Karell Paz — OGILVIE

Karell PazOF Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .276 / .325

PA81

HR2

K%28

BB%8

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	ROK	FCL Mets	—	114	100	22	2	3	3	5	28	6	5	5	220	297	390	687	170	264	25	4	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	ROK	FCL Mets	—	114	97	30	4	4	4	8	18	6	5	5	309	396	557	953	247	333	16	7	405	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	224	193	34	8	1	2	19	80	10	10	3	176	284	259	543	83	283	36	8	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	224	188	49	10	1	4	24	50	10	10	3	261	374	388	762	128	331	22	11	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	163	148	23	5	3	1	9	60	4	10	4	155	224	250	474	95	253	37	6	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	163	144	31	7	3	3	13	44	4	10	4	215	298	368	666	153	289	27	8	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	26	MLB	NYM	—	81	74	15	3	0	2	6	22	1	2	0	203	272	324	596	122	269	27	7	273	67	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	NYM	26%	119	107	23	4	1	3	9	32	2	2	1	215	288	355	643	140	271	27	8	279	71	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	NYM	39%	209	187	40	8	1	5	17	56	3	4	1	214	290	348	637	134	273	27	8	281	73	-6	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.2
2027	27	MLB	NYM	26%	31	29	6	1	0	1	2	8	0	1	0	207	258	345	603	138	271	26	6	268	63	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2028	28	MLB	NYM	39%	82	75	15	3	0	2	6	22	1	2	0	200	268	320	588	120	272	27	7	271	65	-3	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	113	104	21	4	0	3	8	30	1	3	0	202	265	327	592	125	254	27	7	270	65	-5	+1	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	121	23	0	17	46	173	6	17	0	202	266	326	592	124	255	27	7	270	65	-26	+3	-2	-4	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	910	809	157	30	9	16	65	278	26	33	14	194	276	313	588	119	270	31	7	259	57	-45	+1	-1	-5	+26	-2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	111	21	6	11	46	199	19	24	10	192	274	306	580	114	268	31	7	259	57	-32	+1	-0	-4	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	22	ROK	FCL Mets	—	114	97	30	4	4	4	8	18	6	5	5	309	396	557	953	247	333	16	7	405	168	+9	-1	—	—	+3	1.1
2023	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	224	188	49	10	1	4	24	50	10	10	3	261	374	388	762	128	331	22	11	347	123	+6	+1	—	—	+6	1.3
2024	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	163	144	31	7	3	3	13	44	4	10	4	215	298	368	666	153	289	27	8	297	85	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Karell Paz (OGILVIE)	26	—	—	—	—	204/276/325	121	269	2	2	28%	8%	67	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Glenn 2017 · AA	26	43	46→55	50	39	217/257/353	135	279	13	8	27%	5%	65	-0.7	192/237/290	98	295	8	7	36%	5%	40	-2.4	126/169/196	70	215	5	4	42%	5%	-15	-2.3
✕Mitch Longo 2021 · AA	26	44→43	43→50	52→50	42	219/268/334	115	281	10	13	26%	6%	65	-0.7	228/274/378	150	297	18	18	29%	5%	79	+0.3	223/268/384	160	285	20	22	29%	5%	74	-0.0
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Bobby Kingsbury 2007 · A	26	42→44	45→50	47→50	44	210/277/340	130	280	12	8	29%	7%	71	-0.3	221/280/343	122	284	11	13	25%	7%	72	-0.2	218/277/346	129	274	11	14	24%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Brian O'Grady 2018 · AA	26	35→37	42→60	54→50	46	179/261/285	106	258	10	14	33%	9%	51	-1.7	213/273/391	178	285	22	14	32%	7%	83	+0.6	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Jacob Rhinesmith 2021 · A	25	41→44	42→45	49→50	45	202/264/307	105	253	9	11	24%	7%	57	-1.2	211/277/319	108	281	9	9	27%	7%	66	-0.6	214/284/342	128	275	11	8	25%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Dillon Paulson 2023 · AA	26	44→37	46→50	45→30	50	222/295/348	126	277	14	6	24%	9%	81	+0.4	222/286/335	113	294	10	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	43→45	51→50	42	184/258/300	116	276	11	10	36%	8%	53	-1.5	191/255/292	101	310	7	9	38%	7%	49	-1.8	158/216/249	91	298	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Brock Lundquist 2021 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	46→45	41	207/269/325	118	287	12	7	31%	7%	64	-0.8	206/275/323	117	358	13	8	42%	8%	66	-0.6	146/233/242	95	291	15	0	51%	8%	30	-0.7
✕Darick Hall 2021 · AA	26	39→40	48→55	48→40	41	200/272/344	144	271	15	5	31%	6%	71	-0.3	216/276/389	173	268	22	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6	216/275/395	180	259	24	2	27%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Steele Walker 2022 · AAA	26	43→46	46→45	47→50	43	218/267/345	128	259	14	10	22%	6%	68	-0.5	215/269/338	123	263	14	10	23%	6%	67	-0.5	203/262/317	114	246	13	9	23%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Nathan Panther 2007 · AA	26	43	42→45	44→45	46	212/274/314	102	269	9	7	24%	7%	63	-0.9	225/294/356	131	279	13	7	23%	8%	82	+0.5	226/302/373	147	273	15	6	22%	9%	87	+0.5
✕César Salazar 2022 · AA	26	40	47→45	48→45	40	207/269/342	135	261	16	9	27%	5%	69	-0.4	209/287/340	131	253	15	8	23%	6%	76	+0.1	202/308/314	111	241	11	6	20%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Luis González 2022 · AAA	26	43→52	44→45	51→50	46	215/279/327	112	272	13	18	26%	7%	69	-0.4	240/311/358	118	312	11	18	25%	9%	90	+1.0	246/323/362	117	312	10	20	23%	9%	93	+0.6
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	193/273/296	103	282	8	8	32%	9%	58	-1.2	214/297/319	105	298	10	14	29%	9%	75	-0.0	219/304/318	98	295	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.0
✕Stephen Scott 2023 · AA	26	41→44	49→55	49→50	51	212/292/364	151	259	17	8	25%	10%	84	+0.6	213/283/374	161	263	19	10	26%	8%	82	+0.5	210/280/388	177	252	23	10	26%	8%	82	+0.3
✕Anthony Norman 2011 · AA	26	42	48→50	53→55	48	214/295/357	142	268	15	14	25%	8%	83	+0.6	213/274/319	106	303	7	10	30%	7%	63	-0.8	228/274/346	118	344	0	12	32%	6%	66	-0.1
✕Grant Witherspoon 2022 · A	25	41→45	49→50	48→50	41	214/266/358	143	288	18	12	32%	7%	71	-0.3	216/276/363	147	300	18	13	32%	7%	76	+0.1	201/267/344	142	280	17	13	33%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Chantz Mack 2017 · AA	26	44→45	44→45	45	46	217/284/331	113	292	11	5	29%	8%	72	-0.2	215/290/320	105	298	10	6	29%	9%	71	-0.3	158/270/213	55	222	5	0	28%	13%	34	-0.5