Alexander Garcia

Alexander Garcia3B DSL Padres Gold

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR +13%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.2 · 2033

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .281 / .322

PA76

HR1

K%30

BB%8

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.2peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.1	$20M	+$19M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.2	$22M	+$21M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.0	$20M	+$19M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.9	$20M	+$16M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.6	$17M	+$12M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.3	$14M	+$8M
Totals		$18M		$113M	+$95M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	194	176	31	4	0	2	11	72	3	6	2	.176	.237	.233	.470	.057	.274	37	6	.207	17	-18	+0	+0	+1	+5	-1.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	102	84	14	5	1	2	9	42	8	2	0	.167	.307	.321	.628	.155	.293	41	9	.269	64	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	84	72	7	1	1	0	10	32	0	4	0	.097	.207	.139	.346	.042	.167	38	12	.158	-21	-11	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	SD	76	69	14	3	0	1	6	23	1	1	0	.203	.276	.290	.566	.087	.288	30	8	.275	69	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	SD	164	147	32	6	1	4	14	46	2	3	1	.218	.294	.354	.648	.136	.291	28	9	.295	84	-3	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2028	22	MLB 28%	SD	298	265	60	11	2	8	27	81	4	6	1	.226	.307	.374	.681	.147	.292	27	9	.307	93	-2	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.8
2029	23	MLB 48%	SD	391	346	80	15	2	12	37	104	5	8	2	.231	.314	.390	.705	.159	.292	27	9	.314	98	-1	+1	+0	+1	+11	1.3
2030	24	MLB 62%	SD	454	401	94	17	3	14	44	118	6	10	2	.234	.319	.397	.716	.162	.293	26	10	.318	102	+1	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.7
2031	25	MLB 80%	SD	490	432	102	18	3	16	49	127	6	11	2	.236	.322	.403	.725	.167	.293	26	10	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.0
2032	26	MLB 94%	SD	511	448	105	19	3	16	52	132	6	11	2	.234	.322	.397	.719	.163	.294	26	10	.323	105	+3	+1	+0	+2	+14	2.1
2033	27	MLB	SD	520	455	107	19	3	17	53	135	7	11	2	.235	.324	.402	.726	.167	.294	26	10	.323	106	+3	+1	+0	+2	+15	2.2
2034	28	MLB	SD	521	455	107	19	3	17	54	137	7	10	2	.235	.326	.402	.728	.167	.293	26	10	.322	105	+3	+1	-1	+2	+15	2.0
2035	29	MLB	SD	515	451	105	19	3	16	53	136	6	9	1	.233	.322	.395	.716	.162	.293	26	10	.320	103	+2	+1	-1	+2	+15	1.9
2036	30	MLB	SD	507	443	102	18	3	16	53	136	6	8	1	.230	.321	.393	.713	.163	.291	27	10	.317	101	+0	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.6
2037	31	MLB	SD	494	434	98	18	2	15	51	135	6	5	0	.226	.316	.380	.696	.154	.290	27	10	.313	98	-1	+1	-3	+2	+14	1.3
2038	32	MLB	SD	476	418	93	17	2	14	49	132	6	3	0	.222	.313	.373	.686	.151	.288	28	10	.308	94	-3	+1	-4	+2	+13	0.9
2039	33	MLB	SD	447	393	85	15	2	12	46	127	5	1	0	.216	.306	.356	.663	.140	.286	28	10	.303	90	-5	+0	-4	+2	+13	0.5
2040	34	MLB	SD	402	353	76	13	2	11	41	118	5	0	0	.215	.306	.357	.663	.142	.285	29	10	.296	85	-7	+0	-5	+1	+11	0.1
2041	35	MLB	SD	348	306	64	11	2	9	35	105	4	0	0	.209	.299	.346	.645	.137	.282	30	10	.288	79	-8	+0	-6	+1	+10	-0.3
2042	36	MLB	SD	290	256	52	9	1	7	29	91	3	0	0	.203	.292	.328	.620	.125	.279	31	10	.280	72	-9	+0	-6	+1	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7284	6404	1428	257	39	209	723	2029	96	109	18	.223	.311	.373	.684	.150	.290	28	10	.306	92	-62	+15	-31	+26	+206	15.7
/ 162G	—			650	571	127	23	3	19	65	181	9	10	2	.222	.312	.373	.685	.151	.288	28	10	.306	92	-6	+1	-3	+2	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	194	169	41	7	0	2	18	50	3	6	2	.243	.326	.320	.646	.077	.322	26	9	.293	83	-4	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	102	77	19	8	1	2	16	28	8	2	0	.247	.426	.455	.880	.208	.354	27	16	.395	161	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	84	65	10	1	1	0	17	21	0	4	0	.154	.329	.200	.529	.046	.217	25	20	.262	59	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Garcia (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	.208/.281/.322	.114	.288	1	1	30%	8%	69	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Oneil Cruz 2019 · A	20	43→51	43→60	47→55	36	.212/.251/.327	.115	.305	11	8	34%	5%	55	-1.4	.228/.271/.373	.145	.324	16	13	33%	5%	76	+0.1	.241/.304/.442	.201	.317	25	22	31%	8%	103	+1.7
●Riley Greene 2021 · A	20	44→54	44→60	53→50	39	.215/.271/.330	.115	.305	11	9	32%	6%	66	-0.6	.252/.315/.404	.152	.357	15	10	31%	8%	103	+1.9	.263/.332/.466	.203	.338	25	5	28%	9%	124	+3.1
●Max Kepler 2013 · A	20	44→54	42→60	53→50	44	.216/.275/.328	.112	.278	9	6	25%	6%	67	-0.5	.222/.279/.348	.126	.273	10	7	22%	7%	73	-0.1	.234/.319/.433	.200	.248	24	4	17%	10%	108	+2.2
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→51	43→55	56→55	48	.206/.282/.325	.120	.283	9	13	29%	9%	69	-0.4	.212/.283/.340	.128	.306	11	16	32%	9%	73	-0.1	.232/.314/.375	.143	.300	15	24	26%	11%	91	+0.8
✕Rio Ruiz 2014 · A	20	44→52	44→50	50→40	45	.216/.273/.341	.124	.279	10	8	26%	7%	69	-0.4	.232/.297/.343	.111	.298	9	4	23%	8%	79	+0.3	.223/.289/.369	.145	.265	17	3	22%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→55	43→60	57→50	42	.218/.278/.332	.114	.297	9	12	29%	7%	69	-0.4	.225/.282/.404	.179	.286	22	13	29%	7%	90	+1.0	.222/.292/.404	.182	.285	20	15	29%	8%	91	+1.0
●Dylan Carlson 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→55	45→50	45	.206/.277/.315	.109	.279	10	6	28%	8%	65	-0.7	.228/.297/.383	.155	.293	16	10	27%	8%	91	+1.1	.242/.327/.396	.154	.296	14	4	22%	9%	105	+1.6
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	.213/.264/.339	.126	.281	12	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.297/.383	.135	.313	14	13	24%	6%	90	+1.0	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
●TJ Friedl 2017 · A	21	48→53	42→50	51→55	42	.228/.286/.337	.109	.309	8	10	28%	6%	73	-0.1	.226/.293/.326	.100	.295	6	15	24%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.337/.381	.136	.276	15	18	16%	10%	103	+1.8
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	43→50	45→60	48→50	45	.216/.275/.346	.130	.280	12	13	27%	7%	71	-0.3	.222/.270/.365	.143	.297	15	12	29%	6%	74	-0.1	.218/.285/.408	.191	.271	26	8	29%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Billy McKinney 2015 · A	20	46→54	42→55	49→45	45	.222/.287/.329	.108	.290	9	6	26%	7%	72	-0.2	.233/.292/.348	.115	.298	9	4	23%	7%	79	+0.3	.215/.276/.393	.178	.258	20	2	25%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	42	44→50	47→50	42	.203/.279/.327	.124	.304	10	9	34%	8%	69	-0.4	.188/.266/.293	.105	.307	9	8	39%	8%	55	-1.4	.155/.246/.249	.095	.261	8	8	40%	9%	34	-0.7
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→55	52→55	41	.212/.263/.298	.086	.291	6	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.258/.304/.406	.148	.329	14	21	25%	5%	99	+1.7	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
●Ryan McMahon 2015 · A	20	41→51	46→55	43→45	39	.206/.261/.343	.136	.298	13	6	34%	6%	65	-0.7	.230/.283/.380	.150	.335	15	7	34%	6%	84	+0.6	.230/.314/.391	.161	.298	19	6	28%	10%	98	+1.6
●Colby Rasmus 2007 · A	20	45→55	46→60	54→50	42	.223/.277/.357	.134	.288	13	15	27%	6%	75	-0.0	.225/.291/.388	.163	.272	19	14	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.237/.305/.454	.217	.309	28	3	32%	8%	109	+1.8
●Jackson Merrill 2023 · A	20	51→58	42→55	51→50	41	.244/.289/.355	.111	.326	9	12	27%	6%	79	+0.3	.259/.300/.414	.155	.299	17	12	19%	5%	99	+1.7	.266/.310/.441	.174	.301	19	10	18%	6%	107	+1.9
●Gavin Lux 2018 · A	20	46→56	39→50	53→50	46	.218/.277/.306	.088	.285	6	12	25%	7%	61	-1.0	.245/.301/.388	.143	.311	15	11	25%	7%	93	+1.3	.260/.330/.404	.144	.327	14	8	23%	9%	106	+1.8
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→43	44→55	50	43	.203/.259/.325	.122	.273	11	7	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.199/.278/.352	.153	.276	18	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
●Brandon Marsh 2019 · A	21	47→57	42→50	52→50	41	.223/.282/.334	.110	.330	9	10	33%	7%	71	-0.3	.223/.283/.328	.105	.333	8	13	33%	7%	70	-0.3	.262/.344/.424	.163	.366	16	16	30%	11%	115	+2.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)