Daniel McElveny — OGILVIE

Daniel McElvenySS ACL Rockies

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .268 / .269

PA8

HR0

K%31

BB%9

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	31	23	4	1	0	0	3	10	4	0	0	174	367	217	584	43	308	32	10	291	83	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	98	72	12	6	0	0	21	29	2	0	1	167	368	250	618	83	261	30	21	299	88	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	80	64	16	10	1	0	15	26	1	5	0	250	400	438	838	188	421	32	19	377	141	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	5	1	0	1	1	8	2	0	0	208	296	375	671	167	267	30	4	305	93	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	214	173	31	4	1	1	35	56	6	3	2	179	336	231	568	52	259	26	16	282	77	-6	-0	—	—	+5	-0.2
2025	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	85	66	16	1	1	2	14	26	4	1	2	242	405	379	784	136	359	31	16	360	130	+3	-1	—	—	+2	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	31	24	3	1	0	0	2	14	4	0	0	125	300	167	467	42	247	45	6	199	21	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	98	79	10	5	0	0	14	44	2	0	1	127	274	190	464	63	224	45	14	215	32	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	80	70	10	5	1	0	9	37	1	5	0	143	250	243	493	100	282	46	11	213	30	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	4	1	0	1	1	12	2	0	0	167	259	333	593	167	241	44	4	223	37	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	214	186	26	3	1	1	22	84	6	3	2	140	252	183	435	43	239	39	10	203	24	-19	-0	—	—	+5	-1.5
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	85	71	12	1	1	1	9	38	4	1	2	169	298	254	551	85	278	45	11	241	49	-5	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	31	24	3	1	0	0	2	14	4	0	0	125	300	167	467	42	300	45	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	31	23	4	1	0	0	3	10	4	0	0	174	367	217	584	43	308	32	10	291	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	178	150	19	10	1	0	22	82	3	5	1	127	251	207	458	80	268	46	12	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	178	136	28	16	1	0	36	55	3	5	1	206	383	338	721	132	333	31	20	334	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	4	1	0	1	1	12	2	0	0	167	259	333	593	167	273	44	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	5	1	0	1	1	8	2	0	0	208	296	375	671	167	267	30	4	305	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	214	186	26	3	1	1	22	84	6	3	2	140	252	183	435	43	248	39	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	214	173	31	4	1	1	35	56	6	3	2	179	336	231	568	52	259	26	16	282	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	85	71	12	1	1	1	9	38	4	1	2	169	298	254	551	85	333	45	11	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	85	66	16	1	1	2	14	26	4	1	2	242	405	379	784	136	359	31	16	360	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	31	25	3	1	0	0	2	14	4	0	0	120	300	160	460	40	247	45	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	178	151	19	10	1	0	22	82	3	5	1	126	251	205	457	79	250	46	12	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	4	1	0	1	1	12	2	0	0	167	259	333	593	167	241	44	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	214	184	26	3	1	1	22	84	6	3	2	141	252	185	437	43	239	39	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	85	72	12	1	1	1	9	38	4	1	2	167	298	250	548	83	278	45	11	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	4	1	0	1	1	12	2	0	0	167	259	333	593	167	241	44	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	214	184	26	3	1	1	22	84	6	3	2	141	252	185	437	43	239	39	10	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	85	72	12	1	1	1	9	38	4	1	2	167	298	250	548	83	278	45	11	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	23	MLB MLE	COL	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		264	25	12	251	56	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	30%	178	157	30	5	1	3	16	54	3	3	1	191	278	293	571	102	268	30	9	262	63	-8	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	44%	275	244	47	8	1	5	25	81	4	5	2	193	278	295	573	102	270	29	9	268	68	-11	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	51%	342	303	61	11	2	6	31	100	5	6	2	201	286	310	596	109	271	29	9	272	70	-12	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	52%	376	334	67	12	2	7	34	109	5	7	2	201	284	311	596	111	272	29	9	273	71	-13	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	COL	53%	397	351	69	12	2	7	37	116	6	7	2	197	284	302	586	105	271	29	9	272	71	-14	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	402	356	70	12	2	7	37	118	6	7	2	197	283	301	584	104	270	29	9	271	69	-15	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	COL	30%	54	48	10	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	208	296	312	609	104	283	30	9	264	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	44%	121	107	22	4	1	2	11	36	2	2	1	206	292	318	609	112	285	30	9	272	68	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	51%	173	152	33	6	1	4	16	50	3	3	1	217	304	349	653	132	286	29	9	276	70	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	52%	197	174	37	7	1	4	18	57	3	4	1	213	297	333	631	121	287	29	9	277	71	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	COL	53%	212	187	39	7	1	4	20	62	3	4	1	209	295	321	616	112	286	29	9	276	71	-7	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	211	186	38	7	1	4	20	62	3	4	1	204	292	317	609	113	285	29	9	274	69	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	968	854	179	33	5	19	90	283	15	18	5	210	296	327	623	117	287	29	9	275	61	-35	+2	-1	+10	+21	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	120	22	3	13	60	190	10	12	3	209	295	326	621	117	287	29	9	275	61	-24	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2513	2207	409	76	13	38	237	810	48	44	16	185	278	283	562	98	270	32	9	258	61	-72	+3	-2	+21	+43	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	106	20	3	10	61	210	12	11	4	186	278	284	562	98	270	32	9	258	61	-24	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.6	1,061	19	19	198	281	306	+11	+12	0.3	0.3
/162	664	12	12	+7.1	+7.5	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel McElveny (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	33→38	45→50	62	182/268/269	87	264	1	2	31%	9%	56	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	179/213/275	95	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/264/299	83	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→31	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	191/260/296	105	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.7	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	186/240/263	77	257	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	207/267/299	92	292	8	10	30%	7%	61	-1.5	192/260/271	78	271	9	12	31%	7%	51	-0.6
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	49	-2.4	199/265/283	84	347	5	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	146/235/232	85	299	4	14	47%	8%	34	-0.6
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	206/268/286	80	275	6	9	26%	7%	58	-1.7	216/267/308	92	323	7	4	33%	6%	62	-1.4	212/260/299	87	317	7	0	34%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	42	-2.9	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	65	-1.2	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	40→38	38→40	46→45	45	189/272/265	76	270	5	9	30%	8%	56	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	49	-2.4	164/243/223	59	238	4	6	30%	7%	34	-2.4
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→45	49→40	39	180/241/289	109	274	11	4	37%	7%	49	-2.4	201/257/318	117	274	12	4	30%	6%	62	-1.4	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→35	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	63	-1.3	179/252/275	96	301	10	4	41%	8%	51	-2.3	159/236/248	88	274	11	3	43%	8%	37	-2.3
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	47	-2.5	196/263/293	97	280	8	3	31%	8%	58	-1.7	207/270/340	133	282	19	3	33%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Grayson Greiner 2016 · A	23	37	38→45	46→30	37	181/234/253	73	279	6	3	36%	6%	38	-3.2	211/265/312	101	293	9	3	29%	6%	63	-1.4	217/276/324	107	289	10	0	27%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	50	-2.3	227/277/301	74	309	3	7	26%	6%	64	-1.3	246/290/315	69	329	2	7	24%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A	23	44→37	41→50	49→45	42	208/284/313	105	305	8	7	32%	7%	71	-0.8	197/291/331	134	305	14	5	37%	10%	79	-0.2	181/287/328	147	281	17	4	38%	11%	74	-0.4
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A	23	37	42→40	46→40	40	180/259/284	104	282	9	8	37%	8%	55	-1.9	203/277/297	94	309	7	5	34%	7%	65	-1.2	203/279/289	86	310	6	2	34%	7%	62	-0.8
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	5	5	33%	4%	31	-3.7	206/261/282	76	313	5	6	33%	6%	54	-2.0	206/271/236	30	326	0	0	34%	7%	47	-0.4
✕Larry Cobb 2008 · A	23	40→43	39→45	47→50	49	193/267/275	82	244	7	10	23%	8%	56	-1.9	210/273/324	114	268	12	11	25%	6%	69	-0.9	206/269/325	118	259	13	11	25%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	42→41	36→45	47→50	41	197/257/265	68	280	4	7	30%	6%	49	-2.4	211/269/323	112	288	12	13	30%	6%	68	-1.0	212/261/335	123	271	15	11	27%	4%	64	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps