Daniel McElveny

SS ACL Rockies

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#2193ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	20	ASalem Red Sox	27	.208/.296/.375	1	0	38	—	.167/.259/.333
2024	21	ASalem Red Sox	214	.179/.336/.231	1	3	29	—	.141/.262/.185
2025	22	ROKCOL	85	.242/.405/.379	2	1	46	—	.155/.286/.239
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBCOL	200	.200/.274/.298	3	3	63	0.0
2028PROJ29% MLB	25	MLBCOL	24	.215/.289/.336	0	0	67	-0.0
2029PROJ45% MLB	26	MLBCOL	66	.218/.292/.346	1	1	70	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Z-Con%94

ISO71

wRC+70

BB%69

wOBA64

Whiff%64

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 47 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .272 / .296

PA47

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	31	23	4	1	0	0	3	10	4	0	0	174	367	217	584	43	308	32	10	291	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A	Salem Red Sox	—	98	72	12	6	0	0	21	29	2	0	1	167	368	250	618	83	261	30	21	299	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	80	64	16	10	1	0	15	26	1	5	0	250	400	438	838	188	421	32	19	377	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	5	1	0	1	1	8	2	0	0	208	296	375	671	167	267	30	4	305	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Salem Red Sox	—	214	173	31	4	1	1	35	56	6	3	2	179	336	231	568	52	259	26	16	282	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	85	66	16	1	1	2	14	26	4	1	2	242	405	379	784	136	359	31	16	360	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	31	24	3	1	0	0	2	14	4	0	0	125	300	167	467	42	253	45	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	98	77	10	5	0	0	16	42	2	0	1	130	295	195	490	65	231	43	16	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	80	70	10	5	1	0	9	37	1	5	0	143	250	243	493	100	284	46	11	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	4	1	0	1	1	11	2	0	0	167	259	333	593	167	243	41	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	214	184	26	3	1	1	24	80	6	3	2	141	262	185	446	43	239	37	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	85	71	11	1	1	1	9	38	4	1	2	155	286	239	525	85	271	45	11	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	31	24	3	1	0	0	2	14	4	0	0	125	300	167	467	42	300	45	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	31	23	4	1	0	0	3	10	4	0	0	174	367	217	584	43	308	32	10	291	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	178	148	19	10	1	0	24	80	3	5	1	128	263	209	472	81	268	45	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	178	136	28	16	1	0	36	55	3	5	1	206	383	338	721	132	333	31	20	334	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	4	1	0	1	1	11	2	0	0	167	259	333	593	167	250	41	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	5	1	0	1	1	8	2	0	0	208	296	375	671	167	267	30	4	305	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	214	184	26	3	1	1	24	80	6	3	2	141	262	185	446	43	243	37	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Salem Red Sox	—	214	173	31	4	1	1	35	56	6	3	2	179	336	231	568	52	259	26	16	282	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	85	71	11	1	1	1	9	38	4	1	2	155	286	239	525	85	303	45	11	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	85	66	16	1	1	2	14	26	4	1	2	242	405	379	784	136	359	31	16	360	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	31	25	3	1	0	0	2	14	4	0	0	120	300	160	460	40	253	45	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	178	149	19	10	1	0	24	80	3	5	1	128	263	208	471	81	255	45	13	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	27	24	4	1	0	1	1	11	2	0	0	167	259	333	593	167	243	41	4	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	214	182	26	3	1	1	24	80	6	3	2	143	262	187	448	44	239	37	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	85	72	11	1	1	1	9	38	4	1	2	153	286	236	522	83	271	45	11	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Salem Red Sox	—	214	182	26	3	1	1	24	80	6	3	2	143	262	187	448	44	239	37	11	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	85	72	11	1	1	1	9	38	4	1	2	153	286	236	522	83	271	45	11	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	0%	200	179	36	6	1	3	16	63	3	3	1	200	274	298	573	98	286	32	8	262	63	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	29%	81	74	15	3	1	1	6	25	1	1	0	204	278	310	588	106	286	31	7	268	67	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	45%	146	131	28	5	1	3	12	45	2	2	1	207	281	319	600	112	287	31	8	272	70	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	29%	24	22	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	215	289	336	624	121	301	29	8	282	67	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	45%	66	60	13	2	1	1	5	20	1	1	0	218	292	346	637	128	302	30	8	287	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	90	82	17	3	1	1	7	27	1	1	0	207	278	305	583	98	296	30	8	285	46	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	123	22	7	7	51	195	7	7	0	208	278	304	583	96	297	30	8	285	46	-24	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	809	698	114	25	5	8	82	308	23	13	6	163	273	248	521	85	274	38	10	236	46	-10	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	561	91	20	4	6	66	247	18	10	5	162	271	244	516	82	272	38	10	236	46	-25	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 ROKACL Rockies · 85 PAwOBA .356 → .236 (−120)K% 30.6% → 44.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.59%	÷0.993	×1.440	—	—	44.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.47%	÷0.987	×0.620	—	×0.975	10.09%
HBP% /PA	4.71%	—	×0.720	—	×0.975	3.30%
Singles /BIP	30.00%	÷1.021	×0.820	—	×0.975	23.49%
Doubles /BIP	2.50%	÷0.991	×0.720	—	×0.975	1.77%
Triples /BIP	2.50%	÷1.150	×0.720	—	×0.975	1.53%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷0.970	×0.780	—	×0.975	3.92%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .356 → .236; ISO .136 → .090; BABIP .359 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ASalem Red Sox · 214 PAwOBA .276 → .211 (−65)K% 26.2% → 37.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.17%	÷0.948	×1.360	—	—	37.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.36%	÷1.011	×0.690	—	×1.015	11.33%
HBP% /PA	2.80%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	2.22%
Singles /BIP	21.37%	÷0.989	×0.920	×1.003	×1.015	20.24%
Doubles /BIP	3.42%	÷1.051	×0.830	×1.003	×1.015	2.75%
Triples /BIP	0.85%	÷1.150	×0.910	×1.003	×1.015	0.69%
Home runs /BIP	0.85%	÷0.933	×0.800	—	×1.015	0.74%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.

Result: wOBA .276 → .211; ISO .052 → .038; BABIP .259 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ASalem Red Sox · 27 PAwOBA .297 → .225 (−72)K% 29.6% → 41.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.63%	÷0.982	×1.360	—	—	41.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.70%	÷1.052	×0.690	—	×1.030	2.50%
HBP% /PA	7.41%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	5.95%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷1.023	×0.920	—	×1.030	17.36%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷0.942	×0.830	—	×1.030	5.67%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×1.030	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.25%	÷0.999	×0.800	—	×1.030	5.15%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 105, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .297 → .225; ISO .167 → .120; BABIP .267 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ASalem Red Sox · 98 PAwOBA .302 → .233 (−69)K% 29.6% → 43.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.59%	÷0.930	×1.360	—	—	43.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.43%	÷0.967	×0.690	—	×1.045	15.97%
HBP% /PA	2.04%	—	×0.780	—	×1.045	1.66%
Singles /BIP	13.95%	÷1.026	×0.920	×0.967	×1.045	12.64%
Doubles /BIP	13.95%	÷0.950	×0.830	×0.967	×1.045	12.31%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.106	×0.910	×0.967	×1.045	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.873	×0.800	—	×1.045	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 90, 3B 121, K 86, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .302 → .233; ISO .083 → .065; BABIP .261 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ROKFCL Red Sox · 80 PAwOBA .369 → .214 (−154)K% 32.5% → 46.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.50%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	46.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	18.75%	÷1.080	×0.620	—	×1.008	10.85%
HBP% /PA	1.25%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.91%
Singles /BIP	13.16%	÷1.010	×0.820	—	×1.008	10.76%
Doubles /BIP	26.32%	÷1.229	×0.720	—	×1.008	15.53%
Triples /BIP	2.63%	÷0.908	×0.720	—	×1.008	2.10%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.943	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 102, 2B 146, 3B 82, K 100, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .369 → .214; ISO .188 → .102; BABIP .421 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Red Sox · 31 PAwOBA .285 → .203 (−83)K% 32.3% → 46.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.26%	÷0.999	×1.440	—	—	46.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.68%	÷0.997	×0.620	—	×1.022	6.16%
HBP% /PA	12.90%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	9.50%
Singles /BIP	23.08%	÷0.980	×0.820	—	×1.022	19.75%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.029	×0.720	—	×1.022	5.50%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.951	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.951	×0.780	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 96, 2B 106, 3B 90, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .285 → .203; ISO .043 → .028; BABIP .308 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).