Alejandro Lóaiza

Alejandro LóaizaC FCL Cardinals

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 163 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .242 / .271

PA4

HR0

K%38

BB%6

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	67	10	2	0	1	6	36	3	0	2	149	250	224	474	75	300	47	8	229	41	-5	-1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	93	76	12	2	0	1	15	34	1	1	0	158	304	224	528	66	262	37	16	258	61	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	25	23	3	0	0	2	2	14	0	0	0	130	200	391	591	261	143	56	8	258	61	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	78	68	7	0	1	2	6	29	3	1	0	103	208	221	428	118	132	37	8	202	23	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2025	21	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	38	34	9	3	0	1	4	10	0	0	0	265	342	441	783	176	348	26	11	349	122	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	69	4	1	0	0	4	52	3	0	2	58	145	72	217	14	240	68	5	118	-34	-12	-1	—	—	+2	-1.1
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	93	81	8	1	0	1	10	50	1	1	0	99	207	148	355	49	200	54	11	159	-6	-12	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	25	24	1	0	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	42	80	167	247	125	110	80	4	96	-49	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	70	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	57	143	129	271	71	100	53	5	126	-29	-12	+0	—	—	+2	-1.0
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	260	37	5	217	33	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	69	4	1	0	0	4	52	3	0	2	58	145	72	217	14	235	68	5	118	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	67	10	2	0	1	6	36	3	0	2	149	250	224	474	75	300	47	8	229	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	93	81	8	1	0	1	10	50	1	1	0	99	207	148	355	49	226	54	11	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	93	76	12	2	0	1	15	34	1	1	0	158	304	224	528	66	262	37	16	258	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	25	24	1	0	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	42	80	167	247	125		80	4	96	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	25	23	3	0	0	2	2	14	0	0	0	130	200	391	591	261	143	56	8	258	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	70	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	57	143	129	271	71	103	53	5	126	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	78	68	7	0	1	2	6	29	3	1	0	103	208	221	428	118	132	37	8	202	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	238	37	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	38	34	9	3	0	1	4	10	0	0	0	265	342	441	783	176	348	26	11	349	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	69	4	1	0	0	4	52	3	0	2	58	145	72	217	14	240	68	5	118	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	93	82	8	1	0	1	10	50	1	1	0	98	207	146	353	49	200	54	11	159	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	25	24	1	0	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	42	80	167	247	125	110	80	4	96	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	71	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	56	143	127	270	70	100	53	5	126	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	260	37	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	25	24	1	0	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	42	80	167	247	125	110	80	4	96	-49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	71	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	56	143	127	270	70	100	53	5	126	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	260	37	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	22	MLB MLE	STL	0%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0						288	50	0	236	46	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	STL	34%	125	115	22	4	1	2	8	45	1	1	0	191	250	296	546	104	289	36	6	248	54	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	STL	46%	250	228	45	8	2	4	17	87	3	2	1	197	262	303	565	105	290	35	7	256	59	-12	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	STL	52%	332	302	60	11	2	6	23	113	4	3	1	199	264	308	572	109	291	34	7	261	63	-15	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	STL	54%	386	352	71	12	3	8	27	131	4	4	1	202	266	321	587	119	290	34	7	263	64	-16	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	STL	54%	414	377	75	13	3	8	29	140	5	4	1	199	265	313	578	114	290	34	7	263	64	-18	+0	+0	+7	+9	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	STL	54%	428	389	78	14	3	8	31	146	5	4	1	201	268	314	582	113	290	34	7	262	64	-18	+0	-1	+8	+9	-0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	429	390	77	13	3	8	31	147	5	4	1	197	265	308	573	110	289	34	7	261	62	-19	+0	-1	+8	+9	-0.3
2027	23	MLB CTX	STL	34%	43	40	7	1	0	1	3	15	0	0	0	175	233	275	508	100	288	35	7	237	54	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	STL	46%	115	105	21	4	1	2	8	40	1	1	0	200	263	314	577	114	290	35	7	245	59	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	STL	52%	171	155	30	5	1	3	12	58	2	2	1	194	260	297	557	103	290	34	7	250	63	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	STL	54%	209	190	38	7	1	4	15	71	2	2	1	200	266	311	576	111	290	34	7	252	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	STL	54%	225	204	41	7	2	4	16	76	3	2	1	201	269	314	583	113	289	34	7	252	64	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	STL	54%	232	210	42	7	2	4	17	79	3	2	1	200	270	310	579	110	289	34	7	251	64	-10	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	228	206	40	7	1	4	17	78	3	2	1	194	265	296	562	102	288	34	7	249	62	-10	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1223	1110	219	38	8	22	88	417	14	11	5	197	265	305	570	108	291	34	7	250	53	-54	+0	-1	+22	+26	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	116	20	4	12	47	222	7	6	3	197	264	305	569	108	290	34	7	250	53	-29	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2678	2437	451	79	18	48	187	988	34	24	8	185	253	291	544	106	285	37	7	247	53	-105	+2	-2	+42	+51	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	109	19	4	12	45	240	8	6	2	184	251	291	541	106	283	37	7	247	53	-29	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,273	24	12	199	262	312	+23	+16	0.2	0.3
/162	664	13	6	+11.9	+8.3	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejandro Lóaiza (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	181/242/271	90	288	1	0	38%	6%	46	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	174/222/255	81	277	7	4	39%	5%	34	-3.5	184/241/265	81	306	8	5	40%	6%	44	-2.8	141/191/216	75	260	9	0	47%	5%	11	-1.0
✕Will Banfield 2022 · A	22	32→37	40→45	48→30	34	164/217/255	91	263	8	4	40%	6%	32	-3.7	193/231/313	120	266	14	3	32%	4%	51	-2.3	193/233/284	91	269	10	0	31%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	50	-2.3	212/274/306	94	301	9	13	30%	7%	65	-1.2	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕Edwin Díaz 2018 · A	22	34→33	40→50	46→40	37	174/232/263	89	269	9	3	37%	6%	40	-3.1	181/243/301	120	279	12	4	37%	7%	53	-2.1	154/228/294	140	225	19	5	40%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Alex Lavisky 2013 · A	22	37	44→45	46→30	35	188/234/296	108	279	12	3	36%	5%	48	-2.5	203/248/298	95	269	10	3	27%	5%	53	-2.1	195/239/272	77	244	8	1	23%	4%	42	-1.0
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	181/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	211/265/312	101	293	9	3	29%	6%	63	-1.4	217/276/324	107	289	10	0	27%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	40→45	48→30	38	195/255/282	87	294	7	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/262	84	256	7	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	39	39→50	44→45	37	186/262/264	78	301	7	6	38%	6%	52	-2.2	204/269/325	121	300	13	5	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→45	49→40	39	180/241/289	109	274	11	4	37%	7%	49	-2.4	201/257/318	117	274	12	4	30%	6%	62	-1.4	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	36→32	37→40	47→50	31	177/217/248	70	278	4	7	37%	3%	30	-3.8	212/252/296	84	302	6	10	30%	4%	53	-2.1	214/250/302	88	318	6	14	33%	3%	53	-1.2
✕Chuck Moorman 2016 · A	22	36	39→40	44→30	32	177/228/259	81	289	7	5	40%	4%	36	-3.3	191/228/268	77	268	5	3	30%	4%	38	-3.2	183/221/256	73	258	5	0	30%	4%	30	-1.8
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Freuddy Batista 2021 · A	21	40	41→50	48→40	35	192/245/289	98	307	8	5	39%	6%	50	-2.3	206/273/352	146	297	16	6	34%	7%	76	-0.4	199/268/348	150	286	16	5	34%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Mikell Granberry 2018 · A	22	39	39→45	47→45	38	186/242/277	91	282	4	6	34%	6%	47	-2.6	215/284/323	108	302	8	7	29%	8%	73	-0.6	225/307/355	130	299	13	7	27%	10%	87	+0.1
✕Luca Tresh 2022 · A	22	44→40	41→50	49→40	39	209/261/310	102	312	8	7	35%	6%	61	-1.5	208/269/341	133	274	16	4	29%	7%	72	-0.7	206/254/334	128	277	15	2	31%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→31	42→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-1.9	184/249/284	100	318	10	2	43%	6%	51	-2.2	242/289/361	119	320	16	1	29%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39→40	39→45	49→45	36	186/240/271	86	298	6	9	38%	6%	44	-2.8	182/266/288	106	256	11	5	31%	9%	59	-1.6	164/257/264	101	226	11	3	30%	10%	49	-1.3
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	39	201/255/297	96	286	8	8	32%	6%	55	-1.9	198/263/285	87	291	7	9	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/254/257	75	267	7	8	32%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Jair Camargo 2021 · A	22	41	40→50	46→45	33	197/243/289	93	309	8	7	38%	4%	49	-2.4	199/240/337	138	335	19	6	44%	4%	60	-1.6	189/238/334	145	280	21	4	40%	5%	56	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps