Leny Carela — OGILVIE

Leny CarelaSS DSL Phillies Red

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR +11%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 1.7 · 2031

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .274 / .301

PA60

HR1

K%29

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.7peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$16M	+$15M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$17M	+$16M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$15M	+$14M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$14M	+$11M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+1.0	$11M	+$7M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.3M
Totals		$12M		$76M	+$64M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	118	104	20	2	0	0	11	28	0	10	4	.192	.270	.212	.481	.019	.256	24	9	.221	27	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	100	90	16	3	1	0	6	40	2	7	5	.178	.245	.233	.478	.056	.314	40	6	.205	15	-10	-1	+0	+1	+3	-0.6
2024	19	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	104	87	15	3	1	0	11	18	2	14	1	.172	.280	.230	.510	.057	.208	17	11	.227	32	-8	+2	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	PHI	60	55	11	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	.200	.267	.291	.558	.091	.287	28	7	.263	60	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	PHI	115	104	23	4	1	2	9	32	1	2	0	.221	.289	.337	.626	.115	.290	28	8	.283	75	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2028	23	MLB 28%	PHI	251	225	51	9	2	6	21	67	3	5	1	.227	.301	.364	.666	.138	.291	27	8	.295	84	-4	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2029	24	MLB 45%	PHI	349	312	72	13	2	9	30	91	4	6	1	.231	.306	.372	.678	.141	.292	26	9	.303	90	-4	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.1
2030	25	MLB 60%	PHI	410	367	85	15	3	11	36	106	4	8	2	.232	.307	.379	.686	.147	.293	26	9	.308	94	-3	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.4
2031	26	MLB 77%	PHI	448	400	93	16	3	13	40	116	5	8	2	.233	.310	.385	.695	.152	.294	26	9	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.7
2032	27	MLB 92%	PHI	466	415	97	17	3	13	43	121	5	8	2	.234	.313	.383	.696	.149	.294	26	9	.311	96	-2	+1	+0	+5	+13	1.7
2033	28	MLB	PHI	474	422	97	17	3	13	44	124	5	8	1	.230	.310	.377	.687	.147	.293	26	9	.310	95	-3	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.7
2034	29	MLB	PHI	472	420	97	17	3	13	44	125	5	7	1	.231	.311	.379	.690	.148	.293	26	9	.307	93	-3	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.5
2035	30	MLB	PHI	466	415	94	16	3	12	43	125	5	6	0	.227	.307	.366	.673	.140	.291	27	9	.304	91	-5	+1	-2	+5	+13	1.3
2036	31	MLB	PHI	455	405	92	16	3	12	42	124	5	3	0	.227	.308	.370	.678	.143	.290	27	9	.301	88	-6	+1	-3	+5	+13	1.0
2037	32	MLB	PHI	439	391	86	15	2	11	41	122	4	1	0	.220	.300	.353	.653	.133	.288	28	9	.296	85	-8	+0	-4	+5	+12	0.6
2038	33	MLB	PHI	410	365	80	14	2	10	38	116	4	0	0	.219	.300	.351	.650	.132	.287	28	9	.290	80	-9	+0	-4	+4	+12	0.3
2039	34	MLB	PHI	366	327	69	12	2	8	33	107	3	0	0	.211	.289	.333	.623	.122	.285	29	9	.284	76	-10	+0	-5	+4	+10	-0.1
2040	35	MLB	PHI	313	279	59	10	2	7	28	95	3	0	0	.211	.290	.337	.627	.125	.283	30	9	.276	70	-11	+0	-6	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5816	5183	1157	201	36	141	524	1574	61	94	20	.223	.302	.358	.660	.134	.290	27	9	.296	84	-103	+11	-25	+62	+165	11.2
/ 162G	—			650	579	129	22	4	16	59	176	7	11	2	.223	.303	.358	.660	.135	.289	27	9	.296	84	-12	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Phillies White	118	96	25	3	0	19	18	0	10	4	.260	.383	.292	.674	.031	.312	15	16	.314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2023	18	ROK	DSL Phillies White	100	87	23	4	1	9	26	2	7	5	.264	.347	.333	.680	.069	.371	26	9	.308	94	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	19	ROK	DSL Phillies Red	104	81	16	4	1	17	12	2	14	1	.198	.350	.272	.622	.074	.222	12	16	.289	79	-2	+2	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leny Carela (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	.207/.274/.301	.094	.287	1	1	29%	7%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2017 · A	21	40→50	37→55	49→45	43	.190/.250/.266	.075	.266	3	10	28%	7%	40	-2.4	.234/.273/.341	.107	.295	9	6	23%	4%	68	-0.5	.246/.303/.412	.166	.293	19	4	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Niko Goodrum 2013 · A	21	40→50	39→55	51→55	41	.191/.252/.280	.089	.282	5	8	33%	7%	44	-2.1	.212/.279/.299	.087	.310	5	16	30%	8%	61	-1.0	.231/.306/.406	.174	.310	18	16	30%	9%	97	+1.0
✕Keon Broxton 2011 · A	21	38→48	41→55	53→60	36	.184/.238/.293	.109	.299	7	10	39%	6%	41	-2.3	.196/.253/.296	.100	.314	9	15	38%	7%	49	-1.8	.225/.301/.390	.165	.341	17	38	36%	9%	92	+1.0
✕Elias Díaz 2012 · A	21	38→48	38→50	46→45	40	.185/.232/.266	.080	.243	5	5	26%	5%	32	-3.0	.201/.249/.282	.081	.251	5	5	21%	5%	43	-2.2	.253/.312/.392	.139	.280	17	0	16%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Daniel Schneemann 2019 · A	22	39→49	40→50	50	43	.189/.254/.283	.094	.277	7	6	33%	8%	46	-2.0	.211/.272/.298	.087	.290	7	8	28%	7%	57	-1.2	.226/.305/.377	.151	.297	15	13	28%	10%	89	+0.7
✕Yeison Asencio 2011 · A	21	41→51	41→50	49→45	45	.200/.261/.302	.103	.250	8	10	23%	7%	54	-1.4	.243/.275/.360	.117	.282	9	8	17%	4%	74	-0.1	.270/.297/.398	.128	.288	15	7	12%	2%	92	+0.9
✕Hernán Pérez 2012 · A	21	42→52	38→50	49→55	40	.204/.239/.279	.075	.257	6	9	23%	4%	37	-2.6	.226/.258/.305	.079	.274	6	18	19%	4%	52	-1.6	.259/.292/.397	.138	.302	16	28	20%	4%	89	+0.7
✕Yairo Muñoz 2015 · A	20	41→51	38→50	48→55	42	.195/.251/.276	.081	.262	4	7	26%	6%	43	-2.2	.218/.254/.321	.103	.267	10	9	22%	4%	56	-1.3	.270/.315/.386	.116	.325	11	18	20%	5%	92	+0.6
●Alonzo Harris 2011 · A	22	39→49	42→55	51→60	36	.196/.232/.300	.103	.263	10	13	30%	4%	40	-2.4	.219/.261/.311	.092	.282	7	18	24%	5%	56	-1.3	.240/.296/.401	.161	.286	19	35	22%	7%	92	+0.9
●Austin Dean 2014 · A	20	41→51	40→55	45	45	.197/.269/.289	.093	.270	7	6	28%	8%	55	-1.4	.229/.274/.325	.096	.288	7	6	22%	5%	65	-0.7	.257/.302/.413	.156	.304	17	4	21%	5%	96	+1.1
✕Ezequiel Duran 2021 · A	22	38→48	39→55	52→50	33	.186/.233/.270	.084	.294	7	8	38%	4%	33	-2.9	.226/.276/.390	.164	.313	19	14	33%	6%	84	+0.6	.235/.283/.404	.168	.313	19	14	30%	5%	88	+0.7
✕Michael Chavis 2017 · A	21	36→46	45→60	46→45	34	.189/.233/.308	.119	.271	13	6	35%	4%	44	-2.1	.224/.274/.401	.177	.296	23	4	32%	5%	86	+0.8	.235/.292/.438	.203	.304	29	3	32%	6%	100	+1.1
●Lane Thomas 2016 · A	20	43→51	37→55	51→55	42	.200/.259/.277	.077	.294	3	9	32%	7%	46	-2.0	.194/.260/.302	.108	.313	10	13	38%	8%	54	-1.4	.248/.312/.427	.179	.308	21	13	25%	7%	107	+2.0
●Maikel Garcia 2021 · A	21	42→52	35→45	51→60	42	.199/.256/.260	.061	.288	3	15	30%	7%	40	-2.4	.242/.301/.339	.097	.311	6	24	22%	8%	79	+0.3	.251/.312/.364	.113	.295	9	27	17%	8%	88	+1.0
✕Parker Meadows 2022 · A	22	37→47	41→55	44→55	41	.185/.244/.280	.095	.257	9	9	31%	7%	41	-2.3	.218/.280/.374	.156	.279	17	16	27%	7%	82	+0.5	.225/.292/.400	.175	.278	20	21	26%	8%	91	+1.1
✕James Harris 2015 · A	21	40→50	41→40	48→50	40	.197/.249/.289	.093	.274	9	11	31%	6%	46	-2.0	.224/.286/.316	.092	.315	7	13	29%	7%	68	-0.5	.234/.300/.325	.090	.326	6	15	28%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Michael A. Taylor 2012 · A	21	37→47	44→55	49→60	36	.192/.234/.309	.117	.264	11	12	32%	4%	44	-2.1	.200/.251/.314	.114	.303	10	21	35%	6%	53	-1.5	.236/.294/.379	.143	.303	19	14	28%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Jose Siri 2015 · A	20	43→52	40→60	54→55	37	.207/.252/.306	.099	.291	7	15	30%	5%	50	-1.7	.193/.224/.305	.112	.303	9	16	38%	3%	38	-2.6	.227/.276/.431	.204	.317	27	25	36%	5%	92	+0.8
✕Brandon Barnes 2006 · A	20	38→48	38→55	47→50	37	.187/.241/.269	.081	.271	6	7	32%	5%	37	-2.7	.181/.227/.256	.075	.277	5	7	34%	5%	27	-3.3	.244/.289/.369	.125	.331	12	16	29%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Chris Nelson 2006 · A	20	41→51	38→50	47→50	36	.199/.245/.279	.080	.293	6	8	33%	5%	40	-2.4	.216/.262/.340	.124	.278	11	11	26%	5%	64	-0.8	.257/.301/.387	.130	.311	13	7	21%	5%	87	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)