Brayan Sanchez — OGILVIE

Brayan SanchezC DSL Astros Blue

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .275 / .269

PA51

HR0

K%31

BB%9

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	99	82	10	2	0	1	10	44	6	2	2	122	265	183	448	61	237	44	10	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	99	71	13	3	0	1	21	29	6	2	2	183	408	268	676	85	286	29	21	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	96	81	7	1	0	0	12	40	2	5	0	86	221	99	320	12	171	42	12	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	96	73	9	1	0	0	20	30	2	5	0	123	326	137	463	14	209	31	21	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	72	62	10	1	0	1	9	20	0	2	1	161	268	226	493	65	214	28	12	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	72	56	13	1	0	1	15	13	0	2	1	232	394	304	698	71	279	18	21	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	HOU	—	51	47	8	1	0	0	4	16	0	1	0	170	235	191	427	21	288	31	8	254	52	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	114	102	21	3	1	1	10	34	1	2	0	206	283	284	567	78	289	30	9	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	249	223	47	8	1	4	22	72	2	4	1	211	287	309	597	99	291	29	9	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	348	311	67	11	2	6	31	100	3	5	1	215	293	322	614	106	292	29	9	278	71	-11	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.5
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	408	365	78	13	2	7	36	116	4	6	1	214	291	318	609	104	292	28	9	281	73	-12	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.7
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	446	399	85	14	2	8	40	127	4	7	2	213	291	318	609	105	292	28	9	282	74	-13	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.8
2032	27	MLB	HOU	55%	465	415	90	14	3	9	42	133	5	7	2	217	297	330	627	113	292	29	9	282	74	-14	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.9
2027	22	MLB	HOU	34%	39	36	7	1	0	1	3	12	0	1	0	194	256	306	562	111	292	31	8	260	57	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	23	MLB	HOU	48%	121	108	24	4	1	2	11	35	1	2	0	222	300	333	633	111	293	29	9	268	63	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB	HOU	53%	183	163	35	6	1	3	16	52	2	3	1	215	293	319	612	104	294	28	9	273	67	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2030	25	MLB	HOU	55%	223	199	43	7	1	4	20	64	2	3	1	216	294	322	616	106	294	29	9	276	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2031	26	MLB	HOU	56%	248	222	48	8	1	5	22	71	2	4	1	216	293	329	622	113	294	29	9	277	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2032	27	MLB	HOU	55%	256	228	49	8	1	5	23	73	3	4	1	215	295	325	620	110	294	29	9	278	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1070	956	206	34	5	20	95	307	10	17	4	215	293	324	617	109	293	29	9	275	68	-38	+2	+0	+19	+30	1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	125	21	3	12	58	186	6	10	2	215	293	324	617	108	293	29	9	275	68	-23	+1	+0	+12	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	2348	2087	423	68	11	37	216	702	27	41	10	203	286	299	585	96	284	30	9	269	64	-94	+4	+0	+42	+67	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	117	19	3	10	60	194	7	11	3	202	285	298	583	95	284	30	9	269	64	-26	+1	+0	+12	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	99	71	13	3	1	21	29	6	2	2	183	408	268	676	85	286	29	21	335	114	+2	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	96	73	9	1	0	20	30	2	5	0	123	326	137	463	14	209	31	21	249	49	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	72	56	13	1	1	15	13	0	2	1	232	394	304	698	71	279	18	21	330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,122	19	17	215	290	320	+20	+16	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	12	10	215	290	320	+11.9	+9.5	1.0	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Sanchez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	197/275/269	73	288	0	1	31%	9%	52	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	23	-3.6	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	52	-1.6	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Johnni Turbo 2009 · A	20	37→47	37→40	54→55	36	184/222/257	73	263	4	13	31%	4%	24	-3.5	210/246/289	79	308	4	16	32%	4%	43	-2.2	240/277/304	64	298	3	18	20%	4%	56	-0.4
✕Edgar Corcino 2012 · A	20	34→44	40→45	44→45	37	171/230/254	83	267	8	6	37%	6%	29	-3.2	198/252/297	99	300	9	6	35%	6%	49	-1.8	229/276/341	113	292	10	4	25%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A	21	36→44	41→55	53→50	31	183/215/280	97	279	9	12	37%	4%	27	-3.3	197/243/303	106	298	10	10	36%	5%	46	-2.0	198/275/352	154	301	19	15	38%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕Dustin Peterson 2016 · A	21	39→48	39→50	43→45	37	193/233/270	76	267	7	4	30%	4%	33	-2.9	221/267/315	94	290	8	4	25%	5%	59	-1.1	238/284/365	127	294	16	2	24%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Jhon Goncalves 2010 · A	21	39→49	37→40	48→50	39	189/245/257	68	281	5	12	33%	6%	35	-2.8	198/269/259	61	304	3	9	33%	8%	46	-2.0	201/275/273	72	281	2	12	27%	8%	51	-1.2
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	37	-2.6	210/276/290	80	306	5	7	30%	7%	57	-1.2	212/285/293	81	313	4	8	31%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2014 · A	21	36	40→55	47→50	37	182/225/273	91	248	7	7	29%	4%	30	-3.1	210/243/318	108	279	10	8	28%	4%	50	-1.8	218/245/341	123	279	12	9	27%	4%	53	-0.5
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2022 · A	22	35→42	41→50	47→45	32	166/228/256	91	317	9	7	48%	6%	29	-3.2	208/264/351	143	322	17	6	39%	6%	69	-0.4	206/262/347	141	313	17	5	38%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	37	-2.7	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	36	-2.7	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	7	-1.5
✕James Simmons 2008 · A	22	38	39→55	52→55	36	177/240/270	93	303	6	11	41%	7%	37	-2.7	194/246/286	92	335	7	16	41%	6%	43	-2.2	201/260/369	167	362	23	18	48%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Derrick Loveless 2014 · A	21	37→47	38→45	53→50	42	176/244/264	87	272	4	5	35%	8%	37	-2.7	199/270/297	98	309	8	9	35%	9%	56	-1.3	188/263/288	100	295	9	10	36%	9%	49	-1.3
✕Pedro Ciriaco 2006 · A	20	40→50	37→40	50→55	35	193/219/263	70	261	4	7	28%	3%	24	-3.5	224/252/284	60	289	3	14	23%	3%	43	-2.2	252/276/340	87	309	4	26	20%	3%	63	-0.5
✕Yoel Campusano 2007 · A	20	39→49	35→40	49→50	44	183/229/239	56	226	2	5	20%	5%	23	-3.6	230/284/298	68	278	4	7	18%	6%	62	-0.9	254/304/325	71	302	4	8	17%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Chuckie Jones 2013 · A	21	38→41	40→50	49→50	30	174/229/263	89	335	7	6	48%	6%	30	-3.1	199/257/319	120	305	14	9	37%	6%	57	-1.2	197/256/321	124	288	15	9	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Johermyn Chavez 2009 · A	20	37→45	40→50	46→45	34	182/234/272	90	284	8	8	38%	5%	35	-2.8	212/263/344	132	296	15	6	33%	5%	66	-0.6	207/268/344	138	272	17	4	30%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Yasiel Balaguert 2014 · A	21	39→42	38→45	46→40	35	190/229/269	79	291	5	4	36%	5%	30	-3.1	196/230/286	90	274	8	3	30%	4%	36	-2.7	200/236/312	112	260	13	2	28%	4%	43	-1.8
✕Granden Goetzman 2014 · A	21	38→46	39→45	53→55	40	189/238/274	85	252	6	15	27%	5%	37	-2.7	213/248/312	99	304	8	14	31%	4%	50	-1.7	210/241/317	107	284	7	25	28%	4%	45	-0.9
✕Mark Dolenc 2007 · A	22	38→48	35→40	49→55	39	186/231/245	59	262	3	11	30%	5%	26	-3.4	215/268/288	73	322	5	16	32%	6%	53	-1.5	225/277/302	76	336	4	21	32%	6%	56	-0.8