James Meeker — OGILVIE

James Meeker P Nashville Sounds

+0.3 WAR

Age 31 RHP 6'4" / 222 lbs AAA peak 0.3 · 2026

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

xFIP6.17

SIERA7.97

K%21.3%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%12.0%

IP56

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

K†5050

CT+0.7 (38%)

SL (12%)

FB (50%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2021	26	A	Carolina Mudcats	12	0	18	71	22	5	0	22.9%	8.3%	0.0%	0.50	2.22	+0.6
2022	27	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	44	2	64	268	57	17	1	16.8%	7.5%	0.6%	2.38	2.93	+1.5
2023	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	36	8	93	394	81	14	12	17.5%	3.3%	3.6%	3.39	4.02	+1.3
2024	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	39	0	52	221	46	25	5	18.2%	11.7%	2.7%	2.77	4.53	+0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	MIL	56	—	56	238	51	22	7	21.3%	9.3%	3.0%	4.53	4.53	+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	32	MLB	MIL	54	—	54	228	48	22	7	21.2%	9.4%	3.1%	4.56	4.59	+0.2
2028	33	MLB	MIL	52	—	52	218	46	21	7	21.1%	9.6%	3.2%	4.62	4.67	+0.2
2029	34	MLB	MIL	49	—	49	207	43	20	7	20.8%	9.8%	3.3%	4.70	4.76	+0.1
2030	35	MLB	MIL	46	—	46	195	40	19	7	20.5%	10.0%	3.4%	4.80	4.87	+0.0
2031	36	MLB	MIL	43	—	43	182	37	19	6	20.1%	10.2%	3.5%	4.92	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			131	10	227	954	170	65	22	17.9%	6.8%	2.3%	2.73	3.70	+4.1
/ 200 IP	—			115	9	200	839	150	57	19	17.9%	6.8%	2.3%	2.73	3.70	+3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
James Meeker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	21.3%	9.3%	3.0%	—	4.67	21.0%	11.4%	155	+0.14	—	—	—
Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP	31	SW	3.46	20.7%	9.1%	1.7%	.241	5.68	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.22	3.46	160	85
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.73 FIP	31	SW	3.73	24.5%	8.2%	3.0%	.325	3.80	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.07	3.65	137	85
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 3.85 FIP	31	SW	3.85	25.1%	10.8%	2.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	102	84
Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.63 FIP	33	SW	4.63	16.3%	8.6%	3.3%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.39	4.11	186	83
Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.21 FIP	31	SW	5.21	19.1%	9.4%	4.6%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.26	3.80	132	83
Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.75 FIP	31	SW	3.75	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.96	3.75	521	83
Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.53 FIP	32	SW	4.53	15.9%	8.0%	3.2%	.268	4.27	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.26	3.50	292	83
Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.26 FIP	33	SU	4.26	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.44	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.82	1.94	112	82
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.01 FIP	31	SW	4.01	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.63	3.38	129	82
Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.45 FIP	32	SW	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.18	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.27	2.48	147	82
Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.39 FIP	31	SW	3.39	25.5%	9.1%	2.4%	.254	3.70	22.8%	11.1%	129	+0.31	2.80	410	82
Joakim Soria R 2026 · 3.48 FIP	31	SW	3.48	23.5%	6.6%	2.8%	.258	2.91	26.6%	18.9%	183	-0.57	2.00	380	81
Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.62 FIP	30	SW	3.62	22.3%	11.0%	1.8%	.247	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	224	81
Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.53 FIP	31	SW	4.53	16.0%	7.6%	3.3%	.270	4.84	19.3%	9.7%	63	+0.31	2.99	227	81
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.63 FIP	31	SU	4.63	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	81
Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.69 FIP	31	SW	3.69	21.1%	6.4%	2.9%	.266	3.49	16.8%	9.3%	29	-0.20	3.46	295	80
Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP	30	SW	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	158	80
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2026 · 3.38 FIP	31	SW	3.38	26.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.241	3.98	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.60	3.38	212	80
Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.54 FIP	31	SW	3.54	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	80
Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.83 FIP	31	SU	4.83	23.8%	9.4%	4.6%	.283	4.53	22.0%	13.8%	96	-0.30	2.93	176	80

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.