Juan Alonso
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | A/ROK2 orgs | 214 | .277/.458/.409 | 3 | 13 | 76 | — | .190/.335/.277 |
| 2023 | 19 | A/ROK2 orgs | 172 | .215/.339/.299 | 0 | 2 | 32 | — | .154/.263/.221 |
| 2024 | 20 | A+/A2 orgs | 405 | .229/.358/.355 | 6 | 4 | 46 | — | .157/.271/.241 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 133 | 117 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 239 | 331 | 316 | 647 | 77 | 321 | 24 | 10 | 301 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 40 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 235 | 350 | 412 | 762 | 176 | 389 | 38 | 10 | 345 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 174 | 125 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 47 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 288 | 483 | 408 | 891 | 120 | 436 | 27 | 23 | 410 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 155 | 129 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 60 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 202 | 331 | 264 | 595 | 62 | 371 | 39 | 13 | 284 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 17 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 333 | 412 | 600 | 1.012 | 267 | 500 | 29 | 0 | 439 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 58 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 310 | 269 | 580 | 38 | 462 | 45 | 7 | 274 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 347 | 280 | 64 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48 | 114 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 229 | 367 | 371 | 738 | 143 | 349 | 33 | 14 | 335 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 133 | 121 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 149 | 226 | 182 | 407 | 33 | 208 | 29 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 40 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 250 | 200 | 450 | 57 | 368 | 55 | 8 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 174 | 139 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 68 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 201 | 355 | 295 | 650 | 94 | 350 | 39 | 15 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 155 | 134 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 84 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 149 | 260 | 201 | 461 | 52 | 362 | 54 | 10 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 294 | 400 | 694 | 200 | 381 | 41 | 0 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 58 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 151 | 224 | 170 | 394 | 19 | 429 | 57 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 347 | 292 | 46 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 161 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 158 | 279 | 253 | 532 | 96 | 299 | 46 | 10 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 133 | 121 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 149 | 226 | 182 | 407 | 33 | 217 | 29 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 133 | 117 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 239 | 331 | 316 | 647 | 77 | 321 | 24 | 10 | 301 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 214 | 175 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 90 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 189 | 330 | 274 | 604 | 86 | 365 | 42 | 13 | 281 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 214 | 159 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 44 | 62 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 277 | 458 | 409 | 866 | 132 | 427 | 29 | 21 | 398 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 172 | 149 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 91 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 154 | 263 | 208 | 471 | 54 | 390 | 53 | 9 | 215 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 172 | 144 | 31 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 65 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 215 | 339 | 299 | 638 | 83 | 388 | 38 | 12 | 300 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 405 | 345 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 194 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 162 | 276 | 249 | 525 | 87 | 340 | 48 | 10 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 405 | 332 | 76 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 140 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 229 | 358 | 355 | 714 | 127 | 365 | 35 | 13 | 326 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 133 | 120 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 150 | 226 | 183 | 409 | 33 | 208 | 29 | 7 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 214 | 175 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 90 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 189 | 330 | 274 | 604 | 86 | 353 | 42 | 13 | 281 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 172 | 148 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 91 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 155 | 263 | 209 | 473 | 54 | 364 | 53 | 9 | 215 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 405 | 348 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 194 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 161 | 276 | 247 | 523 | 86 | 318 | 48 | 10 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 405 | 348 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 39 | 194 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 161 | 276 | 247 | 523 | 86 | 318 | 48 | 10 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 924 | 790 | 130 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 91 | 413 | 34 | 25 | 17 | 165 | 279 | 237 | 515 | 72 | 326 | 45 | 10 | 236 | 46 | -59 | -2 | +0 | -6 | +20 | -4.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 556 | 91 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 64 | 291 | 24 | 18 | 12 | 164 | 278 | 234 | 512 | 70 | 326 | 45 | 10 | 236 | 46 | -42 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 347 PAwOBA .333 → .244 (−89)K% 32.9% → 46.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.85% | ÷0.964 | ×1.360 | — | — | 46.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.83% | ÷0.943 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 10.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.75% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.10% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 20.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 7.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.41% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 2.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.61% | ÷1.072 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 114, 2B 95, 3B 95, K 93, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .333 → .244; ISO .143 → .100; BABIP .349 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Great Lakes Loons · 58 PAwOBA .267 → .194 (−73)K% 44.8% → 57.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.83% | ÷0.990 | ×1.270 | — | — | 57.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 4.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 2.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.46% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 36.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.950 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .267 → .194; ISO .038 → .026; BABIP .462 → .429. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 155 PAwOBA .280 → .208 (−72)K% 38.7% → 54.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.71% | ÷0.973 | ×1.360 | — | — | 54.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.90% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 9.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.99% | ÷0.955 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×1.030 | 28.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.80% | ÷0.990 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×1.030 | 5.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.90% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.003 | ×1.030 | 3.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.025 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 91, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .280 → .208; ISO .062 → .045; BABIP .371 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Dodgers · 17 PAwOBA .427 → .276 (−151)K% 29.4% → 42.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 11.76% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 8.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.965 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 16.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 13.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 7.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 96, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .427 → .276; ISO .267 → .160; BABIP .500 → .381. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Dodgers · 174 PAwOBA .406 → .294 (−112)K% 27.0% → 39.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.01% | ÷0.998 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.99% | ÷0.973 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 14.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.02% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.029 | ×0.820 | ×1.010 | ×1.008 | 27.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷0.931 | ×0.720 | ×1.010 | ×1.008 | 7.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.28% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×1.010 | ×1.008 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.21% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .406 → .294; ISO .120 → .095; BABIP .436 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 40 PAwOBA .337 → .226 (−111)K% 37.5% → 54.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.50% | ÷0.930 | ×1.360 | — | — | 54.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.072 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 6.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 4.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 20.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 14.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.247 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 3.53% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .337 → .226; ISO .176 → .103; BABIP .389 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Dodgers Shoemaker · 133 PAwOBA .294 → .191 (−103)K% 24.1% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.06% | ÷1.037 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.77% | ÷1.008 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 6.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.71% | ÷0.992 | ×0.680 | ×0.956 | ×1.008 | 16.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷0.930 | ×0.600 | ×0.956 | ×1.008 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.956 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.025 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.54% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 107, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .294 → .191; ISO .077 → .043; BABIP .321 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).