Leny Carela — OGILVIE

Leny CarelaSS DSL Phillies Red

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .271 / .281

PA60

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	118	104	20	2	0	0	11	28	0	10	4	192	270	212	481	19	256	24	9	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	118	96	25	3	0	0	19	18	0	10	4	260	383	292	674	31	312	15	16	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	100	90	16	3	1	0	6	41	2	7	5	178	245	233	478	56	320	41	6	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	100	87	23	4	1	0	9	26	2	7	5	264	347	333	680	69	371	26	9	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	104	87	15	3	1	0	11	18	2	14	1	172	280	230	510	57	208	17	11	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	104	81	16	4	1	0	17	12	2	14	1	198	350	272	622	74	222	12	16	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	PHI	—	60	55	10	2	0	0	4	17	1	1	0	182	250	218	468	36	287	28	7	255	54	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PHI	34%	115	104	22	4	1	1	9	32	1	3	0	212	281	298	579	87	288	28	8	267	62	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2028	23	MLB	PHI	48%	251	227	50	9	2	4	19	68	3	6	1	220	289	330	620	110	290	27	8	275	69	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2029	24	MLB	PHI	53%	349	315	69	12	2	6	27	93	4	8	1	219	289	327	616	108	291	27	8	281	73	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2030	25	MLB	PHI	55%	410	370	82	15	3	7	32	109	5	10	2	222	292	335	628	114	291	27	8	284	75	-11	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.6
2031	26	MLB	PHI	56%	448	405	90	16	3	8	35	119	5	11	2	222	292	336	628	114	291	27	8	285	77	-12	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.7
2032	27	MLB	PHI	55%	466	421	94	17	3	9	37	124	5	11	2	223	294	342	636	119	291	27	8	286	77	-12	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.8
2033	28	MLB	PHI	55%	474	428	95	17	3	9	38	127	5	11	2	222	293	339	632	117	291	27	8	285	76	-13	+1	-1	+5	+13	0.7
2027	22	MLB	PHI	34%	40	37	7	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	189	250	216	466	27	290	28	8	260	57	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	PHI	48%	122	111	24	4	1	2	9	33	1	3	0	216	281	324	605	108	292	27	7	269	64	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	24	MLB	PHI	53%	184	166	37	7	1	3	14	49	2	4	1	223	291	331	623	108	293	27	8	274	68	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB	PHI	55%	224	203	46	8	2	4	17	60	2	5	1	227	293	345	638	118	293	27	8	278	71	-7	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2031	26	MLB	PHI	56%	249	224	51	9	2	5	20	66	3	6	1	228	300	353	652	125	293	27	8	279	72	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2032	27	MLB	PHI	55%	256	231	52	9	2	5	20	68	3	6	1	225	295	346	642	121	293	27	8	279	72	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2033	28	MLB	PHI	55%	259	233	52	9	2	5	21	69	3	6	1	223	296	343	639	120	293	27	8	278	71	-8	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1334	1205	269	47	10	24	104	356	14	31	5	223	293	339	631	115	295	27	8	277	70	-46	+4	-0	+14	+38	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	132	23	5	12	51	173	7	15	2	225	295	342	637	118	296	27	8	277	70	-22	+2	-0	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	2895	2606	563	100	19	44	229	776	33	92	20	216	288	320	607	104	288	27	8	275	69	-103	+10	-1	+31	+82	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	126	22	4	10	51	174	7	21	4	215	286	318	604	103	286	27	8	275	69	-23	+3	-0	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	118	96	25	3	0	19	18	0	10	4	260	383	292	674	31	312	15	16	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	—	100	87	23	4	1	9	26	2	7	5	264	347	333	680	69	371	26	9	308	94	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	—	104	81	16	4	1	17	12	2	14	1	198	350	272	622	74	222	12	16	289	79	-2	+2	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,394	24	33	222	289	334	+15	+15	1.7	1.8
	/162	664	11	16	222	289	334	+7.1	+7.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leny Carela (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	204/271/281	77	287	0	1	28%	7%	54	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→46	35→45	55→60	41	188/231/243	55	251	3	18	26%	5%	25	-3.5	199/255/286	87	268	7	18	27%	6%	47	-1.9	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2021 · A	21	41→51	39→45	50	42	199/261/284	85	279	6	11	30%	7%	50	-1.8	227/277/335	108	310	11	10	29%	6%	69	-0.4	235/295/324	88	326	9	12	29%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	39→46	40	53→60	46	187/281/276	89	288	7	16	34%	10%	58	-1.2	194/293/274	80	293	6	18	32%	11%	63	-0.9	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Gorge Munoz 2017 · A	21	43	38→40	50→55	42	205/260/282	78	258	5	17	22%	5%	48	-1.9	205/257/290	85	298	7	10	32%	5%	49	-1.8	185/231/261	77	287	9	9	37%	3%	28	-0.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→50	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	40	-2.4	208/276/322	114	297	8	11	31%	7%	66	-0.6	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Oswald Peraza 2021 · A	21	44→52	38→50	52→60	42	214/270/290	76	279	6	17	25%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/375	140	299	17	28	26%	5%	84	+0.6	228/285/371	143	284	18	30	26%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Jeudy Valdez 2010 · A	21	41→43	38→50	52→55	39	195/247/276	82	283	4	14	31%	6%	40	-2.4	201/241/323	122	273	12	18	30%	4%	50	-1.7	211/245/356	146	279	16	17	30%	3%	58	-1.0
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Adan Velazquez 2011 · A	21	42→52	41→45	52→50	40	203/262/305	102	282	7	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	223/270/319	96	299	8	9	27%	5%	62	-0.9	248/287/342	94	301	8	6	20%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	39→49	38→45	48→50	44	184/272/269	85	267	5	10	31%	8%	52	-1.6	206/276/298	92	284	6	11	28%	6%	60	-1.0	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Tyler Goeddel 2014 · A	21	42→50	40→45	59→55	39	204/254/302	98	293	6	20	31%	6%	50	-1.7	223/280/337	114	302	9	18	28%	6%	71	-0.3	225/287/343	117	297	10	18	26%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Lane Adams 2011 · A	21	44→46	37→50	57→60	40	206/257/280	74	300	4	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	213/262/320	107	298	9	14	30%	6%	58	-1.2	228/279/363	136	311	16	36	31%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Melvin Santana 2014 · A	22	42	37→45	51→50	45	200/253/283	83	254	3	11	22%	6%	45	-2.1	203/251/281	78	279	3	11	27%	6%	43	-2.2	195/231/264	69	262	0	19	24%	4%	29	-0.6
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→45	47→65	40	207/259/281	74	295	5	11	30%	6%	47	-1.9	190/259/265	75	304	6	15	36%	7%	44	-2.1	192/271/270	78	293	5	32	33%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2