Alexander Garcia

3B DSL Padres Gold
Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202317ROKDSL Padres Br…194.243/.326/.3202617—.155/.226/.195
202418ROKDSL Padres Br…102.247/.426/.4552260—.159/.317/.280
202519ROKDSL Padres Go…84.154/.329/.200040—.099/.220/.141
2027PROJMLE21MLBSD194.199/.282/.28626630.0
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBSD24.200/.283/.2940168-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Speed93
BB%88
Z-Con%61
Whiff%47
Chase%44
K%32
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj PA
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .279 / .284
PA33
HR0
K%30
BB%9
ISO88
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 194169 41702 18503 62 243326320646 77322 269 293 17 — — — — — —
202418 ROKDSL Padres Brown — 10277 19812 16288 20 247426455880 208354 2716 395 60 — — — — — —
202519 ROKDSL Padres Gold — 8465 10110 17210 40 154329200529 46217 2520 262 0 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 194174 27401 13613 62 155226195422 40215 317 193 17 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 10282 13511 11358 20 159317280597 122228 3411 257 60 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 8471 7110 11260 40 99220141360 42129 3113 168 0 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 194174 27401 13613 62 155226195422 40224 317 193 17 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Padres Brown — 194169 41702 18503 62 243326320646 77322 269 293 17 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 10282 13511 11358 20 159317280597 122255 3411 257 60 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWDSL Padres Brown — 10277 19812 16288 20 247426455880 208354 2716 395 60 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 8471 7110 11260 40 99220141360 42149 3113 168 0 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAWDSL Padres Gold — 8465 10110 17210 40 154329200529 46217 2520 262 0 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 194176 27401 13613 62 153226193419 40215 317 193 17 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 10282 13511 11358 20 159317280597 122228 3411 257 60 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 8473 7110 11260 40 96220137356 41129 3113 168 0 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEDSL Padres Brown — 10282 13511 11358 20 159317280597 122228 3411 257 60 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEDSL Padres Gold — 8473 7110 11260 40 96220137356 41129 3113 168 0 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLESD 0% 194172 35722 17583 61 199282286568 88286 309 261 63 -9 +1 +0 +1 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLESD 34% 7164 14311 6211 21 203286300586 97287 308 268 68 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202822 MLB CTXSD 34% 2422 4100 270 10 200283294577 94281 298 265 68 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2422 4100 270 10 182250227477 45267 298 265 34 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 1082700 541900 270 181249227476 45266 298 265 34 -25 +5 +0 +2 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 484420 661433 4415313 153 157258226484 69232 329 218 34 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650564 891944 5920517 204 158257227484 69234 329 218 34 -26 +1 +0 +2 +14 -0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Padres Gold · 84 PAwOBA .263 → .168 (−95)K% 25.0% → 31.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.970×1.220——31.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA20.24%÷1.049×0.700—×0.98513.30%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×0.9850.00%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.064×0.680×0.966×0.98511.06%
Doubles /BIP2.27%÷1.159×0.600×0.966×0.9851.12%
Triples /BIP2.27%÷1.049×0.600×0.966×0.9851.24%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.956×0.470—×0.9850.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 113, 2B 132, 3B 110, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .263 → .168; ISO .046 → .026; BABIP .217 → .129. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 102 PAwOBA .390 → .257 (−133)K% 27.5% → 34.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.45%÷0.974×1.220——34.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.69%÷1.036×0.700—×0.99510.54%
HBP% /PA7.84%—×0.700—×0.9955.46%
Singles /BIP16.33%÷1.000×0.680×1.040×0.99511.49%
Doubles /BIP16.33%÷1.015×0.600×1.040×0.9959.99%
Triples /BIP2.04%÷1.000×0.600×1.040×0.9951.27%
Home runs /BIP4.08%÷0.908×0.470—×0.9952.10%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .390 → .257; ISO .208 → .124; BABIP .354 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Padres Brown · 194 PAwOBA .292 → .193 (−99)K% 25.8% → 31.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.77%÷1.001×1.220——31.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.28%÷0.992×0.700—×1.0086.60%
HBP% /PA1.55%—×0.700—×1.0081.09%
Singles /BIP26.89%÷0.968×0.680×0.990×1.00818.84%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.101×0.600×0.990×1.0083.20%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.029×0.600×0.990×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP1.68%÷0.929×0.470—×1.0080.86%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 94, 2B 120, 3B 106, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .292 → .193; ISO .077 → .040; BABIP .322 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).