Kaden Carpenter

RF Hickory Crawdads
Age 24 L/L A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202623ATEX135.229/.396/.4766884—.186/.313/.381
2027PROJMLE24MLBTEX200.210/.290/.34756800.0
2028PROJ29% MLB25MLBTEX33.214/.293/.3571182-0.0
Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Speed94
ISO93
wRC+88
BB%88
wOBA86
Chase%76
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA
wRC+†80
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .287 / .343
PA66
HR2
K%31
BB%8
ISO137
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +1.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.00.02728
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202623 AHickory Crawdads — 135105 24426 24345 82 229396476872 248273 2518 386 84 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202623 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 135113 21325 16465 82 186313381694 195238 3412 293 84 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 135113 21325 16465 82 186313381694 195254 3412 293 84 — — — — — —
202623 A RAWHickory Crawdads — 135105 24426 24345 82 229396476872 248273 2518 386 84 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 135113 21325 16465 82 186313381694 195238 3412 293 84 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202623 A MLEHickory Crawdads — 135113 21325 16465 82 186313381694 195238 3412 293 84 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLETEX 0% 200178 37625 17623 61 210290347636 137289 318 287 80 -5 +1 +0 -2 +4 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLETEX 29% 113100 22413 10352 41 212292351643 139289 319 289 82 -2 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
202825 MLB CTXTEX 29% 3330 6101 3100 10 214293357650 144289 309 292 82 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3330 6101 3100 10 200273333606 133263 309 292 83 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 11920020 591970 200 201274337611 135265 309 292 83 -14 +4 +0 -7 +14 -0.3
Career— MLE — 314272 569410 321018 143 206308379686 173282 3210 290 83 -4 +1 +0 -2 +4 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650563 11619821 6620917 296 206308380688 174282 3210 290 83 -15 +3 +0 -7 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHickory Crawdads · 135 PAwOBA .380 → .293 (−87)K% 25.2% → 34.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.19%÷1.000×1.360——34.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.78%÷1.000×0.690—×0.99012.14%
HBP% /PA3.70%—×0.780—×0.9902.86%
Singles /BIP16.90%÷1.000×0.920×1.002×0.99015.42%
Doubles /BIP5.63%÷1.000×0.830×1.002×0.9904.64%
Triples /BIP2.82%÷1.000×0.910×1.002×0.9902.54%
Home runs /BIP8.45%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9906.69%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .380 → .293; ISO .248 → .194; BABIP .273 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).