Darwin De Leon — OGILVIE

Darwin De LeonSS FCL Astros

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 156 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .289 / .301

PA5

HR0

K%27

BB%8

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	95	26	2	0	5	13	17	1	9	3	274	367	453	820	179	280	15	12	360	130	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	104	33	6	0	4	23	21	7	10	3	317	470	490	961	173	367	16	17	433	179	+13	+1	—	—	+3	1.7
2025	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	48	13	3	1	0	12	10	0	2	2	271	403	375	778	104	342	16	19	355	126	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	101	20	1	0	4	7	25	1	9	3	198	257	327	584	129	217	23	6	266	66	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	113	26	5	0	2	14	29	7	10	3	230	351	327	678	97	282	22	10	304	92	-1	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	54	11	2	1	0	8	15	0	2	2	204	306	278	584	74	279	24	13	263	64	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	101	20	1	0	4	7	25	1	9	3	198	257	327	584	129	216	23	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	95	26	2	0	5	13	17	1	9	3	274	367	453	820	179	280	15	12	360	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	113	26	5	0	2	14	29	7	10	3	230	351	327	678	97	293	22	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	104	33	6	0	4	23	21	7	10	3	317	470	490	961	173	367	16	17	433	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	54	11	2	1	0	8	15	0	2	2	204	306	278	584	74	282	24	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	62	48	13	3	1	0	12	10	0	2	2	271	403	375	778	104	342	16	19	355	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	102	20	1	0	4	7	25	1	9	3	196	257	324	580	127	217	23	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	112	26	5	0	2	14	29	7	10	3	232	351	330	681	98	282	22	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	54	11	2	1	0	8	15	0	2	2	204	306	278	584	74	279	24	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	112	26	5	0	2	14	29	7	10	3	232	351	330	681	98	282	22	10	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	54	11	2	1	0	8	15	0	2	2	204	306	278	584	74	279	24	13	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		288	20	0	272	70	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	138	123	27	5	1	2	12	36	2	2	1	220	299	325	624	106	289	26	9	281	76	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	46%	261	233	52	9	2	4	22	67	4	5	1	223	301	330	632	107	290	26	8	287	81	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	52%	339	302	67	12	2	6	29	87	5	6	1	222	301	334	635	113	291	26	9	291	83	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.5
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	391	350	79	14	2	8	33	100	5	7	1	226	302	346	647	120	291	26	8	294	85	-7	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.7
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	417	372	84	15	3	8	36	107	6	7	2	226	304	347	651	121	291	26	9	294	85	-7	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.7
2032	28	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	431	384	86	15	3	8	38	111	6	7	2	224	304	341	645	117	290	26	9	293	84	-8	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.6
2033	29	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	431	384	85	15	2	8	38	112	6	7	1	221	301	333	635	112	290	26	9	291	83	-9	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.5
2034	30	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	428	381	84	15	2	8	38	112	6	6	1	220	301	333	635	113	289	26	9	288	81	-9	+1	-2	+5	+9	0.3
2035	31	MLB MLE	HOU	59%	418	372	80	14	2	7	37	111	6	5	1	215	296	320	616	105	287	27	9	285	79	-11	+1	-3	+4	+9	0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	HOU	61%	403	360	77	13	2	7	35	108	5	4	1	214	292	319	612	106	284	27	9	279	75	-12	+0	-4	+4	+9	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	47	42	10	2	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	238	319	357	676	119	291	26	9	271	76	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	46%	120	107	24	4	1	2	10	31	2	2	0	224	303	336	639	112	293	26	8	278	81	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	52%	175	156	35	6	1	3	15	45	2	3	1	224	301	333	634	109	293	26	9	282	83	-3	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	212	189	43	8	1	4	18	54	3	4	1	228	305	344	649	116	293	25	8	284	85	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	226	201	45	8	1	4	20	58	3	4	1	224	304	333	637	109	293	26	9	284	85	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	234	209	47	9	1	4	20	60	3	4	1	225	302	335	637	110	292	26	9	283	84	-4	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.3
2033	29	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	229	204	45	8	1	4	20	59	3	4	1	221	300	328	628	108	292	26	9	281	83	-5	+0	-1	+2	+5	0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	243	217	48	9	1	4	21	64	3	3	1	221	299	327	626	106	291	26	9	279	81	-5	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	HOU	59%	248	221	48	9	1	4	22	66	3	3	1	217	297	321	618	104	289	27	9	275	79	-6	+0	-2	+3	+5	0.0
2036	32	MLB CTX	HOU	61%	247	220	47	8	1	4	22	66	3	3	1	214	294	314	608	100	286	27	9	270	75	-7	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1981	1766	392	71	9	34	172	515	26	31	8	222	300	330	631	108	292	26	9	279	81	-43	+3	-6	+21	+43	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	128	23	3	11	56	169	9	10	3	221	300	328	628	107	291	26	9	279	81	-14	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3969	3534	779	135	22	72	347	1021	59	77	20	220	301	332	633	112	287	26	9	288	81	-80	+6	-10	+39	+79	3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	128	22	4	12	57	167	10	13	3	221	302	335	637	114	288	26	9	288	81	-14	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.1	2,044	37	32	223	298	337	+22	+18	3.4	3.2
/162	664	12	10	+7.1	+5.8	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darwin De Leon (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	211/289/301	90	288	1	1	27%	8%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Devin Mann 2019 · A	22	44	38→50	46→45	48	208/284/291	83	279	5	9	26%	9%	65	-1.2	218/288/366	148	285	17	7	28%	8%	84	+0.2	210/294/364	154	277	16	4	29%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→48	39→45	48→50	45	182/274/268	86	264	6	10	31%	8%	58	-1.7	206/278/301	95	283	7	11	28%	7%	66	-1.1	217/289/313	96	287	8	16	26%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A	22	40	37→50	50→30	45	190/266/263	73	266	4	7	28%	8%	53	-2.1	211/295/322	111	281	11	5	27%	8%	78	-0.3	208/306/343	135	260	16	3	25%	9%	85	+0.1
✕Anthony Seigler 2021 · A	22	42→39	37→45	49→55	47	200/278/275	74	283	5	6	29%	9%	60	-1.6	192/289/299	107	272	9	9	30%	11%	70	-0.8	219/309/345	126	268	10	25	21%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/298/304	85	284	8	4	24%	7%	74	-0.5	216/302/271	55	271	5	1	21%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	44	40	50	39	211/267/307	95	311	8	8	33%	6%	63	-1.4	201/290/309	108	293	11	12	33%	9%	74	-0.6	213/316/315	101	301	9	14	29%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→49	37→45	48→45	44	187/265/261	75	278	4	7	32%	8%	52	-2.2	212/285/310	98	296	8	5	29%	8%	70	-0.8	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Nate Easley 2018 · A	22	42	40→45	52→50	45	204/268/297	93	284	7	13	29%	8%	61	-1.5	198/251/292	94	304	7	11	35%	7%	53	-2.1	202/252/308	106	290	8	10	32%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Jose Sibrian 2021 · A	22	43	38→50	49→30	39	204/261/283	79	291	5	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/258/283	79	271	6	3	26%	5%	54	-2.0	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	53	-2.1	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	71	-0.8	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Raul Beracierta 2021 · A	22	46	40→50	50	45	218/288/314	95	304	7	8	29%	8%	72	-0.7	218/267/347	129	329	14	6	36%	5%	72	-0.7	216/262/355	138	319	17	3	36%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	63	-1.4	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	57	-1.8	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	33	-1.0
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	42	40→45	49→40	43	204/260/298	94	268	7	6	26%	6%	58	-1.7	192/251/306	114	277	11	4	33%	6%	57	-1.8	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Jace Jung 2023 · A	22	44→42	39→50	50→40	50	208/292/300	92	296	6	7	29%	10%	71	-0.8	215/300/370	155	288	18	4	30%	10%	90	+0.6	208/298/364	156	272	18	3	29%	11%	86	+0.3
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A	22	42	37→45	51→50	45	200/253/283	83	254	3	11	22%	6%	51	-2.2	203/251/281	78	279	3	11	27%	6%	50	-2.3	195/231/264	69	262	0	19	24%	4%	37	-0.6
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→43	39→45	52→50	48	212/289/294	82	293	6	13	28%	9%	68	-1.0	203/272/311	108	268	11	10	27%	8%	65	-1.2	194/265/303	109	253	11	10	27%	8%	60	-1.3
✕Wynton Bernard 2013 · A	22	43→53	39→45	52→60	42	206/267/294	87	298	6	10	31%	7%	59	-1.6	241/291/332	91	319	5	19	24%	6%	76	-0.4	250/298/375	125	305	12	37	21%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps