Javier Roman — OGILVIE

Javier RomanC FCL Twins

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 77 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .263 / .288

PA77

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1.0M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	DSL Twins	—	67	58	5	0	0	0	3	31	4	1	1	86	185	86	271		179	46	4	126	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL Twins	—	67	55	6	0	0	0	6	21	4	1	1	109	246	109	355		171	31	9	187	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	DSL Twins	—	115	104	21	5	0	2	9	29	1	0	1	202	272	308	580	106	257	25	8	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	DSL Twins	—	115	99	28	7	0	2	14	20	1	0	1	283	377	414	791	131	333	17	12	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	105	99	21	4	1	0	4	32	2	0	0	212	257	273	530	61	313	30	4	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	105	96	29	6	1	0	7	21	2	0	0	302	362	385	747	83	387	20	7	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	2 teams	—	61	54	3	0	0	1	7	38	0	0	0	56	164	111	275	56	133	62	11	157	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	2 teams	—	61	50	7	1	0	2	11	26	0	0	0	140	295	280	575	140	227	43	18	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	MIN	—	77	71	14	3	0	1	5	24	1	1	0	197	260	282	541	85	287	31	6	253	52	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	MIN	30%	167	151	32	6	1	3	12	51	2	2	1	212	279	325	603	113	289	31	7	264	60	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2028	25	MLB	MIN	44%	266	242	51	9	2	5	20	79	2	3	1	211	277	326	603	116	290	30	8	271	66	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2029	26	MLB	MIN	51%	336	305	66	12	2	7	25	99	3	3	1	216	282	338	620	121	290	29	7	276	69	-12	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.4
2030	27	MLB	MIN	52%	372	336	71	13	2	7	29	109	4	4	1	211	282	324	606	113	290	29	8	277	70	-12	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.5
2031	28	MLB	MIN	53%	394	356	76	14	2	8	31	116	4	4	1	213	284	331	615	118	289	29	8	276	70	-14	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.4
2032	29	MLB	MIN	53%	400	362	77	14	2	8	31	119	4	4	1	213	282	329	611	116	289	30	8	274	68	-14	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.3
2033	30	MLB	MIN	52%	402	364	76	14	2	7	31	120	4	3	1	209	278	316	594	107	287	30	8	271	66	-15	+0	-2	+7	+11	0.1
2027	24	MLB	MIN	30%	50	46	10	2	0	1	4	15	0	1	0	217	280	326	606	109	289	30	8	258	55	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	MIN	44%	117	106	22	4	1	2	9	35	1	1	0	208	276	321	597	113	290	30	8	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	26	MLB	MIN	51%	170	153	33	6	1	3	13	50	2	2	1	216	286	327	613	111	290	29	8	269	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	27	MLB	MIN	52%	195	176	38	7	1	4	15	57	2	2	1	216	285	335	620	119	290	29	8	270	65	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2031	28	MLB	MIN	53%	210	190	41	8	1	4	16	62	2	2	1	216	284	332	615	116	290	30	8	270	64	-8	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.1
2032	29	MLB	MIN	53%	210	190	40	7	1	4	16	62	2	2	1	211	279	321	600	111	289	30	8	268	63	-9	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.0
2033	30	MLB	MIN	52%	209	189	39	7	1	4	16	63	2	2	1	206	275	317	593	111	287	30	8	265	61	-9	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1161	1050	223	41	6	22	89	344	11	12	5	212	281	326	607	113	291	30	8	267	63	-49	+0	-2	+21	+33	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	124	23	3	12	50	193	6	7	3	211	280	321	601	111	290	30	8	267	63	-27	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	2762	2502	513	94	14	49	207	847	31	25	9	205	274	313	587	108	286	31	7	264	60	-124	+1	-4	+49	+78	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	121	22	3	12	49	199	7	6	2	205	274	314	589	109	286	31	8	264	60	-29	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	DSL Twins	—	67	55	6	0	0	0	6	21	4	1	1	109	246	109	355		171	31	9	187	2	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	20	ROK	DSL Twins	—	115	99	28	7	0	2	14	20	1	0	1	283	377	414	791	131	333	17	12	355	130	+4	-0	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	21	ROK	FCL Twins	—	105	96	29	6	1	0	7	21	2	0	0	302	362	385	747	83	387	20	7	339	118	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	22	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	29	22	1	0	0	0	7	12	0	0	0	45	276	45	321		100	41	24	200	11	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	22	ROK	FCL Twins	—	32	28	6	1	0	2	4	14	0	0	0	214	312	464	777	250	333	44	12	342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,239	23	12	212	277	326	+22	+16	1.0	1.1
	/162	664	12	6	212	277	326	+11.9	+8.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Roman (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	198/263/288	89	287	1	1	31%	7%	52	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex De Goti 2018 · A	23	41→47	40→45	44→50	44	198/272/290	92	289	8	7	33%	8%	56	-1.3	225/277/344	119	285	12	7	24%	6%	72	-0.2	215/285/328	114	279	10	6	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Luis De Los Santos 2021 · A	23	41→47	40→45	48→45	37	199/247/294	95	288	8	8	33%	5%	46	-2.0	221/270/348	127	302	13	6	30%	5%	70	-0.3	216/283/335	119	291	13	7	29%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Francisco Acuna 2023 · A	23	42→50	40→45	47→50	41	200/273/299	98	286	7	11	31%	6%	59	-1.1	217/287/310	93	290	7	13	26%	7%	68	-0.5	209/292/304	96	279	9	16	26%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Shane Zeile 2016 · A	23	39	38→50	48→40	40	191/244/271	79	266	5	4	29%	6%	38	-2.6	209/257/321	112	282	9	6	28%	5%	57	-1.2	201/247/350	149	258	12	3	27%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	35	180/230/254	74	285	6	3	38%	6%	28	-3.2	209/261/311	102	295	9	3	31%	6%	56	-1.3	214/272/324	110	288	10	0	28%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Rowdey Jordan 2022 · A	23	43→42	39→45	43→55	43	202/267/285	82	298	6	8	32%	8%	52	-1.6	204/274/318	114	284	11	18	30%	8%	64	-0.8	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Vito Friscia 2021 · A	24	43	40→45	49→40	42	208/266/303	94	290	7	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	208/289/325	117	317	12	4	35%	9%	72	-0.2	195/284/314	119	296	12	2	35%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	40	44→55	46→45	37	202/247/323	121	282	12	7	32%	5%	53	-1.5	194/256/297	103	298	10	10	36%	7%	50	-1.7	163/228/254	91	247	10	10	36%	8%	25	-0.9
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41→40	36→50	47→50	41	197/258/265	68	279	4	7	29%	6%	43	-2.2	211/270/330	119	289	13	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	213/262/352	139	271	17	12	28%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Jose Sibrian 2022 · A	23	41	36→50	48→30	37	195/241/258	63	273	3	5	29%	4%	33	-2.9	203/264/294	91	266	8	3	26%	5%	53	-1.5	201/265/302	101	250	10	0	23%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Martin Cervenka 2016 · A	23	38→48	37→45	47→40	40	187/230/258	72	256	4	4	28%	5%	28	-3.2	220/265/319	99	297	9	3	28%	6%	59	-1.1	224/270/336	112	294	12	1	27%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	38	41→45	48→30	31	189/228/283	93	291	9	6	37%	4%	34	-2.8	198/249/283	85	295	6	6	33%	4%	43	-2.2	156/203/205	49	241	0	0	33%	2%	1	-1.2
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Jhoneiker Betancourt 2023 · A	23	42	40→55	50→40	43	203/279/294	91	279	7	6	28%	7%	60	-1.0	209/281/354	145	278	18	4	31%	7%	78	+0.2	186/269/361	175	235	26	0	33%	7%	79	+0.1