Brayan Guedez — OGILVIE

Brayan GuedezSS DSL CLE Goryl

Age 21 L/R 5'8" / 135 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 59 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .273 / .283

PA59

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.5M
2036	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$4M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	154	142	27	4	1	0	7	47	5	11	4	190	253	232	486	42	284	31	5	217	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	154	137	34	5	1	0	12	31	5	11	4	248	331	299	630	51	321	20	8	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Guardians Red	—	127	116	18	3	2	0	11	39	0	9	4	155	228	216	444	60	234	31	9	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Guardians Red	—	127	107	25	4	2	1	20	26	0	9	4	234	354	336	691	103	300	20	16	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	99	85	16	1	1	0	11	27	2	17	2	188	296	224	519	35	271	27	11	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	99	78	21	2	1	0	18	16	2	17	2	269	418	321	739	51	333	16	18	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	PIT	—	59	54	11	2	1	0	5	17	0	2	0	204	271	278	549	74	286	29	8	256	54	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PIT	34%	115	104	22	4	1	1	9	32	1	3	0	212	281	298	579	87	288	28	8	268	64	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2028	23	MLB	PIT	48%	250	226	49	8	2	4	20	68	2	6	1	217	286	323	609	106	289	27	8	277	70	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	349	315	69	11	3	6	28	93	3	9	1	219	289	330	619	111	291	27	8	282	74	-10	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2030	25	MLB	PIT	55%	409	369	81	13	3	8	33	109	4	10	2	220	291	336	627	117	291	27	8	286	77	-11	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.7
2031	26	MLB	PIT	56%	447	403	91	15	4	9	37	119	4	11	2	226	297	350	647	124	291	27	8	287	78	-11	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.8
2032	27	MLB	PIT	55%	466	420	93	15	4	9	39	124	4	12	2	221	294	340	634	119	291	27	8	287	78	-12	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.8
2033	28	MLB	PIT	55%	473	426	94	15	4	9	40	127	4	11	2	221	294	338	632	117	290	27	8	287	77	-12	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.7
2034	29	MLB	PIT	53%	471	424	93	15	4	9	40	127	4	11	2	219	293	337	630	118	290	27	8	285	76	-13	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.6
2035	30	MLB	PIT	53%	465	419	91	15	4	8	39	127	4	9	1	217	290	329	619	112	289	27	8	282	74	-14	+1	-2	+5	+13	0.4
2036	31	MLB	PIT	52%	454	409	87	14	3	8	38	125	4	8	1	213	286	320	606	108	287	28	8	278	71	-15	+1	-3	+5	+13	0.1
2037	32	MLB	PIT	52%	438	394	83	13	3	7	37	122	4	6	1	211	285	312	597	102	284	28	8	273	67	-16	+1	-4	+5	+12	-0.2
2027	22	MLB	PIT	34%	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	189	250	216	466	27	286	28	8	261	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	PIT	48%	121	109	24	4	1	2	10	33	1	3	0	220	292	330	622	110	288	27	8	269	64	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	184	165	37	6	2	3	15	49	2	5	1	224	297	339	636	115	289	27	8	274	68	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB	PIT	55%	224	202	44	7	2	4	18	60	2	6	1	218	288	332	620	114	289	27	8	278	71	-7	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2031	26	MLB	PIT	56%	249	225	50	8	2	5	20	66	2	6	1	222	291	342	634	120	289	27	8	279	72	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	27	MLB	PIT	55%	256	231	51	8	2	5	21	68	2	7	1	221	291	338	629	117	289	27	8	279	72	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	28	MLB	PIT	55%	259	233	51	8	2	5	22	69	2	6	1	219	292	335	627	116	289	27	8	279	71	-8	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2034	29	MLB	PIT	53%	251	226	50	8	2	5	21	68	2	6	1	221	293	341	634	119	288	27	8	277	70	-8	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
2035	30	MLB	PIT	53%	244	219	48	8	2	4	21	66	2	5	1	219	293	329	622	110	287	27	9	274	68	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.0
2036	31	MLB	PIT	52%	237	213	45	7	2	4	20	65	2	4	1	211	285	319	604	108	285	27	8	271	65	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
2037	32	MLB	PIT	52%	227	204	44	7	2	4	19	63	2	3	1	216	289	328	617	113	282	28	8	266	62	-10	+0	-2	+2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2292	2064	451	72	19	41	190	618	19	52	9	219	290	331	622	113	290	27	8	275	69	-82	+7	-6	+25	+65	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	127	20	5	12	54	175	5	15	3	217	289	330	619	113	287	27	8	275	69	-23	+2	-2	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	4776	4306	925	148	40	78	394	1303	45	135	25	215	287	322	610	107	288	27	8	277	70	-160	+17	-10	+51	+135	3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	126	20	5	11	54	177	6	18	3	215	288	323	610	108	287	27	8	277	70	-22	+2	-1	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	154	137	34	5	1	0	12	31	5	11	4	248	331	299	630	51	321	20	8	295	84	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Guardians Red	—	127	107	25	4	2	1	20	26	0	9	4	234	354	336	691	103	300	20	16	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	19	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	99	78	21	2	1	0	18	16	2	17	2	269	418	321	739	51	333	16	18	348	125	+3	+3	—	—	+3	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,350	42	53	220	289	334	+25	+21	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	12	15	220	289	334	+7.1	+5.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brayan Guedez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	204/273/283	79	286	0	2	28%	8%	54	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Thomas Milone 2016 · A	21	43→44	36→45	50→55	39	204/250/268	65	283	3	14	28%	5%	40	-2.4	197/250/267	70	287	3	12	31%	6%	40	-2.4	243/298/369	125	340	8	17	29%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Ricardo Méndez 2021 · A	21	43	39→45	54→50	39	204/264/292	88	314	7	13	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/259/315	98	324	6	13	33%	5%	56	-1.3	213/255/307	94	313	5	14	32%	5%	48	-1.1
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	40→45	35→40	53→55	44	190/254/251	61	280	3	10	31%	8%	37	-2.6	218/277/298	80	290	8	18	26%	7%	59	-1.1	217/279/292	74	284	8	21	25%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	41	37→45	55→45	39	197/236/272	76	265	4	7	27%	5%	34	-2.8	241/267/333	92	304	5	7	22%	3%	63	-0.9	257/280/358	100	316	5	7	20%	2%	71	-0.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	199/259/296	97	325	8	29	38%	7%	52	-1.6	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Kelvin Duran 2012 · A	21	42	38→45	53→55	42	201/253/285	83	276	5	15	28%	6%	45	-2.1	194/240/266	72	292	5	9	33%	5%	35	-2.8	146/176/183	36	218	4	12	34%	3%	-17	-1.3
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→46	37→45	52→50	46	194/262/260	66	258	5	10	26%	8%	43	-2.2	216/290/317	101	275	7	10	22%	9%	70	-0.3	216/298/324	108	271	6	10	21%	10%	71	-0.2
✕Juan Centeno 2011 · A	21	43	37→45	50→40	44	204/257/271	67	265	4	9	24%	6%	44	-2.1	244/285/305	61	305	2	6	20%	5%	63	-0.8	238/286/352	114	281	11	2	19%	5%	73	-0.1
✕LeVon Washington 2012 · A	21	44	38→45	51→50	44	201/274/280	78	315	5	13	35%	9%	54	-1.4	234/309/337	103	350	7	13	32%	9%	83	+0.6	243/313/365	123	341	8	12	29%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Adonis Pacheco 2012 · A	21	42	35→50	50→55	45	196/253/261	64	261	1	14	24%	7%	39	-2.5	207/262/304	97	266	5	13	22%	6%	54	-1.4	202/258/319	117	251	6	15	21%	6%	54	-0.5
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→55	53→50	41	180/242/256	76	271	4	13	33%	7%	33	-2.9	213/262/339	126	310	10	6	32%	6%	63	-0.8	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→46	35→45	55→60	41	188/231/243	55	251	3	18	26%	5%	25	-3.5	199/255/286	87	268	7	18	27%	6%	47	-1.9	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Raynel Delgado 2022 · A	22	37→47	39→40	47→60	37	183/237/265	83	279	7	13	36%	6%	34	-2.8	212/279/307	95	299	8	18	30%	7%	63	-0.8	242/304/336	94	333	8	32	28%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Christopher Familia 2022 · A	22	42	38→55	47→45	43	200/270/285	85	279	4	10	28%	7%	54	-1.4	212/277/365	153	274	19	5	29%	6%	79	+0.3	203/266/377	174	255	24	2	31%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2023 · A	21	44	40→50	49→50	43	210/264/306	96	280	6	8	26%	6%	56	-1.3	212/262/343	131	271	15	10	27%	6%	65	-0.7	227/286/389	162	266	21	9	23%	7%	84	+0.3
✕Daryl Jones 2008 · A	21	40→50	38→45	48→50	41	195/258/273	78	261	6	13	27%	6%	46	-2.0	232/296/336	104	307	9	14	26%	7%	78	+0.2	235/302/342	107	308	9	14	25%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Addison Barger 2021 · A	21	41→45	39→55	49→45	44	198/267/288	90	270	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	217/280/375	158	316	19	7	36%	7%	82	+0.5	220/290/392	172	269	20	6	26%	8%	86	+0.6
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	198/268/265	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	47	-1.9	206/304/278	72	297	4	26	29%	9%	68	-0.5	217/333/268	51	299	3	35	25%	10%	75	-0.0