Andrews Sosa

C FCL Astros
Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202318ROKDSL Astros Bl…141.257/.391/.3452638—.158/.268/.200
202419ROKHOU55.204/.278/.245007—.140/.204/.160
202520ROKHOU80.217/.316/.3481114—.139/.215/.236
2027PROJMLE22MLBHOU190.192/.255/.27024490.0
2028PROJ34% MLB23MLBHOU23.199/.262/.2860153-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
ISO68
Speed61
wRC+47
BB%34
wOBA28
Chase%28
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj PA
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .253 / .268
PA33
HR0
K%33
BB%7
ISO78
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +0.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202217 ROKDSL HOU Blue — 5543 10100 9113 42 233400256656 23312 2016 326 40 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Astros Blue — 141113 29402 23232 64 257391345736 88297 1616 338 38 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Astros — 5549 10200 392 00 204278245523 41244 165 243 7 — — — — — —
202520 ROKFCL Astros — 8069 15411 9271 10 217316348664 130333 3411 300 14 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202217 ROK MLEDSL HOU Blue — 5546 8100 6133 42 174309196505 22218 2411 227 40 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 141120 19201 16282 64 158268200468 42183 2011 224 38 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 5550 7100 2132 00 140204160364 20196 244 179 7 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 8072 10211 6401 10 139215236451 97266 508 189 14 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL HOU Blue — 5546 8100 6133 42 174309196505 22242 2411 227 40 — — — — — —
202217 ROK RAWDSL HOU Blue — 5543 10100 9113 42 233400256656 23312 2016 326 40 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 141120 19201 16282 64 158268200468 42191 2011 224 38 — — — — — —
202318 ROK RAWDSL Astros Blue — 141113 29402 23232 64 257391345736 88297 1616 338 38 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 5550 7100 2132 00 140204160364 20184 244 179 7 — — — — — —
202419 ROK RAWFCL Astros — 5549 10200 392 00 204278245523 41244 165 243 7 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 8072 10211 6401 10 139215236451 97281 508 189 14 — — — — — —
202520 ROK RAWFCL Astros — 8069 15411 9271 10 217316348664 130333 3411 300 14 — — — — — —
202217 ROK MLEDSL HOU Blue — 5546 8100 6133 42 174309196505 22218 2411 227 40 — — — — — —
202318 ROK MLEDSL Astros Blue — 141122 19201 16282 64 156268197465 41183 2011 224 38 — — — — — —
202419 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 5551 7100 2132 00 137204157361 20196 244 179 7 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 8073 10211 6401 10 137215233448 96266 508 189 14 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202419 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 5551 7100 2132 00 137204157361 20196 244 179 7 — — — — — —
202520 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 8073 10211 6401 10 137215233448 96266 508 189 14 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202722 MLB MLEHOU 0% 190174 33612 12642 41 192255270525 78288 346 240 49 -12 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202823 MLB MLEHOU 34% 6762 12201 4221 21 196260282542 86289 336 247 53 -4 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202823 MLB CTXHOU 34% 2321 4100 280 10 199262286548 88293 359 250 53 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 2321 4100 280 10 190261238499 48308 359 250 33 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 1132800 572260 280 191262238499 47308 359 250 33 -36 +6 +0 +12 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 431381 61913 361279 147 160249213461 52227 298 217 33 -6 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650575 931425 5419214 2111 162251219470 57228 308 217 33 -37 +1 +0 +12 +14 -1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Astros · 80 PAwOBA .296 → .189 (−107)K% 33.8% → 49.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.75%÷0.984×1.440——49.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.25%÷0.992×0.620—×0.9957.00%
HBP% /PA1.25%—×0.720—×0.9950.90%
Singles /BIP21.43%÷0.956×0.820—×0.99518.28%
Doubles /BIP9.52%÷0.982×0.720—×0.9956.95%
Triples /BIP2.38%÷1.030×0.720—×0.9951.66%
Home runs /BIP2.38%÷1.023×0.780—×0.9951.81%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 96, 3B 106, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .296 → .189; ISO .130 → .078; BABIP .333 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Astros · 55 PAwOBA .242 → .179 (−62)K% 16.4% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.36%÷1.006×1.440——23.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.45%÷1.033×0.620—×1.0083.30%
HBP% /PA3.64%—×0.720—×1.0082.64%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.984×0.820×0.983×1.00816.51%
Doubles /BIP5.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.983×1.0083.57%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.936×0.720×0.983×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.111×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 87, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .242 → .179; ISO .041 → .028; BABIP .244 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Astros Blue · 141 PAwOBA .337 → .224 (−113)K% 16.3% → 19.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.31%÷1.005×1.220——19.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.31%÷0.992×0.700—×1.00811.59%
HBP% /PA1.42%—×0.700—×1.0081.00%
Singles /BIP25.56%÷1.034×0.680×0.963×1.00816.30%
Doubles /BIP4.44%÷1.077×0.600×0.963×1.0082.40%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.030×0.600×0.963×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP2.22%÷0.950×0.470—×1.0081.11%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 107, 2B 115, 3B 106, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .337 → .224; ISO .088 → .048; BABIP .297 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL HOU Blue · 55 PAwOBA .319 → .227 (−92)K% 20.0% → 24.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.00%÷1.001×1.220——24.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.36%÷1.027×0.700—×1.02211.40%
HBP% /PA5.45%—×0.700—×1.0223.90%
Singles /BIP28.12%÷0.980×0.680—×1.02219.95%
Doubles /BIP3.12%÷1.015×0.600—×1.0221.89%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600—×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.989×0.470—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .319 → .227; ISO .023 → .015; BABIP .312 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).