Luis Colon — OGILVIE

Luis ColonSS FCL Astros

Age 22 S/R 5'8" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 51 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .267 / .282

PA4

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Blue	—	44	37	5	1	1	0	5	18	2	2	6	135	273	216	489	81	263	41	11	240	49	-3	-2	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	19	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	129	105	30	6	3	0	23	17	1	13	5	286	419	400	819	114	341	13	18	375	140	+6	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
2024	20	ROK	FCL Astros	—	71	65	9	1	1	0	5	26	0	5	0	138	200	185	385	46	231	37	7	179	7	-8	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	44	39	4	1	1	0	3	26	2	2	6	103	205	179	384	77	212	59	7	142	-18	-6	-2	—	—	+1	-0.7
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	129	114	23	4	2	0	14	24	1	13	5	202	295	272	567	70	256	19	11	260	62	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	71	67	7	1	1	0	3	37	0	5	0	104	143	149	292	45	197	52	4	114	-37	-12	+1	—	—	+2	-0.9
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	44	39	4	1	1	0	3	26	2	2	6	103	205	179	384	77	308	59	7	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Blue	—	44	37	5	1	1	0	5	18	2	2	6	135	273	216	489	81	263	41	11	240	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	129	114	23	4	2	0	14	24	1	13	5	202	295	272	567	70	256	19	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Blue	—	129	105	30	6	3	0	23	17	1	13	5	286	419	400	819	114	341	13	18	375	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	71	67	7	1	1	0	3	37	0	5	0	104	143	149	292	45	233	52	4	114	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	71	65	9	1	1	0	5	26	0	5	0	138	200	185	385	46	231	37	7	179	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Blue	—	44	39	4	1	1	0	3	26	2	2	6	103	205	179	384	77	212	59	7	142	-18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	129	113	23	4	2	0	14	24	1	13	5	204	295	274	569	71	256	19	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	71	68	7	1	1	0	3	37	0	5	0	103	143	147	290	44	197	52	4	114	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Blue	—	129	113	23	4	2	0	14	24	1	13	5	204	295	274	569	71	256	19	11	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	71	68	7	1	1	0	3	37	0	5	0	103	143	147	290	44	197	52	4	114	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		288	25	0	253	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	107	97	20	3	1	1	8	31	1	2	0	206	274	289	562	82	289	29	7	264	65	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	237	215	45	8	2	3	18	67	2	5	1	209	277	307	584	98	290	28	8	272	70	-8	+1	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	323	292	63	11	3	5	25	90	3	7	1	216	284	325	610	110	291	28	8	277	73	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	60%	380	344	75	13	3	7	30	105	3	8	1	218	286	334	621	116	291	28	8	280	75	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	62%	410	371	81	14	4	7	33	114	3	9	2	218	287	334	622	116	291	28	8	280	75	-12	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	426	385	83	14	4	7	34	119	4	9	1	216	286	327	613	112	290	28	8	279	75	-13	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	HOU	64%	428	386	83	14	4	7	35	120	4	8	1	215	287	326	613	111	290	28	8	277	74	-13	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	36	33	6	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	182	250	212	462	30	291	28	8	259	65	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	113	102	23	4	1	2	9	32	1	2	0	225	295	343	638	118	292	28	8	266	70	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	179	162	36	6	2	3	14	50	1	4	1	222	288	340	628	117	293	28	8	271	73	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	60%	227	205	45	8	2	4	18	63	2	5	1	220	289	337	625	117	293	28	8	274	75	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	62%	253	229	50	9	2	4	20	70	2	6	1	218	287	328	614	109	293	28	8	274	75	-7	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2032	28	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	268	242	52	9	2	4	22	75	2	6	1	215	286	318	604	103	292	28	8	273	75	-8	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	HOU	64%	272	246	52	9	2	4	22	76	2	5	1	211	281	313	594	102	292	28	8	271	74	-9	+1	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1348	1219	264	46	11	21	108	376	10	29	5	217	286	324	610	107	293	28	8	272	68	-42	+4	-1	+14	+29	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	127	22	5	10	52	181	5	14	2	216	285	321	607	105	292	28	8	272	68	-20	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2559	2314	485	83	25	37	203	734	23	68	18	210	280	315	595	105	288	29	8	269	68	-73	+7	-2	+25	+50	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	122	21	6	9	52	186	6	17	5	207	279	310	589	102	285	29	8	269	68	-20	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.1	1,401	23	30	217	283	328	+15	+15	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	11	14	217	283	328	+7.1	+7.1	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps