Tyler Wilson — OGILVIE

Tyler WilsonOF Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 24 S/R 6'1" / 210 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 247 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .302 / .329

PA247

HR3

SB7

K%25

BB%9

BABIP302

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	92	81	14	5	0	1	9	22	1	2	1	173	264	272	535	99	220	24	10	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	92	76	15	5	0	1	14	14	1	2	1	197	330	303	632	105	226	15	15	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	366	329	66	9	0	6	35	109	0	15	9	201	277	283	560	82	278	30	10	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	366	316	89	11	0	5	45	77	0	15	9	282	368	364	732	82	356	21	12	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	NYY	—	52	47	9	0	1	0	4	9	0	5	1	191	255	234	489	43	231	17	8	219	26	-4	+1	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
YTD	24	A+	NYY	—	52	45	9	0	1	0	6	7	0	5	1	200	294	244	539	44	231	13	12	251	50	-3	+1	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
ROS	24	A+	NYY	0%	247	222	51	9	2	3	22	61	1	7	2	230	302	329	631	99	296	25	9	283	74	-7	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	NYY	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						297	0	0	281	73	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	NYY	—	53	48	9	0	1	0	4	9	0	5	1	188	250	229	479	42	225	17	8	220	27	-4	+1	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
TOT	24	A+	NYY	—	299	269	60	9	3	3	26	70	1	12	3	223	294	312	606	89	288	23	9	272	66	-11	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	NYY	30%	330	296	68	12	2	5	29	81	2	8	3	230	303	334	637	105	297	25	9	290	80	-7	+0	+0	-2	+9	0.0
2028	26	MLB	NYY	44%	380	342	79	14	2	7	33	93	2	9	3	231	302	345	647	114	296	24	9	294	83	-7	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.2
2029	27	MLB	NYY	49%	402	360	83	15	2	7	36	98	3	10	3	231	306	342	647	111	296	24	9	295	84	-7	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.3
2030	28	MLB	NYY	52%	413	370	86	15	2	8	37	101	3	9	3	232	307	349	656	116	295	24	9	295	84	-7	+1	-1	-2	+12	0.2
2027	25	MLB	NYY	30%	100	90	22	4	1	2	9	25	1	2	1	244	320	378	698	133	298	25	9	288	78	-2	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.0
2028	26	MLB	NYY	44%	168	150	35	6	1	3	15	41	1	4	1	233	307	347	654	113	298	24	9	292	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.1
2029	27	MLB	NYY	49%	197	176	41	7	1	4	18	48	1	5	2	233	308	352	660	119	297	24	9	293	82	-4	+0	+0	-1	+6	0.1
2030	28	MLB	NYY	52%	213	191	44	8	1	4	19	52	1	5	2	230	303	346	649	115	297	24	9	293	82	-4	+0	-0	-1	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	679	608	142	25	4	13	61	166	4	16	6	234	308	352	660	118	299	24	9	292	81	-14	+1	-0	-4	+19	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	136	24	4	12	58	159	4	15	6	234	307	351	658	117	300	24	9	292	81	-14	+1	-0	-4	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	2230	2000	447	79	10	37	201	565	12	60	24	224	298	329	627	105	291	25	9	283	75	-63	+2	-1	-13	+63	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	131	23	3	11	59	165	3	17	7	225	299	331	630	106	293	25	9	283	75	-18	+1	-0	-4	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	92	76	15	5	1	14	14	1	2	1	197	330	303	632	105	226	15	15	295	84	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	23	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	52	47	13	2	0	4	9	0	0	1	277	327	319	646	43	342	17	8	294	84	-1	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	23	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	314	269	76	9	5	41	68	0	15	8	283	375	372	747	89	359	22	13	340	118	+6	-0	—	—	+9	1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Shane Halterlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,744 PA	5	1,744	41	11	247	305	396	-6	+8	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	16	4	247	305	396	-2.1	+3.0	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	679	12	16	233	303	348	-4	+0	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	12	16	233	303	348	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Wilson (OGILVIE)	24	45	30	50	50	223/294/312	89	288	3	12	23%	9%	66	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Sclafani 2014 · A	24	46→45	40	52→50	51	218/297/316	98	272	6	14	21%	9%	73	-0.1	252/313/328	76	307	4	11	18%	8%	82	+0.5	279/336/340	61	333	2	10	16%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Chuck Taylor 2018 · AA	24	48→56	40	47→50	47	230/293/321	91	295	7	8	24%	7%	72	-0.2	230/286/326	96	293	8	4	23%	7%	70	-0.3	227/281/316	89	286	7	1	22%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Matty Johnson 2012 · A	24	48→53	37→40	46→55	45	225/286/298	73	303	5	11	26%	7%	63	-0.9	228/281/301	73	286	3	17	20%	6%	61	-1.0	237/292/310	73	295	2	23	19%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Jordan George 2016 · A	24	50→51	41→40	47→40	50	238/311/348	110	305	7	5	23%	9%	87	+0.8	238/312/344	106	295	8	5	20%	9%	86	+0.8	238/313/344	107	281	10	2	18%	9%	85	+0.3
✕Dan Nelson 2008 · A	24	47→51	38→45	48→50	51	223/299/299	76	292	5	14	24%	9%	69	-0.4	221/291/318	97	285	8	12	23%	9%	71	-0.3	241/300/355	114	292	10	8	20%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Louis Ott 2008 · A	23	47→48	39→30	45	45	225/288/305	81	300	6	8	26%	7%	66	-0.6	228/301/296	68	327	4	7	28%	9%	69	-0.4	228/307/282	54	330	3	6	29%	10%	65	-0.4
✕Ripken Reyes 2021 · A	24	48→47	38→40	53→50	46	224/299/310	86	267	5	12	17%	6%	73	-0.1	225/329/305	80	286	4	13	21%	8%	86	+0.8	220/340/304	84	275	6	18	20%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Leo Rivas 2022 · AA	24	47→54	38→40	50→65	50	219/300/300	81	306	5	13	28%	10%	70	-0.3	222/306/314	92	301	8	30	26%	10%	77	+0.1	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
✕Yerison Pena 2015 · A	24	46	38→40	52→50	54	215/302/304	89	286	5	14	24%	11%	72	-0.2	217/284/317	100	297	7	9	27%	8%	67	-0.5	212/276/322	110	285	9	4	27%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Landon Lassiter 2016 · A	23	49	40	51→50	47	231/302/325	94	311	6	8	26%	8%	77	+0.1	216/275/288	72	332	3	9	33%	6%	56	-1.3	211/269/272	61	332	2	9	35%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Danny Muno 2013 · A	24	47→53	40→45	54→50	50	222/301/315	92	294	6	18	25%	10%	74	-0.1	232/313/341	109	298	10	12	24%	10%	86	+0.8	230/312/334	104	293	10	11	23%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Yonathan Mendoza 2018 · AA	24	53	36→30	48→45	47	251/298/314	63	297	5	7	17%	6%	71	-0.3	228/278/282	54	285	3	6	20%	7%	55	-1.4	220/272/256	36	277	2	4	20%	7%	43	-1.3
✕Hudson Haskin 2023 · AA	24	46→44	44→40	49→50	42	223/302/343	120	303	11	11	28%	6%	83	+0.6	215/302/318	103	314	9	18	32%	8%	77	+0.1	198/295/280	82	307	7	24	34%	8%	62	-0.4
✕Mike McQuillan 2014 · A	24	49	38→40	51→50	47	230/297/317	87	318	5	14	27%	8%	72	-0.2	202/287/304	102	302	9	9	33%	9%	66	-0.6	152/264/252	100	232	10	5	35%	11%	43	-1.1
✕David Popkins 2014 · A	24	52→45	41→45	46→45	38	242/292/353	111	338	7	9	29%	5%	80	+0.4	225/276/328	103	315	8	7	30%	5%	66	-0.6	215/265/311	97	300	8	4	30%	4%	55	-1.0
✕Noah Campbell 2023 · AA	24	46→45	39→45	51→50	45	213/290/305	92	318	6	13	32%	9%	67	-0.5	217/301/327	110	351	8	9	36%	10%	78	+0.2	211/305/324	113	351	8	6	38%	11%	74	-0.0
✕Elian Herrera 2009 · A	24	44→54	40	47→60	42	211/272/306	96	295	7	8	30%	7%	59	-1.1	228/286/305	77	321	5	27	28%	7%	65	-0.7	238/305/320	82	323	3	27	25%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Braiden Ward 2022 · A	23	48→45	37→40	47→70	46	223/310/297	75	312	4	10	28%	8%	75	-0.0	211/301/295	84	308	6	44	31%	6%	72	-0.2	223/313/324	101	306	6	64	26%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Jake Palomaki 2019 · A	24	44	39→30	52→50	49	213/282/298	85	259	7	11	20%	8%	62	-0.9	205/275/262	57	263	2	14	21%	8%	50	-1.8	217/288/262	45	280	1	17	21%	8%	52	-0.9
✕Blake Rambusch 2023 · A	23	47	37→30	52→65	42	219/287/293	74	318	4	14	30%	7%	63	-0.9	230/317/295	65	313	3	29	25%	9%	76	+0.1	252/330/304	52	316	1	49	19%	9%	79	+0.1