Roque Salinas — OGILVIE

Roque SalinasOF Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 23 L/L 5'8" / 180 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 135 proj PA

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .300 / .366

PA135

HR3

K%22

BB%6

ISO124

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	72	69	13	2	0	0	1	11	1	1	0	188	211	217	429	29	224	15	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	72	69	13	2	0	0	1	11	1	1	0	188	211	217	429	29	224	15	1	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	317	298	76	15	2	3	5	50	10	0	3	255	291	349	640	94	296	16	2	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	317	295	81	14	2	4	8	35	10	0	3	275	316	376	693	102	298	11	3	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	417	389	90	13	2	1	14	71	11	5	1	231	278	283	561	51	278	17	3	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	417	382	99	15	3	1	21	52	11	5	1	259	316	322	638	63	295	12	5	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	37	35	12	1	0	3	2	3	0	2	0	343	378	629	1.007	286	310	8	5	424	183	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	2 teams	—	37	34	13	1	0	3	3	2	0	2	0	382	432	676	1.109	294	345	5	8	480	226	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	TOR	—	135	124	31	6	1	3	8	29	2	2	1	250	306	387	693	137	299	21	6	300	88	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	TOR	30%	163	150	37	7	1	4	10	35	2	3	1	247	302	387	689	140	299	21	6	307	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2028	25	MLB	TOR	44%	270	246	62	11	2	7	18	58	4	5	1	252	313	398	712	146	299	21	7	312	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.6
2029	26	MLB	TOR	51%	343	312	78	14	2	9	23	74	5	6	1	250	312	394	706	144	299	22	7	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+10	0.8
2030	27	MLB	TOR	52%	383	348	87	16	2	10	27	83	5	7	2	250	313	394	707	144	299	22	7	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.9
2031	28	MLB	TOR	53%	406	369	92	17	2	11	29	89	5	7	2	249	313	396	708	146	298	22	7	314	98	-1	+1	-1	-2	+12	0.8
2027	24	MLB	TOR	30%	49	45	11	2	0	1	3	11	1	1	0	244	306	356	662	111	301	22	6	299	87	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
2028	25	MLB	TOR	44%	119	108	28	5	1	3	8	26	2	2	0	259	322	407	729	148	301	22	7	303	90	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
2029	26	MLB	TOR	51%	174	158	40	7	1	5	12	38	2	3	1	253	314	405	719	152	300	22	7	306	92	-2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2030	27	MLB	TOR	52%	201	182	45	8	1	5	14	44	3	3	1	247	312	385	696	137	300	22	7	306	92	-2	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.3
2031	28	MLB	TOR	53%	216	196	49	9	1	6	15	47	3	4	1	250	313	398	711	148	300	22	7	305	92	-2	+0	-0	-1	+6	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	759	689	173	31	4	20	52	166	11	13	3	251	314	395	709	144	302	22	7	305	91	-7	+1	-0	-5	+22	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	148	27	3	17	45	142	9	11	3	251	314	393	707	142	302	22	7	305	91	-6	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	2543	2340	578	102	14	51	137	503	45	38	12	247	301	368	669	121	293	20	5	290	80	-57	+3	-1	-15	+72	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	148	26	4	13	35	129	12	10	3	247	303	370	672	122	293	20	5	290	80	-15	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	72	69	13	2	0	0	1	11	1	1	0	188	211	217	429	29	224	15	1	194	7	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	19	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	302	282	78	14	2	3	7	35	9	0	3	277	315	372	688	96	305	12	2	306	92	-3	-1	—	—	+9	0.5
2022	19	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	15	13	3	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	231	333	462	795	231	167	0	7	355	130	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	20	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	417	382	99	15	3	1	21	52	11	5	1	259	316	322	638	63	295	12	5	291	81	-9	+1	—	—	+12	0.3
2024	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	21	19	7	1	0	0	2	2	0	2	0	368	429	421	850	53	412	10	10	386	154	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	21	ROK	FCL Blue Jays	—	16	15	6	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	400	438	1.000	1.438	600	250	0	6	603	320	+4	+0	—	—	+0	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ricky Ledeelast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,897 PA	7	1,897	52	21	239	323	404	-8	-6	5.0	5.0
	/162	664	18	7	239	323	404	-2.9	-2.1	1.7	pk7: 5
#2Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Shane Spencerlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,568 PA	5	1,568	41	13	261	325	410	-12	-6	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	17	6	261	325	410	-5.3	-2.7	1.5	pk7: 4
#5Chris Singletonlast yr '05 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,909 PA	5	1,909	28	61	265	308	392	-9	-3	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	10	21	265	308	392	-3.0	-1.2	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	894	22	15	250	308	391	-5	+0	1.8	1.8
	/162	664	16	11	250	308	391	-4.0	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 2
#6Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roque Salinas (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	243/300/366	123	299	3	2	22%	6%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tim Smith 2009 · A	23	50→51	44→50	49→55	41	245/292/362	117	295	11	12	21%	4%	82	+0.5	257/300/380	123	302	13	16	19%	5%	91	+1.1	265/306/393	129	304	16	18	18%	4%	97	+0.8
✕Richie Palacios 2021 · A	24	48→52	44→50	52→55	43	235/285/355	120	301	12	11	26%	6%	78	+0.2	244/321/376	132	298	10	18	20%	9%	98	+1.6	241/323/378	136	285	11	17	18%	9%	97	+1.1
●Mat Gamel 2008 · A	23	50→57	45→50	49→45	43	242/291/377	135	307	11	9	24%	6%	85	+0.7	248/304/400	152	333	15	6	28%	7%	98	+1.6	247/307/404	157	331	17	4	29%	7%	100	+1.4
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	47	47→55	54→40	46	234/295/376	142	288	14	5	24%	7%	88	+0.9	207/267/292	85	288	6	5	28%	7%	53	-1.5	167/229/205	38	244	0	2	29%	7%	13	-1.3
●Spencer Packard 2022 · A	24	45→52	45→50	51→40	46	223/289/347	124	263	13	7	20%	6%	78	+0.2	237/308/377	140	278	16	5	20%	8%	94	+1.3	243/323/372	129	281	14	1	18%	9%	96	+1.2
✕David Olmedo-Barrera 2017 · A	23	50→39	43→50	52→50	41	245/289/367	122	297	10	11	21%	4%	82	+0.5	209/249/308	99	278	8	12	27%	4%	50	-1.8	188/226/276	88	253	7	13	28%	4%	30	-1.6
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A	23	46→44	44→60	50→45	44	225/283/343	119	292	11	8	26%	7%	74	-0.1	200/260/333	133	271	13	8	30%	7%	62	-0.9	227/284/442	214	256	27	8	24%	6%	98	+1.0
✕Ezequiel Pagan 2023 · A	23	49→53	46→45	52→50	43	244/293/376	132	292	14	9	21%	5%	86	+0.8	225/273/330	105	280	11	11	23%	5%	66	-0.6	213/260/310	97	265	11	11	23%	4%	53	-0.9
✕Alan Roden 2023 · A	23	47→56	41→45	51→50	51	223/308/322	99	268	8	12	19%	8%	80	+0.4	254/328/377	123	297	11	14	17%	8%	102	+1.9	257/332/384	128	298	12	14	17%	8%	102	+1.4
●David Lough 2009 · A	23	46→56	46→50	48→50	43	231/273/369	138	263	13	9	18%	4%	76	+0.1	259/298/390	131	300	12	13	18%	4%	92	+1.2	275/314/402	127	317	11	14	16%	4%	99	+1.4
✕Kort Peterson 2017 · A	23	52→42	44→50	52→50	41	247/315/370	123	331	10	9	27%	6%	95	+1.4	228/280/364	136	336	13	8	35%	4%	79	+0.3	208/255/355	147	311	16	8	37%	4%	62	-0.5
✕Chris Swauger 2010 · A	23	48→50	46→50	49→45	40	239/280/380	141	291	12	7	22%	4%	82	+0.5	247/286/376	129	310	13	6	24%	4%	83	+0.6	253/290/374	121	316	13	4	24%	4%	82	+0.3
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→50	44→55	52→50	47	224/285/348	125	278	11	15	23%	7%	76	+0.1	240/302/420	180	305	20	10	27%	7%	102	+1.9	227/300/415	188	290	21	7	28%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Nate Tenbrink 2010 · A	23	48→51	43→50	52→50	42	230/286/343	113	306	9	9	27%	6%	76	+0.0	230/297/370	140	307	13	16	28%	8%	87	+0.8	226/300/381	155	301	16	20	29%	8%	89	+0.5
●Brandon Jones 2007 · AA	23	47→53	48→55	49→50	43	237/287/385	147	294	15	11	25%	6%	86	+0.8	246/298/385	139	312	13	11	24%	7%	91	+1.1	249/305/383	134	313	12	10	23%	7%	91	+1.0
✕Nick Loftin 2022 · A	23	45→53	45→50	53→50	49	224/290/352	128	265	11	11	20%	7%	79	+0.3	236/299/370	134	274	15	14	20%	7%	88	+0.9	240/320/368	128	270	14	11	16%	9%	94	+0.9
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	46→55	48→50	52	224/303/356	132	269	13	12	22%	9%	86	+0.8	237/303/415	178	282	22	11	24%	8%	102	+1.8	230/299/411	181	267	23	11	23%	8%	96	+1.1
●Danny Dorn 2007 · A	23	50→47	46→55	51→45	49	247/315/381	134	302	13	5	22%	8%	97	+1.5	237/301/409	172	295	20	3	26%	7%	99	+1.7	249/301/431	182	303	22	5	25%	6%	104	+1.3
✕Dario Pizzano 2014 · A	23	54→57	42→50	47→40	50	260/316/377	116	298	8	6	16%	7%	96	+1.5	238/296/371	133	270	10	4	16%	7%	86	+0.8	243/299/375	132	261	15	2	14%	6%	87	+0.5
●Connor Marabell 2017 · A	23	53→56	41→50	50→45	44	252/290/372	119	302	6	8	18%	5%	83	+0.6	246/281/371	125	287	11	7	18%	5%	80	+0.4	263/297/410	147	301	14	6	18%	4%	93	+1.0