Logan Maxwell — OGILVIE

Logan MaxwellOF Tampa Tarpons

Age 23 L/L 5'10" / 195 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION125 act + 18 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .278 / .250

PA18

HR0

K%28

BB%11

BABIP289

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.9M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	23	A MLE	NYY	—	125	106	24	4	0	4	14	34	1	9	1	226	322	377	700	151	278	27	11	314	99	-0	+1	+0	-1	+3	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	NYY	—	125	100	27	4	0	5	19	24	1	9	1	270	388	460	848	190	293	19	15	367	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A MLE	NYY	0%	18	16	3	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	188	278	250	528	62	287	28	11	293	85	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	A MLE	NYY	—	143	122	27	5	0	4	16	39	1	10	1	221	317	361	677	139	277	27	11	311	97	-1	+2	+0	-1	+3	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYY	30%	341	304	70	12	2	9	31	89	3	9	1	230	308	372	679	141	289	26	9	299	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYY	44%	450	402	92	16	2	12	41	116	4	12	2	229	306	368	675	139	289	26	9	302	91	-5	+2	+0	-3	+10	0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYY	51%	519	462	106	18	2	14	47	133	5	14	2	229	307	368	675	139	289	26	9	304	92	-5	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	559	498	114	20	2	15	51	143	5	15	2	229	307	367	674	139	289	26	9	304	92	-5	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	581	517	117	20	2	15	54	150	5	15	2	226	306	360	665	133	289	26	9	303	91	-6	+2	-1	-3	+13	0.5
2032	29	MLB MLE	NYY	53%	588	523	118	20	2	15	55	153	5	14	2	226	305	358	663	132	288	26	9	301	90	-7	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	588	523	117	20	2	15	55	154	5	13	2	224	304	356	659	132	286	26	9	298	88	-8	+2	-2	-4	+13	0.1
2034	31	MLB MLE	NYY	52%	581	517	114	19	2	14	54	154	5	11	2	221	300	346	647	126	284	27	9	294	85	-10	+1	-3	-3	+13	-0.3
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYY	30%	103	92	21	4	0	3	9	27	1	3	0	228	304	370	673	141	291	26	9	297	89	-1	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYY	44%	199	177	42	7	1	6	18	51	2	5	1	237	315	390	705	153	291	26	9	300	91	-2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYY	51%	263	235	53	9	1	7	24	67	2	7	1	226	303	362	664	136	291	25	9	302	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	293	261	61	11	1	8	27	75	3	8	1	234	313	375	688	142	291	26	9	302	92	-3	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	310	275	64	11	1	9	29	80	3	8	1	233	313	378	691	145	290	26	9	301	91	-3	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	NYY	53%	309	274	63	11	1	9	29	80	3	7	1	230	310	376	686	146	290	26	9	299	90	-4	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2033	30	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	306	271	62	11	1	8	29	80	3	7	1	229	310	365	676	137	288	26	9	296	88	-4	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.0
2034	31	MLB CTX	NYY	52%	301	267	60	10	1	8	28	80	3	6	1	225	305	360	665	135	286	27	9	292	85	-5	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2084	1852	426	74	7	58	193	540	20	51	7	230	309	371	681	141	291	26	9	299	90	-26	+7	-4	-13	+45	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	133	23	2	18	60	168	6	16	2	230	309	370	679	140	290	26	9	299	90	-8	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4225	3762	851	146	16	109	390	1097	37	104	15	226	305	360	666	134	288	26	9	301	90	-52	+15	-7	-25	+92	2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	130	22	2	17	60	169	6	16	2	225	304	358	661	133	285	26	9	301	90	-8	+2	-1	-4	+14	0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.6	2,403	61	59	228	302	362	-14	+0	2.7	2.6
/162	664	17	16	-4.0	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Logan Maxwell (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	221/298/346	125	287	8	11	27%	9%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
✕DJ Stewart 2017 · A	23	45→48	42→55	51→50	48	215/293/325	110	294	9	16	28%	9%	77	-0.3	225/297/366	141	277	15	14	24%	8%	88	+0.5	208/314/396	188	250	26	2	28%	11%	99	+0.6
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	47	47→55	54→40	46	234/295/376	142	288	14	5	24%	7%	89	+0.5	206/266/291	85	289	6	5	29%	7%	59	-1.7	164/227/201	37	243	0	2	30%	7%	22	-1.4
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	43→53	44→50	50	43	215/276/329	115	276	12	14	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/291/364	126	311	13	13	26%	6%	85	+0.2	241/293/361	120	316	12	13	26%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Drew Avans 2019 · A	23	45→53	48→45	56→60	49	229/300/373	144	280	16	18	24%	8%	91	+0.6	227/285/347	120	317	11	22	30%	7%	78	-0.3	228/294/342	115	331	8	33	31%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Joe McCarthy 2017 · A	23	48→50	42→45	51→50	51	231/315/339	108	292	9	14	23%	9%	88	+0.5	219/305/338	119	289	9	12	25%	10%	84	+0.2	199/280/346	148	264	17	5	30%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→48	43→50	52→50	46	220/282/340	120	279	10	15	24%	7%	76	-0.4	228/291/380	152	293	15	10	26%	7%	88	+0.5	214/288/369	154	277	16	7	28%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Richie Palacios 2021 · A	24	47→53	45	52→55	43	234/285/355	121	299	12	11	26%	6%	80	-0.1	242/318/366	124	297	9	18	20%	9%	95	+1.0	240/320/367	128	284	10	17	18%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	46→55	47→45	45	203/281/331	128	258	14	8	26%	8%	74	-0.5	219/278/387	168	291	21	4	31%	6%	86	+0.3	217/271/408	191	280	27	0	32%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A	23	46→44	44→60	50→45	45	227/284/346	119	293	11	8	26%	7%	78	-0.3	201/260/331	130	273	12	8	30%	7%	65	-1.2	227/284/435	209	256	27	8	24%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Jarrett Parker 2012 · A	23	45→50	44→55	51→50	46	213/294/329	116	318	11	13	34%	10%	78	-0.3	209/287/346	137	340	14	15	39%	8%	80	-0.2	231/306/407	176	333	22	12	35%	8%	98	+0.9
✕Daulton Varsho 2019 · A	23	47→49	47→60	55→50	42	233/291/362	129	300	15	18	27%	6%	84	+0.2	239/303/406	167	279	19	17	21%	7%	99	+1.3	228/296/424	195	260	25	15	23%	8%	98	+1.1
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A	23	43→49	43→50	48→50	40	213/276/317	104	284	11	13	28%	6%	69	-0.9	224/283/367	143	309	13	11	31%	5%	83	+0.1	221/280/376	155	306	15	9	31%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Silva 2014 · A	23	46	42→45	51→55	48	222/297/329	107	304	9	21	28%	9%	79	-0.2	224/300/316	92	297	6	22	24%	10%	77	-0.3	221/301/302	81	289	4	24	23%	10%	72	-0.3
✕Blake Tekotte 2010 · A	23	43→47	43→50	50→55	47	213/273/320	107	259	10	15	22%	7%	68	-1.0	221/282/366	145	287	16	21	27%	7%	82	+0.0	214/275/365	151	282	17	23	29%	7%	76	-0.4
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→45	44→50	51→40	43	210/272/331	121	280	12	9	28%	7%	70	-0.8	225/283/368	143	295	17	5	29%	6%	83	+0.1	222/283/366	144	287	17	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A	23	40→47	47→50	46→45	43	206/271/340	134	280	15	8	31%	7%	72	-0.7	225/282/366	141	294	13	6	27%	7%	82	-0.0	230/299/381	151	284	16	4	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	44	48→55	51→45	44	220/290/372	152	284	15	6	27%	7%	87	+0.4	226/287/341	115	299	8	7	26%	6%	78	-0.3	221/280/392	172	282	21	5	29%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Nate Tenbrink 2010 · A	23	48→53	43→50	52→50	42	230/286/343	113	306	9	9	27%	6%	78	-0.3	234/301/374	140	309	13	16	27%	8%	91	+0.7	232/308/387	155	306	15	20	27%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Logan Vick 2014 · A	23	48	41→45	51→50	54	226/318/331	106	305	7	15	26%	12%	88	+0.4	195/285/290	95	293	7	13	32%	11%	66	-1.1	147/250/227	80	231	5	13	35%	11%	38	-2.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps