Christopher Orelin

Christopher OrelinSS DSL Pirates Black

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 157 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj PA

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .272 / .277

PA50

HR0

K%31

BB%9

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	83	76	10	1	0	0	5	27	1	3	5	132	195	145	340	13	200	33	6	168	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	83	73	14	2	0	0	8	19	1	3	5	192	280	219	500	27	255	23	10	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	83	74	7	2	0	0	8	27	0	0	1	95	183	122	305	27	149	33	10	153	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	83	69	10	3	0	0	13	19	0	0	1	145	280	188	469	43	200	23	16	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	68	57	5	2	1	0	9	25	2	5	0	88	235	158	393	70	156	37	13	196	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	68	51	7	3	1	0	15	17	2	5	0	137	353	235	588	98	206	25	22	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	PIT	—	50	46	8	2	0	0	4	15	0	1	0	174	240	217	457	43	287	30	8	254	53	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PIT	34%	114	102	21	4	1	1	10	34	1	2	0	206	283	294	577	88	289	30	9	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	PIT	48%	248	223	46	9	2	3	21	72	2	3	1	206	280	305	585	99	290	29	8	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	347	311	66	13	3	5	30	99	3	5	1	212	288	322	609	109	291	29	9	278	71	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2030	25	MLB	PIT	55%	408	366	79	16	3	7	35	116	4	6	1	216	291	333	625	117	291	28	9	281	73	-12	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.4
2031	26	MLB	PIT	56%	445	399	86	17	3	8	39	126	4	6	2	216	292	333	625	118	291	28	9	282	74	-13	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2032	27	MLB	PIT	55%	464	415	89	18	3	8	41	132	5	6	2	214	293	330	623	116	291	28	9	282	74	-13	+0	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2027	22	MLB	PIT	34%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	12	0	1	0	167	231	194	425	28	287	31	8	257	55	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	PIT	48%	120	108	23	5	1	2	10	35	1	2	0	213	286	333	619	120	289	29	8	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	183	163	35	7	1	3	16	52	2	3	1	215	293	325	618	110	290	28	9	270	65	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2030	25	MLB	PIT	55%	223	200	43	8	2	4	19	63	2	3	1	215	290	335	625	120	290	28	9	273	67	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.1
2031	26	MLB	PIT	56%	248	223	47	9	2	4	21	70	2	3	1	211	285	323	607	112	290	28	8	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2032	27	MLB	PIT	55%	255	228	49	10	2	4	22	72	3	4	1	215	292	329	621	114	290	28	9	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1068	958	203	40	8	17	91	304	10	16	4	212	287	324	611	112	290	28	9	271	66	-41	+2	+0	+11	+30	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	123	24	5	10	55	185	6	10	2	211	285	321	606	110	289	28	8	271	66	-25	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	2310	2069	417	84	16	32	202	673	22	37	13	202	280	304	584	102	280	29	9	268	63	-96	+2	+0	+25	+65	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	118	24	5	9	57	189	6	10	4	203	281	308	588	105	282	29	9	268	63	-27	+0	+0	+7	+18	-0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	83	73	14	2	0	8	19	1	3	5	192	280	219	500	27	255	23	10	238	40	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	83	69	10	3	0	13	19	0	0	1	145	280	188	469	43	200	23	16	232	36	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	19	ROK	DSL Pirates Black	—	68	51	7	3	1	15	17	2	5	0	137	353	235	588	98	206	25	22	296	85	-1	+1	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,118	18	16	214	287	326	+12	+12	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	10	9	214	287	326	+7.1	+7.1	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christopher Orelin (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	196/272/277	81	287	0	1	31%	9%	53	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	46	190/271/255	65	295	3	5	34%	10%	46	-2.0	197/283/279	82	287	5	4	30%	10%	58	-1.2	185/278/265	80	263	6	2	29%	11%	51	-0.7
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Christian Cairo 2021 · A	20	39→46	35→40	48→60	44	183/264/241	59	277	2	9	32%	8%	40	-2.4	186/288/267	81	287	6	15	33%	11%	59	-1.1	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	51	-1.7	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	75	-0.0	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	178/245/248	70	273	3	6	34%	5%	34	-2.8	215/257/310	95	317	7	4	33%	4%	54	-1.4	252/282/371	119	340	11	3	28%	2%	76	+0.0
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→50	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	40	-2.4	208/276/322	114	297	8	11	31%	7%	66	-0.6	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Arturo De Freitas 2022 · A	21	43	38→45	50→40	39	204/264/287	82	286	5	8	29%	5%	51	-1.7	173/225/248	75	289	7	4	40%	6%	24	-3.5	136/184/191	55	233	5	0	42%	5%	-10	-2.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2023 · A	22	40→50	37→45	48→45	45	189/266/266	77	278	4	7	31%	8%	47	-1.9	210/282/308	98	299	8	5	30%	8%	65	-0.7	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Daurys Mercedes 2011 · A	21	45	36→45	46→45	45	204/279/273	69	310	2	8	32%	9%	54	-1.4	177/242/240	63	323	3	7	42%	7%	30	-3.1	131/193/181	50	259	2	5	47%	6%	-9	-1.7
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9