Ryan Boyer

P Erie SeaWolves

Age 30 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	26	MIX3 levels	25	34	1.83	2.05	32.1%	9.5%	—	K 25.9% · BB 7.9% · FIP 1.92
2024	27	MIX3 levels	36	36	3.96	3.43	29.6%	5.3%	—	K 24.1% · BB 3.6% · FIP 2.95
2025	28	MIX2 levels	37	59	5.01	4.43	25.6%	6.8%	—	K 21.2% · BB 7.4% · FIP 4.78
2027PROJ	30	MLBDET	65	68	4.22	4.22	21.9%	6.7%	0.3
2028PROJ31% MLB	31	MLBDET	19	20	4.35	4.43	21.7%	7.3%	0.0
2029PROJ51% MLB	32	MLBDET	29	30	4.53	4.65	21.3%	7.8%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Control55Command55

CompsNeil Wagner (age 29) · Tony Barnette (age 32) · Mike Fyhrie (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113105vR 97

ERA4.22

FIP4.22

K%21.9%

BB%6.7%

K-BB%15.2%

Proj IP68

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5555

CMD5555

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	0	30	124	45	7	4	0%	1.2	31.0%	4.8%	26.2%	3.6%	3.60	3.09	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	0	30	124	45	7	4	0%	1.2	36.3%	5.6%	30.6%	3.2%	3.60	2.53	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	0	34	137	44	13	1	0%	1.4	25.9%	7.9%	18.0%	0.0%	1.83	1.92	—
2023	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	0	34	137	44	13	1	0%	1.4	32.1%	9.5%	22.6%	0.7%	1.83	2.05	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	36	152	45	8	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	3.6%	20.5%	2.6%	3.96	2.95	—
2024	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	36	0	36	152	45	8	6	0%	1.0	24.1%	3.6%	20.5%	2.6%	3.96	2.95	—
2024	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	36	0	36	152	45	8	6	0%	1.0	29.6%	5.3%	24.3%	3.9%	3.96	3.43	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	59	250	64	17	12	0%	1.6	21.2%	7.4%	13.7%	4.6%	5.01	4.78	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	59	250	64	17	12	0%	1.6	21.2%	7.4%	13.7%	4.6%	5.01	4.78	—
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	59	250	64	17	12	0%	1.6	25.6%	6.8%	18.8%	4.8%	5.01	4.43	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	DET	65	0	68	287	63	19	9	0%	1.0	21.9%	6.7%	15.2%	3.2%	4.22	4.22	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	DET	60	0	63	267	58	19	9	0%	1.1	21.7%	7.3%	14.4%	3.4%	4.35	4.43	+0.1
2029	32	MLB MLE	DET	56	0	59	247	53	19	9	0%	1.0	21.3%	7.8%	13.5%	3.6%	4.53	4.65	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	DET	19	0	20	84	18	6	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	7.3%	14.4%	3.4%	4.35	4.43	+0.0
2029	32	MLB CTX	DET	29	0	30	127	27	10	5	0%	1.0	21.3%	7.8%	13.5%	3.6%	4.53	4.65	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		48	0	50	211	45	16	7	0%	1.0	21.5%	7.6%	13.9%	3.5%	4.46	4.18	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	180	64	28	0%	1.1	21.5%	7.6%	13.9%	3.5%	4.46	4.18	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		122	0	160	663	163	41	20	0%	1.3	24.7%	6.2%	18.5%	3.0%	3.83	3.45	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		152	0	200	829	204	51	25	0%	1.3	24.7%	6.2%	18.5%	3.0%	3.83	3.45	+0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Boyer (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.22	21.9%	6.7%	3.2%	—	4.54	21.5%	14.0%	122	+0.32	—	—	—
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	87
Tony Barnette R 2016 · 3.05 FIP	32	SU	3.05	19.9%	6.1%	1.6%	.281	3.26	23.4%	17.0%	84	+0.21	2.61	144	85
Mike Fyhrie R 2000 · 3.08 FIP	30	SU	3.08	19.5%	5.0%	1.8%	.309	3.87	13.7%	4.4%	69	+0.79	3.08	173	83
Kiko Calero R 2005 · 3.51 FIP	30	SU	3.51	22.7%	7.0%	2.6%	.252	3.23	23.3%	13.9%	99	-0.28	2.27	298	83
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	81
Spencer Bivens R 2024 · 4.07 FIP	30	SU	4.07	18.0%	5.8%	3.2%	.265	3.88	18.2%	10.9%	157	-0.19	3.52	391	80
Gerardo Sanchez R 2019 · 3.58 FIP	30	SU	3.58	20.5%	5.4%	2.8%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.65	137	79
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	79
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	78
Austin Adams R 2016 · 3.40 FIP	29	SU	3.40	21.1%	6.1%	2.4%	.376	5.80	20.8%	10.2%	60	+2.40	3.40	162	78
Blake Smith R 2016 · 3.59 FIP	28	SU	3.59	22.4%	8.6%	2.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	124	78
Mark Serrano R 2016 · 3.16 FIP	30	SU	3.16	17.7%	6.5%	1.3%	.290	4.36	21.1%	14.0%	88	+1.20	3.16	120	77
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	77
Rob Wooten R 2015 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	19.3%	5.5%	4.9%	.299	3.87	17.7%	14.4%	111	-0.99	2.48	253	77
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	77
Cristhian Martinez R 2012 · 3.09 FIP	30	SU	3.09	20.8%	4.8%	2.1%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	204	77
Tyler Sturdevant R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	30	SU	3.44	23.8%	6.5%	2.8%	.323	4.48	13.5%	6.8%	60	+1.04	3.44	149	77
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	77
Manny Acosta R 2011 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	22.5%	7.4%	2.9%	.321	4.49	21.3%	10.2%	47	+0.74	3.08	350	76
Jared Burton R 2012 · 3.09 FIP	31	SU	3.09	22.4%	6.1%	2.0%	.212	3.59	19.9%	12.6%	144	+0.50	3.09	367	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	21.7%	7.2%	1.31	4.36
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Michael Tonkin ('25)	1.6	55	23.2%	8.1%	1.28	4.23
Blas Minor ('97)	1.1	75	19.2%	7.3%	1.16	4.40
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Julio Navarro ('62-'70, 1 WAR*)	1.1	53	21.7%*	7.8%*	1.55*	4.13*
Bobby Tiefenauer ('52-'68, 0 WAR*)	1.6	63	20.4%*	6.7%*	1.10*	4.53*