 411127 92 243315376691 133291 228 306 92 -5 +1 +0 -3 +15 0.8
203327 MLBPIT 55% 522468 11317412 421157 92 241313372685 130291 228 306 92 -5 +1 +0 -3 +15 0.8
202721 MLBPIT 34% 5953 12201 5131 10 226305321626 94286 228 276 69 -2 +0 +0 -0 +2 -0.1
202822 MLBPIT 48% 147132 31513 12322 21 235308356664 121287 228 283 75 -4 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
202923 MLBPIT 54% 214192 46724 17473 41 240311359671 120289 228 288 79 -5 +0 +0 -1 +6 0.0
203024 MLBPIT 55% 253228 54825 20553 41 237307355662 118290 228 292 82 -5 +0 +0 -2 +7 0.1
203125 MLBPIT 56% 276248 59926 22604 51 238310363673 125290 228 294 83 -5 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.2
203226 MLBPIT 56% 289260 621026 23634 51 238310362672 123290 228 295 84 -5 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.2
203327 MLBPIT 55% 289260 61926 23634 51 235307354660 119290 228 295 84 -5 +1 +0 -2 +8 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 15271373 325501131 12233321 266 237309357666 120290 228 292 81 -32 +3 +0 -9 +43 0.5
/ 162G— — 650584 13821513 521429 113 236309356665 120289 228 292 81 -14 +1 +0 -4 +18 0.2
Career— — 32162883 6831012662 25767945 6419 237309354664 118287 218 296 85 -55 +5 +0 -19 +91 2.2
/ 162G— — 650583 13820513 521379 134 237309355664 118286 218 296 85 -11 +1 +0 -4 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 8669 18210 1373 42 261400319719 58286 815 338 117 +2 +0 — — +2 0.4
202418 ROKDSL Pirates Gold — 9480 22120 10101 44 275363338700 62306 1111 313 98 -0 -1 — — +3 0.2
202519 ROKDSL Pirates Black — 9675 17201 1563 61 227376293670 67229 616 312 97 -0 +1 — — +3 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Tony Kemplast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA
72,1983552238326354-4-34.34.3
/1626641116-1.3-0.81.3pk7: 4
#3Shane Halterlast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA
51,7444111247305396-6+83.93.9
/162664164-2.1+3.01.5pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,6113327239306361-10+01.81.8
/1626641411-4.0+0.00.7pk7: 2
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA
61,7852543256298370-8+21.41.4
/162664916-3.1+0.60.5pk7: 1
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Miguel Rodriguez (OGILVIE) 20 — — — — 223/291/309 85286 11 22% 8% 69 -0.1 ————————— —————————
✕Jason Martin
2016 · A 		20 47→49 40→60 47→50 46 223/277/318 95286 610 24% 7% 64 -0.8 216/268/357 141296 1413 30% 6% 71 -0.3 220/286/42120126927829%8%94+0.8
✕Ramón Flores
2012 · A 		20 45→55 39→45 50 45 218/272/307 89279 78 24% 6% 59 -1.1 229/282/328 99288 710 22% 7% 69 -0.4 251/324/348972998818%9%88+0.6
✕Anthony Seigler
2019 · A 		20 45→39 38→50 48→55 50 214/284/293 79268 65 22% 8% 61 -1.0 194/272/271 77286 55 31% 9% 52 -1.6 226/317/363137277122821%11%91+0.6
✕Enmanuel Terrero
2023 · A 		20 47 37→45 47→55 54 220/301/294 74277 412 20% 10% 69 -0.4 211/284/306 95333 915 36% 9% 65 -0.7 194/268/28793319111839%8%51-0.6
●Jordany Valdespin
2008 · A 		20 43→53 37→50 49→55 48 202/278/277 75266 410 24% 8% 56 -1.3 223/264/322 99273 713 20% 5% 59 -1.1 256/296/403147298172820%4%92+0.7
✕Dwight Smith Jr.
2014 · A 		21 47→53 40→50 51→50 45 226/279/312 86285 813 23% 6% 63 -0.8 236/289/337 101290 710 20% 7% 74 -0.1 245/307/38213629313920%7%91+0.9
●Eliezer Álvarez
2015 · A 		20 43→53 40→45 54→55 44 206/262/313 106260 611 22% 6% 56 -1.3 245/295/352 107322 515 24% 6% 81 +0.4 254/308/36210834251926%6%87+0.4
✕Enmanuel Valdez
2019 · A 		20 39→44 42→55 49→45 45 192/258/305 112251 97 27% 7% 54 -1.4 191/244/308 117258 137 30% 6% 49 -1.8 220/285/39817826324826%8%87+0.7
✕Alexander Ovalles
2021 · A 		20 50→41 40→50 51→50 45 236/290/339 104303 68 23% 7% 76 +0.0 217/281/330 113295 117 28% 7% 70 -0.3 208/276/32011328212829%8%63-0.4
●Jorbit Vivas
2021 · A 		20 46→56 37→45 49→50 46 217/288/299 82276 311 21% 7% 66 -0.6 248/321/370 122279 117 15% 7% 98 +1.6 245/326/36512027311914%7%96+1.4
●Akil Baddoo
2019 · A 		20 42→52 42→55 56→55 46 201/275/316 115288 813 31% 9% 63 -0.8 212/280/338 126319 1016 34% 8% 72 -0.2 240/322/392152311152426%11%100+1.2
✕Yohendrick Pinango
2022 · A 		20 51→52 38→50 50 44 240/283/323 83297 59 21% 5% 68 -0.5 210/254/308 98266 910 24% 5% 52 -1.6 215/285/35814327016726%8%76+0.1
✕Iverson Leonardo
2021 · A 		19 45 40→50 47→50 44 211/284/318 107303 59 30% 8% 68 -0.5 190/267/305 115300 118 37% 8% 59 -1.1 154/245/26411025411841%8%37-0.7
✕Anderson Suriel
2023 · A 		20 46 36→60 48→50 44 213/261/286 72264 212 20% 5% 49 -1.8 201/259/313 112295 108 34% 6% 56 -1.3 172/233/29612426012837%5%38-0.6
✕Addison Barger
2021 · A 		21 41→45 39→55 49→45 44 198/267/288 90270 65 28% 7% 53 -1.5 217/280/375 158316 197 36% 7% 82 +0.5 220/290/39217226920626%8%86+0.6
●Tirso Ornelas
2019 · A 		19 43→53 40→50 50→45 45 206/273/299 93288 75 30% 8% 59 -1.1 190/254/266 76279 55 31% 8% 41 -2.3 249/309/38313430716723%7%92+1.1
✕Alek Thomas
2019 · A 		19 50→51 38→50 51→50 44 238/283/324 87297 410 21% 6% 68 -0.5 241/294/369 128325 1010 27% 6% 85 +0.7 241/298/385144307131125%6%87+0.7
✕Ismael Munguia
2019 · A 		20 48→56 37→45 50→55 45 225/264/305 80266 37 17% 5% 54 -1.4 246/283/331 85282 410 14% 4% 69 -0.4 262/318/369107287112013%5%92+0.7
✕Danny Ortiz
2010 · A 		20 43→48 39→60 53→45 41 209/255/300 91266 57 23% 4% 50 -1.7 199/239/319 120262 114 28% 5% 49 -1.8 226/264/41018426425225%4%84+0.5
✕Billy McKinney
2015 · A 		20 45→53 43→55 49→45 44 220/285/331 111292 106 27% 7% 72 -0.2 232/290/348 116298 94 24% 7% 78 +0.2 214/276/39117725919225%7%82+0.4