Brayan Sanchez — OGILVIE

Brayan SanchezC DSL Astros Blue

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs ROK H +4%HR -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 2.0 · 2032

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .271 / .300

PA51

HR1

K%30

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.0peak

2032

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.9	$19M	+$18M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.7	$17M	+$16M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+1.5	$16M	+$13M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+1.2	$13M	+$9M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.8	$4M	+$1.0M
Totals		$13M		$88M	+$75M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	99	82	10	2	0	1	10	43	6	2	2	.122	.265	.183	.448	.061	.231	43	10	.211	20	-9	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	96	81	7	1	0	0	12	41	2	5	0	.086	.221	.099	.320	.012	.175	43	12	.165	-15	-13	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.7
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	72	62	11	1	0	1	9	20	0	2	1	.177	.282	.242	.524	.065	.238	28	12	.232	36	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	HOU	51	47	10	2	0	1	4	15	0	1	0	.213	.275	.319	.594	.106	.289	29	8	.262	58	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	HOU	114	103	22	4	1	2	9	33	1	2	0	.214	.283	.330	.613	.117	.291	29	8	.281	74	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2028	23	MLB 28%	HOU	249	224	51	9	2	6	21	69	2	4	1	.228	.300	.366	.666	.138	.292	28	8	.294	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2029	24	MLB 45%	HOU	348	311	70	12	2	9	30	94	4	6	1	.225	.301	.363	.665	.138	.293	27	9	.301	89	-4	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.3
2030	25	MLB 60%	HOU	408	365	84	15	3	11	36	109	4	7	1	.230	.306	.378	.684	.148	.294	27	9	.306	92	-3	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.7
2031	26	MLB 77%	HOU	446	398	92	16	3	13	40	119	5	8	1	.231	.309	.384	.694	.153	.295	27	9	.309	94	-3	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.9
2032	27	MLB 92%	HOU	465	414	96	17	3	13	43	125	5	8	1	.232	.312	.382	.693	.150	.295	27	9	.309	94	-3	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.0
2033	28	MLB	HOU	472	420	97	17	3	13	44	128	5	7	1	.231	.311	.379	.690	.148	.294	27	9	.308	94	-3	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.9
2034	29	MLB	HOU	470	418	95	16	3	13	44	129	5	6	1	.227	.308	.373	.682	.146	.293	27	9	.305	92	-4	+1	-1	+8	+13	1.7
2035	30	MLB	HOU	464	413	94	16	3	13	43	128	5	5	0	.228	.308	.375	.683	.148	.292	28	9	.302	90	-6	+1	-2	+8	+13	1.5
2036	31	MLB	HOU	439	391	87	15	3	11	41	123	4	3	0	.223	.303	.361	.663	.138	.291	28	9	.299	87	-7	+1	-3	+8	+12	1.2
2037	32	MLB	HOU	411	366	80	14	2	10	38	118	4	1	0	.219	.299	.350	.649	.131	.289	29	9	.294	83	-8	+0	-4	+7	+12	0.8
2038	33	MLB	HOU	371	331	71	12	2	9	34	109	3	0	0	.215	.293	.344	.638	.130	.287	29	9	.288	79	-9	+0	-4	+7	+11	0.4
2039	34	MLB	HOU	320	285	60	10	2	7	29	97	3	0	0	.211	.290	.333	.624	.123	.286	30	9	.282	74	-9	+0	-5	+6	+9	0.0
2040	35	MLB	HOU	264	236	48	8	1	6	24	82	2	0	0	.203	.282	.322	.604	.119	.283	31	9	.274	68	-9	+0	-6	+5	+7	-0.3
2041	36	MLB	HOU	208	185	37	6	1	4	19	67	2	0	0	.200	.282	.308	.590	.108	.281	32	9	.266	62	-9	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5767	5132	1122	193	34	143	530	1649	62	67	10	.219	.299	.353	.653	.134	.291	29	9	.293	82	-116	+9	-31	+103	+163	13.1
/ 162G	—			650	578	127	22	4	16	60	186	7	8	1	.220	.301	.355	.655	.135	.293	29	9	.293	82	-13	+1	-4	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	99	71	13	3	1	21	29	6	2	2	.183	.408	.268	.676	.085	.286	29	21	.335	114	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	96	73	9	1	0	20	30	2	5	0	.123	.326	.137	.463	.014	.209	31	21	.249	49	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	72	56	13	1	1	15	13	0	2	1	.232	.394	.304	.698	.071	.279	18	21	.330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Sanchez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	.205/.271/.300	.095	.289	1	1	30%	7%	58	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	43	39→50	51→45	39	.202/.262/.293	.090	.301	6	7	33%	6%	52	-1.6	.193/.267/.305	.112	.296	13	8	37%	7%	59	-1.1	.178/.253/.291	.113	.253	15	7	34%	7%	47	-0.8
✕David Bote 2014 · A	21	40→48	39→55	47→45	47	.191/.269/.278	.087	.263	6	7	28%	9%	52	-1.6	.204/.273/.294	.090	.273	6	6	26%	7%	57	-1.2	.234/.308/.397	.164	.298	19	6	27%	8%	95	+1.0
●James McCann 2012 · A	22	41→51	42→50	49→45	39	.203/.260/.306	.103	.288	9	7	32%	6%	55	-1.4	.223/.261/.310	.087	.291	6	6	24%	4%	55	-1.4	.254/.315/.415	.161	.331	20	4	28%	7%	104	+1.1
●Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	41→43	44→55	50	43	.203/.259/.325	.122	.273	11	7	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.199/.278/.352	.153	.276	18	12	33%	9%	75	-0.0	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
●Chun-Hsiu Chen 2010 · A	21	43→53	41→50	48→45	40	.209/.263/.306	.097	.302	8	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	.250/.309/.388	.138	.334	12	4	27%	7%	96	+1.5	.256/.318/.393	.137	.347	12	4	28%	8%	99	+1.3
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→46	40→50	46→45	45	.200/.274/.295	.095	.288	7	9	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.227/.293/.378	.151	.302	17	5	29%	7%	89	+0.9	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2016 · A	20	42→49	38→55	49→30	44	.201/.271/.276	.075	.277	5	5	28%	7%	52	-1.6	.207/.270/.291	.084	.263	6	4	22%	7%	55	-1.4	.228/.285/.376	.148	.288	19	0	27%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Parker Meadows 2021 · A	21	40→47	41→55	46→55	42	.197/.253/.288	.091	.267	9	9	29%	7%	47	-1.9	.203/.263/.335	.132	.270	14	12	29%	7%	64	-0.8	.225/.292/.400	.175	.278	20	21	26%	8%	91	+1.1
✕Javier Valdes 2021 · A	22	40	37→55	50→30	45	.190/.266/.263	.073	.266	4	7	28%	8%	47	-1.9	.209/.291/.323	.114	.277	12	5	27%	8%	74	-0.1	.207/.303/.355	.148	.256	18	3	26%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Keon Broxton 2011 · A	21	38→48	41→55	53→60	36	.184/.238/.293	.109	.299	7	10	39%	6%	41	-2.3	.196/.253/.296	.100	.314	9	15	38%	7%	49	-1.8	.225/.301/.390	.165	.341	17	38	36%	9%	92	+1.0
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2017 · A	21	40→50	37→55	49→45	43	.190/.250/.266	.075	.266	3	10	28%	7%	40	-2.4	.234/.273/.341	.107	.295	9	6	23%	4%	68	-0.5	.246/.303/.412	.166	.293	19	4	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Eguy Rosario 2021 · A	21	43→49	42→55	48→55	39	.213/.259/.322	.109	.292	9	12	30%	5%	58	-1.2	.227/.286/.366	.139	.304	14	20	28%	7%	82	+0.5	.223/.285/.369	.146	.292	15	21	28%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Max Stassi 2012 · A	21	40→43	44→55	43→40	41	.198/.260/.309	.111	.287	12	5	34%	7%	56	-1.3	.218/.270/.362	.144	.290	17	4	30%	5%	74	-0.1	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
●Derek Norris 2009 · A	20	40→50	42→55	49→50	43	.194/.269/.300	.106	.295	9	6	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.209/.301/.372	.163	.281	20	6	31%	11%	91	+1.1	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	39→49	40→50	50	43	.189/.254/.283	.094	.277	7	6	33%	8%	46	-2.0	.211/.272/.298	.087	.290	7	8	28%	7%	57	-1.2	.226/.305/.377	.151	.297	15	13	28%	10%	89	+0.7
✕Chris Nelson 2007 · A	21	41→51	42→50	49→50	37	.204/.244/.308	.104	.272	9	9	28%	4%	48	-1.9	.223/.274/.359	.136	.280	13	12	24%	6%	75	-0.0	.257/.301/.387	.130	.311	13	7	21%	5%	87	+0.6
✕Michael Chavis 2017 · A	21	36→46	45→60	46→45	34	.189/.233/.308	.119	.271	13	6	35%	4%	44	-2.1	.224/.274/.401	.177	.296	23	4	32%	5%	86	+0.8	.235/.292/.438	.203	.304	29	3	32%	6%	100	+1.1
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	41	.200/.257/.289	.089	.276	6	11	29%	6%	49	-1.8	.224/.274/.329	.105	.305	11	10	29%	5%	66	-0.6	.228/.286/.328	.100	.313	11	12	29%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	41→44	45→50	49→45	39	.206/.256/.333	.127	.283	12	8	31%	6%	60	-1.0	.202/.261/.347	.145	.281	16	8	33%	6%	66	-0.6	.213/.268/.374	.161	.271	20	6	29%	6%	75	-0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)