Zander Sechrist — OGILVIE

Zander Sechrist P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 25 LHP 6'2" / 192 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 70 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111119vR 127

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%14.9%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP70

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5050

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	36	0	69	291	58	20	2	0%	1.9	14.7%	8.1%	6.6%	1.0%	3.00	3.43	—
2025	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	36	0	69	291	58	20	2	0%	1.9	14.7%	8.1%	6.6%	1.0%	3.00	3.43	—
2025	23	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	36	0	69	291	58	20	2	0%	1.9	19.9%	6.9%	13.1%	0.7%	3.00	2.67	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	MIN	67	0	70	296	44	28	8	0%	1.0	14.9%	9.3%	5.6%	2.8%	4.96	4.96	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	67	0	70	296	48	27	8	0%	1.0	16.4%	9.3%	7.1%	2.9%	4.87	4.84	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIN	66	0	69	291	49	27	9	0%	1.0	16.9%	9.3%	7.5%	2.9%	4.84	4.84	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIN	64	0	67	282	48	27	9	0%	1.0	17.1%	9.5%	7.6%	3.0%	4.87	4.90	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIN	61	0	64	270	46	26	9	0%	1.0	17.0%	9.7%	7.3%	3.2%	4.95	5.02	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	29	0	30	127	21	12	4	0%	1.0	16.4%	9.3%	7.1%	2.9%	4.87	4.84	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIN	41	0	43	182	31	17	5	0%	1.0	16.9%	9.3%	7.5%	2.9%	4.84	4.84	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIN	48	0	50	211	36	20	6	0%	1.0	17.1%	9.5%	7.6%	3.0%	4.87	4.90	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIN	50	0	52	220	37	21	7	0%	1.0	17.0%	9.7%	7.3%	3.2%	4.95	5.02	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	175	741	125	70	22	0%	1.1	16.9%	9.5%	7.4%	3.0%	4.89	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	143	80	25	0%	1.1	16.9%	9.5%	7.4%	3.0%	4.89	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		36	0	69	291	43	24	3	0%	1.9	14.7%	8.1%	6.6%	1.0%	3.00	3.43	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	0	200	843	124	68	8	0%	1.9	14.7%	8.1%	6.6%	1.0%	3.00	3.43	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zander Sechrist (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	14.9%	9.3%	2.8%	—	4.86	16.8%	7.4%	206	-0.10	—	—	—
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	88
Nolan Becker L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SU	4.17	13.9%	7.5%	2.4%	.313	5.41	18.9%	14.6%	13	+1.24	3.71	105	87
Williams Jerez L 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	17.8%	8.7%	2.5%	.294	3.81	24.0%	15.1%	127	-0.24	3.58	364	86
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	85
Cody Stull L 2017 · 4.73 FIP	25	SU	4.73	11.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.310	3.16	16.7%	8.1%	81	-1.57	2.57	264	85
Michael Heesch L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	25	SU	3.79	14.0%	10.3%	1.1%	.284	4.56	11.1%	2.8%	44	+0.77	3.79	109	85
Bryan Harper L 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	15.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.236	4.38	17.1%	5.3%	92	-0.52	4.13	133	84
Jeff Kinley L 2017 · 3.96 FIP	25	SU	3.96	14.9%	10.3%	1.5%	.300	4.05	19.5%	9.6%	104	+0.09	3.84	232	83
Gerardo Concepción L 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	16.9%	10.4%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.53	104	83
Will Lamb L 2016 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	15.3%	11.7%	4.3%	.280	5.78	20.0%	6.0%	67	+0.12	3.64	178	83
Orleny Quiroz L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	25	SU	4.55	12.7%	8.6%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	2.58	136	83
Justin Thomas L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	13.1%	10.4%	1.7%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	105	83
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	82
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	82
Joe Kemlage L 2023 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.6%	11.7%	4.1%	.349	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	128	82
Tom Windle L 2017 · 4.01 FIP	25	SU	4.01	16.7%	10.3%	1.8%	.228	4.13	19.3%	7.0%	105	+0.12	3.68	330	82
Chris Cotton L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SU	4.17	9.7%	6.4%	2.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	128	82
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	81
Ozzie Mendez L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	14.6%	6.7%	2.6%	.269	3.99	11.3%	3.0%	68	-0.17	3.95	161	81
Michael Johnson L 2016 · 4.67 FIP	25	SU	4.67	18.2%	10.4%	3.3%	.352	4.72	17.4%	7.6%	129	+0.05	3.92	256	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	16.4%	9.4%	1.15	4.90
Vinnie Chulk ('12)	1.4	57	16.0%	9.0%	0.98	4.51
Rodney Myers ('04)	1.2	60	15.0%	10.3%	1.05	5.07
Vic Darensbourg ('05)	1.5	50	17.0%	9.3%	1.01	4.96
Tom Martin ('07)	1.6	53	15.8%	10.1%	1.02	4.92
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Matt Whiteside ('05)	2.0	58	14.5%	8.8%	1.15	5.23