Andrews Sosa — OGILVIE

Andrews SosaC FCL Astros

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .266 / .284

PA6

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	55	43	10	1	0	0	9	11	3	4	2	233	400	256	656	23	312	20	16	326	107	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	141	113	29	4	0	2	23	23	2	6	4	257	391	345	736	88	297	16	16	338	115	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	55	49	10	2	0	0	3	9	2	0	0	204	278	245	523	41	244	16	5	243	51	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	80	69	15	4	1	1	9	27	1	1	0	217	316	348	664	130	333	34	11	300	89	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	55	47	8	1	0	0	5	16	3	4	2	170	291	191	482	21	257	29	9	231	42	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	141	122	23	3	0	2	14	33	2	6	4	189	283	262	545	74	221	23	10	242	50	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	55	50	7	1	0	0	2	13	2	0	0	140	204	160	364	20	194	24	4	178	7	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	80	72	10	2	1	1	6	40	1	1	0	139	215	236	451	97	267	50	8	190	15	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	55	47	8	1	0	0	5	16	3	4	2	170	291	191	482	21	258	29	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	—	55	43	10	1	0	0	9	11	3	4	2	233	400	256	656	23	312	20	16	326	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	141	122	23	3	0	2	14	33	2	6	4	189	283	262	545	74	233	23	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	141	113	29	4	0	2	23	23	2	6	4	257	391	345	736	88	297	16	16	338	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	55	50	7	1	0	0	2	13	2	0	0	140	204	160	364	20	184	24	4	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	55	49	10	2	0	0	3	9	2	0	0	204	278	245	523	41	244	16	5	243	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	80	72	10	2	1	1	6	40	1	1	0	139	215	236	451	97	281	50	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	80	69	15	4	1	1	9	27	1	1	0	217	316	348	664	130	333	34	11	300	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	55	47	8	1	0	0	5	16	3	4	2	170	291	191	482	21	257	29	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	141	124	23	3	0	2	14	33	2	6	4	185	283	258	541	73	221	23	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	55	51	7	1	0	0	2	13	2	0	0	137	204	157	361	20	194	24	4	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	80	73	10	2	1	1	6	40	1	1	0	137	215	233	448	96	267	50	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	141	124	23	3	0	2	14	33	2	6	4	185	283	258	541	73	221	23	10	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	55	51	7	1	0	0	2	13	2	0	0	137	204	157	361	20	194	24	4	178	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	80	73	10	2	1	1	6	40	1	1	0	137	215	233	448	96	267	50	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	167	167	167	333		287	33	0	253	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	158	143	29	5	1	2	12	47	2	4	1	203	274	294	568	91	288	30	8	265	66	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2028	23	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	281	255	54	9	2	5	21	81	3	7	2	212	280	322	601	110	290	29	7	274	71	-10	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	370	335	73	13	2	7	28	105	4	9	3	218	286	331	617	113	291	28	8	280	75	-11	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	423	383	84	15	2	9	32	119	5	11	3	219	288	339	628	120	291	28	8	283	78	-11	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.7
2031	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	456	413	91	16	3	10	35	129	5	12	3	220	289	346	635	126	291	28	8	284	79	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2032	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	471	426	93	16	3	10	37	133	5	12	3	218	288	340	629	122	291	28	8	285	79	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2033	28	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	476	430	94	16	3	10	38	135	5	12	3	219	290	340	629	121	290	28	8	283	78	-12	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	472	427	93	16	3	10	37	135	5	12	3	218	288	340	627	122	289	29	8	282	77	-13	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	466	421	90	15	2	10	37	135	5	11	3	214	285	330	615	116	288	29	8	279	75	-14	+1	-2	+8	+10	0.3
2036	31	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	440	397	84	14	2	9	35	128	5	11	3	212	284	325	609	113	285	29	8	275	72	-15	+1	-3	+8	+10	0.1
2037	32	MLB MLE	HOU	59%	411	371	77	13	2	8	33	122	4	10	3	208	279	318	597	111	282	30	8	269	68	-15	+1	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	54	49	10	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	204	278	306	584	102	290	30	7	258	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	136	124	27	5	1	2	10	39	1	3	1	218	281	323	604	105	292	29	7	266	71	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	195	176	39	7	1	4	15	55	2	5	1	222	290	341	631	119	293	28	8	272	75	-6	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	231	208	46	8	1	5	18	65	3	6	2	221	293	341	634	120	293	28	8	275	78	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	254	229	50	9	1	5	20	72	3	6	2	218	290	332	622	114	293	28	8	277	79	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	259	234	51	9	1	6	20	73	3	7	2	218	288	342	630	124	293	28	8	277	79	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	260	234	51	9	1	5	21	74	3	6	2	218	291	329	620	111	292	28	8	276	78	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	252	227	49	9	1	5	20	72	3	6	2	216	288	330	618	115	291	29	8	274	77	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	245	220	47	8	1	5	20	71	3	6	2	214	288	327	615	114	290	29	8	271	75	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2036	31	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	248	223	47	8	1	5	20	72	3	6	2	211	285	323	607	112	288	29	8	267	72	-8	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.0
2037	32	MLB CTX	HOU	59%	243	219	45	8	1	4	19	72	3	6	2	205	278	306	584	100	284	30	8	262	68	-9	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2377	2143	462	82	10	47	187	681	28	58	18	216	287	329	616	113	291	29	8	272	72	-70	+4	-6	+42	+52	2.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	126	22	3	13	51	186	8	16	5	215	287	329	616	114	290	29	8	272	72	-19	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4761	4298	911	155	26	93	372	1373	56	122	36	212	283	325	608	113	286	29	8	275	72	-132	+10	-10	+79	+96	4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	125	21	4	13	51	187	8	17	5	213	285	329	614	116	287	29	8	275	72	-19	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	4.3	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
/162	664	4	15	+6.9	+19.7	2.4	pk7: 11
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.7	2,451	49	60	216	283	333	+44	+28	4.1	3.8
/162	664	13	16	+11.9	+7.6	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrews Sosa (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	200/266/284	84	287	1	2	31%	7%	58	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johnni Turbo 2009 · A	20	37→47	37→40	54→55	36	184/222/257	73	263	4	13	31%	4%	33	-3.6	211/247/290	79	307	4	16	31%	4%	50	-2.3	254/283/341	87	306	5	19	18%	3%	73	-0.4
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	37→43	42→50	53→50	32	188/220/289	102	281	9	12	36%	4%	40	-3.1	199/245/307	108	298	10	10	35%	5%	54	-2.0	206/268/351	145	302	15	14	35%	6%	70	-0.6
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	32	-3.7	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	57	-1.8	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Felix Reyes 2023 · A	22	36→46	42→50	46→45	35	184/229/286	101	264	10	8	34%	4%	43	-2.8	223/259/346	123	265	14	7	21%	4%	69	-0.9	240/273/379	139	275	15	8	19%	4%	81	-0.0
✕Edgar Corcino 2012 · A	20	34→44	40→45	44→45	37	171/230/254	83	267	8	6	37%	6%	37	-3.3	197/252/293	96	298	9	6	35%	6%	53	-2.1	235/281/345	110	297	10	4	23%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2014 · A	21	36	40→55	47→50	37	182/225/273	91	248	7	7	29%	4%	38	-3.2	211/244/320	109	279	10	8	27%	4%	56	-1.9	221/248/346	125	282	12	9	26%	4%	61	-0.5
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2019 · A	21	36→45	40→50	46→45	31	176/222/262	86	307	8	6	44%	5%	35	-3.4	202/249/314	112	315	12	6	38%	5%	57	-1.8	215/287/377	162	320	23	6	38%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Granden Goetzman 2014 · A	21	38→44	39→45	53→55	40	190/239/276	86	251	7	15	27%	5%	45	-2.7	211/246/306	95	298	7	14	31%	4%	54	-2.0	213/244/319	106	283	7	25	27%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Jai Miller 2007 · A	22	38→47	38→55	48→55	40	178/248/254	77	297	6	17	40%	8%	44	-2.8	213/277/341	128	320	13	15	35%	7%	74	-0.5	219/281/365	147	315	16	14	34%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2022 · A	22	35→43	40→50	47→45	32	166/227/253	87	316	8	7	48%	6%	36	-3.4	209/265/344	135	321	16	6	38%	6%	71	-0.8	209/265/342	133	314	16	5	37%	5%	68	-0.8
✕Jhon Goncalves 2010 · A	21	39→49	37→40	48→50	39	189/245/257	68	281	5	12	33%	6%	42	-2.9	198/269/258	60	298	3	9	32%	8%	52	-2.2	202/275/273	71	279	2	12	26%	8%	57	-1.4
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	39	-3.1	171/234/292	121	290	14	4	43%	7%	48	-2.5	135/184/266	131	201	17	0	42%	5%	19	-1.1
✕Johermyn Chavez 2009 · A	20	37→47	40→50	46→45	34	182/234/272	90	284	8	8	38%	5%	42	-2.9	215/267/352	137	298	16	6	32%	5%	74	-0.6	212/275/356	144	274	17	4	29%	6%	75	-0.4
✕James Simmons 2008 · A	22	38	39→55	52→55	36	177/240/270	93	303	6	11	41%	7%	44	-2.8	194/246/286	92	334	7	16	41%	6%	50	-2.3	199/258/357	158	353	21	18	47%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Francisco Sosa 2011 · A	21	39→46	36→45	45→50	37	182/248/242	61	289	4	13	36%	6%	41	-3.0	198/250/298	100	312	9	12	37%	6%	54	-2.0	195/252/311	116	292	12	14	36%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Rymer Liriano 2011 · A	20	37→47	41→45	49→55	33	186/229/281	96	294	10	15	39%	5%	42	-2.9	235/283/354	119	322	10	26	29%	5%	79	-0.2	243/295/366	123	333	11	27	29%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Stone Garrett 2019 · A	23	35→39	40→60	51→50	28	174/211/268	94	303	8	12	44%	4%	32	-3.6	202/238/329	127	300	14	15	37%	3%	57	-1.8	221/282/389	168	300	20	11	32%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Daniel Montano 2021 · A	22	35→45	39→45	48→50	36	176/216/262	86	249	6	10	32%	5%	32	-3.6	210/275/311	101	320	8	8	34%	8%	66	-1.1	203/278/309	107	310	9	6	35%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Alexander Palma 2017 · A	21	41	41→50	47→45	38	202/229/295	93	241	8	8	21%	3%	45	-2.7	230/267/358	128	279	13	8	22%	4%	74	-0.5	241/279/389	147	289	16	7	22%	4%	83	+0.0
✕Luis Tejada 2014 · A	21	41→44	37→45	52→50	37	196/237/266	70	273	4	13	29%	4%	41	-3.0	210/253/297	87	278	7	9	26%	4%	54	-2.0	217/264/324	108	265	10	7	22%	5%	62	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps