Javier Pariguan

C ACL Athletics

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	19	ROKOAK	80	.175/.333/.302	1	0	22	—	.116/.218/.203
2024	20	ROKOAK	76	.115/.289/.131	0	0	-24	—	.045/.171/.045
2025	21	ROKOAK	15	.182/.400/.455	1	0	70	—	.167/.333/.417
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBOAK	125	.170/.252/.241	1	1	42	0.0
2028PROJ29% MLB	24	MLBOAK	19	.180/.261/.261	0	0	47	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj PA

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .250 / .239

PA22

HR0

K%40

BB%8

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	68	49	12	0	2	0	12	19	5	0	0	245	439	327	766	82	375	28	18	358	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	31	28	5	1	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	179	233	321	555	143	222	32	6	241	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	80	63	11	5	0	1	15	23	0	0	0	175	333	302	635	127	250	29	19	294	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	76	61	7	1	0	0	14	32	1	0	1	115	289	131	421	16	241	42	18	227	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	15	11	2	0	0	1	2	4	2	0	0	182	400	455	855	273	167	27	13	390	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	68	52	9	0	1	0	9	23	5	0	0	173	348	212	560	38	257	34	13	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	31	29	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	103	133	138	271	34	145	42	3	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	80	69	8	3	0	1	9	33	0	0	0	116	218	203	421	87	201	41	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	76	66	3	0	0	0	9	46	1	0	1	45	171	45	217		186	61	12	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	15	12	2	0	0	1	1	6	2	0	0	167	333	417	750	250	126	40	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	68	52	9	0	1	0	9	23	5	0	0	173	348	212	560	38	290	34	13	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	68	49	12	0	2	0	12	19	5	0	0	245	439	327	766	82	375	28	18	358	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	31	29	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	103	133	138	271	34	176	42	3	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	31	28	5	1	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	179	233	321	555	143	222	32	6	241	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	80	69	8	3	0	1	9	33	0	0	0	116	218	203	421	87	194	41	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	80	63	11	5	0	1	15	23	0	0	0	175	333	302	635	127	250	29	19	294	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	76	66	3	0	0	0	9	46	1	0	1	45	171	45	217		150	61	12	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	76	61	7	1	0	0	14	32	1	0	1	115	289	131	421	16	241	42	18	227	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	15	12	2	0	0	1	1	6	2	0	0	167	333	417	750	250	200	40	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	15	11	2	0	0	1	2	4	2	0	0	182	400	455	855	273	167	27	13	390	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	68	54	9	0	1	0	9	23	5	0	0	167	348	204	552	37	257	34	13	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	31	30	3	1	0	0	1	13	0	0	0	100	133	133	267	33	145	42	3	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	80	71	8	3	0	1	9	33	0	0	0	113	218	197	415	85	201	41	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	76	66	3	0	0	0	9	46	1	0	1	45	171	45	217		186	61	12	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	15	12	2	0	0	1	1	6	2	0	0	167	333	417	750	250	126	40	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	76	66	3	0	0	0	9	46	1	0	1	45	171	45	217		186	61	12	132	-24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	15	12	2	0	0	1	1	6	2	0	0	167	333	417	750	250	126	40	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	125	111	19	3	1	1	11	50	2	1	0	170	252	241	494	71	289	40	9	231	42	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	OAK	29%	64	58	10	2	0	1	5	25	1	1	0	175	257	253	510	78	290	39	8	238	47	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	OAK	29%	19	17	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	180	261	261	522	81	299	37	11	242	47	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	19	17	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	176	263	235	498	59	300	37	11	242	25	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	102	34	0	0	68	239	0	0	0	175	262	234	495	58	297	37	10	242	25	-41	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	356	306	38	7	1	3	36	155	9	1	1	124	236	183	419	59	230	44	10	205	25	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	559	69	13	2	5	66	283	16	2	2	123	236	181	416	57	230	44	10	205	25	-42	+2	+0	+12	+14	-1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL Athletics · 15 PAwOBA .381 → .271 (−110)K% 26.7% → 39.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.67%	÷0.983	×1.440	—	—	39.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.33%	÷0.971	×0.620	—	×0.985	8.38%
HBP% /PA	13.33%	—	×0.720	—	×0.985	9.46%
Singles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.039	×0.820	—	×0.985	11.11%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.020	×0.720	—	×0.985	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.989	×0.720	—	×0.985	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	14.29%	÷0.926	×0.780	—	×0.985	11.85%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 108, 2B 104, 3B 98, K 97, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .381 → .271; ISO .273 → .209; BABIP .167 → .126. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Athletics · 76 PAwOBA .222 → .132 (−90)K% 42.1% → 60.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	42.11%	÷0.998	×1.440	—	—	60.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.42%	÷0.986	×0.620	—	×0.995	11.52%
HBP% /PA	1.32%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.94%
Singles /BIP	20.69%	÷1.027	×0.820	—	×0.995	16.44%
Doubles /BIP	3.45%	÷1.124	×0.720	—	×0.995	2.20%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.907	×0.720	—	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.852	×0.780	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 105, 2B 125, 3B 81, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .222 → .132; ISO .016 → .007; BABIP .241 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Athletics · 80 PAwOBA .291 → .201 (−90)K% 28.7% → 40.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.75%	÷1.018	×1.440	—	—	40.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.75%	÷1.030	×0.620	—	×1.008	11.37%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	12.50%	÷0.974	×0.820	×1.050	×1.008	11.13%
Doubles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.051	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	9.06%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.149	×0.720	×1.050	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.50%	÷0.989	×0.780	—	×1.008	1.99%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .291 → .201; ISO .127 → .092; BABIP .250 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL Athletics · 31 PAwOBA .242 → .146 (−97)K% 32.3% → 41.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.26%	÷0.959	×1.220	—	—	41.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.45%	÷1.020	×0.700	—	×1.008	4.46%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.004	×0.680	—	×1.008	11.38%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷0.952	×0.600	—	×1.008	3.53%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.984	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.56%	÷0.902	×0.470	—	×1.008	2.92%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 97, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .242 → .146; ISO .143 → .074; BABIP .222 → .145. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Athletics · 68 PAwOBA .361 → .262 (−99)K% 27.9% → 34.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.94%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	34.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.65%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.022	12.63%
HBP% /PA	7.35%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	5.26%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.022	23.18%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.022	0.00%
Triples /BIP	6.67%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.022	4.09%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .361 → .262; ISO .082 → .055; BABIP .375 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).