Anthony Stephan — OGILVIE

Anthony StephanOF Dayton Dragons

Age 23 L/R 5'10" / 195 lbs A+ HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 296 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .286 / .330

PA296

HR5

SB5

K%25

BB%8

BABIP277

ISO116

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	363	319	66	18	2	4	30	102	10	9	2	207	295	313	609	107	287	28	8	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	2 teams	—	363	306	76	20	2	7	43	75	10	9	2	248	359	395	755	147	304	21	12	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	CIN	—	24	20	5	0	1	0	4	8	0	0	0	250	375	350	725	100	417	33	17	311	96	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
YTD	23	A+	CIN	—	24	19	6	0	1	0	5	6	0	0	0	316	458	421	879	105	462	25	21	401	165	+2	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.2
ROS	23	A+	CIN	0%	296	267	57	12	2	5	23	75	4	5	1	213	286	330	615	116	276	25	8	276	69	-10	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.3
ROS	23	MLB	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						278	0	0	267	63	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	CIN	—	25	21	5	0	1	0	4	8	0	0	0	238	360	333	693	95	385	32	16	309	95	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
TOT	23	A+	CIN	—	320	287	62	12	3	5	27	83	4	5	1	216	292	331	623	115	285	26	8	279	71	-10	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CIN	30%	384	345	75	16	2	7	30	96	6	6	2	217	291	336	628	119	278	25	8	284	75	-11	+0	+0	-2	+11	-0.2
2028	25	MLB	CIN	44%	433	389	86	18	2	9	35	107	6	7	2	221	295	347	642	126	280	25	8	289	79	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.0
2029	26	MLB	CIN	51%	463	416	91	19	2	9	37	114	7	8	2	219	293	339	632	120	280	25	8	291	81	-10	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.1
2030	27	MLB	CIN	52%	476	427	95	20	2	10	39	117	7	8	2	222	298	349	647	126	280	25	8	292	81	-10	+1	+0	-3	+13	0.1
2027	24	MLB	CIN	30%	116	104	23	5	1	2	9	29	2	2	1	221	296	346	642	125	281	25	8	276	69	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	CIN	44%	192	172	39	8	1	4	15	47	3	3	1	227	300	355	655	128	282	24	8	281	73	-6	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	CIN	51%	235	211	47	10	1	5	19	58	3	4	1	223	296	351	647	128	283	25	8	283	75	-7	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.1
2030	27	MLB	CIN	52%	250	223	49	10	1	5	21	61	4	4	1	220	298	341	639	121	283	24	8	284	76	-7	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	794	711	158	33	4	16	64	195	12	13	4	222	297	347	645	125	282	25	8	282	74	-23	+1	+0	-5	+22	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	129	27	3	13	52	160	10	11	3	222	296	345	641	124	282	25	8	282	74	-19	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	2415	2163	470	103	12	44	194	611	40	43	11	217	294	337	631	120	280	25	8	285	76	-65	+4	+0	-14	+68	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	127	28	3	12	52	164	11	12	3	218	295	338	633	120	281	25	8	285	76	-17	+1	+0	-4	+18	-0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	342	290	71	19	2	7	39	72	9	9	2	245	352	397	749	152	299	21	11	336	115	+6	+1	—	—	+10	1.7
2025	22	ROK	ACL Reds	—	21	16	5	1	0	0	4	3	1	0	0	312	476	375	851	62	385	14	19	401	165	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	794	16	13	222	294	347	-5	+0	0.1	0.1
	/162	664	13	11	222	294	347	-4.0	+0.0	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anthony Stephan (OGILVIE)	23	40	40	45	45	216/292/331	115	285	5	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	41→45	51→55	44	215/279/319	105	286	7	13	26%	7%	66	-0.6	207/259/301	94	296	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/200/219	54	252	0	15	33%	4%	4	-0.8
✕Josh Sale 2014 · A	23	43	44→45	46→40	47	211/283/328	117	285	11	8	29%	9%	70	-0.3	202/263/295	93	360	7	4	42%	7%	53	-1.5	182/256/292	110	307	12	2	41%	8%	47	-1.0
✕Jeisson Rosario 2023 · AA	23	44→49	43→45	47→50	48	214/291/327	114	289	10	12	28%	9%	74	-0.1	204/290/309	105	312	10	12	34%	10%	69	-0.4	186/281/277	91	297	9	12	37%	11%	54	-0.9
✕Gage Green 2017 · A	24	43	40→45	46→50	40	208/269/298	90	288	9	10	30%	6%	56	-1.3	205/262/294	89	283	7	8	29%	6%	53	-1.5	175/222/236	62	232	0	0	23%	4%	22	-0.7
✕Reid Fronk 2010 · A	24	42→48	43→45	44→50	46	206/292/318	112	279	10	10	28%	8%	72	-0.2	205/290/294	89	289	5	8	28%	9%	66	-0.6	200/290/283	83	283	3	7	27%	9%	61	-0.7
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Tanner Allen 2022 · A	24	40	42→50	44→45	43	202/256/306	104	251	10	7	24%	6%	53	-1.5	204/260/310	106	250	10	7	22%	6%	56	-1.3	201/260/306	105	244	11	7	22%	6%	50	-0.8
✕Karell Paz 2023 · A	23	44	44→40	47→50	41	217/279/338	120	282	11	9	26%	5%	71	-0.3	194/271/287	93	298	6	14	34%	7%	56	-1.3	165/253/252	87	266	5	19	36%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Austin Davidson 2016 · A	23	37→40	43→45	41→45	43	188/254/291	103	226	11	8	22%	5%	50	-1.8	219/283/334	115	270	10	7	22%	7%	72	-0.2	227/291/351	124	279	11	6	22%	7%	77	+0.1
✕JT Schwartz 2023 · A	23	44→47	40→50	45	44	210/271/305	95	277	7	5	26%	7%	59	-1.1	227/293/342	115	282	10	7	22%	7%	78	+0.2	223/296/347	123	269	11	6	21%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Preston Beck 2015 · A	24	42→44	42→45	48→45	49	207/286/315	108	269	9	8	26%	9%	69	-0.4	212/271/319	107	265	9	7	22%	7%	63	-0.9	214/263/314	100	274	9	3	24%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Orlando Martinez 2021 · A	23	42→45	46→50	44→50	41	215/262/342	127	276	14	7	27%	6%	65	-0.7	217/260/340	123	296	12	8	30%	5%	63	-0.8	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→40	43→50	50→45	46	204/274/320	117	274	10	7	28%	8%	65	-0.7	211/268/334	123	297	13	5	32%	7%	66	-0.6	195/247/325	130	268	17	1	33%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Luis González 2019 · A	23	47→52	44→45	43→50	43	230/283/354	124	307	10	6	28%	7%	76	+0.1	219/277/328	109	281	11	13	25%	7%	68	-0.5	235/312/350	115	301	12	22	24%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Jake Thomas 2016 · A	23	44	39→30	49→50	47	210/289/293	83	281	7	8	26%	8%	64	-0.8	203/284/269	66	306	2	8	31%	10%	56	-1.3	195/285/252	57	302	1	8	32%	11%	49	-0.9
✕Matt Fiedler 2018 · A	23	47	40→45	47→50	44	226/281/324	98	293	7	8	25%	6%	67	-0.5	220/274/336	116	284	11	9	25%	6%	68	-0.5	205/256/344	139	244	16	10	23%	5%	59	-0.3
✕Will Frizzell 2022 · A	23	45	41→45	49→30	40	219/271/320	101	300	8	6	29%	6%	63	-0.9	225/298/361	136	338	15	3	35%	8%	85	+0.7	198/285/325	127	311	14	2	38%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A	23	42→49	41→50	48→50	40	206/271/300	94	280	10	13	29%	6%	59	-1.1	218/277/357	139	304	13	11	32%	5%	76	+0.0	212/271/361	149	298	14	9	32%	5%	71	-0.2
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0