Roque Salinas — OGILVIE

Roque SalinasOF Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 23 L/L 5'8" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 135 proj PA

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.244 / .300 / .366

PA11

HR0

K%22

BB%6

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	72	69	13	2	0	0	1	11	1	1	0	188	211	217	429	29	224	15	1	194	17	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	302	282	78	14	2	3	7	35	9	0	3	277	315	372	688	96	305	12	2	306	93	-2	-1	—	—	+7	0.3
2022	19	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	15	13	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	231	333	462	795	231	167	0	7	355	126	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	417	382	99	15	3	1	21	52	11	5	1	259	316	322	638	63	295	12	5	291	83	-8	+1	—	—	+9	0.1
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	21	19	7	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	368	429	421	850	53	412	10	10	386	147	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2024	21	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	16	15	6	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	400	438	1.000	1.438	600	250	0	6	603	294	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	19	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	302	284	72	14	2	3	5	49	9	0	3	254	289	349	637	95	288	16	2	272	70	-11	-1	—	—	+7	-0.5
2023	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	417	388	90	14	2	1	15	73	11	5	1	232	280	286	566	54	275	18	4	250	55	-22	+1	—	—	+9	-1.3
2024	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	21	19	7	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	0	368	429	421	850	53	394	14	10	344	119	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2024	21	ROK MLE	FCL Blue Jays	—	16	15	5	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	333	375	933	1.308	600	194	0	6	488	216	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2021	18	INTL MLE	Caneros de los Mochis	—	72	69	13	2	0	0	1	11	1	1	0	188	211	217	429	29	224	15	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	INTL RAW	Caneros de los Mochis	—	72	69	13	2	0	0	1	11	1	1	0	188	211	217	429	29	224	15	1	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	317	298	75	14	2	3	5	51	10	0	3	252	288	342	630	91	293	16	2	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	317	295	81	14	2	4	8	35	10	0	3	275	316	376	693	102	298	11	3	308	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	417	388	90	14	2	1	15	73	11	5	1	232	280	286	566	54	281	18	4	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	417	382	99	15	3	1	21	52	11	5	1	259	316	322	638	63	295	12	5	291	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	37	35	12	1	0	3	2	3	0	2	0	343	378	629	1.007	286	310	8	5	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	37	34	13	1	0	3	3	2	0	2	0	382	432	676	1.109	294	345	5	8	480	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	317	299	75	14	2	3	5	51	10	0	3	251	288	341	629	90	288	16	2	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	417	388	90	14	2	1	15	73	11	5	1	232	280	286	566	54	275	18	4	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	37	35	12	1	0	3	2	3	0	2	0	343	378	629	1.007	286	308	8	5	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	417	388	90	14	2	1	15	73	11	5	1	232	280	286	566	54	275	18	4	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	37	35	12	1	0	3	2	3	0	2	0	343	378	629	1.007	286	308	8	5	406	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	11	10	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		299	18	9	300	89	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	163	149	37	7	1	4	11	35	2	3	1	248	309	389	698	141	299	21	7	308	94	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	44%	270	246	62	11	2	7	18	58	4	5	1	252	313	398	712	146	299	21	7	312	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	343	312	78	14	2	9	23	74	5	6	1	250	312	394	706	144	298	22	7	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	383	348	87	16	2	10	27	83	5	7	2	250	313	394	707	144	298	22	7	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	406	369	92	17	2	11	29	88	5	7	2	249	313	396	708	146	298	22	7	314	99	-1	+1	-1	-2	+9	0.6
2032	29	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	414	376	93	17	2	11	30	91	5	6	2	247	311	391	702	144	297	22	7	312	97	-1	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	415	377	92	17	2	10	30	92	5	6	1	244	308	379	688	135	296	22	7	309	96	-2	+1	-2	-2	+9	0.3
2034	31	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	407	370	89	16	2	10	29	91	5	5	1	241	304	376	680	135	293	22	7	305	93	-4	+1	-3	-2	+9	0.1
2035	32	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	393	357	85	15	2	9	28	90	5	4	1	238	303	367	670	129	290	23	7	299	89	-5	+0	-4	-2	+9	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	49	45	11	2	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	244	306	356	662	111	301	22	6	299	94	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	44%	119	108	28	5	1	3	8	26	2	2	0	259	322	407	729	148	300	22	7	304	98	-0	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	174	158	40	7	1	5	12	37	2	3	1	253	314	405	719	152	300	21	7	306	99	-0	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	201	182	45	8	1	5	14	43	3	3	1	247	312	385	696	137	300	21	7	307	99	-0	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	216	196	49	9	1	6	15	47	3	4	1	250	313	398	711	148	299	22	7	306	99	-0	+0	-0	-1	+5	0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	217	197	49	9	1	6	15	48	3	3	1	249	312	396	708	147	298	22	7	304	97	-1	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	216	196	48	9	1	5	15	48	3	3	1	245	308	378	686	133	297	22	7	301	96	-1	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.1
2034	31	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	211	191	46	8	1	5	15	47	3	3	1	241	306	372	678	131	295	22	7	297	93	-2	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.0
2035	32	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	203	184	44	8	1	5	14	46	3	2	0	239	303	375	678	136	292	23	7	291	89	-3	+0	-2	-1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1606	1457	360	65	8	41	111	353	23	24	6	247	310	387	698	140	298	22	7	302	87	-8	+2	-5	-10	+35	1.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	146	26	3	17	45	143	9	10	2	247	311	388	699	141	298	22	7	302	87	-3	+1	-2	-4	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4048	3704	907	161	21	88	249	842	63	57	16	245	304	371	674	126	293	21	6	296	87	-15	+5	-10	-19	+69	3.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	145	26	3	14	40	135	10	9	3	244	302	368	670	124	292	21	6	296	87	-3	+1	-2	-4	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Danny Santanalast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,834 PA	2.8	1,834	47	74	256	296	415	-6	-6	3.6	3.6
/162	664	17	27	-2.3	-2.2	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.6	1,742	43	26	247	307	387	-10	+0	3.1	2.9
/162	664	16	10	-4.0	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#6Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	3.0	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
/162	664	18	7	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roque Salinas (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	244/300/366	123	299	3	2	22%	6%	89	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mat Gamel 2008 · A	23	50→57	45→50	49→45	43	242/291/377	135	307	11	9	24%	6%	87	+0.4	249/304/396	147	333	14	6	28%	7%	97	+1.1	248/308/400	152	332	16	4	29%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2023 · A	23	48→53	46→45	52→50	43	241/289/368	128	286	13	9	21%	5%	85	+0.2	224/274/326	102	276	10	11	22%	5%	70	-0.9	214/262/306	93	264	9	11	22%	4%	58	-1.0
✕Tim Smith 2009 · A	23	50→51	44→45	49→55	41	245/292/362	117	295	11	12	21%	4%	84	+0.2	260/304/380	120	304	12	16	18%	5%	93	+0.8	271/314/394	122	309	14	18	17%	5%	100	+0.7
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	47	47→55	54→40	46	234/295/376	142	288	14	5	24%	7%	89	+0.5	206/266/291	85	289	6	5	29%	7%	59	-1.7	164/227/201	37	243	0	2	30%	7%	22	-1.4
✕David Olmedo-Barrera 2017 · A	23	50→41	43→50	52→50	41	243/287/364	121	295	10	11	21%	4%	83	+0.1	212/252/308	96	284	7	12	27%	4%	57	-1.8	195/232/280	85	265	6	13	28%	4%	41	-1.5
✕Mike Gerber 2016 · A	24	49→51	45→50	53→45	43	240/288/369	129	299	11	9	23%	6%	84	+0.2	221/271/351	130	315	12	8	32%	6%	74	-0.5	208/261/354	146	301	16	6	35%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A	23	46→44	44→60	50→45	45	227/284/346	119	293	11	8	26%	7%	78	-0.3	201/260/331	130	273	12	8	30%	7%	65	-1.2	227/284/435	209	256	27	8	24%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Ryan Wheeler 2010 · A	22	49→55	45→50	48→40	47	241/312/368	127	299	12	8	23%	8%	94	+0.9	248/290/367	119	316	12	4	24%	5%	84	+0.2	253/293/380	127	317	12	4	24%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Richie Palacios 2021 · A	24	47→53	45	52→55	43	234/285/355	121	299	12	11	26%	6%	80	-0.1	242/318/366	124	297	9	18	20%	9%	95	+1.0	240/320/367	128	284	10	17	18%	9%	94	+0.6
●Will Venable 2007 · A	24	53→55	44→55	52→60	45	255/308/379	124	311	10	11	21%	6%	94	+0.9	245/297/363	118	303	11	11	22%	6%	86	+0.3	256/316/434	178	309	17	31	22%	7%	105	+1.4
✕Nate Tenbrink 2010 · A	23	48→53	43→50	52→50	42	230/286/343	113	306	9	9	27%	6%	78	-0.3	234/301/374	140	309	13	16	27%	8%	91	+0.7	232/308/387	155	306	15	20	27%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Trevor Larnach 2019 · A	22	48→54	45→55	51→45	47	235/297/362	127	294	11	7	24%	8%	86	+0.3	237/302/353	116	343	11	4	32%	8%	86	+0.3	255/334/414	159	301	19	4	21%	10%	110	+1.6
●Danny Dorn 2007 · A	23	50→47	46→55	51→45	49	247/315/381	134	302	13	5	22%	8%	97	+1.1	235/299/397	162	293	18	3	26%	7%	96	+1.0	241/295/398	157	300	18	5	25%	6%	94	+0.6
✕Kort Peterson 2017 · A	23	52→43	44→50	52→50	41	247/315/370	123	331	10	9	27%	6%	95	+1.0	225/278/349	124	330	11	8	33%	4%	76	-0.4	207/256/338	130	308	13	8	35%	4%	63	-0.8
✕Chris Swauger 2010 · A	23	48→50	46→50	49→45	40	239/280/380	141	291	12	7	22%	4%	84	+0.1	249/287/374	125	311	12	6	23%	4%	85	+0.2	255/293/373	117	316	13	4	23%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Robert Perry 2008 · A	23	50→42	44→50	53→55	51	241/317/370	129	275	10	16	17%	8%	96	+1.0	207/289/302	95	254	6	12	20%	7%	71	-0.8	193/280/260	67	234	3	12	17%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Brandon Jones 2007 · AA	23	47→53	48→50	49→50	44	237/286/381	144	293	15	11	24%	6%	86	+0.3	245/296/376	131	311	11	11	24%	7%	89	+0.5	248/303/372	125	312	10	10	23%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Jake Scheiner 2019 · A	23	50→52	46→55	47→40	45	248/301/382	134	302	12	7	22%	6%	93	+0.8	226/277/381	155	295	18	5	29%	6%	84	+0.1	208/286/375	167	269	21	3	30%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Alan Roden 2023 · A	23	47→56	41→45	51→50	51	223/310/319	97	268	8	12	19%	9%	82	+0.0	253/329/370	117	296	10	14	17%	8%	101	+1.4	256/333/376	120	298	10	14	17%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Spencer Packard 2022 · A	24	45→52	44→45	51→40	46	221/287/336	115	264	12	7	21%	6%	77	-0.3	237/308/366	129	282	14	5	20%	8%	92	+0.7	242/318/366	125	285	13	3	19%	8%	93	+0.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps