Leny Carela — OGILVIE

Leny CarelaSS DSL Phillies Red

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .272 / .283

PA5

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	118	96	25	3	0	0	19	18	0	10	4	260	383	292	674	31	312	15	16	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	100	87	23	4	1	0	9	26	2	7	5	264	347	333	680	69	371	26	9	308	95	-1	-1	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	19	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	104	81	16	4	1	0	17	12	2	14	1	198	350	272	622	74	222	12	16	289	82	-2	+2	—	—	+2	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	118	104	20	2	0	0	11	27	0	10	4	192	270	212	481	19	242	23	9	224	38	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	100	90	17	3	1	0	6	39	2	7	5	189	255	244	500	56	288	39	6	205	25	-9	-1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	104	87	14	3	1	0	11	17	2	14	1	161	270	218	488	57	182	16	11	222	36	-8	+2	—	—	+2	-0.3
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	118	104	20	2	0	0	11	27	0	10	4	192	270	212	481	19	253	23	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	118	96	25	3	0	0	19	18	0	10	4	260	383	292	674	31	312	15	16	314	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	100	90	17	3	1	0	6	39	2	7	5	189	255	244	500	56	327	39	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	—	100	87	23	4	1	0	9	26	2	7	5	264	347	333	680	69	371	26	9	308	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	104	87	14	3	1	0	11	17	2	14	1	161	270	218	488	57	192	16	11	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	—	104	81	16	4	1	0	17	12	2	14	1	198	350	272	622	74	222	12	16	289	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	118	106	20	2	0	0	11	27	0	10	4	189	270	208	477	19	242	23	9	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	100	92	17	3	1	0	6	39	2	7	5	185	255	239	494	54	288	39	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	104	90	14	3	1	0	11	17	2	14	1	156	270	211	481	56	182	16	11	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	—	100	92	17	3	1	0	6	39	2	7	5	185	255	239	494	54	288	39	6	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	—	104	90	14	3	1	0	11	17	2	14	1	156	270	211	481	56	182	16	11	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		287	20	0	256	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	115	104	22	4	1	1	9	31	1	3	0	212	281	298	579	87	288	27	8	268	67	-4	+1	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	23	MLB MLE	PHI	50%	251	227	50	9	2	4	19	67	3	6	1	220	289	330	620	110	289	27	8	276	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	349	315	70	12	3	6	27	92	4	8	1	222	292	337	628	114	291	26	8	281	76	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	PHI	60%	410	370	83	15	3	7	32	108	5	10	2	224	295	338	633	114	291	26	8	284	79	-10	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	PHI	62%	448	405	90	16	3	8	35	118	5	11	2	222	292	336	628	114	291	26	8	286	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	PHI	63%	466	421	94	17	3	9	37	123	5	11	2	223	294	342	636	119	291	26	8	286	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	474	428	95	17	3	9	38	125	5	11	2	222	293	339	632	117	290	26	8	285	79	-12	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	472	426	95	17	3	9	38	126	5	10	2	223	294	340	635	117	290	27	8	284	78	-12	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	466	420	91	16	3	8	38	125	5	9	1	217	289	326	616	110	289	27	8	281	76	-13	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	39	36	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	167	231	194	425	28	290	28	8	262	67	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	PHI	50%	125	113	25	4	1	2	10	33	1	3	0	221	290	327	618	106	292	26	8	271	73	-4	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	198	179	40	7	1	4	15	52	2	5	1	223	291	341	632	117	293	26	8	277	76	-6	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	PHI	60%	248	224	51	9	2	5	19	65	3	6	1	228	297	353	649	125	293	26	8	280	79	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	PHI	62%	280	253	57	10	2	6	22	73	3	7	1	225	295	352	647	126	293	26	8	282	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	27	MLB CTX	PHI	63%	296	268	61	11	2	6	23	78	3	7	1	228	296	351	647	123	293	26	8	282	80	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	308	277	62	11	2	6	25	81	3	7	1	224	295	343	638	119	293	26	8	281	79	-8	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	307	276	62	11	2	6	25	82	3	7	1	225	296	344	640	120	292	27	8	279	78	-8	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2035	30	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	303	273	61	11	2	6	24	81	3	6	1	223	293	344	638	121	291	27	8	277	76	-9	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2104	1899	425	75	14	41	166	556	21	49	7	224	293	343	636	119	292	26	8	279	74	-55	+7	-3	+23	+46	1.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	131	23	4	13	51	172	6	15	2	223	291	342	634	119	291	26	8	279	74	-17	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3778	3402	742	131	26	61	301	999	42	110	23	218	290	326	615	108	288	26	8	277	74	-92	+11	-4	+37	+75	2.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	127	23	4	10	52	172	7	19	4	217	289	321	610	104	287	26	8	277	74	-17	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.3	2,163	38	49	222	289	336	+23	+18	3.2	3.2
	/162	664	12	15	222	289	336	+7.1	+5.5	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps