Brenner Cox

P FCL Nationals
Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 195 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
ROKPROSPECTExtFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamGGSIPERAFIPK%BB%WARMLE rates
202622ROKWSH5063.183.1025.0%16.7%—K 25.0% · BB 16.7% · FIP 3.10
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027Ext$0.0M2028Ext$0.0M2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
ERA—
FIP—
K%—
BB%—
K-BB%—
Proj IP—
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2028Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
202622ROK MLEFCL Nationals506246400%1.125.0%16.7%8.3%0.0%3.183.10—
202622ROK MLEFCL Nationals506246400%1.125.0%16.7%8.3%0.0%3.183.10—
202622ROK RAWFCL Nationals506246400%1.125.0%16.7%8.3%0.0%3.183.10—
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— MLE506246400%1.125.0%16.7%8.3%0.0%3.183.10—
/ 200 IP— MLE176020084721214100%1.125.0%16.7%8.3%0.0%3.183.10+3.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Nationals · 6 IPFIP 3.10 → 4.30 (+1.20)K% 25.0% → 17.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×= MLE
K% /BF25.00%—×0.68017.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF16.67%—×1.25020.83%
HR / BF /BF0.00%÷1.000×1.4000.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.10 → 4.30, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).