Juan Rosas — OGILVIE

Juan RosasC Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 46 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .261 / .286

PA46

HR1

K%35

BB%7

BABIP280

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	55	52	5	1	0	1	2	22	1	0	0	96	145	173	319	77	138	40	4	134	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	55	51	8	2	0	1	3	16	1	0	0	157	218	255	473	98	206	29	5	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	81	74	8	2	0	0	5	36	2	0	1	108	185	135	320	27	211	44	6	147	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	81	71	12	3	0	0	8	25	2	0	1	169	272	211	483	42	261	31	10	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TOR	—	44	38	4	0	0	1	5	23	1	0	0	105	227	184	411	79	214	52	11	197	9	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
YTD	20	A	TOR	—	44	36	6	0	0	1	7	16	1	0	0	167	318	250	568	83	263	36	16	278	71	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	20	A	TOR	0%	46	42	8	1	0	1	3	16	1	0	0	190	261	286	547	95	284	35	7	242	43	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	20	MLB	TOR	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		285	—	—	233	37	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TOR	—	44	39	4	0	0	1	5	23	1	0	0	103	227	179	407	77	200	52	11	197	9	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.3
TOT	20	A	TOR	—	90	80	12	1	0	2	8	39	2	0	0	150	244	237	482	87	256	43	9	220	26	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TOR	34%	196	176	35	6	1	3	15	66	3	2	1	199	273	295	569	97	288	34	8	255	53	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	TOR	48%	323	291	59	10	2	6	25	105	4	3	1	203	275	313	588	110	290	33	8	264	60	-15	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.1
2029	23	MLB	TOR	54%	408	368	76	13	2	8	32	130	5	4	1	207	279	318	597	111	291	32	8	270	64	-16	+0	+0	+7	+12	0.3
2030	24	MLB	TOR	55%	466	421	86	15	2	9	36	147	6	4	2	204	276	314	590	109	292	32	8	273	67	-17	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.4
2031	25	MLB	TOR	56%	498	449	94	16	3	10	39	157	7	4	2	209	283	325	608	116	292	32	8	275	69	-18	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.5
2027	21	MLB	TOR	34%	67	61	12	2	0	1	5	22	1	1	0	197	269	279	547	82	290	33	7	246	47	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB	TOR	48%	157	142	29	5	1	3	12	51	2	1	1	204	276	317	593	113	291	32	8	255	53	-8	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	TOR	54%	221	199	41	7	1	4	17	70	3	2	1	206	279	312	590	106	292	32	8	261	58	-11	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.0
2030	24	MLB	TOR	55%	258	233	48	8	1	5	20	82	3	2	1	206	277	313	591	107	293	32	8	265	61	-11	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.0
2031	25	MLB	TOR	56%	279	251	53	9	2	6	22	88	4	3	1	211	285	335	620	124	294	32	8	266	62	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	982	887	183	31	5	19	76	313	13	9	4	206	279	317	596	110	293	32	8	261	58	-46	+0	+0	+18	+28	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	122	21	3	13	50	207	9	6	3	208	281	320	601	112	295	32	8	261	58	-31	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	2073	1873	371	64	10	38	157	679	29	17	8	198	271	304	574	106	286	33	8	260	57	-100	+0	+0	+37	+59	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	116	20	3	12	49	213	9	5	3	198	270	303	573	106	285	33	8	260	57	-31	-0	+0	+12	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Blue Jays	—	55	51	8	2	0	1	3	16	1	0	0	157	218	255	473	98	206	29	5	218	25	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2025	19	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	81	71	12	3	0	0	8	25	2	0	1	169	272	211	483	42	261	31	10	235	38	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,072	20	10	206	274	315	+19	+12	0.6	0.7
	/162	664	12	6	206	274	315	+11.9	+7.4	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Rosas (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	150/244/238	87	256	2	0	43%	9%	26	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Alexander Mojica 2023 · A	20	34	41→45	47→40	39	168/245/259	91	281	10	3	41%	8%	37	-2.6	203/283/327	124	326	12	6	38%	9%	71	-0.3	196/292/343	147	309	14	3	37%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	33	40→45	45→50	36	171/214/256	85	249	7	7	34%	5%	21	-3.7	187/224/281	94	269	6	9	32%	4%	32	-3.0	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Jorge Quiterio 2015 · A	20	36	40→45	46→45	39	183/234/269	86	255	8	8	31%	5%	33	-2.9	194/235/279	85	299	6	9	35%	5%	36	-2.7	177/200/259	83	273	6	12	37%	2%	14	-1.1
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Ronnierd Garcia 2013 · A	20	37	38→45	43→40	36	183/242/259	77	280	7	4	36%	5%	35	-2.8	207/260/302	95	287	7	4	29%	6%	53	-1.5	214/269/322	109	294	9	2	29%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	38	-2.6	191/272/288	97	316	8	13	39%	7%	56	-1.3	155/237/232	77	334	8	23	51%	6%	25	-1.2
✕Miguel Jerez 2018 · A	20	36	37→60	47→40	38	175/233/245	70	281	4	5	37%	7%	27	-3.3	175/239/304	129	273	16	4	40%	6%	46	-2.0	137/211/276	139	200	19	1	42%	7%	26	-1.3
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Alejandro Flores 2016 · A	20	37	39→50	45→40	43	182/248/265	83	263	7	5	32%	8%	39	-2.5	203/261/310	107	295	9	6	32%	7%	56	-1.3	202/257/342	140	271	13	4	30%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Daniel Santos 2019 · A	20	41	39→45	45→40	41	197/262/285	88	270	7	5	28%	6%	50	-1.7	200/262/282	82	300	5	6	33%	6%	50	-1.8	141/209/188	47	235	0	5	37%	5%	1	-0.9
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	36→33	37→50	47→30	38	174/239/249	74	275	4	6	36%	6%	31	-3.0	194/253/302	108	317	9	3	39%	7%	51	-1.7	172/240/299	127	285	15	1	43%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Deivi Mejia 2010 · A	20	40	41→40	46→30	41	197/265/294	97	276	9	5	30%	6%	54	-1.4	205/261/294	89	269	7	4	25%	6%	52	-1.6	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Garrett Whitley 2017 · A	20	40→36	42→50	47→55	44	197/267/302	105	280	9	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	191/270/310	119	334	12	13	42%	9%	61	-1.0	169/260/316	147	293	15	18	44%	10%	55	-0.9
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	46	-2.0	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	46	-2.0	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7