Daniel McElveny — OGILVIE

Daniel McElvenySS ACL Rockies

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 93 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .268 / .269

PA93

HR1

K%31

BB%9

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	31	24	3	1	0	0	2	14	4	0	0	125	300	167	467	42	300	45	6	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	31	23	4	1	0	0	3	10	4	0	0	174	367	217	584	43	308	32	10	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	178	150	18	9	1	0	22	85	3	5	1	120	246	193	439	73	265	48	12	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	2 teams	—	178	136	28	16	1	0	36	55	3	5	1	206	383	338	721	132	333	31	20	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	4	1	0	1	1	12	2	0	0	167	259	333	593	167	273	44	4	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	5	1	0	1	1	8	2	0	0	208	296	375	671	167	267	30	4	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	214	186	25	3	1	1	22	89	6	3	2	134	248	177	425	43	250	42	10	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	214	173	31	4	1	1	35	56	6	3	2	179	336	231	568	52	259	26	16	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	85	71	10	1	0	1	9	38	4	1	2	141	274	197	471	56	273	45	11	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	85	66	16	1	1	2	14	26	4	1	2	242	405	379	784	136	359	31	16	360	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	23	MLB	COL	—	93	84	16	3	1	1	8	29	1	2	0	190	269	286	555	95	264	31	9	251	50	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	COL	30%	178	157	30	5	1	3	16	54	3	3	1	191	278	293	571	102	268	30	9	261	58	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	COL	44%	275	244	47	8	1	5	25	82	4	5	2	193	278	295	573	102	270	30	9	268	63	-11	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2029	26	MLB	COL	51%	342	303	61	11	2	6	31	100	5	6	2	201	286	310	596	109	271	29	9	272	66	-13	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.1
2030	27	MLB	COL	52%	376	334	67	12	2	7	34	110	5	7	2	201	284	311	596	111	272	29	9	273	67	-14	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.1
2031	28	MLB	COL	53%	397	351	69	12	2	7	37	117	6	7	2	197	284	302	586	105	272	29	9	272	66	-15	+1	-1	+4	+11	0.0
2027	24	MLB	COL	30%	54	48	10	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	208	296	312	609	104	288	30	9	267	62	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	25	MLB	COL	44%	121	107	22	4	1	2	11	36	2	2	1	206	292	318	609	112	291	30	9	274	68	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2029	26	MLB	COL	51%	173	152	33	6	1	4	16	51	3	3	1	217	304	349	653	132	292	29	9	279	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2030	27	MLB	COL	52%	197	174	37	7	1	4	18	58	3	4	1	213	297	333	631	121	292	29	9	280	73	-6	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2031	28	MLB	COL	53%	212	187	40	7	1	5	20	62	3	4	1	214	300	342	642	128	292	29	9	279	72	-7	+0	-0	+2	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	757	668	142	26	4	16	70	223	12	14	4	213	299	335	634	123	291	29	9	278	71	-25	+1	-0	+8	+21	0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	121	22	3	14	60	191	10	12	3	211	297	333	629	122	288	29	9	278	71	-22	+1	-0	+7	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	2196	1928	350	66	11	32	207	730	43	39	14	182	275	277	552	95	270	33	9	254	53	-117	+2	-1	+24	+62	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	103	20	3	9	61	216	13	12	4	180	275	273	548	93	269	33	9	254	53	-35	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	31	23	4	1	0	0	3	10	4	0	0	174	367	217	584	43	308	32	10	291	81	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	98	72	12	6	0	0	21	29	2	0	1	167	368	250	618	83	261	30	21	299	87	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.1
2022	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	80	64	16	10	1	0	15	26	1	5	0	250	400	438	838	188	421	32	19	377	147	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2023	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	5	1	0	1	1	8	2	0	0	208	296	375	671	167	267	30	4	305	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	214	173	31	4	1	1	35	56	6	3	2	179	336	231	568	52	259	26	16	282	74	-6	-0	—	—	+6	-0.0
2025	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	85	66	16	1	1	2	14	26	4	1	2	242	405	379	784	136	359	31	16	360	134	+3	-1	—	—	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	850	15	15	198	280	305	+9	+9	-0.1	0.0
	/162	664	12	12	198	280	305	+7.1	+7.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel McElveny (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	33→38	45→50	62	182/268/269	87	264	1	2	31%	9%	50	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	34	40→45	53→50	34	176/209/269	93	256	6	9	34%	4%	22	-3.7	215/263/298	83	301	5	9	28%	6%	53	-1.5	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→28	39→45	50	47	209/276/293	84	265	7	12	23%	8%	58	-1.2	188/256/297	109	262	13	15	32%	7%	51	-1.7	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Nick Quintana 2021 · A	23	39	40→45	50→45	37	189/243/279	90	293	7	9	36%	6%	40	-2.4	181/265/289	108	254	11	5	31%	9%	54	-1.4	161/255/263	101	223	11	3	31%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→50	48→40	39	178/241/285	107	272	11	4	37%	7%	42	-2.3	203/260/325	122	275	13	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A	23	40→34	42→45	49→40	44	198/269/304	106	269	10	4	29%	7%	59	-1.1	175/249/267	92	300	10	4	41%	8%	41	-2.3	154/232/237	84	271	10	3	44%	8%	25	-2.5
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Ben Gobbel 2023 · A	23	41→40	36→50	47→50	41	197/258/265	68	279	4	7	29%	6%	43	-2.2	211/270/330	119	289	13	13	30%	6%	66	-0.6	213/262/352	139	271	17	12	28%	4%	64	-0.4
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Jorge Saez 2014 · A	23	38	39→45	49→30	43	188/248/271	83	255	7	6	28%	7%	40	-2.4	194/261/290	96	280	8	3	31%	8%	51	-1.7	206/269/348	143	287	21	3	35%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Brock Carpenter 2018 · A	23	37	41→40	48→30	42	184/257/280	96	282	10	6	36%	8%	47	-1.9	201/263/302	101	330	8	6	38%	7%	55	-1.4	188/249/306	119	317	7	3	40%	7%	46	-0.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3