Player 702705 — OGILVIE

Player 7027051B Hickory Crawdads

Age — —/— A HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION95 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .231 / .167

PA13

HR0

K%31

BB%8

BABIP278

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	TEX	—	95	85	12	2	0	1	7	34	1	3	2	141	215	200	415	59	216	36	7	187	13	-10	-0	+0	-2	+2	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	TEX	—	95	80	14	3	0	1	11	24	1	3	2	175	280	250	530	75	232	25	12	246	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	TEX	0%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		276	31	8	249	55	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	—	A MLE	TEX	—	108	97	14	2	0	1	8	38	1	3	2	144	217	196	413	52	220	35	7	195	18	-11	-0	+0	-2	+2	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	217	197	40	7	1	4	16	67	2	3	1	203	270	310	579	107	278	31	7	258	61	-10	+0	+0	-4	+5	-0.9
2027	25	MLB CTX	TEX	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	280	—	—	254	61	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	230	209	42	7	1	4	17	71	2	3	1	201	268	301	569	100	281	31	7	257	60	-11	+0	+0	-4	+5	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	119	20	3	11	48	201	6	8	3	201	269	301	570	100	283	31	7	257	60	-31	+1	+0	-12	+14	-2.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	432	7	7	204	267	305	-6	+0	-1.1	-0.6
/162	664	11	11	-9.5	+0.0	-1.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 702705 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	192/258/284	92	276	3	4	32%	7%	55	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	41→45	48→30	43	190/254/280	91	265	9	6	31%	7%	52	-2.2	214/281/329	115	298	12	3	30%	8%	73	-0.6	208/278/322	114	287	13	1	30%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Jose Pineda 2007 · A	25	42→40	43→45	50→45	43	208/278/319	111	295	11	10	32%	8%	70	-0.8	219/274/365	146	305	17	7	33%	6%	79	-0.2	215/264/384	170	287	22	3	33%	5%	77	-0.3
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	40→45	47→50	45	199/275/284	85	276	8	13	29%	8%	61	-1.5	209/281/317	108	288	11	11	29%	8%	71	-0.8	172/253/309	136	226	17	8	31%	9%	57	-0.5
✕McCarthy Tatum 2021 · A	25	43→25	41→50	48→50	37	203/255/302	99	324	8	8	38%	6%	57	-1.8	185/244/294	109	281	11	8	36%	5%	52	-2.2	172/233/279	106	256	11	8	35%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Travis Becktel 2008 · A	25	43→37	41→45	49→50	42	208/269/307	99	296	7	15	31%	7%	63	-1.3	207/260/315	108	303	8	15	32%	6%	61	-1.5	194/236/310	116	288	7	19	34%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Marcus Knecht 2015 · A	25	39→43	42→45	48→50	40	195/256/301	107	275	8	7	31%	6%	57	-1.8	195/264/279	84	284	4	11	30%	7%	55	-1.9	170/247/240	70	256	2	13	31%	8%	38	-2.4
✕Jay Brossman 2010 · A	25	40→36	46→45	46→45	41	206/259/335	128	260	13	8	26%	5%	66	-1.1	199/246/316	117	261	12	9	28%	5%	57	-1.8	158/193/251	93	203	10	9	28%	4%	19	-0.8
✕Christian Sepulveda 2023 · A	25	41	44→50	51→55	35	203/258/332	128	293	11	10	33%	5%	65	-1.2	208/271/330	122	287	12	14	31%	5%	70	-0.8	186/256/313	128	243	15	21	29%	4%	59	-0.6
✕Drake Osborn 2023 · A	25	40	43→45	49→40	42	200/265/310	110	270	11	6	29%	7%	63	-1.4	190/246/297	107	260	12	4	31%	6%	53	-2.1	179/234/280	101	242	12	2	31%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	42→34	43→40	46→50	37	203/264/308	105	309	11	11	36%	6%	62	-1.4	210/284/294	84	333	6	15	36%	8%	66	-1.1	209/291/277	68	340	4	17	36%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Josh Altmann 2019 · A	25	37→39	46→45	48→50	42	191/257/314	124	246	14	9	28%	6%	61	-1.5	191/271/297	106	263	10	9	30%	7%	63	-1.3	164/258/252	89	228	8	9	29%	8%	48	-1.6
✕Dexter Kjerstad 2017 · A	25	39→33	44→45	45	34	198/248/312	115	291	12	9	36%	4%	57	-1.8	193/247/291	98	293	10	6	36%	5%	52	-2.2	157/211/221	64	239	8	0	36%	5%	19	-1.9
✕Andrés Alvarez 2022 · A	25	45→31	43→45	51→50	42	220/278/331	111	306	10	15	31%	7%	72	-0.7	197/266/318	121	281	14	14	33%	8%	65	-1.2	184/256/300	115	259	13	13	33%	8%	56	-1.2
✕Colin Davis 2023 · A	24	41	42→50	49→50	43	202/263/308	106	276	10	11	30%	7%	61	-1.5	185/246/300	115	257	13	11	32%	6%	54	-2.0	146/220/249	103	210	14	11	37%	6%	30	-1.1
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	179/255/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	196/281/311	115	314	12	8	38%	9%	70	-0.8	152/262/269	117	243	16	5	41%	11%	52	-0.7
✕Andrew Cain 2015 · A	25	41→37	45→50	57→50	39	207/258/333	126	286	12	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/312	122	317	13	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	153/216/273	120	258	13	8	44%	7%	34	-2.2
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	39→34	44→50	46→50	34	194/238/310	117	291	11	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	198/246/338	140	298	16	12	38%	5%	62	-1.4	166/224/312	146	239	20	14	39%	7%	46	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps