Darwin De Leon

SS FCL Astros

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 156 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2022	18	ROKDSL HOU Orange	111	.274/.367/.453	5	9	36	—	.170/.239/.270
2023	19	ROKDSL Astros Or…	134	.317/.470/.490	4	10	70	—	.189/.328/.252
2025	21	ROKHOU	62	.271/.403/.375	0	2	61	—	.200/.290/.273
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBHOU	172	.207/.282/.288	1	2	63	0.0
2028PROJ29% MLB	24	MLBHOU	19	.213/.287/.302	0	0	66	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

wRC+88

BB%85

Chase%84

K%77

wOBA74

Speed63

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 30 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .279 / .285

PA30

HR0

K%28

BB%9

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	95	26	2	0	5	13	17	1	9	3	274	367	453	820	179	280	15	12	360	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	104	33	6	0	4	23	21	7	10	3	317	470	490	961	173	367	16	17	433	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	FCL Astros	—	62	48	13	3	1	0	12	10	0	2	2	271	403	375	778	104	342	16	19	355	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	100	17	1	0	3	8	21	1	9	3	170	239	270	509	100	175	19	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	111	21	4	0	1	16	25	7	10	3	189	328	252	581	63	228	19	12	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	55	11	2	1	0	7	15	0	2	2	200	290	273	563	73	272	24	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	100	17	1	0	3	8	21	1	9	3	170	239	270	509	100	179	19	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	95	26	2	0	5	13	17	1	9	3	274	367	453	820	179	280	15	12	360	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	111	21	4	0	1	16	25	7	10	3	189	328	252	581	63	235	19	12	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	104	33	6	0	4	23	21	7	10	3	317	470	490	961	173	367	16	17	433	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	55	11	2	1	0	7	15	0	2	2	200	290	273	563	73	275	24	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	62	48	13	3	1	0	12	10	0	2	2	271	403	375	778	104	342	16	19	355	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	111	101	17	1	0	3	8	21	1	9	3	168	239	267	506	99	175	19	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	134	110	21	4	0	1	16	25	7	10	3	191	328	255	583	64	228	19	12	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	55	11	2	1	0	7	15	0	2	2	200	290	273	563	73	272	24	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	62	55	11	2	1	0	7	15	0	2	2	200	290	273	563	73	272	24	11	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	172	154	32	6	2	1	15	48	1	2	1	207	282	288	569	81	289	28	9	261	63	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	29%	64	58	13	2	1	1	6	18	0	1	0	210	285	297	582	87	290	28	9	266	66	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	29%	19	17	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	213	287	302	589	89	294	26	11	269	66	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	19	17	4	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	235	316	294	610	59	333	26	11	269	58	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	137	34	0	0	68	171	0	0	0	235	315	294	609	58	333	26	10	269	58	-26	+0	+0	+7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	401	351	67	10	2	5	40	87	8	22	8	191	288	274	562	83	238	22	10	254	58	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	108	16	3	8	65	141	13	36	13	190	287	271	558	81	236	22	10	254	58	-27	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Astros · 62 PAwOBA .347 → .258 (−89)K% 16.1% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.13%	÷0.984	×1.440	—	—	23.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.35%	÷0.992	×0.620	—	×0.975	11.80%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.68%	÷0.956	×0.820	—	×0.975	19.80%
Doubles /BIP	7.89%	÷0.982	×0.720	—	×0.975	5.64%
Triples /BIP	2.63%	÷1.030	×0.720	—	×0.975	1.79%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.023	×0.780	—	×0.975	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 96, 3B 106, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .347 → .258; ISO .104 → .077; BABIP .342 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Astros Orange · 134 PAwOBA .423 → .272 (−151)K% 15.7% → 18.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.67%	÷1.039	×1.220	—	—	18.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.16%	÷0.997	×0.700	—	×0.985	11.87%
HBP% /PA	5.22%	—	×0.700	—	×0.985	3.60%
Singles /BIP	27.71%	÷0.982	×0.680	×0.950	×0.985	17.95%
Doubles /BIP	7.23%	÷0.905	×0.600	×0.950	×0.985	4.49%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.950	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.82%	÷1.330	×0.470	—	×0.985	1.68%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 96, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 108, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .423 → .272; ISO .173 → .081; BABIP .367 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL HOU Orange · 111 PAwOBA .357 → .222 (−135)K% 15.3% → 19.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.32%	÷0.978	×1.220	—	—	19.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.71%	÷1.127	×0.700	—	×0.995	7.24%
HBP% /PA	0.90%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.63%
Singles /BIP	24.36%	÷0.978	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	16.01%
Doubles /BIP	2.56%	÷1.051	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	1.38%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.035	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.41%	÷0.912	×0.470	—	×0.995	3.29%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 107, K 96, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .357 → .222; ISO .179 → .096; BABIP .280 → .175. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).