Daniel McElvenySS
ACL Rockies
Age 23
R/R
5'11" / 190 lbs
ROK
H +10%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.7 · 2030
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .279 / .309
PA93
HR2
K%32
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗25
PWR
33↗38
SPD
45↗50
EYE
57↗62
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.1 | $0.5M | -$0.5M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $-0.1M | -$4M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 31 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .125 | .300 | .167 | .467 | .042 | .300 | 45 | 6 | .201 | 12 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 19 | A | 2 teams | 178 | 150 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 81 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .120 | .246 | .193 | .439 | .073 | .250 | 46 | 12 | .212 | 20 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Salem Red Sox | 27 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .259 | .333 | .593 | .167 | .273 | 44 | 4 | .221 | 27 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 214 | 186 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 83 | 6 | 3 | 2 | .140 | .252 | .183 | .435 | .043 | .245 | 39 | 10 | .204 | 14 | -21 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +6 | -1.3 |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 85 | 71 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .155 | .286 | .211 | .497 | .056 | .303 | 45 | 11 | .239 | 41 | -6 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | COL | 93 | 84 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .202 | .280 | .333 | .613 | .131 | .281 | 32 | 9 | .270 | 65 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | COL | 178 | 158 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .209 | .290 | .335 | .625 | .127 | .283 | 30 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | COL | 275 | 244 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .205 | .289 | .324 | .613 | .119 | .284 | 30 | 9 | .286 | 77 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 42% | COL | 342 | 302 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 100 | 5 | 6 | 2 | .215 | .301 | .348 | .649 | .132 | .285 | 29 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | COL | 376 | 333 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 110 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .213 | .298 | .345 | .643 | .132 | .286 | 29 | 9 | .291 | 81 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | COL | 397 | 351 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 117 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .208 | .294 | .333 | .628 | .125 | .285 | 29 | 10 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | COL | 402 | 356 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 120 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .208 | .293 | .331 | .625 | .124 | .284 | 30 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | COL | 402 | 355 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 121 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .206 | .293 | .330 | .623 | .124 | .283 | 30 | 10 | .284 | 76 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +11 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB 91% | COL | 394 | 348 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 120 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .207 | .294 | .333 | .627 | .126 | .281 | 30 | 10 | .281 | 73 | -12 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | COL | 379 | 335 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 118 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .203 | .290 | .322 | .612 | .119 | .280 | 31 | 9 | .276 | 69 | -13 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | COL | 351 | 311 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 111 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .199 | .284 | .315 | .600 | .116 | .278 | 32 | 9 | .271 | 65 | -14 | +1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | COL | 309 | 273 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 101 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .190 | .278 | .297 | .574 | .106 | .276 | 33 | 9 | .264 | 61 | -14 | +1 | -5 | +3 | +9 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4433 | 3905 | 772 | 142 | 22 | 89 | 423 | 1412 | 69 | 73 | 16 | .198 | .287 | .314 | .601 | .116 | .281 | 32 | 10 | .274 | 68 | -162 | +8 | -20 | +47 | +126 | -0.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 113 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 62 | 207 | 10 | 11 | 2 | .197 | .287 | .312 | .600 | .115 | .280 | 32 | 10 | .274 | 68 | -24 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 0.0 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 31 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .174 | .367 | .217 | .584 | .043 | .308 | 32 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Salem Red Sox | 98 | 72 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .368 | .250 | .618 | .083 | .261 | 30 | 21 | .299 | 87 | -1 | -0 | — | — | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 80 | 64 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 26 | 1 | 5 | 0 | .250 | .400 | .438 | .838 | .188 | .421 | 32 | 19 | .377 | 147 | +4 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Salem Red Sox | 27 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .208 | .296 | .375 | .671 | .167 | .267 | 30 | 4 | .305 | 92 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Salem Red Sox | 214 | 173 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 56 | 6 | 3 | 2 | .179 | .336 | .231 | .568 | .052 | .259 | 26 | 16 | .282 | 74 | -6 | -0 | — | — | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 85 | 66 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .242 | .405 | .379 | .784 | .136 | .359 | 31 | 16 | .360 | 134 | +3 | -1 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Daniel McElveny (OGILVIE) | 23 | 20→25 | 33→38 | 45→50 | 62 | .197/.279/.309 | .112 | .281 | 2 | 2 | 32% | 9% | 65 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2021 · A |
23 | 44→35 | 42→50 | 49→45 | 42 | .208/.284/.314 | .106 | .302 | 8 | 7 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .197/.289/.340 | .143 | .309 | 15 | 5 | 38% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .182/.286/.344 | .162 | .286 | 20 | 4 | 40% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A |
23 | 41→40 | 44→55 | 47→45 | 42 | .205/.269/.327 | .122 | .280 | 11 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .196/.267/.342 | .146 | .271 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.283/.412 | .206 | .265 | 29 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A |
23 | 39→34 | 44→45 | 50 | 45 | .197/.277/.309 | .111 | .273 | 12 | 10 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .192/.266/.304 | .112 | .282 | 10 | 13 | 33% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .182/.255/.299 | .117 | .273 | 8 | 16 | 34% | 8% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Tyler Grimes 2013 · A |
23 | 38 | 42→40 | 47→40 | 41 | .187/.266/.294 | .107 | .282 | 9 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 55 | -1.4 | .206/.282/.301 | .095 | .307 | 7 | 5 | 33% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .207/.285/.293 | .087 | .311 | 6 | 2 | 32% | 7% | 60 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A |
23 | 36 | 47→50 | 49→50 | 38 | .190/.256/.326 | .136 | .273 | 15 | 10 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .205/.269/.352 | .147 | .297 | 17 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .199/.264/.350 | .151 | .290 | 18 | 7 | 36% | 6% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Andrew Susac 2013 · A |
23 | 42→39 | 43→50 | 46→30 | 45 | .207/.280/.320 | .113 | .292 | 11 | 4 | 31% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .217/.291/.360 | .143 | .291 | 16 | 3 | 29% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .217/.295/.373 | .156 | .282 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 9% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A |
23 | 36→40 | 44→55 | 45→50 | 45 | .183/.265/.303 | .120 | .269 | 11 | 7 | 35% | 9% | 57 | -1.2 | .201/.280/.365 | .164 | .291 | 19 | 9 | 35% | 9% | 80 | +0.4 | .191/.263/.361 | .170 | .260 | 21 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2017 · A |
23 | 39→38 | 45→50 | 46→30 | 45 | .193/.281/.316 | .123 | .278 | 13 | 2 | 33% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 | .195/.274/.331 | .136 | .278 | 16 | 3 | 34% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .176/.253/.301 | .125 | .251 | 16 | 0 | 35% | 7% | 49 | -0.8 |
|
✕Connor Pavolony 2023 · A |
23 | 38 | 42→45 | 48→40 | 46 | .185/.279/.289 | .104 | .292 | 10 | 7 | 37% | 10% | 60 | -1.0 | .172/.251/.253 | .081 | .289 | 7 | 6 | 39% | 8% | 38 | -2.6 | .135/.211/.194 | .059 | .229 | 4 | 2 | 40% | 8% | 3 | -2.1 |
|
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A |
23 | 44→42 | 42→45 | 51→55 | 48 | .212/.285/.319 | .107 | .280 | 9 | 10 | 26% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .204/.289/.323 | .119 | .267 | 12 | 14 | 26% | 10% | 72 | -0.2 | .192/.284/.327 | .135 | .243 | 17 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Tate Blackman 2018 · A |
23 | 41→33 | 42→45 | 49→40 | 44 | .200/.271/.306 | .106 | .273 | 9 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .180/.249/.282 | .102 | .292 | 11 | 4 | 40% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .159/.231/.251 | .092 | .266 | 12 | 3 | 42% | 7% | 28 | -2.3 |
|
✕Carson Blair 2013 · A |
23 | 35 | 43→50 | 43→30 | 38 | .178/.239/.287 | .110 | .282 | 10 | 6 | 39% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.269/.330 | .133 | .320 | 12 | 4 | 39% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .192/.271/.336 | .144 | .315 | 14 | 1 | 40% | 9% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 48 | .209/.289/.317 | .108 | .281 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .221/.304/.311 | .090 | .312 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .236/.329/.308 | .072 | .330 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A |
24 | 37→35 | 43→45 | 49→55 | 37 | .190/.236/.299 | .109 | .254 | 11 | 9 | 30% | 4% | 43 | -2.2 | .194/.260/.318 | .124 | .282 | 14 | 15 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A |
22 | 35 | 46→50 | 45→40 | 40 | .185/.251/.313 | .128 | .265 | 15 | 5 | 35% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .209/.268/.329 | .120 | .279 | 13 | 4 | 28% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .211/.271/.321 | .110 | .275 | 12 | 2 | 27% | 7% | 61 | -0.4 |
|
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A |
22 | 40→34 | 44→45 | 49→50 | 40 | .200/.267/.320 | .119 | .267 | 12 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.277/.341 | .135 | .271 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.284/.354 | .148 | .258 | 17 | 10 | 26% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Anthony Seigler 2023 · A |
24 | 40→39 | 43→45 | 46→55 | 54 | .196/.296/.310 | .114 | .268 | 9 | 11 | 28% | 12% | 72 | -0.2 | .198/.295/.313 | .115 | .254 | 11 | 19 | 24% | 12% | 72 | -0.2 | .200/.299/.321 | .122 | .247 | 12 | 27 | 23% | 12% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA |
23 | 36 | 43→50 | 49→40 | 40 | .184/.244/.291 | .107 | .270 | 10 | 4 | 35% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .200/.256/.326 | .126 | .277 | 13 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .206/.268/.347 | .141 | .262 | 15 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Caleb Hamilton 2018 · A |
23 | 36 | 43→45 | 44→45 | 47 | .180/.269/.290 | .110 | .270 | 10 | 5 | 34% | 10% | 56 | -1.3 | .183/.252/.285 | .102 | .264 | 8 | 7 | 32% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .145/.237/.274 | .129 | .209 | 19 | 3 | 39% | 10% | 37 | -0.8 |