Juan Alonso

PosOF
B/TR/R
Born2003-11-03
Age (2027)23
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
ALAST SEASON 2024
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202218A/ROK2 orgs214.277/.458/.40931376—.190/.335/.277
202319A/ROK2 orgs172.215/.339/.2990232—.154/.263/.221
202420A+/A2 orgs405.229/.358/.3556446—.157/.271/.241
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202117 ROKDSL Dodgers Shoemaker — 133117 28601 13323 66 239331316647 77321 2410 301 15 — — — — — —
202218 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 4034 8301 4152 11 235350412762 176389 3810 345 39 — — — — — —
202218 ROKACL Dodgers — 174125 36712 40477 122 288483408891 120436 2723 410 85 — — — — — —
202319 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 155129 26420 20605 23 202331264595 62371 3913 284 27 — — — — — —
202319 ROKACL Dodgers — 1715 5210 052 01 3334126001.012 267500 290 439 73 — — — — — —
202420 A+Great Lakes Loons — 5852 12200 4262 10 231310269580 38462 457 274 17 — — — — — —
202420 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes — 347280 641446 4811413 34 229367371738 143349 3314 335 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202117 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers Shoemaker — 133121 18400 9383 66 149226182407 33208 297 191 15 — — — — — —
202218 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 4035 5200 3222 11 143250200450 57368 558 226 39 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 174139 28512 26687 122 201355295650 94350 3915 294 85 — — — — — —
202319 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 155134 20320 15845 23 149260201461 52362 5410 208 27 — — — — — —
202319 ROK MLEACL Dodgers — 1715 3110 072 01 200294400694 200381 410 276 73 — — — — — —
202420 A+ MLEGreat Lakes Loons — 5853 8100 3332 10 151224170394 19429 575 194 17 — — — — — —
202420 A MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 347292 461034 3616113 34 158279253532 96299 4610 244 51 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers Shoemaker — 133121 18400 9383 66 149226182407 33217 297 191 15 — — — — — —
202117 ROK RAWDSL Dodgers Shoemaker — 133117 28601 13323 66 239331316647 77321 2410 301 15 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLE2 teams — 214175 33712 28909 133 189330274604 86365 4213 281 77 — — — — — —
202218 ROK RAW2 teams — 214159 441013 44629 133 277458409866 132427 2921 398 77 — — — — — —
202319 A MLE2 teams — 172149 23420 15917 24 154263208471 54390 539 215 31 — — — — — —
202319 A RAW2 teams — 172144 31630 20657 24 215339299638 83388 3812 300 31 — — — — — —
202420 A MLE2 teams — 405345 561234 3919415 44 162276249525 87340 4810 237 46 — — — — — —
202420 A RAW2 teams — 405332 761646 5214015 44 229358355714 127365 3513 326 46 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL Dodgers Shoemaker — 133120 18400 9383 66 150226183409 33208 297 191 15 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLE2 teams — 214175 33712 28909 133 189330274604 86353 4213 281 77 — — — — — —
202319 A MLE2 teams — 172148 23420 15917 24 155263209473 54364 539 215 31 — — — — — —
202420 A MLE2 teams — 405348 561234 3919415 44 161276247523 86318 4810 237 46 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLE2 teams — 405348 561234 3919415 44 161276247523 86318 4810 237 46 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 924790 1302766 9141334 2517 165279237515 72326 4510 236 46 -59 -2 +0 -6 +20 -4.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650556 911944 6429124 1812 164278234512 70326 4510 236 46 -42 -1 +0 -4 +14 -3.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 347 PAwOBA .333 → .244 (−89)K% 32.9% → 46.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.85%÷0.964×1.360——46.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.83%÷0.943×0.690—×1.01510.27%
HBP% /PA3.75%—×0.780—×1.0152.97%
Singles /BIP24.10%÷1.072×0.920×0.993×1.01520.83%
Doubles /BIP8.43%÷0.973×0.830×0.993×1.0157.25%
Triples /BIP2.41%÷0.973×0.910×0.993×1.0152.27%
Home runs /BIP3.61%÷1.072×0.800—×1.0152.74%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 95, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .333 → .244; ISO .143 → .100; BABIP .349 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 A+Great Lakes Loons · 58 PAwOBA .267 → .194 (−73)K% 44.8% → 57.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA44.83%÷0.990×1.270——57.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.90%÷1.037×0.710—×1.0274.85%
HBP% /PA3.45%—×0.790—×1.0272.80%
Singles /BIP38.46%÷1.004×0.920—×1.02736.21%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷0.950×0.810—×1.0276.74%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.948×0.850—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.036×0.800—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .267 → .194; ISO .038 → .026; BABIP .462 → .429. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 155 PAwOBA .280 → .208 (−72)K% 38.7% → 54.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA38.71%÷0.973×1.360——54.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.90%÷0.976×0.690—×1.0309.40%
HBP% /PA3.23%—×0.780—×1.0302.59%
Singles /BIP28.99%÷0.955×0.920×1.003×1.03028.83%
Doubles /BIP5.80%÷0.990×0.830×1.003×1.0305.02%
Triples /BIP2.90%÷0.900×0.910×1.003×1.0303.03%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.025×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .280 → .208; ISO .062 → .045; BABIP .371 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Dodgers · 17 PAwOBA .427 → .276 (−151)K% 29.4% → 42.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.41%÷1.005×1.440——42.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷0.992×0.620—×0.9950.00%
HBP% /PA11.76%—×0.720—×0.9958.43%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.965×0.820—×0.99516.91%
Doubles /BIP20.00%÷1.032×0.720—×0.99513.89%
Triples /BIP10.00%÷0.980×0.720—×0.9957.31%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.005×0.780—×0.9950.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .427 → .276; ISO .267 → .160; BABIP .500 → .381. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKACL Dodgers · 174 PAwOBA .406 → .294 (−112)K% 27.0% → 39.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.01%÷0.998×1.440——38.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.99%÷0.973×0.620—×1.00814.75%
HBP% /PA4.02%—×0.720—×1.0082.92%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.029×0.820×1.010×1.00827.04%
Doubles /BIP8.97%÷0.931×0.720×1.010×1.0087.07%
Triples /BIP1.28%÷0.900×0.720×1.010×1.0081.04%
Home runs /BIP2.56%÷0.912×0.780—×1.0082.21%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.

Result: wOBA .406 → .294; ISO .120 → .095; BABIP .436 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 40 PAwOBA .337 → .226 (−111)K% 37.5% → 54.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA37.50%÷0.930×1.360——54.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.00%÷1.072×0.690—×1.0456.72%
HBP% /PA5.00%—×0.780—×1.0454.08%
Singles /BIP21.05%÷0.981×0.920—×1.04520.64%
Doubles /BIP15.79%÷0.923×0.830—×1.04514.84%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP5.26%÷1.247×0.800—×1.0453.53%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .337 → .226; ISO .176 → .103; BABIP .389 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Dodgers Shoemaker · 133 PAwOBA .294 → .191 (−103)K% 24.1% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.06%÷1.037×1.220——28.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.77%÷1.008×0.700—×1.0086.84%
HBP% /PA2.26%—×0.700—×1.0081.59%
Singles /BIP24.71%÷0.992×0.680×0.956×1.00816.30%
Doubles /BIP7.06%÷0.930×0.600×0.956×1.0084.38%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.600×0.956×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP1.18%÷1.025×0.470—×1.0080.54%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 107, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .294 → .191; ISO .077 → .043; BABIP .321 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).