Luis Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Luis RodriguezSS ACL Guardians

Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 176 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION35 act + 51 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .275 / .319

PA51

HR1

K%29

BB%6

BABIP290

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	92	77	17	4	1	2	6	33	2	5	0	221	294	377	671	156	333	36	7	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	92	73	19	5	1	2	10	21	2	5	0	260	365	438	803	178	321	23	11	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	104	87	15	2	1	0	8	33	4	2	1	172	273	218	491	46	273	32	8	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	2 teams	—	104	82	17	3	1	0	13	23	4	2	1	207	343	268	612	61	283	22	12	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Angels	—	76	64	16	2	0	0	4	20	2	2	0	250	314	281	596	31	348	26	5	243	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Angels	—	76	61	18	2	0	0	7	13	2	2	0	295	386	328	714	33	360	17	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	ROK	CLE	—	35	33	3	0	0	0	2	16	0	1	0	91	143	91	234		176	46	6	118	-51	-6	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.5
YTD	21	ROK	CLE	—	35	31	4	0	0	0	4	11	0	1	0	129	229	129	358		200	31	11	183	-2	-4	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.3
ROS	21	ROK	CLE	0%	51	47	10	2	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	213	275	319	594	106	281	29	6	248	48	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	240	42	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	ROK	CLE	—	35	34	3	0	0	0	2	16	0	1	0	88	143	88	231		167	46	6	118	-51	-6	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.5
TOT	21	ROK	CLE	—	86	80	13	2	0	1	5	31	1	2	0	163	221	225	446	62	250	36	6	195	8	-9	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CLE	34%	189	172	36	6	1	3	13	55	2	3	1	209	273	308	581	99	283	29	7	262	59	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	CLE	48%	305	276	59	10	2	5	22	87	4	4	1	214	281	319	600	105	285	29	7	271	66	-12	+0	+0	+3	+9	0.1
2029	24	MLB	CLE	53%	387	352	76	13	2	8	28	109	4	6	1	216	281	332	614	116	287	28	7	277	70	-13	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2030	25	MLB	CLE	55%	434	394	86	15	3	9	32	121	5	6	2	218	285	340	625	122	287	28	7	281	73	-13	+0	+0	+5	+12	0.4
2031	26	MLB	CLE	56%	463	421	92	16	3	10	34	129	5	7	2	219	285	342	627	124	287	28	7	283	74	-13	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.5
2032	27	MLB	CLE	55%	475	430	94	16	3	10	36	133	6	7	2	219	288	340	628	121	287	28	8	283	75	-14	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.6
2033	28	MLB	CLE	55%	479	434	94	16	3	10	36	134	6	7	2	217	286	336	622	120	287	28	8	282	74	-14	+1	-1	+5	+14	0.5
2034	29	MLB	CLE	53%	474	430	93	16	3	10	36	134	5	6	1	216	285	337	622	121	286	28	8	280	73	-15	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.3
2027	22	MLB	CLE	34%	65	59	12	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	203	277	288	565	85	284	29	8	254	53	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	CLE	48%	148	134	29	5	1	3	11	42	2	2	1	216	286	336	622	119	286	28	7	263	59	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	CLE	53%	204	185	40	7	1	4	15	57	2	3	1	216	282	330	612	114	287	28	7	269	64	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	CLE	55%	238	215	47	8	1	5	18	66	3	3	1	219	288	335	623	116	288	28	8	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2031	26	MLB	CLE	56%	258	234	52	9	2	6	19	72	3	4	1	222	289	355	644	132	288	28	7	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2032	27	MLB	CLE	55%	261	236	53	9	2	6	20	73	3	4	1	225	293	356	649	131	288	28	8	274	68	-9	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2033	28	MLB	CLE	55%	262	237	53	9	2	6	20	74	3	4	1	224	292	354	647	131	287	28	8	274	68	-10	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.1
2034	29	MLB	CLE	53%	253	229	48	8	1	5	19	72	3	3	1	210	279	319	598	109	287	28	8	272	66	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1689	1530	334	57	10	36	127	475	20	24	7	218	287	339	626	121	290	28	8	271	66	-65	+2	-1	+18	+48	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	129	22	4	14	49	183	8	9	3	219	288	341	630	122	291	28	8	271	66	-25	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	3529	3184	688	118	22	68	258	1003	46	56	13	216	284	331	615	115	291	28	7	276	69	-123	+6	-2	+38	+100	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	127	22	4	13	48	185	8	10	2	217	285	334	620	118	291	28	7	276	69	-23	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	ACL Angels	—	92	73	19	5	1	2	10	21	2	5	0	260	365	438	803	178	321	23	11	333	113	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	19	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	52	43	7	1	1	0	7	14	1	0	0	163	294	233	527	70	241	27	13	251	50	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	19	ROK	ACL Angels	—	52	39	10	2	0	0	6	9	3	2	1	256	396	308	704	51	323	17	12	312	97	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	20	ROK	ACL Angels	—	76	61	18	2	0	0	7	13	2	2	0	295	386	328	714	33	360	17	9	308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,774	36	25	217	282	335	+19	+15	1.5	1.6
	/162	664	14	9	217	282	335	+7.1	+5.6	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	162/221/225	62	250	1	2	36%	6%	8	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	37→41	41→55	48→50	44	180/262/280	101	277	8	8	36%	9%	50	-1.8	198/258/332	134	287	14	10	34%	6%	61	-1.0	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Niko Vasquez 2010 · A	21	41	37→50	46→45	42	193/260/264	71	288	5	6	33%	8%	44	-2.1	197/271/306	109	274	10	3	30%	9%	59	-1.1	224/278/372	148	290	19	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Wendell Rijo 2017 · AA	21	39→41	39→55	46→50	38	192/239/276	85	274	6	11	31%	5%	37	-2.6	199/255/292	93	268	8	8	28%	6%	49	-1.8	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2018 · A	20	40	38→55	47→45	44	192/261/269	76	264	5	9	28%	7%	46	-2.0	207/248/334	127	286	13	6	31%	5%	57	-1.2	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Cutter Dykstra 2010 · A	21	40→50	40	47→55	43	198/260/282	84	275	8	11	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/292	75	304	6	16	29%	6%	56	-1.3	232/301/316	84	315	6	16	26%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	42→52	41→45	52→50	40	203/262/305	102	282	7	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	223/270/319	96	299	8	9	27%	5%	62	-0.9	248/287/342	94	301	8	6	20%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Ethan Workinger 2023 · A	21	38→44	42→50	45	39	189/240/301	111	260	9	5	30%	5%	45	-2.1	211/260/341	130	280	14	6	29%	6%	64	-0.8	204/258/343	139	247	18	9	25%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Arturo De Freitas 2022 · A	21	43	38→45	50→40	39	204/264/287	82	286	5	8	29%	5%	51	-1.7	173/225/248	75	289	7	4	40%	6%	24	-3.5	136/184/191	55	233	5	0	42%	5%	-10	-2.1
✕Jose Ramos 2021 · A	20	43→42	38→50	48→45	41	206/270/283	78	285	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	214/277/356	142	321	16	4	36%	7%	76	+0.0	203/271/349	146	304	18	4	37%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	41	-2.3	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	50	-1.7	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Luis De Los Santos 2019 · A	21	40→47	40→45	53→45	35	198/241/288	90	276	7	8	30%	4%	42	-2.3	203/247/309	106	292	9	7	32%	4%	50	-1.8	216/283/335	119	291	13	7	29%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Blake Hunt 2021 · A	22	41	39→50	49→40	43	198/254/288	90	263	6	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	192/251/307	115	278	12	4	34%	6%	52	-1.6	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Zach Green 2016 · A	22	43→41	41→55	49→40	39	210/252/306	96	286	8	6	29%	5%	50	-1.7	204/259/337	133	322	14	3	39%	5%	63	-0.8	192/267/372	179	300	23	1	42%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jesus Ugueto 2012 · A	21	43	38→45	47→50	45	207/264/289	81	274	5	6	25%	7%	51	-1.7	234/283/350	116	301	10	11	24%	6%	75	-0.0	248/294/383	135	310	12	14	23%	5%	88	+0.4