Manuel Guariman — OGILVIE

Manuel GuarimanC ACL White Sox

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 196 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .269 / .282

PA43

HR0

K%27

BB%6

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	111	103	26	2	1	0	4	17	4	2	1	252	306	291	598	39	302	15	4	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	111	101	32	3	1	0	6	11	4	2	1	317	378	366	745	50	356	10	5	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	64	59	7	1	0	0	2	20	2	1	0	119	175	136	310	17	175	31	3	150	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	64	58	11	3	0	0	3	14	2	1	0	190	254	241	495	52	244	22	5	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	41	37	9	2	0	0	2	4	2	1	0	243	317	297	614	54	273	10	5	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	41	36	10	2	0	0	3	3	2	1	0	278	366	333	699	56	303	7	7	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	43	40	8	0	0	1	2	15	0	1	0	200	238	275	513	75	280	35	5	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	43	39	10	0	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	256	310	333	643	77	310	23	7	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	CWS	—	43	39	8	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	205	279	231	510	26	288	28	7	254	52	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	CWS	34%	106	97	21	3	1	1	7	28	1	1	0	216	276	299	575	82	290	26	7	264	60	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2028	24	MLB	CWS	46%	236	215	47	7	1	3	16	62	3	3	1	219	282	302	584	84	291	26	7	270	65	-9	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.2
2029	25	MLB	CWS	52%	322	293	66	10	2	5	22	83	4	4	1	225	288	324	613	99	291	26	7	274	68	-12	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.4
2030	26	MLB	CWS	54%	379	345	77	12	2	6	26	98	5	5	1	223	287	322	609	99	291	26	7	276	70	-13	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.5
2031	27	MLB	CWS	54%	410	374	84	13	2	7	28	106	5	5	1	225	287	326	614	102	291	26	7	276	70	-14	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.6
2032	28	MLB	CWS	54%	425	387	86	13	2	7	30	110	5	5	1	222	287	320	607	98	290	26	7	275	69	-15	+1	-1	+8	+12	0.5
2033	29	MLB	CWS	53%	427	389	86	13	2	7	30	112	5	5	1	221	285	319	604	98	290	26	7	273	67	-16	+1	-1	+8	+12	0.3
2027	23	MLB	CWS	34%	36	34	7	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	206	250	235	485	29	290	28	6	256	54	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	CWS	46%	109	100	23	3	1	2	7	28	1	1	0	230	287	340	627	110	292	26	6	262	59	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	25	MLB	CWS	52%	166	152	34	5	1	3	11	43	2	2	1	224	285	329	614	105	292	26	7	267	62	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2030	26	MLB	CWS	54%	205	187	42	7	1	3	14	53	2	3	1	225	286	321	607	96	292	26	7	269	64	-8	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2031	27	MLB	CWS	54%	222	202	46	7	1	4	15	57	3	3	1	228	291	332	623	104	292	26	7	269	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.1
2032	28	MLB	CWS	54%	231	210	47	7	1	4	16	60	3	3	1	224	288	324	612	100	291	26	7	268	63	-10	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.1
2033	29	MLB	CWS	53%	227	206	46	7	1	4	16	59	3	2	1	223	289	325	614	102	290	26	7	266	62	-10	+0	-1	+4	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1196	1091	245	37	6	20	81	310	14	14	5	225	287	324	611	100	293	26	7	267	62	-51	+1	-1	+21	+34	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	133	20	3	11	44	168	8	8	3	224	287	324	611	99	293	26	7	267	62	-28	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	2607	2378	525	77	13	37	172	667	37	34	7	221	284	311	594	90	289	26	7	269	64	-107	+4	-2	+47	+74	1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	130	19	3	9	43	166	9	8	2	219	282	307	589	88	287	26	7	269	64	-27	+1	-1	+12	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	111	101	32	3	1	0	6	11	4	2	1	317	378	366	745	50	356	10	5	342	120	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	64	58	11	3	0	0	3	14	2	1	0	190	254	241	495	52	244	22	5	229	33	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	19	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	41	36	10	2	0	0	3	3	2	1	0	278	366	333	699	56	303	7	7	326	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	20	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	43	39	10	0	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	256	310	333	643	77	310	23	7	286	77	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,240	19	15	223	283	320	+22	+16	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	8	223	283	320	+11.9	+8.6	0.7	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Manuel Guariman (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	211/269/282	71	288	0	1	27%	6%	52	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Tejada 2015 · A	22	39→44	36→45	51→50	36	188/230/254	66	264	4	10	30%	4%	27	-3.3	214/259/319	105	272	10	8	24%	5%	57	-1.2	214/261/329	115	261	12	7	23%	5%	57	-0.6
✕Ulrich Bojarski 2022 · A	23	36→43	39→45	46→45	29	173/215/257	84	314	7	6	46%	4%	22	-3.7	183/240/307	124	406	15	8	54%	6%	47	-1.9	110/176/297	187	208	31	4	63%	5%	17	-0.7
✕Dustin Peterson 2015 · A	20	36→46	38→50	42→45	33	182/217/258	76	270	6	3	34%	4%	23	-3.6	210/254/297	87	279	7	4	26%	5%	49	-1.8	238/284/365	127	294	16	2	24%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Randy Claxton 2007 · A	21	35	35→30	46→45	40	170/233/226	56	243	3	7	30%	6%	23	-3.6	195/281/257	62	265	2	6	25%	8%	52	-1.6	184/298/226	42	243	0	2	21%	10%	53	-0.6
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	38	34→40	43→50	42	182/243/237	55	268	2	7	31%	7%	29	-3.2	210/295/284	74	272	3	10	22%	10%	64	-0.8	214/322/287	73	261	2	14	16%	13%	74	-0.0
✕Brian Navarreto 2018 · AA	23	36	37→45	43→30	37	181/222/246	66	243	6	3	28%	4%	22	-3.7	193/230/286	93	241	10	3	24%	3%	36	-2.7	210/259/348	138	256	18	1	26%	5%	62	-0.3
✕Yasiel Balaguert 2013 · A	20	38→42	38→45	43→40	33	185/218/257	72	284	6	4	36%	4%	23	-3.6	195/230/280	85	283	7	3	32%	4%	34	-2.8	200/236/312	112	260	13	2	28%	4%	43	-1.8
✕Roberto Perez 2009 · A	20	33	38→45	43→30	39	167/229/240	73	245	7	3	34%	6%	25	-3.5	200/268/307	107	263	11	4	27%	7%	59	-1.1	189/266/312	123	228	15	1	24%	8%	60	-0.4
✕Malik Collymore 2017 · A	22	38	36→40	52→50	33	175/226/242	67	319	3	13	44%	6%	23	-3.6	192/248/287	95	330	7	15	41%	6%	45	-2.1	188/247/299	111	308	10	19	40%	6%	43	-0.6
✕Carlos Franco 2012 · A	20	35→45	37→45	52→45	39	172/228/242	70	257	5	9	34%	6%	24	-3.5	204/263/277	73	292	5	8	30%	7%	48	-1.9	213/270/320	107	302	12	3	32%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Ben Verlander 2016 · A	24	36→34	37→40	46→40	36	180/221/249	69	260	5	4	32%	4%	22	-3.7	199/243/277	78	278	5	5	29%	5%	39	-2.5	198/241/273	75	268	4	2	27%	5%	36	-1.1
✕Antonio Jimenez 2009 · A	22	39	37→40	48→50	33	187/224/256	69	298	4	11	38%	4%	25	-3.5	191/224/264	73	297	4	9	35%	3%	27	-3.3	166/183/237	70	246	2	7	33%	1%	-1	-2.0
✕Ian Gac 2008 · A	22	34→42	45→55	46→40	26	173/210/290	117	315	14	5	48%	4%	29	-3.2	207/257/367	160	311	22	3	39%	5%	70	-0.3	201/251/359	159	285	22	1	37%	5%	64	-0.7
✕Xavier Hernandez 2006 · A	20	36	36→40	49→30	36	173/233/232	59	289	4	5	39%	6%	24	-3.6	203/261/282	79	296	7	4	32%	6%	49	-1.8	201/260/275	74	277	8	0	29%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Jake Gatewood 2017 · A	21	35→38	41→55	42→45	31	179/210/273	94	278	8	5	38%	4%	24	-3.5	185/228/305	120	304	13	5	42%	5%	41	-2.3	163/208/333	170	243	24	6	43%	4%	38	-1.7
✕Ramy Perez 2015 · A	20	37	35→30	47→50	40	177/236/235	58	246	3	6	28%	6%	26	-3.4	194/241/256	62	251	2	8	23%	5%	33	-2.9	190/232/242	52	239	1	9	20%	4%	22	-1.2
✕Raynay Guerrero 2013 · A	20	36	38→40	48→40	35	179/229/260	81	264	6	4	34%	5%	30	-3.1	190/235/264	74	255	5	4	27%	4%	33	-2.9	176/218/238	61	230	5	3	25%	3%	19	-1.2
✕Matt Dean 2013 · A	20	40→50	38→45	48→40	31	181/228/264	83	330	5	6	44%	5%	30	-3.1	218/260/327	109	338	10	5	36%	4%	59	-1.1	213/257/325	112	326	11	3	37%	4%	54	-1.0
✕Carlos Quintana 2007 · A	20	41	34→40	42→40	33	185/233/237	52	322	2	6	41%	5%	24	-3.5	211/273/284	73	298	4	6	28%	7%	54	-1.4	214/278/283	69	296	4	8	27%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Dalton Smith 2014 · A	20	38	37→40	44→30	36	183/231/255	71	277	5	5	34%	5%	28	-3.2	193/250/279	86	277	7	5	31%	6%	43	-2.2	164/225/246	82	226	8	1	30%	6%	24	-1.3