Manuel GuarimanC
ACL White Sox
Age 22
R/R
6'0" / 196 lbs
ROK
BB +6%HR -6%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.4 · 2031
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .266 / .291
PA43
HR1
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.4peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.2 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.0 | $10M | +$9M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.7 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $13M | $40M | +$27M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 111 | 103 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .252 | .306 | .291 | .598 | .039 | .302 | 15 | 4 | .263 | 59 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 64 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .119 | .175 | .136 | .310 | .017 | .175 | 31 | 3 | .151 | -26 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 41 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .243 | .317 | .297 | .614 | .054 | .273 | 10 | 5 | .250 | 50 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 43 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .238 | .275 | .513 | .075 | .280 | 35 | 5 | .203 | 14 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | CWS | 43 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .256 | .300 | .556 | .100 | .288 | 30 | 7 | .256 | 54 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | CWS | 106 | 96 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .219 | .286 | .344 | .629 | .125 | .291 | 29 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | CWS | 236 | 213 | 47 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 67 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .221 | .291 | .347 | .638 | .127 | .292 | 28 | 8 | .286 | 77 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | CWS | 322 | 290 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 90 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .224 | .295 | .359 | .653 | .134 | .294 | 28 | 8 | .294 | 83 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.9 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | CWS | 379 | 340 | 78 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 105 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .229 | .303 | .374 | .677 | .144 | .294 | 28 | 8 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | CWS | 410 | 368 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 115 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .228 | .302 | .372 | .674 | .144 | .295 | 28 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 84% | CWS | 425 | 382 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 120 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .225 | .299 | .366 | .665 | .141 | .294 | 28 | 8 | .297 | 85 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB 90% | CWS | 427 | 383 | 85 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 121 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .222 | .297 | .360 | .657 | .138 | .293 | 28 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +12 | 1.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 425 | 381 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 37 | 122 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .220 | .296 | .352 | .648 | .131 | .292 | 29 | 9 | .292 | 81 | -9 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 404 | 362 | 78 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 118 | 4 | 2 | 0 | .215 | .292 | .345 | .637 | .130 | .290 | 29 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -10 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 377 | 339 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 112 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .212 | .286 | .339 | .625 | .127 | .289 | 30 | 8 | .283 | 75 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 339 | 304 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 103 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .286 | .329 | .615 | .118 | .287 | 30 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -11 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 290 | 261 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .281 | .326 | .607 | .119 | .286 | 31 | 8 | .271 | 66 | -11 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2039 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 236 | 212 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .198 | .274 | .297 | .571 | .099 | .284 | 32 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -11 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4678 | 4210 | 918 | 151 | 30 | 106 | 383 | 1340 | 49 | 43 | 6 | .218 | .291 | .344 | .635 | .126 | .291 | 29 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -129 | +6 | -25 | +84 | +133 | 7.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 585 | 128 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 186 | 7 | 6 | 1 | .219 | .291 | .345 | .637 | .126 | .292 | 29 | 8 | .284 | 76 | -18 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 1.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL White Sox | 111 | 101 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | .317 | .378 | .366 | .745 | .050 | .356 | 10 | 5 | .342 | 120 | +2 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.6 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 64 | 58 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .190 | .254 | .241 | .495 | .052 | .244 | 22 | 5 | .229 | 33 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.3 |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 41 | 36 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .278 | .366 | .333 | .699 | .056 | .303 | 7 | 7 | .326 | 108 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL White Sox | 43 | 39 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .256 | .310 | .333 | .643 | .077 | .310 | 23 | 7 | .286 | 77 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Manuel Guariman (OGILVIE) | 22 | — | — | — | — | .202/.266/.291 | .089 | .288 | 1 | 1 | 31% | 7% | 54 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Brandon Dixon 2014 · A |
22 | 37→44 | 38→60 | 49→55 | 34 | .181/.219/.258 | .077 | .272 | 5 | 9 | 35% | 4% | 24 | -3.6 | .204/.234/.327 | .123 | .291 | 14 | 12 | 34% | 3% | 49 | -1.8 | .240/.284/.448 | .208 | .318 | 27 | 12 | 33% | 5% | 101 | +1.0 |
|
✕Michael A. Taylor 2013 · A |
22 | 38→48 | 41→55 | 48→60 | 36 | .188/.234/.290 | .102 | .278 | 8 | 14 | 34% | 5% | 39 | -2.5 | .212/.267/.337 | .125 | .319 | 12 | 25 | 35% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .236/.294/.379 | .143 | .303 | 19 | 14 | 28% | 7% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
●Felix Reyes 2023 · A |
22 | 37→47 | 43→50 | 46→45 | 35 | .188/.235/.293 | .105 | .267 | 11 | 8 | 34% | 4% | 40 | -2.4 | .221/.258/.346 | .125 | .263 | 15 | 7 | 22% | 4% | 64 | -0.8 | .241/.274/.386 | .144 | .275 | 17 | 8 | 19% | 4% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Brandon Barnes 2009 · A |
23 | 38→48 | 37→55 | 46→50 | 33 | .185/.223/.258 | .073 | .287 | 4 | 8 | 36% | 4% | 25 | -3.5 | .204/.245/.345 | .141 | .284 | 16 | 7 | 33% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .244/.289/.369 | .125 | .331 | 12 | 16 | 29% | 5% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2022 · A |
22 | 34→44 | 41→50 | 46→45 | 31 | .166/.221/.255 | .090 | .306 | 9 | 7 | 47% | 6% | 25 | -3.5 | .209/.265/.350 | .141 | .325 | 17 | 6 | 39% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .211/.266/.351 | .140 | .319 | 17 | 5 | 38% | 5% | 66 | -0.5 |
|
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A |
21 | 35→45 | 39→45 | 49→40 | 36 | .174/.227/.260 | .085 | .263 | 6 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 28 | -3.2 | .212/.263/.316 | .104 | .302 | 9 | 4 | 31% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .219/.271/.328 | .109 | .297 | 11 | 3 | 29% | 6% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Brooks Baldwin 2023 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 36→55 | 50 | 39 | .195/.246/.261 | .066 | .291 | 4 | 8 | 33% | 6% | 36 | -2.7 | .229/.280/.365 | .136 | .299 | 16 | 16 | 28% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .243/.294/.398 | .155 | .302 | 19 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Angelo Gumbs 2016 · A |
23 | 36→46 | 38→45 | 50 | 35 | .179/.218/.260 | .081 | .264 | 6 | 9 | 34% | 4% | 24 | -3.5 | .223/.262/.323 | .100 | .282 | 9 | 8 | 23% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .243/.280/.350 | .107 | .290 | 10 | 8 | 19% | 5% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A |
21 | 38→43 | 42→55 | 53→50 | 33 | .193/.226/.298 | .105 | .280 | 10 | 12 | 34% | 4% | 37 | -2.6 | .200/.245/.309 | .109 | .293 | 10 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .199/.278/.357 | .158 | .302 | 19 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2019 · A |
21 | 37→45 | 40→55 | 46→45 | 31 | .178/.222/.266 | .088 | .301 | 8 | 5 | 42% | 5% | 27 | -3.3 | .202/.249/.313 | .111 | .311 | 12 | 5 | 37% | 5% | 52 | -1.6 | .223/.287/.396 | .173 | .327 | 26 | 6 | 38% | 8% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jai Miller 2007 · A |
22 | 37→46 | 39→55 | 48→55 | 39 | .178/.246/.260 | .082 | .291 | 7 | 16 | 39% | 8% | 37 | -2.6 | .210/.273/.338 | .128 | .319 | 13 | 15 | 36% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .217/.280/.369 | .151 | .315 | 17 | 14 | 35% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Elier Hernandez 2017 · A |
22 | 42→49 | 38→50 | 44→50 | 34 | .203/.237/.283 | .081 | .285 | 5 | 6 | 30% | 3% | 38 | -2.6 | .213/.250/.297 | .084 | .305 | 6 | 7 | 31% | 4% | 47 | -1.9 | .225/.274/.366 | .141 | .297 | 15 | 9 | 29% | 5% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Kevin Maitan 2022 · A |
22 | 36→46 | 40 | 46→40 | 33 | .180/.224/.262 | .082 | .279 | 9 | 5 | 38% | 5% | 27 | -3.3 | .204/.259/.300 | .096 | .335 | 9 | 4 | 39% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .192/.247/.282 | .091 | .323 | 9 | 2 | 41% | 6% | 41 | -1.3 |
|
✕James Simmons 2008 · A |
22 | 38 | 39→55 | 51→55 | 36 | .179/.240/.272 | .093 | .300 | 6 | 11 | 40% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .189/.238/.281 | .092 | .321 | 7 | 16 | 41% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .201/.260/.367 | .165 | .357 | 23 | 18 | 47% | 7% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Melky Mesa 2009 · A |
22 | 37→44 | 40→55 | 46→55 | 31 | .177/.224/.266 | .089 | .305 | 7 | 7 | 42% | 5% | 28 | -3.2 | .192/.248/.333 | .141 | .292 | 15 | 14 | 38% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .209/.267/.364 | .155 | .298 | 18 | 21 | 35% | 6% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jose Siri 2017 · A |
22 | 37→47 | 42→60 | 56→55 | 28 | .184/.210/.289 | .105 | .297 | 9 | 15 | 41% | 3% | 27 | -3.3 | .204/.240/.339 | .135 | .303 | 14 | 21 | 36% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .227/.276/.431 | .204 | .317 | 27 | 25 | 36% | 5% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Phillip Evans 2014 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 37→45 | 45→40 | 43 | .186/.232/.255 | .069 | .231 | 5 | 6 | 22% | 5% | 29 | -3.2 | .211/.258/.287 | .076 | .263 | 5 | 3 | 21% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .228/.303/.320 | .092 | .272 | 9 | 2 | 19% | 8% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Emilio King 2011 · A |
21 | 38 | 36→45 | 46→40 | 38 | .179/.248/.250 | .071 | .270 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 36 | -2.7 | .210/.252/.305 | .095 | .304 | 8 | 4 | 32% | 4% | 50 | -1.7 | .242/.270/.360 | .118 | .320 | 12 | 3 | 28% | 2% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Michael Almanzar 2011 · A |
20 | 38→48 | 38→50 | 45 | 35 | .187/.224/.266 | .079 | .257 | 6 | 4 | 29% | 4% | 28 | -3.2 | .202/.239/.297 | .095 | .267 | 9 | 6 | 27% | 4% | 43 | -2.2 | .238/.284/.368 | .129 | .294 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 4% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Eudy Pina 2013 · A |
22 | 41→46 | 38→45 | 51→55 | 35 | .198/.249/.274 | .077 | .287 | 5 | 13 | 32% | 4% | 42 | -2.3 | .204/.259/.318 | .114 | .289 | 9 | 10 | 31% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .228/.267/.316 | .088 | .318 | 6 | 8 | 29% | 4% | 57 | -0.9 |