Ethan Routzahn — OGILVIE

Ethan Routzahn P El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 28 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 110

ERA4.92

FIP4.92

K%15.2%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%6.2%

ROS IP39

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	0	20	80	35	5	2	0%	1.2	32.0%	7.0%	25.0%	4.8%	2.29	3.90	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	0	20	80	35	5	2	0%	1.2	43.8%	6.2%	37.5%	2.5%	2.29	1.63	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	1	25	118	21	10	4	5%	1.2	13.6%	10.2%	3.5%	4.8%	4.97	5.88	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	1	25	118	21	10	4	5%	1.2	17.8%	8.5%	9.3%	3.4%	4.97	4.68	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	32	0	66	287	62	24	6	0%	2.1	16.6%	9.6%	7.0%	3.1%	4.66	4.61	—
2023	25	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	32	0	66	287	62	24	6	0%	2.1	16.6%	9.6%	7.0%	3.1%	4.66	4.61	—
2023	25	A+ RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	32	0	66	287	62	24	6	0%	2.1	21.6%	8.4%	13.2%	2.1%	4.66	3.50	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	70	292	54	21	3	0%	1.5	14.1%	7.5%	6.7%	1.3%	2.19	3.57	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	48	0	70	292	54	21	3	0%	1.5	14.1%	7.5%	6.7%	1.3%	2.19	3.57	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	48	0	70	292	54	21	3	0%	1.5	18.5%	7.2%	11.3%	1.0%	2.19	3.01	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	50	231	40	23	7	0%	1.1	14.2%	9.7%	4.5%	3.6%	4.50	5.14	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	50	231	40	23	7	0%	1.1	14.2%	9.7%	4.5%	3.6%	4.50	5.14	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	50	231	40	23	7	0%	1.1	17.3%	10.0%	7.4%	3.0%	4.50	4.70	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	52	0	66	309	48	42	6	0%	1.3	12.9%	12.2%	0.7%	2.1%	6.27	4.73	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	52	0	66	309	48	42	6	0%	1.3	12.9%	12.2%	0.7%	2.1%	6.27	4.73	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	SD	52	0	66	309	48	42	6	0%	1.3	15.5%	13.6%	1.9%	1.9%	6.27	4.58	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SD	35	0	37	157	25	14	5	0%	1.1	15.8%	9.2%	6.6%	3.1%	4.94	4.99	-0.2
2027	29	MLB CTX	SD	13	0	14	59	9	5	2	0%	1.1	15.8%	9.2%	6.6%	3.1%	4.94	4.99	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	58	9	5	2	0%	1.0	15.8%	9.2%	6.6%	3.1%	4.94	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	132	73	29	0%	1.1	15.8%	9.2%	6.6%	3.1%	4.94	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		216	1	297	1317	203	127	37	0%	1.4	15.4%	9.7%	5.8%	2.8%	4.28	4.57	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		146	1	200	888	137	86	25	0%	1.4	15.4%	9.7%	5.8%	2.8%	4.28	4.57	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ethan Routzahn (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.92	15.2%	9.0%	2.9%	—	4.99	15.8%	6.6%	37	+0.07	—	—	—
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	93
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	90
Eder Llamas R 2015 · 4.84 FIP	29	SU	4.84	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	.261	3.64	11.3%	4.6%	120	-1.20	3.23	171	88
Jose Casilla R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	27	SU	4.65	13.0%	8.0%	3.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.06	104	87
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	87
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	86
David Goforth R 2017 · 5.09 FIP	28	SU	5.09	13.6%	10.2%	3.4%	.282	4.07	14.1%	5.5%	68	-1.02	3.98	256	85
Drew Hayes R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	28	SU	3.99	13.8%	10.1%	1.4%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.35	117	85
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	84
Esteban Haro R 2015 · 4.14 FIP	29	SU	4.14	11.6%	8.4%	1.7%	.302	4.25	15.6%	7.8%	78	+0.11	3.76	164	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	84
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	83
Collin Balester R 2015 · 4.22 FIP	29	SU	4.22	14.2%	9.3%	2.1%	.240	3.20	21.2%	15.4%	43	-1.02	3.20	116	83
Tyler Mizenko R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	13.3%	10.2%	3.5%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	104	83
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	83
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	82
John Church R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	28	SU	3.84	13.2%	5.7%	2.1%	.278	2.78	17.7%	8.4%	30	-1.06	2.78	101	82
Benjamin Sandoval R 2015 · 4.66 FIP	28	SU	4.66	8.6%	7.8%	2.4%	.253	5.16	5.8%	-5.7%	62	+0.50	4.66	146	82
Beck Wheeler R 2017 · 5.40 FIP	28	SU	5.40	15.3%	12.2%	3.7%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	173	81
Tyson Perez R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	27	SU	4.75	12.2%	5.9%	3.5%	.338	5.69	14.0%	6.8%	32	+0.94	3.32	121	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	38	15.5%	9.1%	1.15	4.93
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77