Luis Reyes — OGILVIE

Luis Reyes3B Daytona Tortugas

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 193 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 115 proj PA

wRC+†38

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .231 / .259

PA115

HR1

K%26

BB%5

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	25	23	6	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	261	320	261	581		333	20	4	274	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Reds	—	53	40	11	2	0	2	12	8	1	0	0	275	453	475	928	200	300	15	23	418	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Reds	—	159	130	41	17	0	4	22	31	5	2	0	315	433	538	972	223	381	19	14	423	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	83	75	20	2	0	1	7	16	0	1	1	267	329	333	663	67	322	19	8	300	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	110	94	31	5	0	2	11	20	3	3	0	330	417	447	863	117	397	18	10	383	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	193	167	34	7	1	2	13	35	3	2	0	204	273	293	567	90	237	18	7	247	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	25	23	4	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	174	240	174	414		229	24	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	53	44	7	1	0	1	8	10	1	0	0	159	302	250	552	91	187	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	159	139	31	12	0	3	13	43	5	2	0	223	312	374	686	151	283	27	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	83	77	19	2	0	1	5	22	0	1	1	247	293	312	604	65	304	27	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	110	98	24	3	0	1	7	29	3	3	0	245	315	306	621	61	318	26	6	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	193	171	30	5	1	2	9	47	3	2	0	175	230	251	481	76	205	24	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	25	23	4	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	174	240	174	414		235	24	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	25	23	6	0	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	261	320	261	581		333	20	4	274	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	53	44	7	1	0	1	8	10	1	0	0	159	302	250	552	91	182	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	53	40	11	2	0	2	12	8	1	0	0	275	453	475	928	200	300	15	23	418	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	159	139	31	12	0	3	13	43	5	2	0	223	312	374	686	151	295	27	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	159	130	41	17	0	4	22	31	5	2	0	315	433	538	972	223	381	19	14	423	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	193	175	42	5	0	2	12	51	3	4	1	240	300	303	603	63	323	26	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	193	169	51	7	0	3	18	36	3	4	1	302	379	396	775	95	364	19	9	348	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	193	171	30	5	1	2	9	47	3	2	0	175	230	251	481	76	220	24	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	193	167	34	7	1	2	13	35	3	2	0	204	273	293	567	90	237	18	7	247	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	25	23	4	0	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	174	240	174	414		229	24	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	53	44	7	1	0	1	8	10	1	0	0	159	302	250	552	91	187	19	15	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	159	140	31	12	0	3	13	43	5	2	0	221	312	371	684	150	283	27	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	193	176	42	5	0	2	12	51	3	4	1	239	300	301	601	62	312	26	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	193	179	30	5	1	2	9	47	3	2	0	168	230	240	470	73	205	24	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	193	176	42	5	0	2	12	51	3	4	1	239	300	301	601	62	312	26	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	193	179	30	5	1	2	9	47	3	2	0	168	230	240	470	73	205	24	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	303	282	52	10	2	3	15	79	3	5	1	183	233	261	494	78	239	26	5	225	38	-22	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	30%	155	144	27	5	1	2	8	40	2	2	1	188	240	275	515	87	243	26	5	233	44	-10	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.7
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	30%	47	45	8	1	0	1	2	12	0	1	0	189	241	279	520	90	243	26	4	235	44	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	47	45	8	1	0	1	2	12	0	1	0	178	213	267	479	89	219	26	4	235	52	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	622	111	14	0	14	28	166	0	14	0	178	214	268	482	90	219	26	4	235	52	-43	+3	+0	+2	+14	-2.5
Career	—	MLE		—	893	803	161	32	3	11	57	227	16	12	2	200	267	289	556	88	260	25	6	244	52	-19	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	117	23	2	8	41	165	12	9	1	200	266	288	554	87	260	25	6	244	52	-45	+1	+0	+2	+14	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Reyes (OGILVIE)	23	35	25	40	25	181/231/259	77	239	1	2	26%	5%	38	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	50	-2.3	206/264/286	80	268	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/260/270	71	265	4	3	25%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	36	38→30	46→50	37	180/220/257	76	248	6	7	30%	4%	32	-3.6	208/248/279	71	283	4	6	26%	4%	48	-2.5	215/244/266	51	284	2	3	24%	3%	39	-1.2
✕Nick Lovullo 2017 · A	23	38	36→30	45→40	38	187/231/253	66	265	4	6	30%	5%	36	-3.4	200/254/264	64	266	4	5	25%	6%	47	-2.5	191/247/244	54	255	3	3	25%	6%	37	-1.6
✕Chuck Moorman 2017 · A	23	37	37→40	39→30	36	184/216/254	69	253	4	4	29%	4%	30	-3.8	195/239/282	87	280	7	3	31%	5%	46	-2.6	186/232/268	82	270	7	0	32%	5%	37	-1.5
✕Trevor Hairgrove 2013 · A	23	40	37→40	42→40	39	194/235/265	71	251	5	3	24%	4%	40	-3.0	197/251/269	72	268	4	5	26%	6%	48	-2.5	162/233/198	35	226	0	2	26%	7%	24	-1.2
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	189/237/261	72	256	4	9	27%	6%	40	-3.1	187/238/270	83	284	5	10	34%	5%	43	-2.8	131/180/196	65	213	3	13	38%	4%	5	-1.5
✕Johan Cruz 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	46→45	39	191/234/263	72	261	5	6	28%	5%	39	-3.1	202/252/297	95	295	9	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	189/242/290	100	284	11	1	36%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Jean Perez 2024 · A	23	39	38→40	42→50	34	192/236/268	76	282	7	8	34%	4%	42	-2.9	194/228/275	81	290	7	11	34%	3%	40	-3.1	178/207/252	73	263	7	13	34%	2%	24	-1.7
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Ricky Eusebio 2017 · A	23	42→40	38→40	45	42	203/260/283	80	269	6	8	26%	6%	55	-2.0	205/259/318	113	287	10	6	31%	6%	62	-1.4	157/208/317	159	213	17	0	35%	5%	40	-0.7
✕Yovan Gonzalez 2013 · A	23	42	38→30	42→30	41	204/239/278	74	249	7	4	21%	4%	45	-2.7	213/259/279	66	256	6	3	18%	5%	53	-2.1	212/262/265	53	249	5	0	17%	6%	48	-1.0
✕Cody Bohanek 2018 · A	23	41→36	38→40	42→50	38	197/271/272	75	288	6	6	32%	5%	57	-1.8	180/263/251	71	285	6	10	36%	7%	50	-2.3	149/254/236	86	262	7	16	41%	8%	43	-1.6
✕Hector Vargas 2018 · A	23	43→39	38→40	44→50	39	207/229/284	78	241	6	7	18%	3%	41	-3.0	200/238/272	72	248	6	9	21%	4%	42	-2.9	154/189/162	8	191	0	13	18%	2%	-4	-1.2
✕Elijah Rumler 2008 · A	23	43→40	37→30	44→40	37	205/262/281	76	280	4	7	27%	4%	55	-1.9	191/259/256	65	248	4	4	23%	6%	49	-2.4	178/249/233	55	228	4	3	22%	6%	37	-2.2
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→30	46→40	35	181/218/252	71	266	5	5	33%	4%	31	-3.7	205/260/282	77	311	5	6	33%	6%	54	-2.0	203/267/233	29	322	0	0	34%	7%	45	-0.5
✕Garrett Boulware 2016 · A	23	42	38→30	44→30	43	202/264/271	70	253	6	3	22%	5%	54	-2.0	203/250/275	72	276	5	3	27%	5%	49	-2.4	198/241/259	61	270	4	0	27%	5%	38	-1.2
✕Garrett Olson 2008 · A	23	43→42	38→40	45	40	205/255/279	74	259	5	7	23%	4%	51	-2.2	206/249/290	84	252	7	10	21%	4%	51	-2.2	200/238/276	76	238	7	11	19%	4%	42	-2.4
✕Lazaro Benitez 2023 · A	23	41	40	45→40	38	197/255/297	99	282	6	7	31%	5%	56	-1.9	217/262/301	84	295	5	6	27%	5%	59	-1.7	231/264/293	62	303	2	0	23%	3%	57	-0.6
✕Blake Butler 2017 · A	23	41	39→40	45	37	202/242/281	79	262	6	6	25%	3%	47	-2.6	194/246/268	74	293	6	8	34%	5%	45	-2.7	165/220/218	53	269	6	7	39%	5%	22	-2.5
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2017 · A	23	41	34→30	41→45	37	195/239/245	50	287	2	6	32%	5%	36	-3.3	211/257/284	73	299	4	7	29%	5%	53	-2.1	211/255/282	72	294	4	6	28%	4%	49	-1.1