James Meeker
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 31
RHP
6'4" / 222 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%21.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CT+0.7 (38%)
SL (12%)
FB (50%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 26 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 12 | 0 | 18 | 71 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 0.50 | 2.22 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 12 | 0 | 18 | 71 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 31.0% | 7.0% | 23.9% | 0.0% | 0.50 | 1.49 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 2 | 64 | 268 | 57 | 17 | 1 | 5% | 1.5 | 16.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 0.6% | 2.38 | 2.97 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 2 | 64 | 268 | 57 | 17 | 1 | 5% | 1.5 | 21.3% | 6.3% | 14.9% | 0.4% | 2.38 | 2.32 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 8 | 93 | 394 | 81 | 14 | 12 | 22% | 2.6 | 17.5% | 3.3% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 3.39 | 3.96 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 8 | 93 | 394 | 81 | 14 | 12 | 22% | 2.6 | 20.6% | 3.6% | 17.0% | 3.0% | 3.39 | 3.49 | — |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 46 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.2% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.77 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 39 | 0 | 52 | 221 | 46 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 2.3% | 2.77 | 4.02 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 38 | 0 | 39 | 166 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 35 | 0 | 36 | 154 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.67 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.51 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 191 | 0 | 200 | 841 | 167 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.35 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 131 | 10 | 227 | 954 | 170 | 65 | 22 | 8% | 1.7 | 17.9% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 2.73 | 3.73 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 115 | 9 | 200 | 839 | 150 | 57 | 20 | 8% | 1.7 | 17.9% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 2.73 | 3.73 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| James Meeker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.76 | 21.0% | 11.3% | 36 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 85 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 83 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 81 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 81 |
| Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 80 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 80 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 79 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 79 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 79 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 79 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 79 |
| Jean Machi R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 79 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 79 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 78 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.66 | 16.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | .270 | 4.93 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 63 | +0.27 | 2.90 | 227 | 77 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 77 |
| Tim Dillard R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 77 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.79 | 21.1% | 6.4% | 3.0% | .266 | 3.41 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 29 | -0.38 | 3.40 | 295 | 76 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.9% | 1.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 227 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 1.24 | 4.61 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |