Roinny Aguiar — OGILVIE

Roinny AguiarSS FCL Pirates

Age 21 R/R 5'7" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .272 / .282

PA58

HR1

K%29

BB%8

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	147	115	16	4	0	1	26	48	2	18	5	139	308	200	508	61	224	33	18	240	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	147	103	21	6	0	1	38	31	2	18	5	204	427	291	718	87	278	21	26	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	168	147	31	2	2	1	14	61	5	15	6	211	301	272	573	61	345	36	8	258	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	168	138	44	4	4	1	23	40	5	15	6	319	434	428	861	109	434	24	14	387	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	104	91	17	2	1	0	9	37	0	7	3	187	260	231	491	44	309	36	9	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	104	87	21	2	1	0	13	27	0	7	3	241	340	287	627	46	344	26	12	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	54	44	6	0	0	0	8	13	0	4	1	136	269	136	406		194	24	15	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	54	39	7	0	0	0	13	9	0	4	1	179	385	179	564		233	17	24	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	PIT	—	58	53	11	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	208	276	302	578	94	287	29	7	256	54	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PIT	34%	142	129	27	4	1	2	11	40	1	3	1	209	277	302	579	93	289	28	8	269	64	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	PIT	48%	270	244	53	8	2	5	21	74	3	5	1	217	287	328	615	111	290	27	8	278	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.2
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	362	326	72	11	3	7	29	98	4	7	2	221	292	337	630	117	292	27	8	284	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2030	25	MLB	PIT	55%	417	376	84	13	3	9	34	113	4	8	2	223	295	346	640	122	292	27	8	288	78	-10	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.7
2031	26	MLB	PIT	56%	451	407	91	14	3	10	36	122	5	9	2	224	295	346	641	123	292	27	8	290	80	-10	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.9
2032	27	MLB	PIT	55%	467	421	94	15	3	10	38	126	5	9	2	223	295	344	640	121	292	27	8	290	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.9
2027	22	MLB	PIT	34%	49	45	9	1	0	1	4	14	0	1	0	200	265	289	554	89	287	29	8	261	58	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	PIT	48%	131	119	25	4	1	2	10	36	1	3	1	210	277	311	588	101	289	27	8	270	64	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	191	172	38	6	1	4	15	52	2	4	1	221	291	337	628	116	290	27	8	276	69	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB	PIT	55%	228	206	46	7	2	5	18	62	2	5	1	223	292	350	642	126	290	27	8	279	72	-7	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2031	26	MLB	PIT	56%	251	226	51	8	2	6	20	68	3	5	1	226	297	358	656	133	290	27	8	281	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	27	MLB	PIT	55%	257	231	52	8	2	6	21	70	3	5	1	225	298	355	653	130	290	27	8	281	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1107	999	221	34	8	24	88	302	11	23	5	221	291	343	635	122	291	27	8	277	71	-37	+3	+0	+12	+31	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	130	20	5	14	52	177	6	14	3	221	291	344	636	123	291	27	8	277	71	-22	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	2640	2353	502	75	18	46	230	749	30	86	25	213	292	319	611	106	290	28	9	276	69	-92	+7	+0	+28	+75	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	122	18	4	11	57	184	7	21	6	211	289	313	601	102	287	28	9	276	69	-23	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	147	103	21	6	0	1	38	31	2	18	5	204	427	291	718	87	278	21	26	343	121	+3	+2	—	—	+4	0.9
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	168	138	44	4	4	1	23	40	5	15	6	319	434	428	861	109	434	24	14	387	155	+10	+1	—	—	+5	1.6
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	104	87	21	2	1	0	13	27	0	7	3	241	340	287	627	46	344	26	12	284	76	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.0
2025	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	54	39	7	0	0	0	13	9	0	4	1	179	385	179	564		233	17	24	285	76	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,165	23	24	223	290	340	+12	+12	1.6	1.7
	/162	664	13	13	223	290	340	+7.1	+6.8	0.9	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roinny Aguiar (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	204/272/282	79	287	1	1	29%	8%	54	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→50	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	40	-2.4	208/276/322	114	297	8	11	31%	7%	66	-0.6	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Oswald Peraza 2021 · A	21	44→52	38→50	52→60	42	214/270/290	76	279	6	17	25%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/375	140	299	17	28	26%	5%	84	+0.6	228/285/371	143	284	18	30	26%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	42→52	41→45	52→50	40	203/262/305	102	282	7	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	223/270/319	96	299	8	9	27%	5%	62	-0.9	248/287/342	94	301	8	6	20%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→46	35→45	55→60	41	188/231/243	55	251	3	18	26%	5%	25	-3.5	199/255/286	87	268	7	18	27%	6%	47	-1.9	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2017 · A	21	40→50	37→55	49→45	43	191/249/267	76	265	3	10	28%	7%	40	-2.4	244/280/355	111	307	9	5	23%	4%	75	-0.0	241/298/401	160	289	18	4	23%	7%	93	+0.9