Anthony Stephan
OF Dayton Dragons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+/ROKCIN | 363 | .248/.359/.395 | 7 | 9 | 71 | — | .207/.295/.320 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+CIN | 24 | .316/.458/.421 | 0 | 0 | 103 | — | .300/.417/.400 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBCIN | 200 | .214/.289/.323 | 3 | 3 | 74 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBCIN | 19 | .218/.293/.336 | 0 | 0 | 77 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 342 | 290 | 71 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 72 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 245 | 352 | 397 | 749 | 152 | 299 | 21 | 11 | 336 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 21 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 476 | 375 | 851 | 62 | 385 | 14 | 19 | 401 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 24 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 458 | 421 | 879 | 105 | 462 | 25 | 21 | 401 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 342 | 302 | 62 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 92 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 205 | 290 | 321 | 611 | 116 | 269 | 27 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 21 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 381 | 294 | 675 | 59 | 290 | 19 | 14 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 24 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 417 | 400 | 817 | 100 | 414 | 33 | 17 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 319 | 67 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 96 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 210 | 298 | 323 | 621 | 113 | 281 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 363 | 306 | 76 | 20 | 2 | 7 | 43 | 75 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 248 | 359 | 395 | 755 | 147 | 304 | 21 | 12 | 340 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 24 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 417 | 400 | 817 | 100 | 500 | 33 | 17 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 24 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 458 | 421 | 879 | 105 | 462 | 25 | 21 | 401 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 320 | 67 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 96 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 209 | 298 | 322 | 620 | 113 | 270 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 24 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 417 | 400 | 817 | 100 | 414 | 33 | 17 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 320 | 67 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 96 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 209 | 298 | 322 | 620 | 113 | 270 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 24 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 417 | 400 | 817 | 100 | 414 | 33 | 17 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | CIN | 0% | 200 | 179 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 51 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 289 | 323 | 612 | 110 | 276 | 26 | 8 | 278 | 74 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | CIN | 30% | 66 | 60 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 291 | 330 | 621 | 114 | 277 | 26 | 8 | 281 | 77 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | CIN | 30% | 19 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 293 | 336 | 629 | 118 | 278 | 26 | 11 | 284 | 77 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 19 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 316 | 294 | 610 | 59 | 333 | 26 | 11 | 284 | 73 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 582 | 137 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 68 | 171 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 315 | 294 | 609 | 58 | 333 | 26 | 10 | 284 | 73 | -18 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 491 | 433 | 93 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 42 | 131 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 215 | 302 | 326 | 627 | 111 | 289 | 27 | 9 | 276 | 73 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 123 | 28 | 4 | 9 | 56 | 173 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 215 | 302 | 325 | 627 | 110 | 289 | 27 | 9 | 276 | 73 | -19 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Dayton Dragons · 24 PAwOBA .392 → .320 (−72)K% 25.0% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 14.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 34.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 6.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .392 → .320; ISO .105 → .088; BABIP .462 → .414. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Dayton Dragons · 342 PAwOBA .331 → .271 (−60)K% 21.1% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷0.999 | ×1.270 | — | — | 26.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.40% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.72% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 18.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.72% | ÷0.928 | ×0.810 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 7.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.21% | ÷1.124 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.28% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 97, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .331 → .271; ISO .152 → .120; BABIP .299 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Reds · 21 PAwOBA .393 → .285 (−108)K% 14.3% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.010 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.05% | ÷0.931 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 12.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 3.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.039 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 23.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.963 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.252 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 102, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .393 → .285; ISO .062 → .047; BABIP .385 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).