Alejandro Lóaiza

C FCL Cardinals

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 163 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	19	ROKSTL	25	.130/.200/.391	2	0	-50	—	.042/.080/.167
2024	20	ROKSTL	78	.103/.208/.221	2	1	-30	—	.057/.143/.129
2025	21	ROKSTL	38	.265/.342/.441	1	0	30	—	.167/.211/.306
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBSTL	148	.186/.248/.276	2	1	48	0.0
2028PROJ29% MLB	24	MLBSTL	19	.191/.253/.285	0	0	52	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 Rk

Speed76

ISO66

Chase%50

Z-Con%50

BB%12

K%7

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .246 / .274

PA25

HR0

K%36

BB%6

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	67	10	2	0	1	6	36	3	0	2	149	250	224	474	75	300	47	8	229	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	93	76	12	2	0	1	15	34	1	1	0	158	304	224	528	66	262	37	16	258	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	25	23	3	0	0	2	2	14	0	0	0	130	200	391	591	261	143	56	8	258	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	78	68	7	0	1	2	6	29	3	1	0	103	208	221	428	118	132	37	8	202	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	38	34	9	3	0	1	4	10	0	0	0	265	342	441	783	176	348	26	11	349	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	69	5	1	0	0	4	44	3	0	2	72	158	87	245	14	198	58	5	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	93	80	6	1	0	0	11	42	1	1	0	75	196	87	283	12	165	45	12	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	25	24	1	0	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	42	80	167	247	125	110	80	4	95	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	70	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	57	143	129	271	71	98	53	5	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	253	37	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	69	5	1	0	0	4	44	3	0	2	72	158	87	245	14	200	58	5	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	67	10	2	0	1	6	36	3	0	2	149	250	224	474	75	300	47	8	229	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	93	80	6	1	0	0	11	42	1	1	0	75	196	87	283	12	154	45	12	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	93	76	12	2	0	1	15	34	1	1	0	158	304	224	528	66	262	37	16	258	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	25	24	1	0	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	42	80	167	247	125		80	4	95	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	25	23	3	0	0	2	2	14	0	0	0	130	200	391	591	261	143	56	8	258	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	70	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	57	143	129	271	71	103	53	5	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	78	68	7	0	1	2	6	29	3	1	0	103	208	221	428	118	132	37	8	202	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	238	37	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	—	38	34	9	3	0	1	4	10	0	0	0	265	342	441	783	176	348	26	11	349	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Red	—	76	69	5	1	0	0	4	44	3	0	2	72	158	87	245	14	198	58	5	131	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	93	81	6	1	0	0	11	42	1	1	0	74	196	86	282	12	165	45	12	163	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	25	24	1	0	0	1	1	20	0	0	0	42	80	167	247	125	110	80	4	95	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	71	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	56	143	127	270	70	98	53	5	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	253	37	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	78	71	4	0	1	1	4	41	3	1	0	56	143	127	270	70	98	53	5	124	-30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	38	36	6	2	0	1	2	14	0	0	0	167	211	306	516	139	253	37	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	STL	0%	148	136	25	4	1	2	9	54	2	1	0	186	248	276	524	90	288	36	6	239	48	-9	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	STL	29%	64	59	11	2	0	1	4	23	1	1	0	190	253	287	540	96	289	36	6	245	52	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	STL	29%	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	191	253	285	539	95	291	37	5	245	52	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	19	18	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	167	211	222	433	56	273	37	5	245	0	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	616	102	34	0	0	34	239	0	0	0	166	209	221	430	55	271	37	5	245	0	-37	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	399	361	37	7	1	4	28	193	8	3	2	102	184	161	345	58	199	48	7	168	0	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	61	11	2	7	46	314	13	5	3	104	185	165	350	61	200	48	7	168	0	-38	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKFCL Cardinals · 38 PAwOBA .339 → .212 (−127)K% 26.3% → 38.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.32%	÷0.996	×1.440	—	—	38.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.53%	÷1.011	×0.620	—	×0.975	6.29%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Singles /BIP	20.83%	÷1.030	×0.820	—	×0.975	16.17%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.035	×0.720	—	×0.975	8.48%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.975	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.17%	÷1.149	×0.780	—	×0.975	2.76%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 100, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .339 → .212; ISO .176 → .104; BABIP .348 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Cardinals · 78 PAwOBA .200 → .124 (−76)K% 37.2% → 52.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	37.18%	÷1.018	×1.440	—	—	52.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.69%	÷1.043	×0.620	—	×0.985	4.50%
HBP% /PA	3.85%	—	×0.720	—	×0.985	2.73%
Singles /BIP	10.26%	÷0.998	×0.820	×0.950	×0.985	7.88%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.016	×0.720	×0.950	×0.985	0.00%
Triples /BIP	2.56%	÷0.935	×0.720	×0.950	×0.985	1.85%
Home runs /BIP	5.13%	÷0.975	×0.780	—	×0.985	4.04%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 100, 2B 103, 3B 87, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .200 → .124; ISO .118 → .073; BABIP .132 → .098. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Cardinals · 25 PAwOBA .251 → .095 (−155)K% 56.0% → 80.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	56.00%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	80.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.00%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×0.995	4.94%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×0.995	9.07%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	22.22%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.995	17.25%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .251 → .095; ISO .261 → .081; BABIP .143 → .110. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Cardinals · 93 PAwOBA .255 → .163 (−92)K% 36.6% → 45.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.56%	÷0.988	×1.220	—	—	45.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.13%	÷0.972	×0.700	—	×0.995	11.56%
HBP% /PA	1.08%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	0.75%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.003	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	13.73%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷0.910	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	2.97%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.093	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.38%	÷1.039	×0.470	—	×0.995	1.07%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 82, 3B 119, K 98, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .255 → .163; ISO .066 → .032; BABIP .262 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Cardinals Red · 76 PAwOBA .223 → .131 (−92)K% 47.4% → 58.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	47.37%	÷0.995	×1.220	—	—	58.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.89%	÷0.988	×0.700	—	×1.008	5.63%
HBP% /PA	3.95%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.78%
Singles /BIP	22.58%	÷0.972	×0.680	—	×1.008	15.91%
Doubles /BIP	6.45%	÷1.070	×0.600	—	×1.008	3.64%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷1.060	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.44%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 94, 2B 114, 3B 100, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .223 → .131; ISO .075 → .030; BABIP .300 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).