Logan Maxwell — OGILVIE

Logan MaxwellOF Tampa Tarpons

Age 23 L/L 5'10" / 195 lbs A HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION125 act + 195 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .311 / .370

PA195

HR5

SB7

K%27

BB%9

BABIP299

ISO139

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.5M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A	NYY	—	125	106	24	4	0	4	14	34	1	9	1	226	322	377	700	151	278	27	11	314	98	-0	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.4
YTD	23	A	NYY	—	125	100	27	4	0	5	19	24	1	9	1	270	388	460	848	190	293	19	15	367	139	+5	+1	+0	-1	+4	1.0
ROS	23	A	NYY	0%	195	173	40	7	1	5	18	52	2	7	1	231	311	370	681	139	287	27	9	293	83	-4	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.2
ROS	23	MLB	NYY	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		289	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	23	A	NYY	—	125	107	24	4	0	4	14	34	1	9	1	224	322	374	696	150	274	27	11	314	98	-0	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.4
TOT	23	A	NYY	—	320	279	64	11	1	9	32	86	3	16	2	229	315	373	688	143	291	27	10	301	89	-4	+2	+0	-2	+9	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	NYY	30%	393	351	79	13	2	10	36	103	3	11	2	225	303	359	662	134	289	26	9	299	87	-6	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.5
2028	25	MLB	NYY	44%	484	433	99	17	2	13	44	125	4	13	2	229	306	367	673	139	290	26	9	302	89	-6	+2	+0	-3	+14	0.7
2029	26	MLB	NYY	51%	541	482	110	19	2	14	49	139	5	15	2	228	306	363	669	135	290	26	9	304	90	-6	+2	+0	-3	+15	0.9
2030	27	MLB	NYY	52%	574	511	117	20	3	15	53	148	5	16	2	229	308	368	675	139	289	26	9	304	91	-6	+2	+0	-3	+16	0.9
2031	28	MLB	NYY	53%	590	525	120	21	2	16	55	152	5	15	2	229	308	368	675	139	289	26	9	303	90	-7	+2	-1	-4	+17	0.8
2032	29	MLB	NYY	53%	594	529	120	21	2	15	55	155	5	14	2	227	306	359	665	132	288	26	9	301	89	-8	+2	-1	-4	+17	0.6
2033	30	MLB	NYY	52%	592	527	118	20	2	15	55	156	5	13	2	224	303	355	658	131	287	26	9	298	86	-9	+2	-2	-4	+17	0.4
2034	31	MLB	NYY	52%	584	519	115	20	2	14	55	155	5	11	2	222	302	349	651	127	284	27	9	294	83	-11	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.1
2027	24	MLB	NYY	30%	118	105	24	4	1	3	11	31	1	3	0	229	308	371	679	143	291	26	9	296	85	-2	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.1
2028	25	MLB	NYY	44%	214	191	45	8	1	6	19	55	2	6	1	236	311	382	694	147	291	26	9	298	87	-3	+1	+0	-1	+6	0.2
2029	26	MLB	NYY	51%	274	245	57	10	1	8	25	70	2	8	1	233	309	380	688	147	291	26	9	300	88	-4	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2030	27	MLB	NYY	52%	301	267	62	11	1	8	28	77	3	8	1	232	312	371	683	139	291	26	9	300	88	-4	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.4
2031	28	MLB	NYY	53%	314	279	64	11	1	9	29	81	3	8	1	229	309	373	681	143	290	26	9	299	87	-5	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.3
2032	29	MLB	NYY	53%	312	277	63	11	1	8	29	81	3	8	1	227	307	361	668	134	290	26	9	297	86	-5	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.2
2033	30	MLB	NYY	52%	308	273	62	11	1	8	29	81	3	7	1	227	308	363	671	136	288	26	9	295	84	-6	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.1
2034	31	MLB	NYY	52%	303	269	60	10	1	8	28	81	3	6	1	223	303	357	660	134	286	27	9	291	81	-7	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2144	1907	437	76	8	58	198	557	20	54	7	229	308	369	677	139	290	26	9	297	86	-35	+8	-4	-13	+61	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	132	23	2	18	60	169	6	16	2	228	307	369	676	140	289	26	9	297	86	-11	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	4547	4050	918	158	18	117	420	1185	39	115	17	227	305	361	667	135	289	26	9	300	88	-62	+16	-7	-27	+129	5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	132	23	3	17	60	169	6	16	2	228	307	366	673	138	290	26	9	300	88	-9	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,464	63	61	228	302	362	-15	+0	2.5	2.4
	/162	664	17	16	228	302	362	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Maxwell (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	229/315/373	143	291	9	16	27%	10%	89	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→50	44→55	52→50	47	224/285/348	125	278	11	15	23%	7%	76	+0.1	240/302/420	180	305	20	10	27%	7%	102	+1.9	227/300/415	188	290	21	7	28%	8%	97	+1.1
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	43→53	45→50	50	43	215/274/335	120	274	13	14	26%	6%	68	-0.5	237/291/367	130	317	13	13	28%	6%	83	+0.6	238/291/359	121	322	12	13	29%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Joe McCarthy 2017 · A	23	48→49	41→50	51→50	51	227/310/330	103	289	8	14	23%	9%	82	+0.5	216/302/338	122	287	10	12	26%	10%	82	+0.5	202/285/367	165	263	19	5	30%	9%	80	+0.1
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	45	223/293/342	119	282	12	16	24%	7%	79	+0.3	210/268/294	84	282	6	12	26%	6%	55	-1.4	194/247/254	61	264	3	10	27%	6%	33	-0.8
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	47	47→55	54→40	46	234/295/376	142	288	14	5	24%	7%	88	+0.9	207/267/292	85	288	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	167/229/205	38	244	0	2	29%	7%	13	-1.3
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	46→55	48→50	56→60	50	230/303/374	143	281	15	18	24%	9%	90	+1.0	227/285/354	127	322	12	22	31%	7%	78	+0.2	229/293/352	123	335	9	33	32%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Richie Palacios 2021 · A	24	48→52	44→50	52→55	43	235/285/355	120	301	12	11	26%	6%	78	+0.2	244/321/376	132	298	10	18	20%	9%	98	+1.6	241/323/378	136	285	11	17	18%	9%	97	+1.1
●Blake Tekotte 2010 · A	23	43→48	43→55	50→55	47	213/273/320	107	259	10	15	22%	7%	63	-0.8	223/283/386	163	289	19	21	29%	7%	85	+0.7	215/274/386	171	284	21	23	31%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	45→53	44→45	53→50	48	218/288/344	126	281	9	14	25%	8%	76	+0.1	229/295/348	119	286	9	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	238/306/369	131	290	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Chris Pieters 2018 · A	23	45	41→45	51→55	44	215/279/319	105	286	7	13	26%	7%	66	-0.6	207/259/301	94	296	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	165/200/219	54	252	0	15	33%	4%	4	-0.8
✕Tucker Bradley 2022 · A	24	47→53	41→50	54→50	47	223/295/331	108	303	8	11	27%	8%	76	+0.1	244/308/384	140	316	13	15	26%	8%	95	+1.4	252/316/405	153	320	16	17	25%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕DJ Stewart 2017 · A	23	44→47	42→60	51→50	48	212/288/320	108	289	9	16	28%	9%	70	-0.3	226/297/378	152	277	18	14	24%	8%	90	+1.0	225/298/394	169	265	21	12	23%	8%	92	+1.0
✕Brandon Boggs 2006 · A	23	41→48	48→55	48→50	48	211/283/351	140	266	16	12	26%	9%	77	+0.1	216/292/375	159	285	16	12	28%	9%	87	+0.8	214/299/385	171	286	17	11	29%	10%	90	+0.7
✕Nate Tenbrink 2010 · A	23	48→51	43→50	52→50	42	230/286/343	113	306	9	9	27%	6%	76	+0.0	230/297/370	140	307	13	16	28%	8%	87	+0.8	226/300/381	155	301	16	20	29%	8%	89	+0.5
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A	23	46→44	44→60	50→45	44	225/283/343	119	292	11	8	26%	7%	74	-0.1	200/260/333	133	271	13	8	30%	7%	62	-0.9	227/284/442	214	256	27	8	24%	6%	98	+1.0
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→44	42→55	51→45	45	198/266/301	103	259	9	11	26%	7%	56	-1.3	220/277/364	144	296	17	6	30%	6%	78	+0.2	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Matthew Spencer 2009 · A	23	46→48	45→50	51→45	40	230/278/354	124	298	13	9	27%	5%	74	-0.1	228/271/375	147	284	18	7	26%	5%	77	+0.1	219/262/372	152	269	19	7	26%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44→42	47→50	55→60	45	219/291/363	144	292	14	21	29%	8%	83	+0.6	212/283/362	150	289	16	27	31%	8%	80	+0.4	202/275/357	155	275	17	29	32%	8%	72	-0.2
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1