Luis OgandoSS FCL Yankees
Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 175 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 58 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .271 / .289
PA58
HR1
K%30
BB%7
ISO87
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.20.40.60.60.50.4+$20M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL NYY Bombers 121106 23411 10285 153 217314302616 85286 238 259 56
202218 ROKDSL NYY Bombers 121100 30612 15195 153 300413440853 140354 1612 385 153
202319 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 148129 30701 10566 136 233317310627 78387 387 275 69
202319 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 148122 431104 17376 136 352455541996 189464 2511 433 189
202420 ROKFCL Yankees 9783 16112 6266 101 193295301596 108246 276 241 43
202420 ROKFCL Yankees 9780 20113 9176 101 250368400768 150274 189 344 122
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBNYY 5853 11201 4171 10 208276302578 94288 297 258 56 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBNYY 34% 10897 22412 8312 20 227299351650 124290 297 269 64 -4 +0 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202824 MLBNYY 48% 238215 46814 17684 51 214284316600 102291 297 276 70 -8 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.2
202925 MLBNYY 56% 324292 641126 24915 71 219290332622 113292 287 281 73 -10 +1 +0 +3 +9 0.4
203026 MLBNYY 60% 381344 751328 281076 91 218288337626 119292 287 284 75 -11 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.6
203127 MLBNYY 62% 410369 801428 311157 92 217290331621 114292 288 284 76 -11 +1 +0 +4 +12 0.6
203228 MLBNYY 63% 426384 831429 321217 92 216288333622 117291 288 283 75 -12 +1 -1 +5 +12 0.5
203329 MLBNYY 64% 428385 821428 331227 81 213287322609 109291 298 281 74 -13 +1 -1 +5 +12 0.4
202723 MLBNYY 34% 3632 7101 3101 10 219306344649 125291 288 258 56 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202824 MLBNYY 48% 114103 23412 8332 30 223292340632 117293 297 267 62 -5 +1 +0 +1 +3 0.0
202925 MLBNYY 56% 180162 36614 13513 41 222292346638 123293 287 272 66 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203026 MLBNYY 60% 228205 45815 17644 51 220292341633 122293 287 274 68 -8 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.1
203127 MLBNYY 62% 253228 50915 19714 61 219291333624 114293 288 274 68 -9 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.2
203228 MLBNYY 63% 268242 53916 20764 61 219289339628 120293 287 274 68 -10 +1 -0 +3 +8 0.1
203329 MLBNYY 64% 272245 53916 21774 51 216289335624 118292 288 272 66 -10 +1 -1 +3 +8 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 13511217 26746629 10138222 305 219291339630 119293 287 272 67 -51 +4 -1 +14 +38 0.4
/ 162G 650586 12822314 4918411 142 218291338629 119292 288 272 67 -25 +2 -1 +7 +18 0.2
Career 27392457 532921450 20378256 8818 217291326618 110294 297 278 71 -89 +10 -2 +29 +78 2.6
/ 162G 650583 12622312 4818613 214 216290326616 110293 297 278 71 -21 +3 -0 +7 +18 0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202218 ROKDSL NYY Bombers 121100 30612 15195 153 300413440853 140354 1612 385 153 +7 +2 +3 1.3
202319 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 148122 431104 17376 136 352455541996 189464 2511 433 189 +15 +0 +4 2.0
202420 ROKFCL Yankees 9780 20113 9176 101 250368400768 150274 189 344 122 +2 +2 +3 0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,4102831218286334+15+151.61.6
/1626641314+7.1+7.10.8pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luis Ogando (OGILVIE) 22 203/271/289 86288 11 30% 7% 56 -0.1
Dalton Blumenfeld
2017 · A
20 43 36→30 49→40 29 185/231/252 67361 46 48% 5% 27 -3.3 183/249/269 86392 65 50% 7% 41 -2.3 95/185/180862438059%8%-9-1.2