Darwin De Leon — OGILVIE

Darwin De LeonSS FCL Astros

Age 22 R/R 5'9" / 156 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .289 / .299

PA62

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO89

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.4M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	102	22	1	0	5	6	26	1	9	3	216	266	373	639	157	233	23	5	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	95	26	2	0	5	13	17	1	9	3	274	367	453	820	179	280	15	12	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	113	26	5	0	2	14	28	7	10	3	230	351	327	678	97	289	21	10	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	104	33	6	0	4	23	21	7	10	3	317	470	490	961	173	367	16	17	433	190	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	54	11	2	1	0	8	15	0	2	2	204	306	278	584	74	282	24	13	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	48	13	3	1	0	12	10	0	2	2	271	403	375	778	104	342	16	19	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	HOU	—	62	56	12	2	0	1	5	17	1	1	0	214	290	304	594	89	288	27	8	272	66	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	HOU	34%	138	123	27	5	1	2	12	36	2	2	1	220	299	325	624	106	290	26	9	281	73	-4	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
2028	24	MLB	HOU	46%	261	233	52	9	2	4	22	67	4	5	1	223	301	330	632	107	291	26	8	287	78	-7	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2029	25	MLB	HOU	52%	339	302	67	12	2	6	29	87	5	6	1	222	301	334	635	113	291	26	9	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2030	26	MLB	HOU	54%	391	350	79	14	2	8	33	100	5	7	1	226	302	346	647	120	291	26	8	293	83	-8	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.9
2031	27	MLB	HOU	54%	417	372	83	15	2	8	36	107	6	7	2	223	302	339	641	116	291	26	9	293	83	-8	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.9
2032	28	MLB	HOU	54%	431	384	87	16	3	8	38	111	6	7	2	227	306	346	652	120	291	26	9	292	82	-9	+1	-1	+5	+12	0.8
2033	29	MLB	HOU	58%	431	384	86	16	2	8	38	112	6	7	1	224	304	339	642	115	290	26	9	291	81	-9	+1	-1	+5	+12	0.7
2034	30	MLB	HOU	60%	428	381	84	15	2	8	38	112	6	6	1	220	301	333	635	113	289	26	9	288	79	-10	+1	-2	+5	+12	0.5
2035	31	MLB	HOU	62%	418	372	81	15	2	7	37	111	6	5	1	218	299	325	624	108	287	27	9	284	76	-11	+1	-3	+4	+12	0.3
2036	32	MLB	HOU	63%	403	360	78	14	2	7	35	108	5	4	1	217	295	325	620	108	284	27	9	279	72	-13	+0	-4	+4	+11	-0.0
2027	23	MLB	HOU	34%	47	42	10	2	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	238	319	357	676	119	292	26	9	273	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	24	MLB	HOU	46%	120	107	24	4	1	2	10	31	2	2	0	224	303	336	639	112	293	26	8	279	72	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	25	MLB	HOU	52%	175	156	36	7	1	3	15	45	2	3	1	231	306	346	653	115	294	26	9	283	75	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2030	26	MLB	HOU	54%	212	189	43	8	1	4	18	54	3	4	1	228	305	344	649	116	294	25	8	286	77	-6	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.3
2031	27	MLB	HOU	54%	226	201	45	8	1	4	20	58	3	4	1	224	304	333	637	109	294	26	9	286	77	-6	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.3
2032	28	MLB	HOU	54%	234	209	48	9	1	5	20	60	3	4	1	230	306	354	660	124	293	26	9	285	76	-6	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	29	MLB	HOU	58%	248	221	50	9	1	5	22	64	3	4	1	226	305	344	649	118	293	26	9	283	75	-7	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2034	30	MLB	HOU	60%	257	228	51	9	1	5	23	67	4	4	1	224	306	338	644	114	292	26	9	281	73	-8	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2035	31	MLB	HOU	62%	257	229	50	9	1	5	23	68	3	3	1	218	298	332	630	114	290	26	9	277	70	-9	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.0
2036	32	MLB	HOU	63%	252	225	48	9	1	4	22	68	3	3	1	213	292	316	608	102	287	27	9	272	66	-10	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2028	1807	405	74	9	38	177	527	27	32	8	224	303	338	641	114	293	26	9	281	73	-61	+3	-6	+22	+57	1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	130	24	3	12	57	169	9	10	3	225	304	339	643	114	294	26	9	281	73	-20	+1	-2	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	4026	3586	795	141	21	74	351	1037	60	78	20	222	302	335	636	113	289	26	9	288	79	-97	+8	-10	+43	+114	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	128	23	3	12	57	167	10	13	3	221	302	333	635	112	288	26	9	288	79	-16	+1	-2	+7	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	95	26	2	0	5	13	17	1	9	3	274	367	453	820	179	280	15	12	360	134	+4	+1	—	—	+3	0.8
2023	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	104	33	6	0	4	23	21	7	10	3	317	470	490	961	173	367	16	17	433	190	+14	+1	—	—	+4	1.9
2025	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	48	13	3	1	0	12	10	0	2	2	271	403	375	778	104	342	16	19	355	130	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,092	37	33	223	298	336	+22	+18	3.1	3.0
	/162	664	12	10	223	298	336	+7.1	+5.7	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Darwin De Leon (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	211/289/299	88	288	1	1	27%	8%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Corey Joyce 2021 · A	22	45	40→45	50	40	213/269/309	96	308	8	8	32%	6%	59	-1.1	202/290/319	117	298	12	12	34%	9%	72	-0.2	214/316/327	113	306	11	14	30%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A	22	44→45	41→50	48→50	51	208/295/315	107	257	6	8	21%	9%	72	-0.2	200/283/336	136	266	14	9	29%	8%	74	-0.1	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	42	40→55	50→40	43	203/279/294	91	279	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	209/281/354	145	278	18	4	31%	7%	78	+0.2	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→42	39→45	52→50	47	213/289/296	83	296	6	13	28%	9%	65	-0.7	199/271/311	112	267	12	10	28%	8%	61	-1.0	182/255/295	113	247	12	11	30%	8%	48	-1.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→50	37→45	48→45	45	189/266/266	77	278	4	7	31%	8%	47	-1.9	210/282/308	98	299	8	5	30%	8%	65	-0.7	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Raul Beracierta 2021 · A	22	46	40→50	50	45	218/288/314	95	304	7	8	29%	8%	69	-0.4	214/263/346	132	326	14	6	37%	5%	66	-0.6	208/254/349	141	310	17	3	37%	5%	59	-0.4
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Bryan Lavastida 2021 · A	22	47→44	38→45	46→55	46	221/291/303	81	299	5	8	26%	8%	66	-0.6	220/287/340	120	289	12	13	26%	7%	75	-0.0	219/292/337	118	281	12	27	25%	8%	74	-0.1
✕Stevie Berman 2017 · A	22	45	37→50	48→40	45	212/278/285	72	281	4	6	25%	7%	57	-1.2	213/271/299	86	269	7	4	22%	6%	57	-1.2	203/292/318	115	246	13	2	22%	9%	70	-0.1
✕Carlos Narváez 2021 · A	22	47→45	38→50	48→45	46	219/291/300	81	314	5	6	30%	9%	66	-0.6	193/280/309	116	304	13	5	37%	10%	66	-0.6	212/294/349	136	285	16	6	29%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	38→40	53→60	49	182/289/262	80	287	6	16	35%	11%	58	-1.2	202/293/281	79	297	5	23	30%	10%	63	-0.8	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	44→48	43→45	51→50	41	215/278/328	113	300	10	11	30%	6%	68	-0.5	198/268/323	125	313	14	12	39%	7%	63	-0.8	237/319/364	126	339	12	15	31%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Dustin Garneau 2010 · A	22	44→37	39→50	51→45	47	210/289/298	89	279	6	6	25%	8%	66	-0.6	198/266/315	117	251	10	5	24%	7%	59	-1.1	171/262/347	177	214	22	1	31%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Devin Mann 2019 · A	22	45→46	38→55	46→45	49	211/289/293	82	282	5	9	25%	9%	64	-0.8	217/288/371	154	285	18	7	29%	8%	84	+0.6	213/296/385	172	282	20	4	30%	9%	89	+0.8
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7