James Meeker — OGILVIE

James Meeker P Nashville Sounds

Age 31 RHP 6'4" / 222 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%18.6%

BB%8.1%

K-BB%10.5%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

CT+0.7 (38%)

SL (12%)

FB (50%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	26	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	12	0	18	71	22	5	0	0%	1.5	22.9%	8.3%	14.6%	0.0%	0.50	2.22	—
2021	26	A RAW	Carolina Mudcats	12	0	18	71	22	5	0	0%	1.5	31.0%	7.0%	23.9%	0.0%	0.50	1.49	—
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	2	64	268	57	17	1	5%	1.5	16.8%	7.5%	9.3%	0.5%	2.38	2.93	—
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	2	64	268	57	17	1	5%	1.5	21.3%	6.3%	14.9%	0.4%	2.38	2.32	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	8	93	394	81	14	12	22%	2.6	17.5%	3.3%	14.2%	3.7%	3.39	4.06	—
2023	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	8	93	394	81	14	12	22%	2.6	17.5%	3.3%	14.2%	3.7%	3.39	4.06	—
2023	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	8	93	394	81	14	12	22%	2.6	20.6%	3.6%	17.0%	3.0%	3.39	3.49	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	52	221	46	25	5	0%	1.3	17.5%	10.4%	7.1%	2.8%	2.77	4.47	+0.0
2024	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	39	0	52	221	46	25	5	0%	1.3	17.5%	10.4%	7.1%	2.8%	2.77	4.47	+0.0
2024	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	39	0	52	221	46	25	5	0%	1.3	20.8%	11.3%	9.5%	2.3%	2.77	4.02	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			1	0	1	4	0	1	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	0.00	6.10	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	31	MLB	MIL	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.6%	8.1%	10.5%	3.1%	4.61	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	MIL	35	0	36	154	29	13	5	0%	1.0	18.7%	8.6%	10.0%	3.3%	4.72	4.81	-0.1
2027	32	MLB CTX	MIL	12	0	13	55	10	5	2	0%	1.1	18.7%	8.6%	10.0%	3.3%	4.72	4.81	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	61	11	6	2	0%	1.0	17.4%	9.7%	7.7%	3.1%	4.39	4.55	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	841	153	83	28	0%	1.0	17.4%	9.7%	7.7%	3.1%	4.39	4.55	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		131	10	227	954	169	62	22	8%	1.7	17.7%	6.5%	11.2%	2.3%	2.73	3.70	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		115	9	200	839	148	54	19	8%	1.7	17.7%	6.5%	11.2%	2.3%	2.73	3.70	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
James Meeker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	18.6%	8.1%	3.1%	—	4.81	18.7%	10.0%	36	+0.20	—	—	—
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	87
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	83
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	82
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	82
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	82
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	82
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	81
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	80
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	80
Erik Davis R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	31	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.9%	1.4%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	227	79
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	79
Dustin Molleken R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	31	SU	4.04	19.6%	12.1%	1.9%	.276	3.38	24.3%	11.9%	16	-0.66	3.38	129	79
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	79
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	31	SU	3.50	16.4%	8.4%	1.3%	.308	4.77	19.3%	7.3%	90	+1.27	3.50	170	79
Junichi Tazawa R 2017 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	16.0%	7.6%	3.5%	.270	4.81	19.3%	9.7%	63	+0.16	2.94	227	78
Chris Hatcher R 2016 · 4.61 FIP	31	SU	4.61	23.8%	9.4%	4.2%	.283	4.69	22.0%	13.8%	96	+0.08	2.92	176	78
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	78
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	78
Luis Angel Daniel R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	31	SU	4.56	13.4%	8.9%	2.7%	.286	4.16	9.8%	0.3%	53	-0.40	4.16	156	78
Ryan Kelly R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	31	SU	4.33	14.7%	7.2%	2.8%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	131	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	18.6%	8.4%	1.23	4.66
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41