Andy EncarnacionCF DSL Arizona Red
Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .268 / .280
PA79
HR1
K%27
BB%8
ISO84
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.2+$4M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 36
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT36
scouting grade only
POWER36
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED64
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL D-backs Black 187165 23511 17632 34 139228200428 61212 349 198 10
202217 ROKDSL D-backs Black 187159 361021 23422 34 226332333665 107294 2212 302 89
202318 ROKDSL Arizona Black 179165 26411 9453 63 158215212427 55208 255 179 -5
202318 ROKDSL Arizona Black 179160 33611 14313 63 206282275557 69248 178 257 55
202419 ROKDSL Arizona Red 151134 21411 14502 136 157247224471 67238 339 215 23
202419 ROKDSL Arizona Red 151128 32622 20332 136 250360375735 125319 2213 334 114
202520 ROKDSL Arizona Red 8876 13510 9260 91 171259263522 92255 3010 219 26
202520 ROKDSL Arizona Red 8871 16610 14160 91 225353338691 113286 1816 309 95
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBARI 7972 15311 6211 20 208278319598 111269 278 253 52 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBARI 34% 163147 30612 13432 41 204278299577 95273 268 265 61 -7 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.2
202823 MLBARI 48% 285257 551025 23743 72 214286327613 113275 268 274 67 -10 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
202924 MLBARI 53% 373335 731427 31954 102 218292334626 116277 258 279 71 -12 +1 +0 +1 +11 0.1
203025 MLBARI 55% 426384 841638 351084 113 219291339629 120278 258 281 73 -13 +1 +0 +2 +12 0.2
203126 MLBARI 56% 458412 901739 381165 123 218292340632 121277 258 282 74 -13 +1 +0 +2 +13 0.2
202722 MLBARI 34% 5651 10201 4151 10 196268294562 98275 277 260 57 -3 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.1
202823 MLBARI 48% 138125 26512 11361 31 208277312589 104277 268 268 64 -6 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.1
202924 MLBARI 53% 197177 38714 16502 51 215287333621 119279 258 274 68 -7 +1 +0 +1 +6 -0.0
203025 MLBARI 55% 233210 45914 19592 62 214286324610 110280 258 276 70 -8 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.0
203126 MLBARI 56% 255229 511025 21653 72 223296349646 127280 258 277 70 -9 +1 +0 +1 +7 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 879792 17033516 712259 226 215287330616 115277 268 274 68 -32 +2 +0 +3 +25 -0.2
/ 162G 650586 12624412 531667 164 215288331619 116277 268 274 68 -24 +2 +0 +2 +18 -0.1
Career 23892147 430841635 19564126 7725 200275303578 103266 278 257 55 -121 +5 +0 +9 +68 -4.0
/ 162G 650584 11723410 531747 217 200275305580 104265 278 257 55 -33 +1 +0 +2 +18 -1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL D-backs Black 187159 361021 23422 34 226332333665 107294 2212 302 89 -2 -1 +5 0.2
202318 ROKDSL Arizona Black 179160 33611 14313 63 206282275557 69248 178 257 55 -9 +0 +5 -0.4
202419 ROKDSL Arizona Red 151128 32622 20332 136 250360375735 125319 2213 334 114 +2 +0 +4 0.7
202520 ROKDSL Arizona Red 8871 16610 14160 91 225353338691 113286 1816 309 95 -0 +1 +2 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
39581624214284326+3+8-0.00.1
/1626641117+2.4+5.2-0.0pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Andy Encarnacion (OGILVIE) 21 31→36 31→36 59→64 60 197/268/280 83269 12 27% 8% 52 -0.2
Luke Williams
2018 · A
21 39→46 35→45 55→60 41 188/231/243 55251 318 26% 5% 25 -3.5 199/255/286 87268 718 27% 6% 47 -1.9 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
Junior Boni
2012 · A
21 44 37→40 55 48 204/278/285 80264 216 22% 8% 57 -1.2 200/272/276 76269 312 25% 8% 52 -1.6 146/233/1914420401325%9%11-0.9
Albertson Asigen
2023 · A
21 48 35→40 57→55 48 221/293/288 67304 212 26% 8% 63 -0.8 222/301/309 87344 720 34% 9% 73 -0.1 213/301/3079434882737%9%69-0.1
Christian Cairo
2022 · A
21 39→46 40 53→60 46 187/281/276 89288 716 34% 10% 58 -1.2 194/293/274 80293 618 32% 11% 63 -0.9 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
Tyler Goeddel
2014 · A
21 42→50 40→45 59→55 39 204/254/302 98293 620 31% 6% 50 -1.7 223/280/337 114302 918 28% 6% 71 -0.3 225/287/343117297101826%7%72-0.1
Nelson Medina
2022 · A
21 39 38→45 53→50 47 187/270/270 84274 515 31% 9% 51 -1.7 185/255/279 94336 713 43% 8% 46 -2.0 134/194/2097529151652%6%-1-1.8
Chris Roller
2018 · A
21 37 37→50 53→55 45 178/254/255 77243 412 27% 8% 40 -2.4 208/276/322 114297 811 31% 7% 66 -0.6 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
Glenn Santiago
2021 · A
20 43 37→40 55→45 46 200/274/277 78262 313 23% 7% 54 -1.4 206/269/298 92281 79 27% 7% 56 -1.3 184/247/261772747833%7%35-1.1
Hoy Park
2017 · A
21 41→49 39→45 60→55 46 193/267/285 92274 517 29% 8% 53 -1.5 216/290/303 87291 617 26% 9% 67 -0.5 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
Roberto Caro
2015 · A
21 45→38 38→40 63→60 49 212/292/308 96281 321 24% 9% 69 -0.4 201/272/280 79302 216 31% 8% 53 -1.5 212/285/2927932822633%8%59-0.5
Lane Adams
2011 · A
21 44→46 37→50 57→60 40 206/257/280 74300 414 31% 6% 46 -2.0 213/262/320 107298 914 30% 6% 58 -1.2 228/279/363136311163631%6%74-0.0
Victor Soto
2010 · A
21 39 37→45 56→60 40 188/240/265 77263 322 29% 5% 35 -2.8 199/243/272 73293 314 31% 5% 37 -2.6 187/218/2375027901832%3%15-0.8
Cayden Wallace
2023 · A
21 45→42 42→50 56→50 40 218/268/331 113302 815 30% 6% 64 -0.8 215/273/337 122287 1112 27% 6% 68 -0.5 225/274/377152279181326%5%77+0.1
Jonatan Santana
2009 · A
21 43 36→40 53→55 49 203/268/269 66250 214 19% 8% 48 -1.9 199/251/270 71254 410 22% 6% 41 -2.3 182/226/239572343722%4%18-1.1
Robert Del Rosario
2013 · A
21 40 36→40 53→55 45 191/251/257 67255 415 26% 7% 38 -2.6 212/263/277 65287 313 26% 6% 47 -1.9 226/270/2694330301724%4%46-0.7
Kristopher Negrón
2007 · A
21 43→51 39→45 56→55 44 206/262/291 85252 612 20% 5% 52 -1.6 214/276/298 84281 618 24% 6% 59 -1.1 230/293/33310329492323%6%72-0.2
Grolmann Gonzalez
2010 · A
21 40 38→40 52→55 42 193/255/277 85272 49 29% 7% 45 -2.1 209/265/303 94303 67 31% 6% 56 -1.3 218/266/3191013077430%6%58-0.2
Anthony Jimenez
2017 · A
21 47→45 38→45 56→55 41 223/272/312 90286 520 23% 5% 60 -1.0 220/264/327 107331 918 35% 4% 62 -0.9 211/256/320109324101936%4%52-0.8
Troy Stokes Jr.
2017 · A
21 44→38 39→50 54→55 45 207/278/296 88274 519 25% 7% 59 -1.1 198/271/329 131274 1318 31% 8% 66 -0.6 184/263/319135258141933%8%58-1.0
Zack Larson
2015 · A
21 45→35 39→45 52→50 40 217/270/299 82292 611 27% 5% 57 -1.2 190/247/252 62266 210 28% 6% 35 -2.8 164/223/2064323201227%6%13-3.3