Josnaider Orellana

C FCL Orioles

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 175 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	AATL	15	.286/.333/.571	1	0	72	—	.286/.333/.571
2025	20	ROKATL	21	.286/.474/.357	0	0	99	—	.267/.421/.333
2026	21	ROKBAL	37	.393/.500/.429	0	0	107	—	.333/.412/.367
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBBAL	147	.206/.272/.278	1	1	57	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBBAL	55	.213/.279/.296	1	1	61	-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBBAL	127	.216/.282/.307	2	1	65	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 97%

CompsBrian Navarreto (age 22) · Kevin Weijgertse (age 20) · Angel Adames (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .269 / .276

PA62

HR1

K%29

BB%7

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	94	76	15	3	0	0	14	24	4	0	1	197	351	237	588	39	288	26	15	292	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Braves	—	141	123	39	6	0	0	14	23	3	3	0	317	400	366	766	49	386	16	10	351	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Braves	—	65	58	9	0	0	0	7	17	0	1	0	155	246	155	401		220	26	11	200	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Augusta GreenJackets	—	15	14	4	1	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	286	333	571	905	286	300	20	7	392	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Braves	—	21	14	4	1	0	0	3	2	2	0	0	286	474	357	831	71	286	10	14	360	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	37	28	11	1	0	0	6	6	0	0	0	393	500	429	929	36	458	16	16	392	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	94	80	11	2	0	0	10	28	4	0	1	138	266	163	428	25	200	30	11	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	128	27	4	0	0	9	29	3	3	0	211	279	242	521	31	268	21	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	65	61	6	0	0	0	4	24	0	1	0	98	154	98	252		169	37	6	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	—	15	14	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	286	333	571	905	286	258	27	7	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	21	15	4	1	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	267	421	333	754	67	229	14	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	37	30	10	1	0	0	4	9	0	0	0	333	412	367	778	33	366	24	11	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	94	80	11	2	0	0	10	28	4	0	1	138	266	163	428	25	212	30	11	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	94	76	15	3	0	0	14	24	4	0	1	197	351	237	588	39	288	26	15	292	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	128	27	4	0	0	9	29	3	3	0	211	279	242	521	31	270	21	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	141	123	39	6	0	0	14	23	3	3	0	317	400	366	766	49	386	16	10	351	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	65	61	6	0	0	0	4	24	0	1	0	98	154	98	252		162	37	6	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	65	58	9	0	0	0	7	17	0	1	0	155	246	155	401		220	26	11	200	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	36	29	8	2	0	1	3	7	2	0	0	276	382	448	831	172	304	19	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	36	28	8	2	0	1	4	5	2	0	0	286	412	464	876	179	292	14	11	373	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	37	30	10	1	0	0	4	9	0	0	0	333	412	367	778	33	435	24	11	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	37	28	11	1	0	0	6	6	0	0	0	393	500	429	929	36	458	16	16	392	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	94	80	11	2	0	0	10	28	4	0	1	138	266	163	428	25	200	30	11	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	141	128	27	4	0	0	9	29	3	3	0	211	279	242	521	31	268	21	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	65	61	6	0	0	0	4	24	0	1	0	98	154	98	252		169	37	6	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	36	31	8	2	0	1	3	7	2	0	0	258	382	419	802	161	241	19	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	37	33	10	1	0	0	4	9	0	0	0	303	412	333	745	30	366	24	11	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	65	61	6	0	0	0	4	24	0	1	0	98	154	98	252		169	37	6	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	36	31	8	2	0	1	3	7	2	0	0	258	382	419	802	161	241	19	8	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	37	33	10	1	0	0	4	9	0	0	0	303	412	333	745	30	366	24	11	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	147	134	27	4	1	1	11	42	1	1	1	206	272	278	550	72	288	29	7	252	57	-8	-0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	159	144	31	5	1	2	12	45	2	2	1	210	276	290	566	81	289	28	8	259	61	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	BAL	46%	276	251	53	8	1	4	20	78	3	3	1	213	280	301	581	88	290	28	7	265	65	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	350	318	69	11	2	5	26	97	3	3	1	216	282	310	592	94	290	28	7	269	68	-13	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	BAL	58%	398	361	78	12	2	6	30	110	4	4	1	217	285	317	601	99	290	28	8	273	71	-14	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	421	382	83	13	2	7	32	115	4	4	1	218	285	318	604	101	290	27	8	274	71	-14	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	433	393	84	13	2	7	33	120	4	2	1	216	283	314	597	98	289	28	8	271	70	-16	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	432	392	84	13	2	7	33	121	4	1	1	213	280	307	588	94	287	28	8	267	67	-17	-0	-1	+8	+9	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	55	50	11	2	0	1	4	16	1	1	0	213	279	296	575	83	293	29	7	262	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	BAL	46%	127	116	26	4	1	2	9	36	1	1	0	216	282	307	590	91	294	28	7	268	65	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	181	163	37	6	1	3	14	50	2	2	1	219	285	316	601	97	294	28	8	273	68	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	BAL	58%	229	208	46	7	1	4	17	63	2	2	1	221	288	323	611	102	294	28	7	277	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	236	214	47	8	1	4	18	65	2	2	1	221	288	325	614	104	294	28	8	278	71	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	239	217	48	8	1	4	18	66	2	1	1	219	286	320	607	101	293	28	8	275	70	-9	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	232	210	46	7	1	4	18	65	2	1	1	217	283	314	597	97	291	28	8	271	67	-9	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1299	1178	261	42	6	22	98	361	12	10	5	222	288	323	611	102	298	28	8	273	64	-48	+0	-1	+23	+28	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	131	21	3	11	49	181	6	5	3	222	289	324	613	102	300	28	8	273	64	-24	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2904	2626	556	86	12	40	220	801	34	24	8	212	281	299	581	88	286	28	8	263	64	-96	+1	-2	+45	+55	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	125	19	3	9	49	179	8	5	2	213	283	301	584	88	287	28	8	263	64	-25	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	/162	664	1	7	210*	281*	325*	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	2	4	219*	281*	319*	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.0	1,361	21	10	216	280	311	+24	+20	1.1	1.1
	/162	664	10	5	216	280	311	+11.9	+9.8	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
	/162	664	13	1	218*	277*	341*	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
	/162	664	8	2	211*	275*	330*	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Josnaider Orellana

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josnaider Orellana (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	204/269/276	72	288	1	1	29%	7%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Navarreto 2017 · A	22	36	37→45	46→30	36	180/220/246	66	250	5	3	30%	4%	30	-3.8	193/231/270	77	246	7	3	24%	4%	40	-3.1	197/246/311	114	243	14	1	25%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Kevin Weijgertse 2011 · A	20	33	34→30	42→40	50	157/241/203	46	210	2	5	24%	9%	30	-3.8	173/261/214	41	239	1	4	25%	10%	40	-3.0	145/248/152	7	200	0	2	24%	11%	21	-1.1
✕Angel Adames 2016 · A	20	36	35→30	48→45	43	172/234/234	61	237	3	6	27%	6%	34	-3.5	178/240/247	69	240	3	6	25%	7%	38	-3.2	109/177/159	50	139	2	4	22%	7%	-5	-1.3
✕Joshua Franco 2014 · A	20	36	34→30	40→45	37	172/234/227	55	265	1	3	34%	6%	32	-3.6	182/239/247	65	273	3	5	32%	6%	38	-3.2	142/200/187	45	207	3	4	31%	6%	8	-1.6
✕Dalton Blumenfeld 2017 · A	20	43	36→30	49→40	29	185/231/252	67	361	4	6	48%	5%	36	-3.4	182/248/268	86	389	6	5	50%	7%	47	-2.5	94/183/179	85	239	8	0	59%	8%	2	-1.2