Giovanny Rivero — OGILVIE

Giovanny RiveroC FCL Twins

Age 22 S/R 5'10" / 173 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .266 / .259

PA40

HR0

K%32

BB%7

ISO66

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	86	79	11	3	0	0	6	36	0	2	0	139	200	177	377	38	250	42	7	176	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	86	75	16	5	0	0	10	24	0	2	0	213	306	280	586	67	308	28	12	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	32	29	1	0	0	0	3	17	0	0	0	34	125	34	159		83	53	9	91	-72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	32	28	2	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	71	188	71	259		125	38	12	144	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	51	45	6	0	0	0	4	16	2	1	0	133	235	133	369		207	31	8	177	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	51	43	8	0	0	0	6	12	2	1	0	186	314	186	500		258	24	12	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	33	29	2	1	0	0	2	14	2	0	0	69	182	103	285	34	133	42	6	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	33	27	4	2	0	0	4	9	2	0	0	148	303	222	525	74	222	27	12	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	MIN	—	40	36	6	1	0	0	3	13	1	0	0	167	250	194	444	28	289	32	8	245	46	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIN	34%	106	95	19	3	1	1	8	33	2	1	0	200	276	284	560	84	290	31	8	256	54	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2028	24	MLB	MIN	46%	236	212	43	7	1	3	18	71	4	2	1	203	278	288	566	85	291	30	8	263	59	-11	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2029	25	MLB	MIN	52%	322	290	60	10	2	4	24	96	5	3	1	207	279	297	576	90	292	30	7	267	63	-14	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.2
2030	26	MLB	MIN	54%	379	341	72	12	2	6	29	112	6	4	1	211	285	311	595	100	292	30	8	270	65	-15	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.3
2027	23	MLB	MIN	34%	36	32	6	1	0	0	3	11	1	0	0	188	278	219	497	31	290	31	8	243	44	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	MIN	46%	109	98	20	3	1	1	8	33	2	1	0	204	278	286	563	82	292	30	7	250	50	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	MIN	52%	166	149	31	5	1	2	13	49	3	2	1	208	285	295	580	87	292	30	8	255	53	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2030	26	MLB	MIN	54%	205	184	39	7	1	3	16	60	3	2	1	212	286	310	595	98	292	29	8	257	55	-10	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	516	463	96	16	3	6	40	153	9	5	2	207	283	294	577	86	293	30	8	254	53	-28	+0	+0	+9	+15	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	121	20	4	8	50	193	11	6	3	208	282	297	579	89	293	30	8	254	53	-35	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	1285	1156	220	37	6	14	97	408	22	13	3	190	266	269	535	79	278	32	8	249	49	-75	+1	+0	+23	+36	-1.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	111	19	3	7	49	206	11	7	2	190	266	268	534	79	277	32	8	249	49	-38	+1	+0	+12	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	86	75	16	5	10	24	0	2	213	306	280	586	67	308	28	12	272	66	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2022	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	32	28	2	0	4	12	0	0	71	188	71	259		125	38	12	144	-32	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	19	ROK	FCL Twins	—	51	43	8	0	6	12	2	1	186	314	186	500		258	24	12	253	52	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	33	27	4	2	4	9	2	0	148	303	222	525	74	222	27	12	262	59	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	557	7	6	208	279	299	+10	+12	0.1	0.2
	/162	664	9	7	208	279	299	+11.9	+14.3	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Giovanny Rivero (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	193/266/259	66	289	0	0	32%	7%	46	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marcus Littlewood 2014 · A	22	40	40→45	48→45	46	194/268/290	96	282	7	4	32%	9%	54	-1.4	208/272/320	112	275	10	5	27%	8%	63	-0.8	209/274/322	113	270	10	4	25%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Alan Schoenberger 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	49→45	41	186/247/260	75	289	3	8	35%	7%	37	-2.7	200/248/293	93	296	7	6	33%	6%	46	-2.0	188/236/280	92	275	7	5	33%	5%	34	-1.4
✕Mack Chambers 2022 · A	22	41	37→40	45→50	44	197/255/273	76	263	4	7	26%	7%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	276	8	11	25%	7%	61	-1.0	203/270/297	93	260	8	13	24%	8%	54	-0.7
✕Taylor Gushue 2016 · A	22	40	39→50	45→30	38	195/237/282	87	259	6	4	27%	4%	37	-2.6	183/233/285	102	250	11	2	30%	5%	38	-2.6	204/266/342	138	281	16	0	32%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Julio Garcia 2018 · A	21	42→34	36→40	48→40	38	200/243/273	73	289	2	7	31%	5%	37	-2.6	175/207/239	64	295	4	3	40%	3%	13	-4.3	150/175/200	50	259	4	2	43%	2%	-13	-3.3
✕Raymel Flores 2017 · A	22	42	37→45	46→50	38	200/251/273	73	301	5	10	34%	6%	41	-2.3	190/241/254	64	290	3	11	33%	5%	33	-2.9	160/211/201	41	247	0	13	33%	5%	2	-1.3
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	173/222/254	81	276	7	4	39%	5%	24	-3.5	183/241/264	81	308	8	5	40%	6%	36	-2.7	115/169/126	12	224	0	0	46%	5%	-33	-1.4
✕Alex Hall 2021 · A	22	41	38→45	49→40	36	198/238/277	79	290	5	7	32%	5%	37	-2.7	175/236/264	89	309	7	4	42%	7%	33	-2.9	149/218/245	95	250	10	1	42%	7%	20	-1.5
✕Jan Vázquez 2012 · A	21	41	36→40	45	39	191/252/258	67	290	3	5	33%	6%	39	-2.5	200/254/278	78	287	8	7	31%	5%	45	-2.1	211/289/296	86	282	7	7	26%	7%	61	-0.3
✕David Masters 2015 · A	22	38→36	36→45	47→40	40	182/248/249	67	278	3	8	34%	7%	35	-2.8	175/232/242	67	239	6	4	28%	6%	27	-3.3	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Adrian Nieto 2012 · A	22	40→45	40→45	47→40	42	197/256/283	87	281	7	4	31%	7%	46	-2.0	214/276/324	110	304	10	5	31%	8%	66	-0.6	213/279/325	112	297	11	3	30%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	38	37→40	49→40	43	181/247/254	73	273	5	4	34%	8%	36	-2.7	197/257/282	85	305	6	5	35%	7%	46	-2.0	190/250/277	88	302	6	3	37%	7%	43	-1.0
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	35	38→50	49→40	35	174/224/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	25	-3.5	182/265/327	145	260	18	6	36%	8%	64	-0.8	160/246/298	138	227	19	4	38%	9%	47	-1.0
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→45	45→30	36	194/235/268	74	277	4	8	31%	4%	33	-2.9	221/267/321	100	274	9	6	22%	6%	61	-1.0	227/273/327	101	266	11	4	19%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Jose Herrera 2019 · A	22	41	38→40	45→40	43	198/240/278	81	247	6	3	22%	5%	38	-2.6	207/283/309	102	280	9	5	27%	9%	66	-0.6	206/288/299	93	274	9	3	26%	10%	63	-0.4
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	43	-2.2	211/273/309	98	301	9	13	31%	7%	61	-1.0	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	195/254/270	74	274	4	12	29%	7%	42	-2.3	214/267/300	86	306	4	10	29%	6%	55	-1.4	225/274/314	90	324	0	8	29%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	35→31	36→45	46→50	30	172/213/238	66	275	4	7	38%	3%	16	-4.1	211/251/299	88	302	6	10	31%	4%	48	-1.9	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0