Ryan Higgins
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | A+/A2 orgs | 270 | .198/.294/.325 | 4 | 4 | 29 | — | .151/.227/.240 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+/A/ROK2 orgs | 298 | .218/.316/.358 | 6 | 10 | 33 | — | .150/.228/.250 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 313 | .207/.293/.336 | 8 | 6 | 30 | — | .162/.234/.245 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 93 | 84 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 190 | 261 | 333 | 594 | 143 | 259 | 31 | 5 | 266 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 177 | 153 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 52 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 203 | 311 | 320 | 631 | 118 | 293 | 29 | 12 | 292 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 260 | 226 | 49 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 74 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 217 | 309 | 358 | 667 | 142 | 289 | 28 | 8 | 300 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 21 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 333 | 444 | 778 | 222 | 400 | 38 | 10 | 346 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK | FCL Orioles | — | 17 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 412 | 231 | 643 | 375 | 29 | 12 | 328 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Bowie Baysox | — | 257 | 222 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 88 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 194 | 284 | 320 | 604 | 126 | 281 | 34 | 8 | 271 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 56 | 49 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 265 | 333 | 408 | 741 | 143 | 375 | 32 | 7 | 320 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 93 | 86 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 151 | 207 | 279 | 486 | 128 | 228 | 41 | 3 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 177 | 159 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 67 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 151 | 237 | 220 | 457 | 69 | 255 | 38 | 8 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 260 | 234 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 98 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 154 | 227 | 261 | 487 | 107 | 227 | 38 | 5 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 21 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 105 | 190 | 211 | 401 | 105 | 298 | 52 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 17 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 143 | 294 | 143 | 437 | 290 | 41 | 6 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Bowie Baysox | — | 257 | 228 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 111 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 154 | 228 | 228 | 456 | 75 | 259 | 43 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Aberdeen IronBirds | — | 56 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 259 | 320 | 579 | 120 | 300 | 43 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 245 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 105 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 151 | 227 | 241 | 468 | 90 | 246 | 39 | 7 | 210 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 270 | 237 | 47 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 81 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 198 | 294 | 325 | 619 | 127 | 281 | 30 | 10 | 283 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 298 | 266 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 116 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 154 | 235 | 259 | 494 | 105 | 243 | 39 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 298 | 257 | 56 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 87 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 218 | 316 | 358 | 674 | 140 | 299 | 29 | 8 | 305 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 279 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 134 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 165 | 234 | 251 | 484 | 86 | 287 | 43 | 5 | 212 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 313 | 271 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 106 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 207 | 293 | 336 | 629 | 129 | 300 | 34 | 8 | 280 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 244 | 37 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 105 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 152 | 227 | 242 | 469 | 90 | 246 | 39 | 7 | 210 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 298 | 268 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 116 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 153 | 235 | 257 | 492 | 104 | 236 | 39 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 285 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 134 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 161 | 234 | 246 | 479 | 84 | 266 | 43 | 5 | 212 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 313 | 285 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 134 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 161 | 234 | 246 | 479 | 84 | 266 | 43 | 5 | 212 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 881 | 790 | 124 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 49 | 355 | 28 | 20 | 13 | 157 | 232 | 251 | 482 | 94 | 259 | 40 | 6 | 214 | 31 | -73 | -1 | +0 | +3 | +19 | -5.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 92 | 20 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 262 | 21 | 15 | 10 | 158 | 233 | 254 | 487 | 96 | 259 | 40 | 6 | 214 | 31 | -54 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AABowie Baysox · 257 PAwOBA .265 → .206 (−59)K% 34.2% → 43.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.24% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.78% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.11% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 2.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.64% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 21.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.062 | ×0.860 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.135 | ×0.950 | ×0.997 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.22% | ÷1.249 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 3.30% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 127, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .265 → .206; ISO .126 → .080; BABIP .281 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 56 PAwOBA .323 → .238 (−86)K% 32.1% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.14% | ÷0.993 | ×1.310 | — | — | 42.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷0.947 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 4.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.03% | ÷1.048 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 23.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.026 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 2.73% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 110, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 99, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .323 → .238; ISO .143 → .106; BABIP .375 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 260 PAwOBA .296 → .219 (−77)K% 28.5% → 37.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.46% | ÷0.986 | ×1.310 | — | — | 37.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷0.982 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 4.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 2.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.74% | ÷1.037 | ×0.870 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 15.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.980 | ×0.780 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 5.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.95% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 3.80% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .296 → .219; ISO .142 → .116; BABIP .289 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 21 PAwOBA .337 → .213 (−124)K% 38.1% → 51.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.10% | ÷1.008 | ×1.360 | — | — | 51.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.065 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 3.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷1.101 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 29.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.940 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 104, 2B 120, 3B 88, K 102, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .337 → .213; ISO .222 → .135; BABIP .400 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Orioles · 17 PAwOBA .321 → .211 (−110)K% 29.4% → 43.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷0.972 | ×1.440 | — | — | 43.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.056 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 6.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 11.76% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 8.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.50% | ÷1.025 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 28.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.960 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 105, 2B 92, 3B 98, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .321 → .211; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .375 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 177 PAwOBA .285 → .216 (−69)K% 29.4% → 37.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.38% | ÷1.061 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.86% | ÷0.979 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.81% | ÷0.955 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 17.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.92% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 6.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.98% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.98% | ÷1.128 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.40% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 91, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 112, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .285 → .216; ISO .118 → .083; BABIP .293 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 93 PAwOBA .262 → .200 (−62)K% 31.2% → 41.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.18% | ÷0.991 | ×1.310 | — | — | 41.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.38% | ÷0.966 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 3.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 2.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.36% | ÷0.980 | ×0.870 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 14.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.27% | ÷0.955 | ×0.780 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.964 | ×0.850 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 1.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.029 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 3.15% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 93, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .262 → .200; ISO .143 → .110; BABIP .259 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).