Alejandro LóaizaC FCL Cardinals
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 163 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj PA
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .243 / .271
PA49
HR1
K%37
BB%6
ISO91
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +1.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.2-0.12628
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Cardinals Red 7669 4100 4523 02 5814572217 14235 685 117 -52
202117 ROKDSL Cardinals Red 7667 10201 6363 02 149250224474 75300 478 229 33
202218 ROKDSL Cardinals 9381 7101 10501 10 86196136331 49194 5411 160 -19
202218 ROKDSL Cardinals 9376 12201 15341 10 158304224528 66262 3716 258 56
202319 ROKFCL Cardinals 2524 1001 1200 00 4280167247 125 804 96 -68
202319 ROKFCL Cardinals 2523 3002 2140 00 130200391591 261143 568 258 56
202420 ROKFCL Cardinals 7871 5011 3403 10 70143141284 70129 514 129 -43
202420 ROKFCL Cardinals 7868 7012 6293 10 103208221428 118132 378 202 13
202521 ROKFCL Cardinals 3836 6201 2150 00 167211306516 139250 395 209 18
202521 ROKFCL Cardinals 3834 9301 4100 00 265342441783 176348 2611 349 125
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBSTL 4945 8101 3181 00 178245267512 89288 376 236 39 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBSTL 34% 125115 22412 8451 10 191250296546 104289 366 248 48 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
202824 MLBSTL 46% 250228 45824 17873 21 197262303565 105291 357 256 54 -13 +0 +0 +4 +7 -0.1
202723 MLBSTL 34% 4340 7101 3150 00 175233275508 100289 357 239 41 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202824 MLBSTL 46% 115105 21412 8401 10 200263314577 114290 357 248 48 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 158145 28513 11551 10 193255303558 110284 357 245 46 -10 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.2
/ 162G 650597 11521412 452264 40 193254302555 109284 357 245 46 -40 +1 +0 +12 +18 -0.9
Career 734669 9817411 4832712 53 146217233450 87260 457 205 15 -70 -0 +0 +13 +21 -3.7
/ 162G 650592 8715410 4329011 43 147219236455 90260 457 205 15 -62 -0 +0 +12 +18 -3.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Cardinals Red 7667 10201 6363 02 149250224474 75300 478 229 33 -6 -1 +2 -0.4
202218 ROKDSL Cardinals 9376 12201 15341 10 158304224528 66262 3716 258 56 -5 +0 +3 -0.2
202319 ROKFCL Cardinals 2523 3002 2140 00 130200391591 261143 568 258 56 -1 +0 +1 -0.1
202420 ROKFCL Cardinals 7868 7012 6293 10 103208221428 118132 378 202 13 -8 +0 +2 -0.5
202521 ROKFCL Cardinals 3834 9301 4100 00 265342441783 176348 2611 349 125 +1 +0 +1 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
220732193253297+4+8-0.2-0.1
/162664117+11.9+25.6-0.7pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Alejandro Lóaiza (OGILVIE) 22 181/243/271 90288 10 37% 6% 39 -0.2
Will Banfield
2022 · A
22 31→35 40→50 48→30 34 163/215/254 91259 84 39% 5% 22 -3.7 193/230/321 128266 153 33% 4% 46 -2.0 194/236/29610226912032%4%39-1.2
Fabian Pertuz
2023 · A
22 37→33 41→40 49→55 33 185/229/278 92285 89 37% 4% 33 -2.9 172/223/263 91273 912 38% 5% 28 -3.2 143/198/2238022791340%5%4-2.5
Arturo De Freitas
2023 · A
22 35 39→45 45→40 34 173/222/254 81276 74 39% 5% 24 -3.5 183/241/264 81308 85 40% 6% 36 -2.7 115/169/126122240046%5%-33-1.4
Edwin Díaz
2018 · A
22 33→31 40→50 47→40 37 170/225/259 88261 83 37% 6% 27 -3.3 174/236/291 117279 124 40% 7% 41 -2.3 158/222/31015223522442%7%38-1.2
Chuck Moorman
2016 · A
22 36 39→40 44→30 32 176/227/256 80293 75 40% 4% 27 -3.3 191/228/270 79271 53 30% 4% 30 -3.1 181/219/257762595031%4%21-1.8
Alex Lavisky
2013 · A
22 36 42→40 46→30 35 185/231/286 100277 113 36% 5% 37 -2.7 201/245/297 96268 103 28% 5% 46 -2.0 192/236/2768524110124%4%34-0.9
Mikell Granberry
2018 · A
22 39 39→45 47→45 38 186/242/277 91282 46 34% 6% 40 -2.4 215/284/323 108302 87 29% 8% 69 -0.4 225/307/35513029913727%10%85+0.2
Justin Twine
2018 · A
22 35→31 36→45 46→50 30 172/213/238 66275 47 38% 3% 16 -4.1 211/251/299 88302 610 31% 4% 48 -1.9 216/252/3139732181434%3%50-1.0
Chris Okey
2018 · A
23 34 38→45 48→40 36 169/228/242 73279 65 40% 6% 24 -3.5 181/236/284 103274 124 36% 6% 39 -2.5 203/255/30710428610231%5%49-0.5
Joe Munoz
2016 · A
22 40→37 43→45 45→40 39 195/256/298 103298 115 37% 7% 51 -1.7 214/278/333 119314 116 33% 7% 69 -0.4 198/260/3131162839532%6%53-0.9
J.V. Martinez
2021 · A
22 39→34 42→45 44→30 40 193/252/295 103276 93 32% 6% 49 -1.8 199/255/310 111282 104 31% 6% 53 -1.5 184/241/29711325610131%6%42-1.0
James Parker
2023 · A
23 35→23 42→50 51→45 35 177/230/279 102291 97 41% 6% 35 -2.8 182/248/308 126328 157 45% 8% 50 -1.7 144/223/29014625621450%9%33-1.4
Brian Peacock
2007 · A
22 37 43→45 50 34 185/237/293 108289 113 39% 5% 42 -2.3 199/245/314 115284 128 33% 5% 50 -1.7 198/247/31311529691535%6%48-0.7
Juan Zabala
2021 · A
22 40 39→40 48→50 37 189/252/274 85300 66 37% 6% 43 -2.2 211/273/309 98301 913 31% 7% 61 -1.0 203/266/29188284101630%7%50-0.7
David Masters
2015 · A
22 38→36 36→45 47→40 40 182/248/249 67278 38 34% 7% 35 -2.8 175/232/242 67239 64 28% 6% 27 -3.3 194/263/33113726618133%7%59-0.5
Jesus Chirinos
2023 · A
22 40→33 41→40 46→40 40 183/258/270 88330 103 44% 9% 46 -2.0 186/266/281 95341 104 43% 10% 52 -1.6 171/260/2649331010244%10%44-1.2
Wladimir Galindo
2019 · A
22 39→31 41→45 39→40 33 190/232/286 96298 93 38% 5% 37 -2.6 197/243/285 88315 76 38% 5% 41 -2.3 179/220/239602906439%4%15-1.3
Ali Solis
2010 · AA
22 34 42→45 49→30 36 176/225/273 97261 104 36% 5% 31 -3.0 215/246/345 130299 153 32% 3% 59 -1.1 227/249/36113430915131%2%60-0.5
Cadyn Grenier
2019 · A
22 42→39 39→40 47→50 36 194/247/287 94320 68 39% 6% 44 -2.1 192/262/293 101323 88 40% 7% 53 -1.5 180/261/2739328881137%8%45-1.5
Domnit Bolivar
2011 · A
22 35 41→45 48→45 32 176/214/268 92278 88 39% 4% 25 -3.5 197/246/296 99288 99 33% 5% 46 -2.0 198/250/2959727910931%6%44-1.1