Cristopher Larez

SS DSL Mets Orange

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	17	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	97	.274/.358/.405	1	9	27	—	.161/.232/.218
2025	19	ROKDSL Mets Oran…	61	.188/.361/.312	1	3	27	—	.118/.262/.216
2027PROJMLE	21	MLB—	171	.194/.279/.278	2	3	61	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLB—	24	.198/.283/.288	0	0	64	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%83

BB%69

ISO66

wOBA48

wRC+46

Speed36

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 30 proj PA

wRC+61

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .277 / .275

PA30

HR0

K%32

BB%9

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	97	84	23	8	0	1	10	29	1	9	3	274	358	405	763	131	393	30	10	337	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Mets Orange	—	61	48	9	3	0	1	10	18	3	3	2	188	361	312	673	125	276	30	16	322	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	97	87	14	5	0	0	7	36	1	9	3	161	232	218	450	57	249	37	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	61	51	6	2	0	1	7	23	3	3	2	118	262	216	478	98	178	38	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	97	87	14	5	0	0	7	36	1	9	3	161	232	218	450	57	264	37	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	97	84	23	8	0	1	10	29	1	9	3	274	358	405	763	131	393	30	10	337	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	61	51	6	2	0	1	7	23	3	3	2	118	262	216	478	98	185	38	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	—	61	48	9	3	0	1	10	18	3	3	2	188	361	312	673	125	276	30	16	322	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	97	89	14	5	0	0	7	36	1	9	3	157	232	213	445	56	249	37	7	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	61	51	6	2	0	1	7	23	3	3	2	118	262	216	478	98	178	38	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	—	61	51	6	2	0	1	7	23	3	3	2	118	262	216	478	98	178	38	11	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	—	0%	171	151	30	6	1	2	15	55	3	3	1	194	279	278	557	84	290	32	9	258	61	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	—	34%	70	63	13	3	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	198	283	288	571	90	291	31	9	263	64	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	—	34%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	198	283	288	571	90	291	33	8	263	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	182	250	227	477	45	286	33	8	263	41	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	108	27	0	0	54	217	0	0	0	181	249	227	476	45	285	33	8	263	41	-28	+0	+0	+7	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	258	227	38	11	0	2	23	91	6	13	5	167	262	242	504	75	265	35	9	229	41	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	96	28	0	5	58	229	15	33	13	168	262	243	505	75	265	35	9	229	41	-28	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 DSLDSL Mets Orange · 61 PAwOBA .315 → .208 (−107)K% 29.5% → 36.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.51%	÷0.974	×1.220	—	—	36.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.39%	÷0.971	×0.700	—	×0.995	11.76%
HBP% /PA	4.92%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	3.43%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.012	×0.680	—	×0.995	11.14%
Doubles /BIP	10.00%	÷0.944	×0.600	—	×0.995	6.32%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.057	×0.600	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.33%	÷0.873	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.79%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 111, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .315 → .208; ISO .125 → .071; BABIP .276 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Mets Orange · 97 PAwOBA .336 → .208 (−128)K% 29.9% → 37.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.90%	÷0.975	×1.220	—	—	37.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.31%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.01%
HBP% /PA	1.03%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.74%
Singles /BIP	25.45%	÷1.020	×0.680	×0.977	×1.022	16.97%
Doubles /BIP	14.55%	÷1.012	×0.600	×0.977	×1.022	8.62%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.949	×0.600	×0.977	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.82%	÷1.084	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.81%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 90, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .336 → .208; ISO .131 → .070; BABIP .393 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).