Helder Rosario — OGILVIE

Helder RosarioC FCL Nationals

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj PA

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .254 / .249

PA49

HR0

K%37

BB%8

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	73	67	5	1	0	0	6	55	0	3	2	75	151	90	240	15	417	75	8	122	-48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	73	64	13	2	1	1	9	37	0	3	2	203	301	312	614	109	462	51	12	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	89	79	8	1	0	1	7	52	1	5	3	101	184	152	336	51	250	58	8	152	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	89	76	13	2	0	1	10	38	1	5	3	171	276	237	513	66	308	43	11	241	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	63	52	4	1	0	0	9	29	0	3	0	77	213	96	309	19	174	46	14	167	-14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	63	47	6	2	0	0	14	20	0	3	0	128	328	170	498	43	222	32	22	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	39	32	3	0	0	0	5	23	1	1	0	94	237	94	331		333	59	13	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	39	28	4	0	0	0	9	16	1	1	0	143	368	143	511		333	41	23	273	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	WSH	—	49	45	7	1	0	0	4	18	0	1	0	156	224	178	402	22	289	37	8	235	38	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	WSH	34%	134	121	23	4	1	2	11	47	1	2	0	190	263	289	552	99	290	35	8	249	48	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	WSH	48%	263	237	46	8	1	4	22	90	2	4	1	194	268	287	555	93	292	34	8	258	55	-13	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
2027	22	MLB	WSH	34%	46	42	8	1	0	1	4	16	0	1	0	190	261	286	547	95	290	35	9	242	43	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	WSH	48%	127	114	23	4	1	2	11	43	1	2	0	202	278	307	585	105	292	34	9	251	50	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	173	156	31	5	1	3	15	59	1	3	0	199	273	301	575	103	295	34	9	249	48	-10	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	117	19	4	11	56	222	4	11	0	200	274	302	576	102	297	34	9	249	48	-38	+2	+0	+12	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	710	633	96	16	2	7	64	314	5	19	6	152	235	216	451	65	282	44	9	215	23	-62	+1	+0	+13	+20	-2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	88	15	2	6	59	287	5	17	5	152	237	216	452	64	282	44	9	215	23	-57	+1	+0	+12	+18	-2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	73	64	13	2	1	1	9	37	0	3	2	203	301	312	614	109	462	51	12	283	75	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	18	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	89	76	13	2	0	1	10	38	1	5	3	171	276	237	513	66	308	43	11	241	42	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4
2024	19	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	63	47	6	2	0	0	14	20	0	3	0	128	328	170	498	43	222	32	22	253	52	-3	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2025	20	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	39	28	4	0	0	0	9	16	1	1	0	143	368	143	511		333	41	23	273	67	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	222	3	4	192	265	281	+4	+8	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	9	11	192	265	281	+11.9	+23.9	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Helder Rosario (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	179/254/249	71	289	0	1	37%	8%	38	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	38	-2.6	191/272/288	97	316	8	13	39%	7%	56	-1.3	155/237/232	77	334	8	23	51%	6%	25	-1.2
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	38→36	39→45	47→55	43	183/270/267	84	278	6	10	34%	8%	50	-1.7	176/256/272	96	242	8	19	29%	7%	46	-2.0	155/243/267	112	213	11	23	32%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Adam Zebrowski 2022 · A	21	44→35	39→45	49→40	38	205/266/291	86	316	5	7	35%	6%	53	-1.5	195/265/316	121	293	13	4	36%	8%	60	-1.0	184/236/312	128	274	18	2	38%	5%	44	-1.1
✕Dale Burdick 2017 · A	21	38	39→45	49→50	38	178/247/265	87	298	5	7	39%	7%	40	-2.4	176/255/272	96	319	7	8	43%	9%	45	-2.1	141/235/232	91	260	8	8	44%	10%	24	-1.3
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	39	176/249/261	85	299	6	10	40%	8%	40	-2.4	195/273/291	96	312	7	14	36%	9%	57	-1.2	139/211/213	74	271	5	19	47%	8%	9	-1.4
✕Rafael Morel 2023 · A	21	41	37→40	49→50	34	187/244/260	73	318	4	9	40%	6%	36	-2.7	188/260/270	82	295	8	12	36%	7%	46	-2.0	166/245/237	72	259	8	15	37%	8%	29	-2.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Fabian Pertuz 2022 · A	21	42→33	39→40	45→55	33	198/245/277	79	321	7	7	39%	5%	40	-2.4	175/222/265	90	272	8	11	37%	5%	28	-3.2	156/204/243	87	241	9	12	38%	4%	12	-2.6
✕Ali Solis 2009 · A	21	38	38→45	47→30	40	181/244/258	78	284	5	4	36%	7%	36	-2.7	197/237/317	120	282	14	3	34%	4%	48	-1.9	227/249/361	134	309	15	1	31%	2%	60	-0.5
✕Yeurys Tejeda 2009 · A	21	37	38→40	51→50	36	182/239/256	74	283	6	11	36%	5%	33	-2.9	201/249/290	89	282	7	7	30%	5%	45	-2.1	175/208/266	92	228	10	4	28%	3%	20	-0.8
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Luis Rubio 2023 · A	21	40	35→30	46→45	39	185/248/243	57	296	2	7	36%	7%	33	-2.9	189/260/250	61	284	3	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	127/221/148	21	194	0	8	31%	10%	-2	-1.3
✕Chuck Moorman 2015 · A	21	40	39→40	48→30	35	189/243/272	82	303	7	5	38%	5%	39	-2.5	186/225/259	73	273	5	3	32%	4%	27	-3.3	181/219/257	76	259	5	0	31%	4%	21	-1.8
✕Will Banfield 2021 · A	21	34→35	40→50	47→30	34	174/220/260	86	266	8	3	37%	5%	26	-3.4	180/221/294	114	261	12	3	35%	4%	35	-2.8	194/236/296	102	269	12	0	32%	4%	39	-1.2
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	40→29	37→50	54→55	38	188/244/263	75	289	4	11	34%	6%	37	-2.7	181/253/315	134	327	17	16	46%	7%	56	-1.3	164/239/293	129	288	17	19	46%	7%	40	-1.6
✕Justin Twine 2017 · A	21	36→31	36→45	45→50	28	175/214/240	65	291	3	7	40%	3%	17	-4.0	197/236/278	81	295	6	9	34%	3%	37	-2.7	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Sammy Infante 2022 · A	21	39→25	40→45	44→55	37	182/253/275	92	314	7	7	41%	7%	44	-2.1	176/242/277	101	300	10	14	42%	6%	40	-2.4	164/231/260	96	276	10	17	42%	6%	29	-1.7
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	36→33	37→50	47→30	38	174/239/249	74	275	4	6	36%	6%	31	-3.0	194/253/302	108	317	9	3	39%	7%	51	-1.7	172/240/299	127	285	15	1	43%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Robertico Medina 2015 · A	21	36	37→40	48→45	37	160/244/225	66	315	5	8	47%	8%	29	-3.2	175/267/253	78	315	6	7	41%	10%	46	-2.0	151/254/224	73	269	6	7	41%	11%	31	-1.1
✕Deivis Nadal 2023 · A	21	37	36→40	48→55	37	175/244/240	65	289	3	14	38%	6%	31	-3.0	173/255/277	104	332	9	19	46%	9%	46	-2.0	140/234/249	109	282	11	25	49%	10%	28	-1.4