Alexander Garcia

Alexander Garcia3B DSL Padres Gold

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .274 / .301

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	169	41	7	0	2	18	50	3	6	2	243	326	320	646	77	322	26	9	293	85	-4	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	77	19	8	1	2	16	28	8	2	0	247	426	455	880	208	354	27	16	395	154	+7	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	65	10	1	1	0	17	21	0	4	0	154	329	200	529	46	217	25	20	262	63	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	176	31	4	0	2	11	72	3	6	2	176	237	233	470	57	258	37	6	206	26	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.3
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	83	14	5	1	2	10	41	8	2	0	169	317	325	642	157	279	40	10	271	70	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	72	8	1	1	0	10	31	0	4	0	111	220	153	372	42	157	37	12	168	0	-10	+1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	176	31	4	0	2	11	72	3	6	2	176	237	233	470	57	274	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	169	41	7	0	2	18	50	3	6	2	243	326	320	646	77	322	26	9	293	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	83	14	5	1	2	10	41	8	2	0	169	317	325	642	157	293	40	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	77	19	8	1	2	16	28	8	2	0	247	426	455	880	208	354	27	16	395	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	72	8	1	1	0	10	31	0	4	0	111	220	153	372	42	186	37	12	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	65	10	1	1	0	17	21	0	4	0	154	329	200	529	46	217	25	20	262	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	178	31	4	0	2	11	72	3	6	2	174	237	230	467	56	258	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	83	14	5	1	2	10	41	8	2	0	169	317	325	642	157	279	40	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	74	8	1	1	0	10	31	0	4	0	108	220	149	368	41	157	37	12	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	194	178	31	4	0	2	11	72	3	6	2	174	237	230	467	56	258	37	6	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	—	102	83	14	5	1	2	10	41	8	2	0	169	317	325	642	157	279	40	10	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	84	74	8	1	1	0	10	31	0	4	0	108	220	149	368	41	157	37	12	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	20	MLB MLE	SD	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		286	29	14	264	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	34%	164	148	32	6	1	3	13	46	2	6	2	216	288	331	619	115	288	28	8	277	73	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	48%	298	269	59	11	2	6	23	82	4	11	3	219	291	342	633	123	289	28	8	285	79	-7	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	SD	54%	391	352	78	14	2	9	31	106	5	14	4	222	294	349	643	128	290	27	8	291	83	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	SD	55%	454	409	93	17	3	11	36	122	6	17	4	227	299	364	664	137	291	27	8	295	86	-8	+2	+0	+2	+10	0.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	SD	56%	490	441	100	18	3	12	39	132	7	18	5	227	300	363	663	136	291	27	8	297	87	-8	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	SD	56%	511	458	104	19	3	13	41	137	7	19	5	227	300	367	667	140	291	27	8	298	88	-7	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	SD	55%	520	466	105	19	3	13	42	140	7	19	5	225	299	363	662	137	291	27	8	298	88	-8	+2	+0	+2	+11	0.8
2034	28	MLB MLE	SD	55%	521	467	105	19	3	13	42	141	7	19	5	225	298	362	660	137	290	27	8	297	87	-8	+2	-1	+2	+11	0.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	SD	53%	515	461	103	18	3	13	42	140	7	18	5	223	298	360	658	137	289	27	8	295	86	-9	+2	-1	+2	+11	0.5
2036	30	MLB MLE	SD	57%	507	453	101	18	3	12	42	139	7	18	5	223	299	355	654	132	288	27	8	292	84	-10	+2	-2	+2	+11	0.3
2037	31	MLB MLE	SD	55%	494	444	96	17	3	11	41	137	6	17	5	216	291	342	634	126	285	28	8	288	81	-11	+1	-3	+2	+11	-0.0
2027	21	MLB CTX	SD	34%	56	51	10	2	0	1	4	16	1	2	1	196	268	294	562	98	285	29	7	266	73	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	48%	144	130	28	5	1	3	11	40	2	5	1	215	287	338	625	123	286	28	8	274	79	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	SD	54%	212	190	43	8	1	5	17	57	3	8	2	226	300	358	658	132	287	27	8	280	83	-4	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.2
2030	24	MLB CTX	SD	55%	252	227	51	9	2	6	20	68	3	9	2	225	296	361	657	137	288	27	8	284	86	-4	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	SD	56%	274	246	56	10	2	7	22	74	4	10	3	228	301	370	671	142	288	27	8	286	87	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	SD	56%	287	258	58	10	2	7	23	77	4	11	3	225	298	360	659	136	288	27	8	287	88	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	SD	55%	288	259	58	10	2	7	23	77	4	11	3	224	297	359	656	135	288	27	8	287	88	-4	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	SD	55%	286	257	57	10	2	7	23	77	4	10	3	222	296	358	654	136	287	27	8	286	87	-4	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	SD	53%	275	246	56	10	2	7	23	75	4	10	3	228	304	370	674	142	286	27	8	284	86	-5	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	SD	57%	289	259	57	10	2	7	24	79	4	10	3	220	296	355	651	135	285	27	8	281	84	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.1
2037	31	MLB CTX	SD	55%	270	243	51	9	1	6	22	75	3	9	3	210	284	329	613	119	282	28	8	277	81	-6	+1	-2	+1	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2633	2366	525	93	17	63	212	715	36	95	27	222	296	355	651	134	289	27	8	283	81	-47	+8	-4	+9	+57	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	130	23	4	16	52	177	9	23	7	223	296	358	654	135	290	27	8	283	81	-12	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5252	4705	1030	186	31	120	424	1468	76	188	50	219	294	348	642	129	289	28	8	288	81	-89	+16	-7	+17	+106	4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	128	23	4	15	52	182	9	23	6	220	293	351	644	131	290	28	8	288	81	-12	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sean Rodríguezlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,871 PA	4.3	2,871	79	42	226	302	380	+10	+16	8.1	8.5
/162	664	18	10	+2.3	+3.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.1	2,710	64	98	224	294	357	+10	+4	4.3	4.0
/162	664	16	24	+2.4	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alexander Garcia (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	205/274/301	96	286	1	2	29%	7%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	39→47	41→55	46→55	42	195/250/286	91	268	9	9	30%	6%	51	-2.2	201/262/331	130	269	14	13	29%	7%	67	-1.1	222/289/387	165	276	18	21	26%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Taylor Trammell 2018 · A	20	45→46	41→55	57→55	43	217/275/321	104	306	8	21	30%	7%	69	-0.9	208/280/300	92	300	8	18	31%	9%	66	-1.1	203/297/373	170	273	21	23	32%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→49	41→45	47→55	46	196/269/296	99	264	8	11	28%	8%	61	-1.5	204/280/290	86	281	5	16	27%	8%	63	-1.3	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2022 · A	20	44	40→55	52→50	40	212/257/310	97	289	6	9	28%	5%	59	-1.7	208/259/315	107	277	10	9	27%	6%	61	-1.5	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Jordan Schafer 2007 · A	20	39→49	41→50	50→65	37	194/233/299	104	272	8	12	31%	5%	47	-2.5	233/286/369	136	325	11	13	30%	7%	84	+0.1	238/300/383	144	331	12	14	30%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	40→50	40→45	55	44	197/265/289	92	278	8	16	30%	8%	58	-1.7	238/299/342	104	319	7	24	25%	8%	82	+0.0	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→50	56→55	47	203/279/323	120	288	8	13	30%	9%	71	-0.8	213/282/343	130	314	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	43→52	39→45	52→50	43	208/260/292	85	279	6	14	27%	6%	56	-1.9	222/281/343	121	321	10	8	32%	7%	76	-0.4	219/279/346	127	314	10	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6
✕Iverson Leonardo 2022 · A	20	41	44→50	47→50	41	198/276/319	121	305	10	9	36%	8%	70	-0.9	189/268/291	102	310	9	8	39%	8%	61	-1.5	158/247/253	95	261	8	8	39%	9%	43	-0.7
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	43→53	40→45	54→55	44	206/262/313	106	260	6	11	22%	6%	61	-1.5	245/294/353	108	322	5	15	24%	6%	82	+0.0	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
●Carter Jensen 2023 · A	20	37→47	43→55	45→50	46	184/266/293	108	267	10	7	33%	10%	60	-1.6	197/285/328	131	277	13	9	31%	11%	75	-0.5	225/304/406	181	290	21	8	29%	10%	98	+1.1
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→47	41→50	50	44	203/259/304	102	267	7	10	26%	7%	59	-1.7	221/283/344	123	281	11	10	24%	7%	77	-0.3	231/280/377	146	276	15	12	22%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→54	43→60	57→50	42	218/277/333	115	296	10	13	29%	7%	72	-0.7	226/284/402	176	289	21	13	28%	7%	91	+0.7	223/292/404	181	286	20	15	29%	8%	92	+0.6
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	41	40→45	47→50	40	198/265/294	96	288	7	11	32%	6%	59	-1.6	218/287/329	111	286	11	9	26%	7%	76	-0.4	218/293/335	117	266	14	9	23%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	61	-1.5	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	65	-1.2	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	43	-0.7
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	51→50	44	199/273/280	81	308	5	13	35%	9%	59	-1.7	234/307/336	102	347	7	13	31%	9%	84	+0.2	245/313/363	118	342	8	12	28%	8%	89	+0.2
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2019 · A	20	39→46	42→55	49→45	45	192/258/305	112	251	9	7	27%	7%	59	-1.6	194/247/315	121	261	13	7	30%	6%	57	-1.8	219/282/397	178	265	23	8	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	43→48	38→50	49→40	44	204/275/284	80	281	6	6	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/273/293	83	267	6	4	22%	7%	62	-1.4	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps