Cristopher LarezSS DSL Mets Orange
Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA
wRC+48
AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .260 / .277
PA62
HR1
K%34
BB%7
ISO87
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.20.30.40.5+$10M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $1M +$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Mets Orange 9788 15501 6441 93 170232261493 91311 456 204 14
202317 ROKDSL Mets Orange 9784 23801 10291 93 274358405763 131393 3010 337 116
202519 ROKDSL Mets Orange 6151 6201 7273 32 118262216478 98217 4411 218 25
202519 ROKDSL Mets Orange 6148 9301 10183 32 188361312673 125276 3016 322 105
▸ 2026 Season
202620 MLB 6257 11201 4211 10 193258281539 88289 346 248 48 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLB 34% 150136 28612 11482 31 206275309584 103291 327 260 57 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
202822 MLB 48% 287259 541125 22904 61 208281324605 116292 318 268 63 -12 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.0
202923 MLB 54% 383346 731527 291185 81 211282327608 116293 318 273 67 -14 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.2
203024 MLB 55% 448405 851828 341376 92 210281323604 114294 318 277 70 -15 +1 +0 +5 +13 0.3
203125 MLB 56% 486440 931939 371496 102 211282330611 118294 318 278 71 -16 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.4
203226 MLB 56% 507456 9820310 391557 102 215287338625 123294 318 279 72 -16 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.5
202721 MLB 34% 5247 9201 4171 10 191269298567 106291 338 260 57 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202822 MLB 48% 139126 25512 10442 31 198268302570 103292 327 268 63 -6 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.0
202923 MLB 54% 208187 39814 16643 41 209282326608 118293 318 273 67 -8 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.1
203024 MLB 55% 248224 481015 19763 51 214285335619 121294 318 277 70 -8 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.2
203125 MLB 56% 272246 521115 21833 61 211281325607 114294 318 278 71 -9 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.3
203226 MLB 56% 285257 541116 22874 61 210283331613 121294 318 279 72 -9 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 12041087 22747523 9237116 255 209280325605 116292 318 275 69 -42 +3 +0 +13 +34 0.8
/ 162G 650587 12225312 502009 133 208281322603 114291 318 275 69 -23 +1 +0 +7 +18 0.4
Career 24812238 463981344 18978935 5914 207279321600 114295 328 270 65 -99 +6 +0 +27 +70 0.4
/ 162G 650586 12226312 502079 154 208281324605 116297 328 270 65 -26 +1 +0 +7 +18 0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Mets Orange 9784 23801 10291 93 274358405763 131393 3010 337 116 +2 +1 +3 0.5
202519 ROKDSL Mets Orange 6148 9301 10183 32 188361312673 125276 3016 322 105 +0 -0 +2 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,2662326211278326+14+120.60.7
/1626641213+7.1+6.30.3pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Cristopher Larez (OGILVIE) 20 191/260/277 86289 11 34% 7% 48 -0.2
Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A
20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
Pablo Aliendo
2021 · A
20 40 37→55 50→45 41 186/263/256 70295 413 35% 8% 43 -2.2 196/264/293 97301 105 36% 6% 54 -1.4 196/264/34314728618537%6%64-0.4
Wendell Rijo
2016 · A
20 42→41 42→55 49→50 40 204/258/310 106288 812 31% 6% 55 -1.4 194/248/276 82270 610 29% 6% 41 -2.3 208/263/371163264201429%6%70-0.2
Ethan Workinger
2022 · A
20 37→44 40→50 50→45 37 182/242/275 93284 66 36% 6% 39 -2.5 204/253/323 119282 115 30% 6% 56 -1.3 204/258/34313924718925%6%60-0.7
Jason Lopez
2018 · A
20 40 38→55 47→45 44 192/261/269 76264 59 28% 7% 46 -2.0 207/248/334 127286 136 31% 5% 57 -1.2 189/235/31412426513833%5%43-0.9
Jose Ramos
2021 · A
20 43→42 38→50 48→45 41 206/270/283 78285 59 28% 6% 53 -1.5 214/277/356 142321 164 36% 7% 76 +0.0 203/271/34914630418437%7%69-0.3
Jose Cordoba
2023 · A
20 37 41→45 44→55 39 187/251/282 95271 109 33% 6% 46 -2.0 202/259/294 92279 611 28% 6% 51 -1.7 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
Jose Meza
2023 · A
20 41→34 41→45 48→50 40 199/264/295 96283 910 32% 6% 54 -1.4 202/295/301 99301 98 33% 10% 69 -0.4 182/291/2769427591033%11%61-0.6
Christian Cairo
2021 · A
20 39→46 35→40 48→60 44 183/264/241 59277 29 32% 8% 40 -2.4 186/288/267 81287 615 33% 11% 59 -1.1 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
Rafael Morel
2022 · A
20 38 40 51→50 39 187/248/282 94270 813 32% 6% 43 -2.2 195/260/276 81313 710 37% 7% 47 -1.9 186/257/26579290101037%7%41-1.1
Frankeny Fernandez
2017 · A
20 36 38→40 53→60 42 174/248/255 81275 519 36% 8% 37 -2.6 193/258/268 75281 510 31% 7% 44 -2.1 172/238/215432393627%7%20-1.1
Robert Gonzalez
2021 · A
20 42 40→45 54→60 47 195/295/296 102308 78 35% 10% 69 -0.4 201/299/281 80274 617 26% 10% 66 -0.6 179/307/2264622443020%12%56-0.5
Braulio Vasquez
2019 · A
20 43 38→45 47→65 40 207/259/281 74295 511 30% 6% 47 -1.9 190/259/265 75304 615 36% 7% 44 -2.1 192/271/2707829353233%7%47-0.7
Jase Bowen
2021 · A
20 41→38 36→50 50→55 39 192/247/263 71293 38 34% 6% 37 -2.6 188/245/287 99290 1014 37% 5% 43 -2.2 200/250/342142290172436%5%57-0.7
Jorge Alcantara
2012 · A
20 45 40→45 52→50 42 210/275/309 99310 712 33% 7% 62 -0.9 192/263/287 95292 714 34% 8% 52 -1.6 147/226/2449722162534%8%24-0.9
Narciso Crook
2015 · A
20 41→44 42→55 55→50 35 200/245/302 103313 914 38% 5% 46 -2.0 186/224/283 97289 910 37% 4% 33 -2.9 198/275/352154301191538%7%71-0.2
Ismael Alcantara
2019 · A
20 39→28 38→45 51→50 41 185/255/266 81281 513 34% 7% 43 -2.2 211/277/317 106330 915 36% 7% 64 -0.8 193/256/311118287121635%6%52-0.7
Leonel Espinoza
2023 · A
20 38→44 40 50→55 41 188/259/274 86266 711 31% 6% 46 -2.0 209/272/298 89302 714 31% 6% 58 -1.2 202/259/2939029281832%5%47-1.0
Jeudy Valdez
2009 · A
20 42→43 38→50 51→55 38 202/255/280 78291 512 31% 5% 45 -2.1 197/242/298 101277 816 30% 5% 44 -2.1 211/245/356146279161730%3%58-1.0
Rodolfo Castro
2019 · A
20 38→40 43→55 47→50 36 194/233/304 111269 105 32% 4% 42 -2.3 197/238/344 147275 176 34% 5% 56 -1.3 205/272/358153266191130%7%72-0.2