Karell Paz — OGILVIE

Karell PazOF Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A+ H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .273 / .324

PA7

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	22	ROK	FCL Mets	—	114	97	30	4	4	4	8	18	6	5	5	309	396	557	953	247	333	16	7	405	160	+8	-1	—	—	+2	1.0
2023	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	224	188	49	10	1	4	24	50	10	10	3	261	374	388	762	128	331	22	11	347	121	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.1
2024	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	163	144	31	7	3	3	13	44	4	10	4	215	298	368	666	153	289	27	8	297	87	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	114	100	23	3	3	3	5	27	6	5	5	230	306	410	716	180	250	24	4	290	82	-2	-1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	224	194	36	8	1	2	18	75	10	10	3	186	288	268	556	82	283	33	8	261	63	-10	+1	—	—	+5	-0.4
2024	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	163	148	25	5	3	2	9	60	4	10	4	169	236	284	520	115	255	37	6	219	34	-13	+0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	114	100	23	3	3	3	5	27	6	5	5	230	306	410	716	180	274	24	4	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	114	97	30	4	4	4	8	18	6	5	5	309	396	557	953	247	333	16	7	405	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	224	194	36	8	1	2	18	75	10	10	3	186	288	268	556	82	286	33	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	224	188	49	10	1	4	24	50	10	10	3	261	374	388	762	128	331	22	11	347	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	163	148	25	5	3	2	9	60	4	10	4	169	236	284	520	115	267	37	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	163	144	31	7	3	3	13	44	4	10	4	215	298	368	666	153	289	27	8	297	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	114	102	23	3	3	3	5	27	6	5	5	225	306	402	708	176	250	24	4	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	224	194	36	8	1	2	18	75	10	10	3	186	288	268	556	82	283	33	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	163	149	25	5	3	2	9	60	4	10	4	168	236	282	518	114	255	37	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	224	194	36	8	1	2	18	75	10	10	3	186	288	268	556	82	283	33	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	163	149	25	5	3	2	9	60	4	10	4	168	236	282	518	114	255	37	6	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	7	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		269	29	14	272	70	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	NYM	26%	119	107	23	4	1	3	9	33	2	2	1	215	288	355	643	140	272	28	8	277	74	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	NYM	26%	31	29	6	1	0	1	2	9	0	1	0	207	258	345	603	138	264	29	6	262	74	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	31	29	6	1	0	1	2	9	0	1	0	207	258	345	603	138	263	29	6	262	61	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	126	21	0	21	42	189	0	21	0	207	258	345	604	138	264	29	6	262	61	-20	+4	+0	-4	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	627	555	108	20	8	10	42	197	22	27	13	195	278	314	591	119	277	31	7	259	61	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	112	21	8	10	44	204	23	28	13	195	279	311	590	117	278	31	7	259	61	-20	+0	+0	-4	+14	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karell Paz (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	202/273/324	122	269	2	2	29%	7%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian O'Grady 2018 · AA	26	36→38	43→55	54→50	47	182/267/294	112	258	10	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	212/274/375	163	286	18	14	31%	7%	82	-0.0	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Alex Glenn 2017 · AA	26	43→42	46→55	50	40	219/260/357	138	277	13	8	26%	5%	72	-0.7	196/242/296	100	290	8	7	34%	6%	51	-2.3	136/180/211	75	220	5	4	39%	5%	5	-2.0
✕Bobby Kingsbury 2007 · A	26	42→44	45→50	47→50	44	210/277/340	130	280	12	8	29%	7%	74	-0.5	221/280/343	122	284	11	13	25%	7%	76	-0.4	218/277/346	129	274	11	14	24%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→38	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/294	111	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	200/261/334	134	292	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	196/258/325	129	284	15	24	35%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Stephen Scott 2023 · AA	26	41→45	48→50	49→50	51	211/292/354	143	260	15	8	25%	10%	84	+0.1	210/281/354	144	265	16	10	26%	8%	80	-0.2	208/279/363	155	257	18	10	26%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Darick Hall 2021 · AA	26	39→38	48→55	48→40	41	203/273/350	148	268	16	5	30%	6%	76	-0.4	213/275/371	158	267	19	4	27%	7%	82	-0.0	212/274/375	163	259	21	2	27%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	45→44	42→45	52→50	42	217/267/324	106	281	8	13	25%	6%	66	-1.1	225/272/362	137	292	15	18	27%	5%	77	-0.3	222/266/365	143	283	17	22	27%	5%	73	-0.3
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	208/274/339	131	274	14	10	29%	7%	73	-0.6	216/286/327	111	276	10	7	24%	8%	75	-0.5	200/287/269	68	252	5	0	21%	9%	59	-0.6
✕Anthony Norman 2011 · AA	26	42	46→50	54→55	48	211/291/344	132	264	13	14	24%	8%	81	-0.1	212/271/313	101	296	6	10	29%	6%	65	-1.2	228/269/342	114	334	0	12	30%	5%	67	-0.2
✕Michael Helman 2022 · A	26	38→41	49→50	52→55	45	202/261/351	149	244	17	14	25%	7%	71	-0.8	218/278/362	144	268	17	24	25%	7%	80	-0.2	209/267/365	156	250	18	20	24%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	44→45	51→50	42	185/259/301	116	276	11	10	35%	8%	59	-1.7	192/256/293	101	310	7	9	37%	7%	55	-1.9	161/217/252	92	301	0	4	44%	7%	27	-0.7
✕Rylan Bannon 2022 · AAA	26	34→44	47→50	50	47	182/256/313	131	221	15	11	26%	8%	61	-1.5	197/286/336	139	259	16	13	29%	10%	78	-0.3	191/289/327	136	253	16	12	29%	11%	75	-0.4
✕Grant Witherspoon 2022 · A	25	41→46	50	48→50	40	212/262/358	146	285	18	12	32%	6%	73	-0.6	214/274/352	138	298	16	13	32%	7%	76	-0.4	201/267/330	129	280	14	13	32%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Gabe Snyder 2021 · A	26	40→36	47→50	46→40	41	206/267/338	132	281	15	5	31%	7%	70	-0.8	211/284/352	141	302	15	8	33%	8%	80	-0.2	172/266/338	166	236	18	7	33%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A	25	43	42→45	50	46	210/270/317	107	258	9	11	22%	7%	66	-1.1	211/275/315	104	277	9	9	25%	7%	68	-1.0	211/280/331	120	268	10	8	24%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Matt Skole 2015 · AA	26	40→41	46→50	48→40	48	204/283/333	129	280	14	5	31%	10%	76	-0.4	197/265/330	133	253	16	3	28%	8%	68	-1.0	186/253/322	137	230	17	2	27%	8%	60	-1.2
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	41	42→45	48→55	46	196/275/302	106	285	8	8	32%	9%	65	-1.2	214/296/317	103	297	10	14	29%	8%	76	-0.4	217/300/310	94	291	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Joseph Nowicki 2009 · A	26	43→42	47→55	50→45	37	215/265/358	143	307	14	8	34%	6%	74	-0.6	211/258/334	123	303	13	8	33%	5%	65	-1.2	180/220/274	93	250	11	4	32%	4%	34	-1.2
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→42	45	45→40	40	207/268/329	122	272	13	5	28%	6%	69	-0.9	213/277/338	125	276	12	8	27%	6%	74	-0.5	175/262/325	151	214	16	6	26%	7%	63	-0.3
✕Parker Bates 2023 · A	25	38	45→50	50	41	195/262/318	123	272	12	12	32%	7%	64	-1.3	195/256/276	81	271	7	12	29%	7%	51	-2.2	174/234/219	45	240	3	12	27%	6%	28	-2.1