Carlos OviedoC FCL Mets
Age 21 R/R 6'1" / 210 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 45 proj PA
wRC+†46
AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .256 / .275
PA45
HR1
K%36
BB%8
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -2.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.30.40.40.50.40.2+$15M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Mets 2 — 148133 24901 11462 01 180253271524 90261 317 237 40 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL Mets 2 — 148127 341302 17322 01 268363417780 150337 2211 347 124 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Mets — 7969 8302 9321 00 116228246474 130171 4111 216 24 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Mets — 7963 12403 15201 00 190354397751 206225 2519 343 121 — — — — — —
202419 ROK2 teams — 5146 3100 3341 00 6514087227 22250 676 95 -69 — — — — — —
202419 ROK2 teams — 5144 4100 5231 00 91200114314 23190 4510 161 -18 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBNYM — 4542 8201 3160 00 190244310554 119287 367 246 46 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBNYM 34% 113102 20412 9391 10 196268314582 118289 358 257 55 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
202823 MLBNYM 48% 248223 44914 20823 21 197272300573 103290 338 265 61 -11 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.0
202924 MLBNYM 53% 347312 651327 281134 31 208282330612 122292 338 270 65 -14 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.3
203025 MLBNYM 55% 407367 751528 331314 41 204277322599 117292 328 273 67 -15 +0 +0 +7 +12 0.4
203126 MLBNYM 56% 444400 821629 361435 42 205279323601 118292 328 274 68 -16 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.4
203227 MLBNYM 55% 463417 851729 381495 42 204278319597 115291 328 274 68 -17 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.5
203328 MLBNYM 55% 470423 851729 391525 42 201276314591 113291 328 273 67 -18 +0 -1 +8 +13 0.4
203429 MLBNYM 53% 468421 851729 391535 41 202277316593 114290 338 271 66 -18 +0 -1 +8 +13 0.2
202722 MLBNYM 34% 3936 7101 3130 00 194256306562 111289 338 249 49 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202823 MLBNYM 48% 120108 22412 10401 10 204277315592 111290 338 257 55 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
202924 MLBNYM 53% 183164 33713 15592 21 201276311587 110291 328 262 59 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.0
203025 MLBNYM 55% 223201 40814 18722 21 199271308580 109292 328 265 61 -10 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.0
203126 MLBNYM 56% 247222 45915 20803 21 203278320597 117291 328 266 62 -11 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.1
203227 MLBNYM 55% 255229 46915 21823 21 201277314591 114291 328 266 62 -11 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.1
203328 MLBNYM 55% 257231 46915 21833 21 199275312586 113291 328 265 61 -11 +0 -0 +5 +7 0.0
203429 MLBNYM 53% 250224 45915 21813 21 201278317595 116290 328 263 60 -11 +0 -1 +4 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 15741415 28456730 12951017 136 201275314589 113288 328 264 60 -71 +0 -1 +28 +45 0.1
/ 162G— — 650584 11723312 532117 52 200274312586 111288 328 264 60 -29 +0 -0 +12 +18 0.0
Career— — 32832955 5841231461 268109036 2611 198272311583 113287 338 265 61 -144 +1 -2 +59 +93 0.7
/ 162G— — 650585 11524312 532167 52 197271309581 113286 338 265 61 -28 +0 -0 +12 +18 0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Mets 2 — 148127 341302 17322 01 268363417780 150337 2211 347 124 +4 -0 — — +4 0.8
202318 ROKFCL Mets — 7963 12403 15201 00 190354397751 206225 2519 343 121 +2 +0 — — +2 0.4
202419 A+Brooklyn Cyclones — 1918 0000 1100 00 5353 535 37 -114 -5 +0 — — +1 -0.4
202419 ROKFCL Mets — 3226 4100 4131 00 154290192483 38308 4112 235 38 -2 +0 — — +1 -0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,6183115204275322+29+201.21.3
/162664136+11.9+8.20.5pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Oviedo (OGILVIE) 21 — — — — 185/256/275 90287 10 36% 8% 46 -0.1 ————————— —————————
✕Steven Baron
2012 · A 		21 33 40→45 45→50 36 171/214/256 85249 77 34% 5% 21 -3.7 187/224/281 94269 69 32% 4% 32 -3.0 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
✕Pablo Aliendo
2022 · A 		21 39 39→55 44→45 37 185/262/263 79305 76 39% 6% 46 -2.0 203/269/331 128302 145 36% 6% 66 -0.6 196/264/34314728618537%6%64-0.4
✕Payton Henry
2018 · A 		21 39→30 42→50 46→30 38 189/254/293 104302 83 38% 7% 50 -1.8 179/246/274 95319 102 44% 6% 42 -2.3 255/300/39914433320129%4%91+0.4
✕Alexander Mojica
2023 · A 		20 34 41→45 47→40 39 168/245/259 91281 103 41% 8% 37 -2.6 203/283/327 124326 126 38% 9% 71 -0.3 196/292/34314730914337%10%75-0.0
✕Freuddy Batista
2021 · A 		21 40 41→50 48→40 35 192/245/289 98307 85 39% 6% 43 -2.2 207/273/364 157295 186 35% 7% 76 +0.1 199/268/36016028318535%6%70-0.2
✕Will Banfield
2021 · A 		21 34→35 40→50 47→30 34 174/220/260 86266 83 37% 5% 26 -3.4 180/221/294 114261 123 35% 4% 35 -2.8 194/236/29610226912032%4%39-1.2
✕Arturo De Freitas
2023 · A 		22 35 39→45 45→40 34 173/222/254 81276 74 39% 5% 24 -3.5 183/241/264 81308 85 40% 6% 36 -2.7 115/169/126122240046%5%-33-1.4
✕Jose Cordoba
2023 · A 		20 37 41→45 44→55 39 187/251/282 95271 109 33% 6% 46 -2.0 202/259/294 92279 611 28% 6% 51 -1.7 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
✕Rey Duran
2009 · A 		20 36 41→50 49→40 41 183/243/277 94256 96 31% 6% 40 -2.4 213/267/338 125268 145 25% 6% 66 -0.6 210/263/34913924619223%5%65-0.3
✕Joey Rose
2019 · A 		21 36 42→50 51→40 34 172/236/275 102313 94 45% 7% 37 -2.6 185/238/277 92297 75 38% 6% 38 -2.6 150/191/229782236234%4%3-1.6
✕Joe DeCarlo
2015 · A 		21 42→37 41→55 41→30 40 197/270/296 100310 82 37% 7% 57 -1.2 186/271/313 127278 142 36% 8% 63 -0.8 194/273/35516126220133%8%70-0.2
✕Alex Jackson
2017 · A 		21 40→35 44→60 45→30 36 195/257/318 123301 114 37% 6% 57 -1.2 191/248/350 159289 202 40% 5% 63 -0.9 194/265/36817426722235%6%71-0.1
✕Miguel Jerez
2018 · A 		20 36 37→60 47→40 38 175/233/245 70281 45 37% 7% 27 -3.3 175/239/304 129273 164 40% 6% 46 -2.0 137/211/27613920019142%7%26-1.3
✕Franklin Tineo
2016 · A 		21 36 38→45 41→50 47 177/258/254 77247 57 29% 9% 41 -2.3 190/264/281 91260 710 28% 8% 50 -1.7 184/261/2809623981325%8%47-0.7
✕Wendell Rijo
2017 · AA 		21 39→41 39→55 46→50 38 192/239/276 85274 611 31% 5% 37 -2.6 199/255/292 93268 88 28% 6% 49 -1.8 208/263/371163264201429%6%70-0.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn
2010 · A 		21 33 41→45 40→50 41 166/249/256 90260 98 37% 8% 39 -2.5 197/273/307 110309 105 36% 8% 61 -1.0 204/303/33813429214232%11%83+0.2
✕Willy Diaz
2015 · A 		21 36 36→40 45→40 46 170/263/235 65253 45 32% 9% 40 -2.4 187/263/267 80309 54 37% 8% 46 -2.0 184/258/270863085239%8%42-0.8
✕Jhostynxon Garcia
2023 · A 		20 37→41 41→55 48→50 44 180/262/280 101277 88 36% 9% 50 -1.8 198/258/332 134287 1410 34% 6% 61 -1.0 217/272/375157286211031%5%75+0.0
✕Jesus Flores
2006 · A 		21 37→38 41→50 43→30 32 188/218/284 97276 105 35% 3% 30 -3.1 214/267/352 138300 153 33% 5% 70 -0.3 244/302/38213831115025%6%89+0.4
✕Alex Murphy
2016 · A 		21 42→36 41→50 50→40 39 204/256/310 107290 85 32% 6% 54 -1.4 196/253/320 124287 133 35% 6% 56 -1.3 185/244/31012526914135%6%46-1.4