Ethan Routzahn
P
El Paso Chihuahuas
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION43 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126117vR 108
ERA4.75
FIP4.75
K%18.2%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%8.8%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 82 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 0 | 20 | 80 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.0% | 7.0% | 25.0% | 6.2% | 2.29 | 4.67 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 16 | 0 | 20 | 80 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 43.8% | 6.2% | 37.5% | 2.5% | 2.29 | 1.63 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 1 | 25 | 118 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 5% | 1.2 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.97 | 6.13 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 1 | 25 | 118 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 5% | 1.2 | 17.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 4.68 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 32 | 0 | 66 | 287 | 62 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 2.1 | 16.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 4.66 | 4.98 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 32 | 0 | 66 | 287 | 62 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 2.1 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 2.1% | 4.66 | 3.50 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 70 | 292 | 54 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 1.3% | 2.19 | 3.57 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 48 | 0 | 70 | 292 | 54 | 21 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.5% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 1.0% | 2.19 | 3.01 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 50 | 231 | 40 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.6% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.50 | 5.30 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 50 | 231 | 40 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.70 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | 35 | 0 | 43 | 196 | 33 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.8% | 15.5% | -0.7% | 1.1% | 4.57 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | SD | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 30 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | SD | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | SD | — | — | 82 | 360 | 63 | 44 | 7 | — | — | 17.5% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 4.65 | 4.58 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | SD | — | — | 4 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | — | — | 18.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.75 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 35 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SD | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 17 | 0 | 18 | 74 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.44 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 80 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
| Career | — | 199 | 1 | 274 | 1204 | 194 | 123 | 37 | 1% | 1.4 | 16.1% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.84 | 4.70 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 145 | 1 | 200 | 879 | 142 | 89 | 27 | 1% | 1.4 | 16.1% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.84 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ethan Routzahn (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.75 | 18.2% | 9.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.84 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 37 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 92 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 90 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 87 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 87 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 86 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 85 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 85 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 85 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 84 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 84 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2029 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 83 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 83 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 83 |
| A.J. Schugel R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.18 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .307 | 6.22 | 17.6% | 10.6% | 13 | +2.04 | 2.75 | 299 | 83 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.62 | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 82 |
| Al Alburquerque R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 1.6% | .330 | 3.18 | 21.3% | 12.5% | 114 | -0.40 | 2.76 | 228 | 82 |
| Dalier Hinojosa R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.56 | 20.4% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .283 | 4.38 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 24 | +0.82 | 3.56 | 104 | 82 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 82 |
| Anthony Bass R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.57 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.39 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 123 | -0.18 | 2.93 | 432 | 82 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 82 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 18.4% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.77 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |